Bakers Creek (Qld)

Bakers Creek lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population for Bakers Creek (Qld) statistical area (Lv2) is around 1,884. This reflects an increase of 294 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,590. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of resident population at 1,845 as of June 2024, based on latest ERP data release by ABS, and an additional 138 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 89 persons per square kilometer. The area's growth rate of 18.5% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA3 area (6.8%) and the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 59.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with other drivers including overseas migration and natural growth also being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted, with proportional growth weightings applied for age cohorts in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 using 2022 data. By 2041, the Bakers Creek (Qld) (SA2) is forecast to expand by 536 persons, reflecting a gain of 21.0% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Bakers Creek among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Bakers Creek had around 15 dwelling approvals per year. Between FY21 and FY25, approximately 76 homes were approved, with another 5 in FY26 so far. Each new home attracted an average of 2.9 people annually over the past five financial years.

New homes averaged $478,000 in construction cost, higher than regional levels. This year saw $47.6 million in commercial approvals. Compared to Rest of Qld, Bakers Creek had 153% more new home approvals per person. All recent development was detached dwellings, maintaining low density character with a focus on family homes.

The area has about 105 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. By 2041, Bakers Creek is forecast to gain 395 residents. Current construction levels should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potential growth exceeding current forecasts.

Bakers Creek has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects likely to impact the region: Ooralea Waters, Ooralea Local Plan, Mackay Technology Park, and Walkerston Bypass. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Bakers Creek performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Bakers Creek has a diverse workforce with both white and blue-collar jobs, prominently featuring manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate is 2.0%, lower than the Rest of Qld's 4.1%.

Over the past year, ending September 2025, employment grew by 4.4%. As of that date, 65.4% of residents participate in the workforce, higher than the Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Key industries for local workers are mining, healthcare & social assistance, and construction. Mining is particularly strong, employing 3.7 times more people than the regional average, while education & training employs fewer locals at 4.6% compared to the region's 9.1%.

The area hosts more jobs than residents, with a ratio of 2.1 workers per resident. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 4.4%, and labour force grew by 5.1%, leading to an unemployment rate rise of 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Qld saw employment grow by 1.7% and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. Statewide in Queensland, as of 25-Nov, employment decreased by 0.01%, with the state's unemployment rate at 4.2%. National forecasts project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bakers Creek's industry mix suggests local employment could increase by 5.6% over five years and 12.3% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 indicates that Bakers Creek's median income among taxpayers is $63,550. The average income in the suburb is $79,461. Nationally, these figures are extremely high compared to the Rest of Qld's median income of $53,146 and average income of $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, current estimates suggest that as of September 2025, Bakers Creek's median income would be approximately $69,848 and the average income around $87,336. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family, and personal incomes in Bakers Creek cluster at the 72nd percentile nationally. The earnings profile shows that 40.7% of the community (766 individuals) falls within the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band, which is consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 31.7% in the same category. Housing accounts for 14.8% of income, and strong earnings rank residents within the 77th percentile for disposable income.

Bakers Creek is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Bakers Creek, as per the latest Census assessment, 91.5% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 8.5% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This contrasts with Non-Metro Qld's figures of 85.1% houses and 14.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bakers Creek stood at 22.6%, with mortgaged properties at 52.7% and rented ones at 24.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,820, higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Bakers Creek was recorded at $398 compared to Non-Metro Qld's $340. Nationally, Bakers Creek's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Bakers Creek has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.7% of all households, including 38.6% couples with children, 25.8% couples without children, and 10.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 24.3%, with lone person households at 21.9% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.6.

Bakers Creek faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 14.5%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. This discrepancy presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.7%) and graduate diplomas (0.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 45.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas comprise 7.9% while certificates make up 37.8%.

Educational participation is high at 34.9%, including primary education (15.1%), secondary education (9.2%), and tertiary education (4.3%).

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates three active public transport stops in Bakers Creek, all offering bus services. These stops are served by one route collectively providing 25 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is limited with residents typically located 1093 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages three trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately eight weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Bakers Creek is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Bakers Creek shows better-than-average health outcomes, with low prevalence of common conditions among its general population, nearing national averages for older, at-risk groups.

It has an exceptionally high rate of private health cover, at approximately 59% (1,105 people). The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 8.2 and 7.2% of residents respectively. A higher proportion, 74.3%, report no medical ailments compared to Rest of Qld's 69.7%. The area has a lower percentage of seniors aged 65 and over, at 10.3% (194 people), compared to Rest of Qld's 16.2%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those in the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Bakers Creek was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bakers Creek, surveyed in June 2016, had above-average cultural diversity with 20.7% of its population born overseas and 16.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 58.3%, slightly higher than Rest of Qld's 56.8%. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (29.9%), English (24.5%), and Filipino (8.5%), with Filipino being significantly higher than the regional average of 1.5%.

Notably, Maltese was overrepresented at 2.0% compared to the region's 2.4%, Australian Aboriginal at 4.4% versus 3.6%, and Spanish at 0.5% against a regional average of 0.2%.

Bakers Creek's population is younger than the national pattern

The median age in Bakers Creek is 35 years, which is lower than Rest of Qld's average of 41 years and also under the national average of 38 years. The 25-34 age cohort is notably over-represented in Bakers Creek at 18.1%, compared to the Rest of Qld average. Conversely, the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 7.1%. According to data from the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 11.2% to 12.2% of the population, while the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 13.1% to 12.4%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Bakers Creek. Notably, the 25-34 age group is expected to grow by 36%, adding 121 people and reaching a total of 463 from 341. Meanwhile, the 5-14 age group is forecasted to contract by 3 residents.