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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Karalee - Barellan Point has an estimated 7,413 residents, up from 6,694 at the 2021 Census — a change of 719 people, or 10.7%. Growth has averaged 2.6% a year over five years. That puts 386 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the estimated population of Karalee - Barellan Point stands at approximately 7,413 according to AreaSearch research. Compared to the 2021 Census tally of 6,694 people, this represents an expansion of 719 people, or 10.7%. This movement is derived from the ABS estimated resident population figure of 7,320 recorded as of June 2025 alongside 66 validated new addresses registered following the Census. With a resulting density of 385 persons per square kilometer, the locality offers generous living space alongside capacity for upcoming residential projects. Outpacing the 9.5% national benchmark, Karalee - Barellan Point's 10.7% expansion rate highlights its status as a standout regional growth pocket.
Natural increase served as the foremost component of this expansion, accounting for roughly 37.9% of total recent population additions, while overseas migration and interstate migration likewise delivered positive contributions. Projections for each SA2 district utilise ABS/Geoscience Australia datasets published in 2024 with a 2022 baseline. Where SA2 coverage is absent, or for timeframes past 2032, figures rely on Queensland State Government SA2 projections issued in 2023 using 2021 data. Because these state forecasts lack breakdowns by age bracket, AreaSearch integrates proportional age-cohort weights aligned with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (published in 2023 using 2022 benchmarks). Looking at future demographic trajectories, long-term expansion is tracking just beneath the national median for statistical areas; the district is slated to add 956 persons by 2041 relative to latest annual ERP figures, translating to an overall rise of 11.6% across the 16-year horizon.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
128 new dwellings have been approved in Karalee - Barellan Point over the past five years, an average of 25 a year. That places the area in the 73rd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 3 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 25 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 100% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential approvals across Karalee - Barellan Point have averaged around 25 new dwellings annually, adding up to 128 homes during the past 5 financial years. Over this 5-year span between FY-22 and FY-26, construction balanced out to an average of 7 new residents yearly for each home completed, pointing to buyer demand running well ahead of newly built stock and typically fueling price gains and competitive purchasing. Meanwhile, typical build costs for new residences sit at $498,000. Compared with Greater Brisbane on a per-capita basis, building volumes in Karalee - Barellan Point are substantially lower, tracking 71.0% beneath the regional benchmark.
This constrained flow of new additions generally reinforces demand and pricing for established dwellings, even though residential building has gathered momentum in recent times. Additionally, current construction activity is exclusively made up of detached houses, preserving the neighborhood's established low-density landscape and catering to families looking for generous space. Generating around 277 people per approval, the locality displays the hallmarks of an evolving residential market. Over the period running through to 2041, Karalee - Barellan Point is slated to expand by 863 residents from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If prevailing construction trajectories persist, forthcoming residential additions appear well-positioned to satisfy incoming demand, creating favorable conditions for prospective purchasers and potentially enabling population gains to outpace current projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Karalee - Barellan Point
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks one current infrastructure or development project inside Karalee - Barellan Point, worth an estimated $220 million. A further 41 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $5.58 billion. 9 are already under construction and 11 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans transport & logistics, residential development and education & training. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Infrastructure upgrades, major developments, and regional planning initiatives play a decisive role in shaping local growth. AreaSearch has pinpointed a total of 3 major initiatives likely to influence the area. Key works include the Warrego Highway - Mount Crosby Road Interchange Upgrade, Citiswich Business Park Expansion, Bundamba Industrial Precinct Expansion, and Woodlinks Village, with the most pertinent projects outlined below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Warrego Highway - Mount Crosby Road Interchange Upgrade
Upgrade of the Warrego Highway and Mount Crosby Road interchange at Chuwar, including a new interchange at the future Moggill Pocket Arterial location, a new dual-lane bridge connecting Karalee via Junction Road, service roads with active transport paths, and minor upgrades to Mount Crosby Road. Complementary works involve rehabilitation and re-decking of the westbound Bremer River Bridge at Karalee to extend its service life and lift existing speed restrictions. The project is jointly funded 50:50 by the Australian and Queensland governments.Detailed design is underway, with additional ecological surveys required under the EPBC Act delaying the construction timeline.
Citiswich Business Park
Queensland's largest industrial development, Citiswich Business Park is a 350-hectare master-planned estate at Bundamba in the logistics hub of Brisbane's south-western corridor. Developed by Walker Corporation, the estate provides serviced industrial land and facilities for logistics, manufacturing, warehousing, distribution, and wholesale retail. Active staged expansion continues with Stage 6 sub-stages (6C1, 6C2, 6D) and Stage 7 (67.3 ha footprint north of Warrego Highway at Riverview) underway, alongside the $45 million SmartStores workstore development under construction at 183 Hume Drive.
Riverview Townhomes and Apartments
Residential development approved for 115 townhomes, 3 retail tenancies, and 4 apartments. Total development costs of $53.45 million.
