Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The population of Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita is approximately 23,804 as of August 2025. This figure represents an increase of 691 people, a 3.0% rise from the 2021 Census total of 23,113 residents. The growth was inferred using ABS estimated resident population data for June 2024 (23,786) and validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,766 persons per square kilometer, placing Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita in the upper quartile compared to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, from 2015 to 2025, Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita has shown consistent growth with a compound annual growth rate of 0.8%. This growth outpaces that of the broader SA3 area and is primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 83.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Based on these projections, Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita is expected to experience population growth just below the national median by 2041. The area is projected to gain an additional 1,186 persons by that year, representing a total increase of 4.9% over the 17-year period from 2025 to 2041.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita when compared nationally

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has received approximately 110 dwelling approvals annually. ABS data from financial years FY-21 to FY-25 shows 550 homes approved, with 5 more in FY-26 so far. On average, 0.5 new residents per year are associated with each dwelling constructed over the past five financial years. This indicates that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing buyers with increased options and potentially driving population growth beyond current projections.

The average cost of new homes being built is $740,000, suggesting developers focus on the premium market. Commercial approvals this year total $61.9 million, indicating strong local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has about three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks at the 66th percentile nationally for areas assessed. Approved developments consist of 48% standalone homes and 52% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a trend towards denser development that caters to downsizers, investors, and first-time buyers.

With around 219 people per approval, the area maintains low-density characteristics. By 2041, Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita is projected to grow by 1,168 residents. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, offering favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 46 projects that could impact this region. Notable projects include the Parramatta Road Urban Amenity Improvement Program, Sydney Metro West, Concord High School Major Upgrade, and Public Transport Capacity: Parramatta Road and Victoria Road Corridors. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has a highly educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 2.6% in June 2025, below Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment grew by 4.0% over the past year. Key sectors include health care & social assistance and professional & technical services. Rental, hiring & real estate is particularly strong at 1.9 times the regional level. Transport, postal & warehousing is under-represented at 3.5%.

Employment opportunities appear limited locally based on Census data. Over a year, employment increased by 4.0%, labour force by 4.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%. State-level data to Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41%, with an unemployment rate of 4.3%, compared to a national rate of 4.5% and national employment growth of 0.26%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita's mix suggests local growth of approximately 7.1% over five years and 14.3% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2022 shows median income in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita at $62,222 and average income at $92,073. This contrasts with Greater Sydney figures of median income $56,994 and average income $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% from financial year ending June 2022 to March 2025, estimated median income is approximately $68,818 and average income $101,833 as of March 2025. The 2021 Census data ranks household, family, and personal incomes in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita between the 83rd and 88th percentiles nationally. Predominant income cohort spans 28.1% (6,688 people) in $1,500 - 2,999 category. Economic strength emerges with 40.3% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000. High housing costs consume 16.1% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 86th percentile and SEIFA income ranking places area in the 9th decile.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita, as per the latest Census, comprised 45.5% houses and 54.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 37.8% houses and 62.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita stood at 40.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 29.4% and rented dwellings at 30.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, aligning with the Sydney metro average, while the median weekly rent was $600, compared to Sydney metro's $3,000 and $560 respectively. Nationally, Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.7% of all households, including 34.4% couples with children, 30.6% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 24.3%, with lone person households at 22.3% and group households comprising 2.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita's educational attainment significantly exceeds national averages. As of 2021, 40.8% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications compared to Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 26.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 28.1% of residents holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 12.5% and certificates at 15.6%.

Educational participation is high, with 26.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 8.4% in primary, 7.6% in secondary, and 5.9% in tertiary education. As of the 2020 census, Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita's five schools have a combined enrollment of 2,423 students. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions with an ICSEA score of 1089. Educational provision is balanced, serving distinct age groups with four primary and one secondary school.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has 104 active public transport stops. These include both ferry and bus services. There are 51 different routes operating across these stops, serving a total of 6,803 weekly passenger trips.

The average distance residents live from the nearest stop is 160 meters. Daily service frequency averages 971 trips across all routes, equating to approximately 65 weekly trips per individual stop.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis shows Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has strong health metrics across all ages. Both younger and older residents have low prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover is high at approximately 67% (15,972 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (7.3%) and asthma (5.4%). 73.9% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly lower than Greater Sydney's 76.3%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 22.8% (5,434 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 18.4%. Senior health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has a high cultural diversity, with 36.4% of its population born overseas and 37.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita, accounting for 65.0% of the population, compared to 57.1% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (15.3%), Italian (14.5%), and Australian (14.2%).

Notably, Lebanese (4.0%) and Korean (1.9%) ethnicities are overrepresented in Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita compared to regional averages of 2.2% and 2.7%, respectively. Spanish ethnicity is proportionally equal at 0.8%.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita is 43 years, higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows a prominence of those aged 65-74 at 11.3%, while the 25-34 group is relatively smaller at 10.9%. Between 2021 and present, the population aged 75 to 84 has grown from 6.8% to 8.3%, and the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 10.6% to 11.9%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group declined from 11.3% to 10.2%, and the 25 to 34 group dropped from 11.9% to 10.9%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's age structure. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to rise by 55%, from 1,978 people to 3,064. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 89% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Conversely, the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.