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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Warragamba is $800k, with units at $410k. House values have moved 3.9% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Warragamba has an estimated 2,070 residents, up from 1,202 at the 2021 Census — a change of 868 people, or 72.2%. Growth has averaged 4.6% a year over five years, faster than 98% of areas nationally. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 72.0% of that increase. That puts 402 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of February 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Warragamba is around 2,070. This figure reflects an increase of 868 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,202. The growth was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 1,531 in June 2024, along with one validated new address since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 401 persons per square kilometer. Warragamba's population growth of 72.2% since the 2021 Census exceeded both the SA4 region (6.5%) and the state average.
Interstate migration contributed approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch projections for Warragamba, based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a 2022 base year, indicate an above median population growth is projected until 2041. By then, the suburb's population is expected to increase by 298 persons, reflecting a reduction of 11.6% over the 17-year period.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
129 new dwellings have been approved in Warragamba over the past five years, an average of 25 a year. That places the area in the 74th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 12 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 30 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 100% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 20, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Warragamba has seen approximately 25 residential properties granted approval annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 129 homes were approved, with a further 12 approved in FY-26 to date. On average, about 2.6 people have moved to the area per new home constructed over these past five financial years, indicating steady demand that supports property values. The average construction value of new homes is $429,000, which is moderately above regional levels and suggests an emphasis on quality construction. This year, there have been $993,000 in commercial approvals, indicating minimal commercial development activity compared to residential.
When compared to Greater Sydney, Warragamba shows 240.0% higher construction activity per person, offering buyers greater choice but with recent easing of construction activity. This is significantly above the national average, suggesting robust developer interest in the area. Recent development has been entirely comprised of detached houses, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 102 people per dwelling approval, Warragamba exhibits characteristics of a growth area. However, with population expected to remain stable or decline, pressure on housing is likely to reduce, potentially creating opportunities for buyers in the future.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Warragamba
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 2 current infrastructure and development projects inside Warragamba. A further 54 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $26 billion. 22 are already under construction and 18 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans transport & logistics, communities, precincts & urban renewal and residential development. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. One major project has been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting this area. Key projects include Warragamba Dam Raising Project, West Link Business Park, Western Sydney Pumped Hydro Project, and South West Growth Area. The following details those likely to be most relevant.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Warragamba Dam Raising Project
A proposed project to raise the Warragamba Dam wall by 14m to increase temporary storage capacity for flood mitigation in the Hawkesbury-Nepean Valley. The project has faced significant public and environmental scrutiny, and its status on the NSW Planning Portal is 'Withdrawn', though it was previously declared a Critical State Significant Infrastructure project. Opponents argue it would facilitate development on flood-prone land and impact the Greater Blue Mountains World Heritage Area and Indigenous heritage sites.
Western Sydney Pumped Hydro Project
A proposed 1-gigawatt (GW) pumped hydro energy storage project by ZEN Energy, located on a retired coal industry site near Lake Burragorang. This project aims to provide up to eight continuous hours of 'firming' energy, essential for stabilizing NSW's electricity grid. It is expected to power 500,000 homes and create 1,500 construction jobs, with operations potentially beginning by 2031 if approvals are secured. ZEN Energy's Western Sydney Pumped Hydro aims to repurpose a disused coal washery site near Lake Burragorang, 24 km upstream from Warragamba Dam, with a one-gigawatt / eight-gigawatt-hour capacity.
Badgerys Creek Fire Station
A new fire station on Adams Road in Luddenham, crucial for supporting key routes to and from the Western Sydney International Airport and the broader South Western Sydney road network.
Luddenham Village Revitalisation Plan (Interim Strategy)
An interim strategy to guide the revitalisation of Luddenham town centre, aiming to create an activated and vibrant local centre within the Agribusiness Precinct. The final plan will be developed through ongoing consultation.
Luddenham Resource Recovery Facility
Construction and operation of a facility capable of processing up to 600,000 tonnes of construction, demolition, commercial, and industrial waste annually.
Barings Luddenham Industrial Park
A 19.4-hectare state significant development (SSD-48438209) delivering approximately 70,000 sqm of premium industrial warehousing and corporate office accommodation across seven buildings at the Western Sydney Aerotropolis. Facility sizes range from 1,000 to 30,000 sqm across three lots. Approved 28 April 2025, with construction commencing mid-2025 and leasing available from Q3 2026. Located less than 2km from Western Sydney International Airport (Nancy-Bird Walton), adjacent to the Northern Road and Elizabeth Drive intersection, serving logistics, agribusiness and advanced manufacturing sectors.The development includes an onsite cafe, open landscape areas, stormwater infrastructure and estate-wide landscaping.
Western Sydney Airport Business Park
Western Sydney Airport business park features warehouses, offices, retail, hotel with 154 rooms, conference facilities, and commercial offices as part of the Aerotropolis project, aimed at supporting industries, logistics, and retail businesses.
Everdene (Glenmore Park Stage 3)
A major $1.2 billion masterplanned community by Mirvac, marketed as Everdene. Located on a 206-hectare site south of the existing Glenmore Park suburb, the project will deliver approximately 2,300 homes, including a mix of low and medium-density dwellings. Key features include a local village centre with shop-top housing, a future government primary school, sports fields, and over 79 hectares of conservation land and open space.
