Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita

Population growth drivers in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's population was around 23,806 as of Nov 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 693 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 23,113. The change is inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 23,786 in June 2024 and 23 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,766 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, from 2015 to 2025, Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita has shown resilient growth with a compound annual growth rate of 0.8%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 83.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of national areas is expected. The area is projected to increase by 1,186 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 4.9% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita when compared nationally

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has seen approximately 110 dwellings granted development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 550 homes received approval, with an additional 10 approved so far in FY-26. On average, each new home attracted 0.5 new residents per year over this period.

This pace of construction is keeping up with or exceeding demand, presenting more options for buyers and potentially driving population growth beyond current projections. The average construction value of these dwellings was $740,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment. In FY-26 alone, commercial development approvals totaled $61.9 million, suggesting significant local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has about three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks in the 66th percentile nationally when assessed areas are considered.

The area's new developments consist of 48% detached houses and 52% attached dwellings, promoting higher-density living which can provide more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. With approximately 219 people per dwelling approval, Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita maintains a low-density market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the area is projected to grow by 1,166 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, creating favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 43 projects that could impact the area. Notable projects include Sydney Metro West, Sydney Metro West - Trains, Systems and Depot, Public Transport Capacity: Parramatta Road and Victoria Road Corridors, and Bushells Factory Redevelopment. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has a highly educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 2.6% as of June 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.0%. As of June 2025, 13,546 residents were in work, with an unemployment rate of 1.6%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training.

The area shows strong specialization in rental, hiring & real estate services, with an employment share of 1.9 times the regional level. Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing employs only 3.5% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 5.3%. Employment levels increased by 4.0% and labour force increased by 4.3% during the year to June 2025, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.3% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The median taxpayer income for Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita SA2 is $62,222 and the average is $92,073 according to AreaSearch's aggregation of postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022. This is notably higher than Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. Based on a 12.61% increase in wages from financial year 2022 to September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $70,068 (median) and $103,683 (average). Census data from 2021 shows that household, family, and personal incomes all rank highly in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita, between the 83rd and 87th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile indicates that 28.1% of locals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, with a significant 40.3% earning above $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 16.1% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 86th percentile, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita, as per the latest Census, houses constituted 45.5% of dwellings while other types such as semi-detached, apartments, and 'other' dwellings made up 54.5%. In comparison, Sydney metropolitan area had 37.8% houses and 62.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita stood at 40.5%, with mortgaged properties at 29.4% and rented ones at 30.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, aligning with the Sydney metro average, while median weekly rent was $600 compared to Sydney's $3,000 and $560 respectively. Nationally, Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863, and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.7% of all households, consisting of 34.4% couples with children, 30.6% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 24.3%, with lone person households at 22.3% and group households comprising 2.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita exceeds national averages significantly. As of 2016, 40.8% of residents aged 15 and above held university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4%. University graduates comprised 26.6%, postgraduate qualifications were at 11.1%, and graduate diplomas stood at 3.1%. Vocational credentials were prominent with 28.1% of residents aged 15 and above holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.5%) and certificates (15.6%).

Educational participation was notably high in the area, with 26.9% of residents enrolled in formal education as of 2016. This included 8.4% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 5.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has 104 active public transport stops. These are a mix of ferry and bus services. There are 51 individual routes operating in total.

Collectively, these provide 6,803 weekly passenger trips. Residents have excellent transport accessibility; they are typically located 160 meters from the nearest stop. On average, there are 971 daily trips across all routes, which equates to approximately 65 weekly trips per individual stop.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita. Both young and old age cohorts exhibit low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 67% of the total population (15,973 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.3 and 5.4% of residents respectively. A total of 73.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 76.3% across Greater Sydney. The area has 22.8% of residents aged 65 and over (5,434 people), which is higher than the 18.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita has a high level of cultural diversity, with 36.4% of its population born overseas and 37.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Concord-Mortlake-Cabarita, making up 65.0% of the population, compared to 57.1% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (15.3%), Italian (14.5%), and Australian (14.2%).

Notably, Lebanese people are overrepresented at 4.0%, compared to the regional average of 2.2%. Korean people also have a higher representation at 1.9% versus 2.7%, while Spanish people show no significant divergence from the regional average at 0.8%.

Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that individuals aged 65-74 years make up 11.3% of the population, while those aged 25-34 years comprise 10.9%. From 2021 to present, the 75-84 year-old group has grown from 6.8% to 8.3%, and the 15-24 year-old cohort increased from 10.6% to 11.9%. Conversely, the 5-14 year-old group declined from 11.3% to 10.2%, and the 25-34 year-old group dropped from 11.9% to 10.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Concord - Mortlake - Cabarita's age structure. The 75-84 year-old cohort is projected to rise by 55%, from 1,978 to 3,064 people. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 89% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 25-34 year-old and 0-4 year-old cohorts are expected to experience population declines.