Munro Development
Azure is building the Munro development at Bundamba, comprising 100 homes.
Bundamba Creek Environmental Restoration & Linear Park
A multi-stage environmental restoration program along Bundamba Creek jointly funded by the Australian Government's Urban Rivers and Catchments Program ($3M) and Ipswich City Council ($1M). Works include streambank stabilisation, erosion control, weed removal, native revegetation and habitat enhancement across priority sites including Jack Barkley Park at North Booval. Since September 2024, over 781 metres of creek bank and more than one hectare of riparian land have been restored, with nearly 50,000 native plants installed. The broader program also incorporates Ironpot Creek and Woogaroo Creek.Longer-term plans include creation of a continuous linear park and shared pathway with boardwalks and community recreation areas.
Bundamba Industrial Precinct Expansion
Expansion of the Bundamba Industrial Precinct to deliver new serviced industrial lots, road and utility infrastructure, and improved freight access including integration with the Bundamba Bypass and surrounding transport network. The project continues to be identified by Ipswich City Council as a strategic employment and industrial growth area.
Australia Post Parcel Facility
Australia Post's Brisbane Parcel Facility in Redbank is the largest parcel processing and delivery centre in the southern hemisphere, featuring cutting-edge technology including robotic arms, automated guided vehicles, and an automated parcel picker. It covers 50,000 sq m, can process up to 700,000 parcels per day at peak, and employs 500 staff.
Bundamba Heritage Precinct Restoration
Restoration and preservation of historic Bundamba colliery buildings and mining heritage structures. Includes interpretation centre, heritage trails, and community education programs. $5.6 million heritage project.
4,429 residents of Karalee - Barellan Point are employed, from a labour force of 4,496. Unemployment sits at 1.5%, with participation at 78.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.3% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 5,623, about 76% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Boasting an unemployment rate of only 1.5% and an estimated 10.6% rise in jobs over the past year, Karalee - Barellan Point maintains a highly capable local workforce with substantial representation in essential services. March 2026 data shows 4,429 residents actively employed, with the local jobless rate tracking 2.8% below the 4.3% recorded for Greater Brisbane. In addition, labor force participation is remarkably elevated at 78.7%, exceeding Greater Brisbane's 70.1%. Census records indicate 18.9% of workers performed their duties from home, though this figure reflects the context of Covid-19 restrictions.
Leading employment fields for local residents encompass health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Public administration & safety stands out with marked local concentration, capturing an employment share 1.5 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical roles account for a more modest 6.6% of local jobs versus 8.9% throughout the wider region. Given the gap between resident workers and local employment counts at the Census, this predominantly suburban community offers relatively few workplace opportunities within its own boundaries. According to AreaSearch evaluation of ABS and SALM metrics, the past 12-month period saw employment jump by 10.6% alongside a 10.1% increase in the labor force, reducing the local unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. Over the same timeframe, Greater Brisbane recorded a 3.2% gain in employment and a 3.4% rise in the labor force, with its unemployment rate edging up 0.1 percentage points. National employment projections from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 provide additional context regarding future workforce requirements in Karalee - Barellan Point. These five- and ten-year forecasts have been applied to the local workforce distribution to project future employment trajectories. Nationally, overall job volumes are anticipated to climb 6.6% across five years and 13.7% over ten years, though trajectories fluctuate substantially by sector. Aligning these sectoral projections with Karalee - Barellan Point's occupational base points to an expected local employment expansion of 6.3% over five years and 13.2% across ten years (this represents a baseline weighting model for demonstration and excludes localized population modeling).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Karalee - Barellan Point is $2,482 a week (about $129,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,019 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $61,862 a year against an average of $70,066. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
AreaSearch analysis of the latest ATO postcode statistics for financial year 2023 shows taxpayers in the Karalee - Barellan Point SA2 recorded a median income of $61,862 and an average income of $70,066. These figures sit slightly above national figures and compare with $58,236 (median) and $72,799 (average) across Greater Brisbane. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% from financial year 2023, indexed metrics for March 2026 are approximately $68,890 for the median and $78,025 for the average. Census findings place household, family, and individual incomes between the 80th and 90th percentiles nationwide.
Income distribution shows 33.8% of individuals (2,505 individuals) earning in the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, closely mirroring the regional proportion of 33.3%. High-earning households generating more than $3,000 weekly make up 37.9% of the area, bolstering local retail spending power. Residents keep 86.7% of their earnings after meeting housing expenses, underscoring solid discretionary spending capacity, while the district achieves an 8th decile ranking on the SEIFA income index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Karalee - Barellan Point had 2,163 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 99% detached houses and 1% apartments. 59% are owned with a mortgage, 13% rented and 28% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $400 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,057 a month, a total housing cost higher than 76% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 16.1% of household income here and mortgage repayments 19.1%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census records reveal that the housing stock in Karalee - Barellan Point is composed of 98.5% houses and 1.5% other dwellings (incorporating semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' residences), in contrast to Brisbane metro where houses account for 73.5% and other dwellings comprise 26.5%. Outright home ownership reaches 28.2%, outperforming the metropolitan standard, while 59.0% of homes are mortgaged and 12.8% are occupied by tenants. Median monthly mortgage obligations are notably higher than the Brisbane metro figure at $2,057, and the median weekly rental cost stands at $400, against metropolitan medians of $1,863 and $380 respectively.