773 residents of Warragamba are employed, from a labour force of 796. Unemployment sits at 2.9%, with participation at 64.0%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.1% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 1,752, about 85% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Warragamba has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, notable in construction. Its unemployment rate is 2.9%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. As of December 2025773 residents are employed at an unemployment rate of 1.3% below Greater Sydney's. Workforce participation lags at 64.0%. Census data shows 20.8% work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Leading industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing. Construction is particularly prominent with an employment share 2.3 times the regional level. However, professional & technical jobs are under-represented at 2.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%.
Local employment opportunities appear limited as Census working population outnumbers residents. Between December 2024 and December 2025, Warragamba's labour force decreased by 4.3% alongside a 4.4% employment decline, raising the unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.2%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Warragamba's industry mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Warragamba is $1,548 a week (about $80,000 a year), with median personal income at $866 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $55,298 a year against an average of $62,268. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released on 2nd June 2023, Warragamba had a median income among taxpayers of $55,298 with an average level of $62,268. This is lower than the national average and compares to levels of $60,817 and $83,003 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $60,197 (median) and $67,785 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals personal income ranks at the 61st percentile ($866 weekly), while household income sits at the 38th percentile.
Income brackets indicate that 37.7% of locals (780 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, aligning with regional trends where this cohort also represents 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 81.7% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 36th percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Warragamba had 466 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 99% detached houses and 0% apartments. 50% are owned with a mortgage, 20% rented and 30% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $380 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,784 a month. Rent absorbs 24.5% of household income here and mortgage repayments 26.6%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Warragamba's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, were 99.3% houses and 0.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Sydney metro's structure of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warragamba was 29.8%, similar to Sydney metro's level, with mortgaged dwellings at 50.0% and rented ones at 20.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,784, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure in Warragamba was $380, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Warragamba's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Warragamba counted 466 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 803 today, averaging 2.5 people each. 29% are couples with children, against 22% couples without children. 28% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households account for 69.3% of all households, including 28.6% couples with children, 21.9% couples without children, and 16.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 30.7%, with lone person households at 28.4% and group households making up 2.3%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
9.3% of adults in Warragamba hold a university qualification, including 5.9% with a bachelor degree and 1.5% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 86% of areas nationally. A further 38.2% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 422 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 954 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The area's university qualification rate is 9.3%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 5.9%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.9%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 45.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (7.3%) and certificates (38.2%). A total of 24.3% of the population is actively engaged in formal education, with 10.6% in primary, 6.0% in secondary, and 1.4% in tertiary education. A substantial 24.3% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 6.0% in secondary education, and 1.4% pursuing tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Warragamba reaches 17 stops on 13 routes, timetabled for about 230 services a week. The typical home sits about 150 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.5 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Warragamba has 17 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 13 different routes that together facilitate 226 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents on average located just 149 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential region, most residents commute outwards, primarily by car (92%). On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, 20.8% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.
The service frequency averages 32 trips per day across all routes, equating to about 13 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
66.4% of residents in Warragamba report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 85% of areas nationally. 5.7% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.6% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.8 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Warragamba faces significant health challenges according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are substantial across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 52% of the total population (~1,067 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, affecting 9.5% and 8.9% of residents respectively. However, 66.4% of residents claim to be completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates.
The area has 10.6% of residents aged 65 and over (219 people), lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with national rankings.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Warragamba is largely Australian-born, at 90.2% of residents, with 5.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (32.9%) and English (28.5%). 6.1% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Warragamba's population showed low cultural diversity, with 90.2% born in Australia and 93.3% being citizens. English was the primary language spoken at home by 94.7%. Christianity dominated as the main religion, comprising 53.4%. Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's 0.8%. Ancestry-wise, Australian (32.9%), English (28.5%), and Irish (8.5%) were the top groups, significantly higher than regional averages of 17.8%, 19.0%, and 4.2% respectively. Hungarian (0.6%), Maltese (2.1%), and Australian Aboriginal (6.1%) groups also showed notable divergences from regional representations.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Warragamba is 32, younger than 82% of areas nationally. That is 2 years younger than at the 2021 Census. 32.7% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Warragamba's median age is 32 years, which is younger than the Greater Sydney average of 37 years and significantly lower than the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Warragamba has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (23.0%) but fewer residents aged 15-24 (9.7%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is well above the national average of 14.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows that younger residents have shifted the median age down by 2.4 years to 32 years. Key changes include the growth of the 35 to 44 age group from 11.5% to 18.3%, and the increase of the 25 to 34 cohort from 18.2% to 23.0%.
Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 12.7% to 9.0%, and the 55 to 64 group has dropped from 13.1% to 10.5%. Demographic modeling suggests that Warragamba's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041, with the 85+ cohort showing the strongest projected growth at 331%, adding 89 residents to reach 116. This demographic aging continues as residents aged 65 and older represent 100% of anticipated growth. In contrast, both the 45 to 54 and 55 to 64 age groups will see reduced numbers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Warragamba
8 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 8 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2024 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 3 sections | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jul 2025 about a year ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jul 2025. | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2024 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 1 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Feb 2026, not a 2021 count (1,198 at the 2021 Census → 2,070 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Feb 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL14176). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.