Bakers Creek (Qld)

Bakers Creek lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of February 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Bakers Creek (Qld) is around 1,889. This reflects an increase of 299 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,590. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of resident population at 1,845 following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of an additional 138 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 90 persons per square kilometer. Bakers Creek's growth rate of 18.8% since the 2021 census exceeded that of its SA3 area (7.1%) and SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 59.0% of overall population gains.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. Proportional growth weightings are applied where state projections lack age category splits, following ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Looking ahead, demographic trends project above median population growth for Australia's regional areas. The suburb of Bakers Creek (Qld) is expected to expand by 452 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 21.6% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Bakers Creek among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows around 15 new homes approved annually in Bakers Creek over the past five financial years, totalling approximately 75. As of FY26, there have been 5 approvals recorded. On average, 3 people move to the area per year for each new home constructed between FY21 and FY25. The average construction cost value of new homes is $478,000.

This financial year has seen $47.6 million in commercial approvals registered. Compared to the Rest of Qld, Bakers Creek has 150% higher new home approvals per person. All approved constructions have been standalone homes, maintaining the area's low density character. With around 108 people per dwelling approval, Bakers Creek shows growth area characteristics.

Population forecasts indicate an increase of 408 residents by 2041. Current development rates should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting further population growth beyond current projections.

Bakers Creek has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects likely to impact the area. Key projects are Ooralea Waters, Ooralea Local Plan, Mackay Technology Park, and Walkerston Bypass. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Bakers Creek rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Bakers Creek has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Manufacturing and industrial sectors are strongly represented. The unemployment rate is 1.8%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.8% based on AreaSearch data aggregation. As of December 2025, there are 1,062 residents employed with an unemployment rate of 2.2%, below Regional Qld's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation is high at 73.4%. Census responses show that only 2.7% of residents work from home.

Employment is concentrated in mining, health care & social assistance, and construction. The area specializes in mining with an employment share 3.7 times the regional level. Education & training has limited presence with 4.6% employment compared to 9.1% regionally. There are 2.1 workers for every resident, indicating it functions as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. During the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 4.8% and labour force increased by 5.6%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.7 percentage points. In comparison, Regional Qld recorded employment growth of 0.7%, labour force growth of 1.0%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that local employment should increase by 5.6% over five years and 12.3% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Bakers Creek's employment mix.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The median taxpayer income in Bakers Creek is $63,550, with an average of $79,461 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is notably higher than Regional Qld's median income of $53,146 and average income of $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates suggest approximately $69,848 (median) and $87,336 (average) as of September 2025. Census data indicates that incomes in Bakers Creek are around the 72nd percentile nationally. Income distribution shows that 40.7% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, which is consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region at 31.7%. Housing expenses consume 14.8% of income on average, placing residents in the 77th percentile for disposable income.

Bakers Creek is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Bakers Creek, as per the latest Census evaluation, 91.5% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 8.5% consisting of semi-detached units, apartments and other types. This differed from Regional Queensland's figures which showed 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bakers Creek stood at 22.6%, lower than Regional Queensland's rate. Mortgaged dwellings made up 52.7% of the total, with rented properties accounting for 24.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,820, higher than Regional Queensland's average of $1,655. Weekly rent median was recorded at $398 compared to Regional Queensland's $345. Nationally, Bakers Creek's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Bakers Creek has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.7% of all households, including 38.6% couples with children, 25.8% couples without children, and 10.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 24.3%, with lone person households at 21.9% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Regional Queensland average of 2.5.

Bakers Creek faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 14.5%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 12.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.7%) and graduate diplomas (0.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 45.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 7.9% and certificates at 37.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 34.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 15.1% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates three active transport stops operating within Bakers Creek. These stops are served by a mix of buses, with one individual route collectively providing 25 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 1093 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward, with car being the dominant mode at 96%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a relatively low 2.7% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages three trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately eight weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Bakers Creek are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Bakers Creek shows below-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment as of March 2021. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were found to be slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts.

Private health cover was exceptionally high at approximately 59% of the total population (1,108 people), compared to 52.5% across Regional Qld as of March 2021. The most common medical conditions were asthma and mental health issues, impacting 8.2 and 7.2% of residents respectively, while 74.3% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld as of March 2021. Health outcomes among the working-age population were broadly typical. The area had 11.1% of residents aged 65 and over (209 people), lower than the 20.4% in Regional Qld as of March 2021. Health outcomes among seniors were above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Bakers Creek was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bakers Creek, surveyed in August 2016, exhibited above-average cultural diversity with 20.7% of its population born overseas and 16.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 58.3%, compared to 52.2% across Regional Queensland as of June 2016. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (29.9%), English (24.5%), and Filipino (8.5%).

Notably, Maltese representation was higher at 2.0% compared to the regional average of 0.4%, while Australian Aboriginal was at 4.4% versus 3.9%. Spanish representation was also slightly higher at 0.5% against the regional average of 0.3%.

Bakers Creek's population is younger than the national pattern

The median age in Bakers Creek is 34 years, which is lower than Regional Queensland's average of 41 and also substantially below Australia's median age of 38. Compared to Regional Queensland, Bakers Creek has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (18.8%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (7.3%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 has increased from 11.2% to 12.7%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 45-54 has decreased from 13.1% to 11.2%, and the proportion of those aged 55-64 has dropped from 11.9% to 10.4%. By the year 2041, Bakers Creek is projected to experience significant shifts in its age composition, with the 25-34 age group expected to grow by 28%, reaching a total of 454 residents from the current 355.