Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita

Population growth drivers in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's population was around 24,052 as of May 2026. This reflected an increase of 939 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 23,113 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 24,026 from the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 41 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equated to a density ratio of 3,805 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.7%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 87.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilised NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group were applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, lower quartile growth was anticipated nationally, with Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita expected to increase by 1,022 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 4.1% over the 16 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita when compared nationally

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has received approximately 110 dwelling approvals annually. Between FY21-FY25, around 550 homes were approved, with an additional 90 in FY26 to date. Over the past five financial years, an average of 0.5 new residents per year have arrived per new home.

This suggests that new construction is keeping pace with demand and offering more options for buyers while enabling population growth. The average development value stands at $553,000, indicating a focus on premium market properties. In FY26, commercial development approvals totalled $61.9 million, reflecting strong local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks in the 66th percentile nationally when assessed areas are considered.

New developments consist of approximately 48% detached houses and 52% attached dwellings, favouring higher-density living which can provide more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. The area has around 219 people per dwelling approval, indicating a relatively low density market. Looking ahead, AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita to grow by approximately 996 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, presenting good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure projects and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 44 such projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable among these are Public Transport Capacity: Parramatta Road and Victoria Road Corridors, Bushells Factory Redevelopment, Concord High School Major Upgrade, and Concord Hospital Redevelopment Stage 1. The following list provides details on those considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita had an unemployment rate of 2.6% as of December 2025, with 12,992 residents employed. This rate was 1.6% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in the area was 64.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%.

According to Census responses, 50.3% of residents worked from home. The dominant employment sectors were health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training. The area showed strong specialization in rental, hiring & real estate services, with an employment share 1.9 times the regional level. However, transport, postal & warehousing was under-represented, at 3.5% compared to Greater Sydney's 5.3%.

Between December 2024 and December 2025, the labour force decreased by 1.9%, employment decreased by 2.2%, leading to an unemployment rate rise of 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.3% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita SA2 has one of the highest incomes in Australia. The median income is $64,967 and the average income is $93,495. In comparison, Greater Sydney's median income is $60,817 and average income is $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita SA2 would be approximately $71,672 (median) and $103,144 (average) as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita SA2 rank highly nationally, between the 83rd and 87th percentiles. The predominant income cohort is 28.1% (6,758 people) earning $1,500 to $2,999 per week, similar to the broader metropolitan region's 30.9%. Economic strength is evident with 40.3% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 16.1% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 86th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita, as per the latest Census data, consisted of 45.5% houses and 54.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metropolitan area's figures of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita stood at 40.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 29.4% and rented ones at 30.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,000, higher than Sydney metropolitan average of $2,427. Median weekly rent was recorded at $600, compared to Sydney's $470. Nationally, Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.7% of all households, including 34.4% couples with children, 30.6% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 24.3%, with lone person households at 22.3% and group households comprising 2.1%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita exceeds national averages. As of 2016, 40.8% of residents aged 15+ held university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees were the most common at 26.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials were also prominent, with 28.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas accounted for 12.5% and certificates for 15.6%.

Educational participation was high, with 26.9% of residents enrolled in formal education as of 2016. This included 8.4% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 5.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has 137 active public transport stops offering a mix of ferry and bus services. These are covered by 51 individual routes that facilitate 8,014 weekly passenger trips in total. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing just 159 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential zone, most inhabitants commute outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation for 82% of residents, while 8% use trains. On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 50.3% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 1,144 trips daily across all routes, equating to roughly 58 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centerpoint.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita demonstrates excellent health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 68% of the total population (16,235 people) has private health cover, compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.3% and 5.4% of residents respectively. A total of 73.9% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 23.4% (5,628 people), compared to 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are strong and align with national rankings for the general population.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has a high cultural diversity, with 36.4% of its population born overseas and 37.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita, composing 65.0%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (15.3%), Italian (14.5%), and Australian (14.2%).

Notably, Lebanese (4.0%) is overrepresented in Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita compared to the regional average of 2.6%. Similarly, Korean (1.9%) and Spanish (0.8%) are also overrepresented compared to their respective regional averages of 1.1% and 0.6%.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 75-84 years are prominent at 8.6%, while the 25-34 year-olds make up a smaller percentage at 10.8% compared to Greater Sydney. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 year-old group has increased from 10.6% to 12.4%, and the 75-84 year-old cohort has risen from 6.8% to 8.6%. Conversely, the 5-14 year-old group has declined from 11.3% to 9.8%, and the 25-34 year-old group has decreased from 11.9% to 10.8%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections show that the 75-84 year-old cohort is expected to increase by 945 people (46%), from 2,058 to 3,004. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 92% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. However, the 15-24 year-old and 25-34 year-old cohorts are projected to experience population declines.