Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita

Population growth drivers in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's population is 23,817 as of Feb 2026. From the 2021 Census, this reflects an increase of 704 people (3.0%), which had a population of 23,113. This change was inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 23,786 in June 2024 and 26 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density is 3,768 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessment. Over the past decade, ending Dec 2021, Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita had a compound annual growth rate of 0.8%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 83.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021, are utilized. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, the area is expected to increase by 1,186 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 4.8% over the 17-year period, according to the latest annual ERP population numbers.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita when compared nationally

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has seen approximately 110 dwellings receive development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 550 homes were approved, with an additional 25 approved so far in FY26. On average, 0.5 new residents per year have been arriving for each new home over these five years.

This indicates that new construction is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, offering buyers more options and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections. The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $553,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment. In FY26, commercial development approvals totaled $61.9 million, indicating robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks in the 66th percentile nationally when assessed areas are considered.

New development consists of approximately 48% detached houses and 52% attached dwellings, promoting higher-density living which creates more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. The area has around 219 people per dwelling approval, indicating a relatively low density market. Looking forward, AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita to grow by approximately 1,155 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 44 projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include Sydney Metro West, Sydney Metro West - Trains, Systems, Maintenance and Operations, Public Transport Capacity: Parramatta Road and Victoria Road Corridors, Bushells Factory Redevelopment. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita has an educated workforce with professional services well represented. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 2.7%. In this month, 13,078 residents are employed while the area's unemployment rate is 1.5% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation stands at 65.8%, below Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, 50.3% of residents work from home. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training. The area specializes in rental, hiring & real estate services with an employment share 1.9 times the regional level.

However, transport, postal & warehousing is under-represented at 3.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 5.3%. Between September 2024 and September 2025, the labour force increased by 0.1% while employment decreased by 0.5%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.3% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita SA2 has one of the highest incomes in Australia. The median income is $64,967 and the average income stands at $93,495. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's figures, where the median income is $60,817 and the average income is $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $70,723 (median) and $101,779 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita rank highly nationally, between the 83rd and 87th percentiles. The predominant income cohort spans 28.1% of locals (6,692 people) with incomes between $1,500 and $2,999, similar to broader metropolitan trends at 30.9%. Economic strength is evident through 40.3% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 16.1% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 86th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 45.5% houses and 54.5% other types (semi-detached, apartments, 'other'). Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% others. Home ownership in Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita was 40.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 29.4% and rented ones at 30.2%. Median monthly mortgage repayments were $3,000, above Sydney's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent was $600, compared to Sydney's $470. Nationally, mortgage repayments averaged $1,863 and rents were $375.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 75.7% of all households, including 34.4% couples with children, 30.6% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 24.3%, with lone person households at 22.3% and group households comprising 2.1%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita has higher educational attainment than national averages. Among residents aged 15+, 40.8% have university qualifications compared to Australia's 30.4%. University graduates make up 26.6%, postgraduate qualifications are held by 11.1%, and graduate diplomas by 3.1%. Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 28.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them; advanced diplomas account for 12.5% and certificates for 15.6%.

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.9% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.4% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 5.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has 137 active public transport stops offering a mix of ferry and bus services. These are served by 51 routes, providing 8,014 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 159 meters to the nearest stop. The area is primarily residential, with most commuters travelling outward. Cars remain the dominant mode at 82%, while 8% use trains. Vehicle ownership averages 1.3 per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 50.3% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 1,144 trips per day, equating to approximately 58 weekly trips per stop. The map provided shows the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita shows excellent health outcomes based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Notably, younger cohorts have very low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 68% of the total population (16,076 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (7.3%) and asthma (5.4%). A total of 73.9% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly lower than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 23.6% (5,623 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 15.4%. While health outcomes among seniors are strong, they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has a high cultural diversity, with 36.4% of its population born overseas and 37.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita, accounting for 65.0%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (15.3%), Italian (14.5%), which is significantly higher than the regional average of 3.4%, and Australian (14.2%).

Notably, Lebanese ethnicity is overrepresented at 4.0% compared to the regional average of 2.6%. Korean ethnicity stands at 1.9%, above the regional average of 1.1%, and Spanish ethnicity is at 0.8%, slightly higher than the regional average of 0.6%.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 75-84 years are particularly prominent, making up 8.8% of the population, while those aged 25-34 years comprise only 10.4%. Between 2021 and present, the percentage of those aged 75-84 has grown from 6.8% to 8.8%, while those aged 15-24 have increased from 10.6% to 12.2%. Conversely, the proportion of those aged 25-34 has decreased from 11.9% to 10.4%, and those aged 5-14 have dropped from 11.3% to 9.9%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's age structure. The number of people aged 75-84 is projected to increase by 975 (47%) from 2,088 to 3,064. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 91% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Conversely, those aged 25-34 and 0-4 are expected to experience population declines.