On a national level, mortgage commitments in Karalee - Barellan Point exceed the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents surpass the national benchmark of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Karalee - Barellan Point counted 2,163 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 2,395 today, averaging 3.0 people each. 47% are couples with children, more than in 92% of areas nationally, against 31% couples without children. 12% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The vast majority of households are families, comprising 86.6% of the total; this includes 47.2% couples with children, 30.8% couples without children, and 8.3% single parent families. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 13.4%, made up of 12.0% lone person households and 1.4% group households. The average household size sits at 3.0 people, exceeding the Greater Brisbane benchmark of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
23.8% of adults in Karalee - Barellan Point hold a university qualification, including 16.7% with a bachelor degree and 4.1% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 28.9% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 563 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,041 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary attainment in Karalee - Barellan Point sits below regional figures, with 23.8% of residents aged 15+ possessing a higher education degree compared to 30.5% in Greater Brisbane, indicating scope for future educational attainment and vocational upskilling. Bachelor degrees represent the most prevalent qualification at 16.7%, with postgraduate qualifications at 4.1% and graduate diplomas at 3.0%. Meanwhile, vocational qualifications are widely held, with 42.0% of residents aged 15+ possessing trade or technical credentials, including certificates (28.9%) and advanced diplomas (13.1%). Participation in study is strong, with 31.3% of the local population enrolled in an educational course.
Breaking this down, 12.1% attend primary school, 9.3% are in secondary schooling, and 4.7% are enrolled in tertiary study.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Karalee - Barellan Point means driving: households keep an average of 2.2 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
70.0% of residents in Karalee - Barellan Point report no long-term health condition. 4.3% need daily assistance with core activities, and 53.9% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 3.8 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
AreaSearch evaluations of mortality rates and chronic health conditions indicate favorable overall wellness across Karalee - Barellan Point, with typical chronic illnesses occurring at low rates in the wider community, though appearing above the national average among vulnerable older age brackets. Private health insurance coverage exceeds the typical SA2 rate, covering approximately 54% of the population (~3,995 people). Mental health issues and asthma represent the most widespread medical diagnoses in the locality, affecting 8.8 and 8.2% of residents respectively. Conversely, 70.0% of the community reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane.
Health measures for working-age adults align closely with typical levels. Seniors aged 65 and over constitute 14.5% of the population (1,073 people), and while health outcomes within this cohort present some difficulties, they compare favorably against national benchmarks for the demographic.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Karalee - Barellan Point is largely Australian-born, at 83.2% of residents, with 4.5% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (30.9%) and Australian (27.8%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Karalee - Barellan Point remains comparatively low, with Australian-born residents making up 83.2% of the population, Australian citizens comprising 91.5%, and 95.5% using solely English at home. Christianity is the predominant faith, practiced by 52.8% of residents in Karalee - Barellan Point, compared to 47.8% across Greater Brisbane. Looking at ancestral background based on parents' country of birth, the primary ancestries in Karalee - Barellan Point are English (30.9%), Australian (27.8%), and Irish (8.6%). Several other backgrounds exhibit higher local concentrations than the broader region, including German at 6.3% (against 4.2% regionally), Dutch at 1.9% (against 1.2%), and Welsh at 0.8% (against 0.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Karalee - Barellan Point is 38. 21.8% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The demographic structure of Karalee - Barellan Point features a lower proportion of younger adults and a larger share of mature residents compared to Greater Brisbane. Individuals in the middle-aged and mature adult category (45 - 64) represent 27.2% of the population as at August 2026, compared to 22.6% throughout Greater Brisbane, while young to middle-aged adults (25 - 44) account for 23.2% locally versus 30.6% regionally. The median age is estimated at 38 as at August 2026, matching the 2021 Census figure and sitting 2 years higher than Greater Brisbane's median of 36 at that Census.
Since the Census, the proportion of residents aged 65+ has increased from 12.1% to an estimated 14.5%. By 2041, the retiree and elderly cohort is projected to see the most significant growth, expanding by 486 residents (45%) to reach 1,559, whereas the young to middle-aged adult demographic is expected to decline.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Karalee - Barellan Point
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Sep 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Sep 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Sep 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | May 2026 4 months ago all 1 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 66 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (6,694 at the 2021 Census → 7,413 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (310031289). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.