Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita

Population growth drivers in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's population is around 23,817 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 704 people (3.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 23,113 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 23,786 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 26 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 3,768 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a 0.8% compound annual growth rate, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 83.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, lower quartile growth of statistical areas across the nation is anticipated, with the area expected to increase by 1,186 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 4.8% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita when compared nationally

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita has experienced around 110 dwellings receiving development approval each year, with 550 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 30 so far in FY-26. At an average of just 0.5 new residents per year arriving per new home over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), new construction is matching or outpacing demand, offering buyers more options and enabling population growth that could exceed current expectations, while new dwellings are developed at an average construction cost of $553,000, revealing that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. Additionally, $61.9 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting robust local business investment.

When measured against Greater Sydney, Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person while it places among the 66th percentile of areas assessed nationally. New development consists of 48.0% detached houses and 52.0% attached dwellings. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points and suits downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. The location has approximately 219 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market.

Looking ahead, Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita is expected to grow by 1,155 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 44 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Sydney Metro West, Sydney Metro West - Trains, Systems, Maintenance and Operations, Public Transport Capacity: Parramatta Road and Victoria Road Corridors, and Bushells Factory Redevelopment, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita has a highly educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, and an unemployment rate of just 2.6%. As of December 2025, 12,992 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 1.6% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is somewhat below standard (65.3% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 50.3% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training. The area shows particularly strong specialization in rental, hiring & real estate, with an employment share of 1.9 times the regional level. On the other hand, transport, postal & warehousing is under-represented, with only 3.5% of Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's workforce compared to 5.3% in Greater Sydney. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, the labour force decreased by 1.9% combined with employment decreasing by 2.2%, resulting in the unemployment rate rising by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with a marginal rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.3% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for FY-23 reveals that income in the Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita SA2 is among the highest in Australia, with the median assessed at $64,967 while the average income stands at $93,495. This contrasts to Greater Sydney's figures of a median income of $60,817 and an average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $70,723 (median) and $101,779 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita, between the 83rd and 87th percentiles nationally. The data shows the predominant cohort spans 28.1% of locals (6,692 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 30.9% in the same category. Economic strength emerges through 40.3% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 16.1% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 86th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 45.5% houses and 54.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita was well beyond that of Sydney metro, at 40.5%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (29.4%) or rented (30.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Sydney metro average at $3,000, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $600, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 75.7% of all households, comprising 34.4% couples with children, 30.6% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 24.3%, with lone person households at 22.3% and group households comprising 2.1% of the total. The median household size of 2.6 people is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 40.8% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 30.4% in Australia. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 26.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 28.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (12.5%) and certificates (15.6%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.4% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 5.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 137 active transport stops operating within Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita, comprising a mix of ferries and buses. These stops are serviced by 51 individual routes, collectively providing 8,014 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 159 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 82%, with 8% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.3 per dwelling. A high 50.3% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 1,144 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 58 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Younger cohorts in particular see very low prevalence of common health conditions, and the rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 68% of the total population (16,076 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.3% and 5.4% of residents, respectively, while 73.9% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 23.6% of residents aged 65 and over (5,623 people), which is higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, though they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita scores highly on cultural diversity, with 36.4% of its population born overseas and 37.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita is Christianity, which makes up 65.0% of the population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita are English at 15.3%, Italian at 14.5% (which is substantially higher than the regional average of 3.4%), and Australian at 14.2%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of other ethnic groups: Lebanese is overrepresented at 4.0% (vs 2.6% regionally), Korean at 1.9% (vs 1.1%), and Spanish at 0.8% (vs 0.6%).

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's median age exceeds the national pattern

The 43-year median age in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita is considerably higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 as well as substantially exceeding the 38-year national average. The age profile shows 75 - 84 year-olds are particularly prominent (8.8%), while the 25 - 34 group is comparatively smaller (10.4%) than in Greater Sydney. Since 2021, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 6.8% to 8.8% of the population, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 10.6% to 12.2%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 11.9% to 10.4% and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 11.3% to 9.9%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections reveal significant shifts in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's age structure. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to increase solidly, expanding by 975 people (47%) from 2,088 to 3,064. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 91% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. On the other hand, the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.