Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita

Population growth drivers in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita's population was 23,806 as of November 2025, an increase of 693 people since the 2021 Census. The ABS estimated resident population in June 2024 was 23,786, with an additional 23 validated new addresses since then. This results in a density ratio of 3,766 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessment. Over the past decade, from 2015 to 2025, Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita showed resilient growth with a compound annual growth rate of 0.8%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration drove population growth, contributing approximately 83.4% of overall gains in recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, the area is expected to increase by 1,186 persons to 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 4.9% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita when compared nationally

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has seen approximately 110 dwellings granted development approval annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 550 homes received approval, with an additional 16 approved in FY-26 so far. On average, 0.5 new residents have arrived per new home each year over the past five financial years.

This indicates that new construction is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, providing more options for buyers and potentially driving population growth beyond current expectations. The average expected construction cost of new dwellings is $553,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment. In FY-26, commercial development approvals totaled $61.9 million, indicating strong local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has about three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks in the 66th percentile nationally when assessed areas are considered.

New developments consist of 48.0% detached houses and 52.0% attached dwellings, promoting higher-density living that creates more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. The area has approximately 219 people per dwelling approval, reflecting a low density market. By 2041, Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita is projected to grow by 1,166 residents (based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, offering favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 43 projects likely to affect the region. Notable projects include Sydney Metro West, Sydney Metro West - Trains, Systems and Depot, Public Transport Capacity: Parramatta Road and Victoria Road Corridors, and Bushells Factory Redevelopment. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has an educated workforce with professional services well-represented. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 2.7%.

The area's employment rate is 1.5% lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%, with similar workforce participation at 60.0%. Key sectors include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. Notably, rental, hiring & real estate services have a higher representation (1.9 times the regional level). Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing is under-represented with only 3.5% of the workforce compared to Greater Sydney's 5.3%.

Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment decreased by 0.5%, leading to a 0.6 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1% during this period. As of 25-November-25, NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita's employment mix suggests local employment growth of 7.1% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, though this is an illustrative extrapolation not accounting for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2022 shows median income in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita SA2 was $62,222 and average income was $92,073. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. By September 2025, estimated incomes are approximately $70,068 (median) and $103,683 (average), based on a 12.61% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. Census data from 2021 ranks household, family, and personal incomes in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita between the 83rd and 87th percentiles nationally. The predominant income cohort is 28.1% of locals (6,689 people) earning $1,500-$2,999 annually. Economic strength is evident with 40.3% of households having high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000. High housing costs consume 16.1% of income, but disposable income remains at the 86th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita, as per the latest Census data, 45.5% of dwellings were houses while 54.5% comprised semi-detached homes, apartments and other types. This differs from Sydney metro's figures of 37.8% houses and 62.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita stood at 40.5%, with mortgaged properties at 29.4% and rented ones at 30.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, aligning with Sydney metro's average, while the median weekly rent was $600 compared to Sydney metro's $3,000 and $560 respectively. Nationally, Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,000 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375 at $600.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.7% of all households, including 34.4% couples with children, 30.6% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 24.3%, with lone person households at 22.3% and group households making up 2.1%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has notable educational attainment, with 40.8% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to Australia's 30.4%. The area's Bachelor degree holders comprise 26.6%, postgraduate qualifications 11.1%, and graduate diplomas 3.1%. Vocational credentials are held by 28.1% of residents, including advanced diplomas (12.5%) and certificates (15.6%). Educational participation is high at 26.9%, with 8.4% in primary, 7.6% in secondary, and 5.9% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.4% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 5.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has 104 active public transport stops. These comprise a mix of ferry and bus services. There are 51 individual routes operating in total, collectively serving 6,803 weekly passenger trips.

The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing within 160 meters of the nearest stop. On average, there are 971 daily trips across all routes, translating to approximately 65 weekly trips per individual stop.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita. Both young and old age cohorts exhibit low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 67% of the total population (15,973 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.3 and 5.4% of residents respectively. A total of 73.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 76.3% across Greater Sydney. The area has 22.8% of residents aged 65 and over (5,434 people), which is higher than the 18.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has a high level of cultural diversity, with 36.4% of its population born overseas and 37.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita is Christianity, comprising 65.0% of the population, compared to 57.1% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (15.3%), Italian (14.5%), and Australian (14.2%).

Notably, Lebanese ethnicity is overrepresented at 4.0%, while Korean is underrepresented at 1.9%. Spanish ethnicity is equally represented at 0.8%.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 65-74 years make up 11.3% of the population, while those aged 25-34 years constitute 10.9%. From 2021 to present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 6.8% to 8.3%, and the 15-24 cohort has risen from 10.6% to 11.9%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has decreased from 11.3% to 10.2%, and the 25-34 age group has fallen from 11.9% to 10.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate that the 75-84 age cohort will rise significantly by 55% from 1,978 to 3,064 people. Notably, those aged 65 and above will account for 89% of total population growth in the area. Conversely, the 25-34 and 0-4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.