Karalee - Barellan Point

Karalee - Barellan Point lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Karalee - Barellan Point's population is around 7,263 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 569 people (8.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,694 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 7,212 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 37 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 378 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Over the past decade, Karalee - Barellan Point has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a 3.0% compound annual growth rate, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration, which contributed approximately 46.6% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers, including natural growth and overseas migration, were positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence, where utilised, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. As we examine future population trends, a population increase just below the median of national areas is expected, with the area expected to expand by 1,171 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, recording a gain of 15.4% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Karalee - Barellan Point when compared nationally

Karalee - Barellan Point has averaged around 33 new dwelling approvals per year, with 168 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 19 so far in FY-26. Given an average of 6.2 new residents per year arriving per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand significantly exceeds new supply, which usually results in price growth and increased buyer competition, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $220,000—below the regional average—suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers.

Compared to Greater Brisbane, Karalee - Barellan Point has significantly less development activity (56.0% below regional average per person). This scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Meanwhile, recent building activity consists entirely of standalone homes, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated count of 386 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

Population forecasts indicate Karalee - Barellan Point will gain 1,120 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Karalee - Barellan Point has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 3 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Warrego Highway - Mount Crosby Road Interchange Upgrade, Citiswich Business Park Expansion, Bundamba Industrial Precinct Expansion, and Woodlinks Village, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Karalee - Barellan Point performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Karalee - Barellan Point possesses a skilled workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of just 1.6%, and 7.4% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 4,314 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 2.5% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (77.5% compared to Greater Brisbane's 71.2%). Based on Census responses, a moderate 18.9% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents comprise health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in public administration & safety, with employment levels at 1.5 times the regional average. Meanwhile, professional & technical services have a limited presence with 6.6% employment compared to 8.9% regionally. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 7.4% and the labour force increased by 7.2%, resulting in unemployment falling by 0.2 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Brisbane, where employment rose by 3.2%, the labour force grew by 3.0%, and unemployment fell 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Karalee - Barellan Point. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Karalee - Barellan Point's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Karalee - Barellan Point SA2's median income among taxpayers is $61,862, with an average of $70,066. This is just above the national average, and compares to Greater Brisbane's median of $58,236 and average of $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $67,993 (median) and $77,010 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Karalee - Barellan Point, between the 80th and 90th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows the predominant cohort spans 33.8% of locals (2,454 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, aligning with the surrounding region where this cohort likewise represents 33.3%. Economic strength emerges through 37.9% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 86.7% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Karalee - Barellan Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Karalee - Barellan Point, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 98.5% houses and 1.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Karalee - Barellan Point was beyond that of Brisbane metro, at 28.2%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (59.0%) or rented (12.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Brisbane metro average at $2,057, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $400, compared to Brisbane metro's $1,863 and $380. Nationally, Karalee - Barellan Point's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are exceeding the national figure of $375.

Karalee - Barellan Point features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 86.6% of all households, comprising 47.2% couples with children, 30.8% couples without children, and 8.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 13.4%, with lone person households at 12.0% and group households comprising 1.4% of the total. The median household size of 3.0 people is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Karalee - Barellan Point exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Karalee - Barellan Point trail regional benchmarks, with 23.8% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 30.5% in Greater Brisbane. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 16.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.0%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 42.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (13.1%) and certificates (28.9%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.3% of residents aged 15+ currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.1% in primary education, 9.3% in secondary education, and 4.7% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

The level of general health in Karalee - Barellan Point is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Karalee - Barellan Point demonstrates above-average health outcomes, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population, though higher than the national average across older, at-risk cohorts. The rate of private health cover just leads the average SA2 area at approximately 54% of the total population (~3,914 people).

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 8.8% and 8.2% of residents, respectively, while 70.0% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 14.5% of residents aged 65 and over (1,051 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Karalee - Barellan Point ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Karalee - Barellan Point was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 83.2% of its population born in Australia, 91.5% being citizens, and 95.5% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Karalee - Barellan Point is Christianity, which makes up 52.8% of the population, compared to 47.8% across Greater Brisbane.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Karalee - Barellan Point are English, comprising 30.9% of the population, Australian, comprising 27.8% of the population, and Irish, comprising 8.6% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: German is notably overrepresented at 6.3% of Karalee - Barellan Point (vs 4.2% regionally), Welsh at 0.8% (vs 0.5%), and Dutch at 1.9% (vs 1.2%).

Karalee - Barellan Point's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

With a median age of 38, Karalee - Barellan Point is slightly older than the Greater Brisbane figure of 36, though equal to Australia's 38 years. The 5 - 14 age group shows strong representation at 16.1% compared to Greater Brisbane, whereas the 25 - 34 cohort is less prevalent at 8.7%. In the period since 2021, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 3.1% to 4.0% of the population. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 10.5% to 8.7% and the 0 to 4 group dropped from 6.7% to 5.5%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections reveal significant shifts in Karalee - Barellan Point's age structure. Leading the demographic shift, the 45 to 54 group will grow by 22% (241 people), reaching 1,325 from 1,083. Meanwhile, both the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 age groups will see reduced numbers.