Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's population was around 23,806 as of Nov 2025. This showed an increase of 693 people (3.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 23,113 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 23,786 in June 2024 and an additional 23 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a population density ratio of 3,766 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita had a compound annual growth rate of 0.8%, outpacing the SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 83.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilised NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations were applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of national areas was expected. The area was projected to increase by 1,186 persons to 2041 based on the latest population numbers, with an increase of 4.9% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita when compared nationally

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has seen approximately 110 dwellings granted development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 550 homes were approved, with an additional 10 approved so far in FY26. On average, 0.5 new residents have arrived per year for each new home built between FY21 and FY25.

This pace of construction matches or exceeds demand, providing more options for buyers and potentially driving population growth beyond current projections. The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $553,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment. In FY26, commercial development approvals totalled $61.9 million, suggesting strong local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks in the 66th percentile nationally when assessed by area.

New development consists of 48% detached houses and 52% attached dwellings, promoting higher-density living which can offer more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. The area has approximately 219 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. Looking forward to 2041, Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita is projected to gain 1,166 new residents. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 43 projects likely affecting the area. Notable projects include Sydney Metro West, Sydney Metro West - Trains, Systems and Depot, Concord High School Major Upgrade, and Public Transport Capacity: Parramatta Road and Victoria Road Corridors. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Unemployment rate was 2.6% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 4%.

As of June 2025, 13,546 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.6%, below Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation was similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. The area specializes in rental, hiring & real estate, with an employment share of 1.9 times the regional level.

Transport, postal & warehousing employed just 3.5% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 5.3%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 4.0%, labour force by 4.3%, raising unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In Greater Sydney, employment grew by 2.6%, labour force expanded by 2.9%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 7.1% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has a median taxpayer income of $62,222 and an average of $92,073 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is notably higher than Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. By September 2025, based on a Wage Price Index growth of 12.61%, estimated incomes would be approximately $70,068 (median) and $103,683 (average). Census 2021 income data places Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita's household, family, and personal incomes between the 83rd and 88th percentiles nationally. The predominant earnings cohort is 28.1% of locals earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly. Notably, 40.3% earn above $3,000 weekly. Housing costs consume 16.1% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 86th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita, as per the latest Census, consisted of 45.5% houses and 54.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 37.8% houses and 62.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita stood at 40.5%, with the rest being mortgaged (29.4%) or rented (30.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, aligning with Sydney metro's average. Median weekly rent was $600, compared to Sydney metro's $3,000 and $560 respectively. Nationally, Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 75.7% of all households, including 34.4% couples with children, 30.6% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 24.3%, with lone person households at 22.3% and group households comprising 2.1%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita exceeds national averages. As of 2021, 40.8% of residents aged 15 and above have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 26.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 28.1% of residents holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 12.5% and certificates at 15.6%.

Educational participation is high, with 26.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.4% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 5.9% pursuing tertiary education. As of the 2020 census, Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has a total of 2,423 students across its five schools. The area's socio-educational conditions are above average, with an ICSEA score of 1089. Educational provision is balanced, with four primary and one secondary school serving distinct age groups.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has 104 active public transport stops. These include both ferry and bus services. A total of 51 routes operate in the area, serving 6,803 weekly passenger trips combined.

Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 160 meters to the nearest stop. Daily service frequency averages 971 trips across all routes, translating to around 65 weekly trips per individual stop.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita. Both young and old age cohorts have low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 67% of the total population (15,973 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.3 and 5.4% of residents respectively. 73.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 76.3% across Greater Sydney. The area has 22.8% of residents aged 65 and over (5,434 people), which is higher than the 18.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has high cultural diversity, with 36.4% of its population born overseas and 37.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita, comprising 65.0%, compared to 57.1% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (15.3%), Italian (14.5%), and Australian (14.2%).

Notably, Lebanese ethnicity is overrepresented at 4.0% in Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita, while Korean is at 1.9%, and Spanish remains similar at 0.8%.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that individuals aged 65-74 years make up 11.3% of the population, while those aged 25-34 years comprise 10.9%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 6.8% to 8.3%, and the 15 to 24 cohort has risen from 10.6% to 11.9%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group has decreased from 11.3% to 10.2%, and the 25 to 34 age group has fallen from 11.9% to 10.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate that the 75 to 84 age cohort will rise by 1,085 people (55%), from 1,978 to 3,064. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 89% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 age cohorts are projected to experience population declines.