Shailer Park

An assessment of population growth drivers in Shailer Park reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the population of the Shailer Park statistical area (Lv2) is estimated at around 12,710 people. This reflects an increase from the 2021 Census figure of 12,182 people, a rise of 528 individuals or approximately 4.3%. The current population estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and analysis of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, which resulted in an estimated resident population of 12,699 people plus an additional 32 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,576 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The primary driver for this growth was overseas migration, contributing approximately 53% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are used. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data for each age cohort when utilising them. Looking ahead, demographic trends indicate a decline in overall population over this period. According to these projections, the Shailer Park (SA2) population is expected to reduce by 137 persons by 2041. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, notably the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to grow by 387 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Shailer Park according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Shailer Park shows an average of around 27 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 138 homes. As of FY-26 so far, 5 approvals have been recorded. Each new home constructed in the area between FY-21 and FY-25 has attracted an average of 3 people, reflecting robust demand for housing. The average construction cost value of these new homes is $367,000.

In FY-26, commercial approvals totalling $40.9 million have been registered, indicating strong local business investment. Building activity in the area consists of 88.0% detached houses and 12.0% medium to high-density housing, maintaining Shailer Park's traditional suburban character focused on family homes.

With approximately 1101 people per approval, Shailer Park is a mature, established area with an expected stable or declining population, potentially reducing pressure on housing and creating opportunities for buyers.

Shailer Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

AreaSearch identified seven projects likely to impact the area, with key ones being INNOVA Shailer Park, Daisy Hill Estate by Mirvac, Hyperdome Redevelopment in Loganholme, and River Gardens Estate - Stage 3 & 4. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Shailer Park performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Shailer Park has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 1.7% as of September 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.3%. This is based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, 7,716 residents were in work. The unemployment rate was 2.3% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation was 70.4%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Shailer Park has a particular employment specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level. Health care & social assistance had limited presence, with 13.7% employment compared to 16.1% regionally. Employment opportunities appear limited locally, indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 2.3%, while labour force increased by 1.8%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.5 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 3.8% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with unemployment falling 0.5 percentage points. As of 25-Nov-25, Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01%, losing 1,210 jobs. The state unemployment rate was 4.2%, broadly in line with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Shailer Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023. Shailer Park's median income among taxpayers was $57,369, with an average of $66,116. This is below the national average. Greater Brisbane had a median of $58,236 and an average of $72,799. By September 2025, estimates suggest Shailer Park's median income would be approximately $63,054 and average $72,668, based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Shailer Park cluster around the 74th percentile nationally. Distribution data shows that 35.2% of locals (4,473 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly. This is similar to surrounding regions where 33.3% fall into this range. Economic strength is evident with 32.2% of households earning over $3,000 weekly, supporting high consumer spending. Housing accounts for 14.4% of income. Shailer Park residents rank in the 80th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Shailer Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile

Shailer Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.9% houses and 10.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Home ownership in Shailer Park stood at 28.1%, with 52.3% of dwellings mortgaged and 19.6% rented. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,993, while the median weekly rent was $410. Nationally, Shailer Park's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, whereas rents surpassed the national figure of $375.

Shailer Park features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 2.9 people

Family households account for 83.2% of all households, including 42.0% couples with children, 29.6% couples without children, and 10.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.8%, with lone person households at 14.7% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people.

Educational attainment in Shailer Park aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 25.0% for residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA4 region average of 16.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 17.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 39.3% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 11.9% and certificates at 27.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.1% in primary education, 8.4% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows that Shailer Park has 59 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 17 different routes, together offering 3,142 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport is rated as good, with residents on average being located 308 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 448 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 53 weekly trips per individual stop.

Shailer Park's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows Shailer Park residents have relatively positive health outcomes.

Prevalence of common health conditions is low across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover rate is approximately 53% of the total population (~6,787 people), slightly higher than the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions are asthma (8.1%) and mental health issues (8.0%). Around 70.3% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 0% across Greater Brisbane. About 16.5% of residents are aged 65 and over (2,097 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Shailer Park was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Shailer Park has a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 14.6% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 29.4% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Shailer Park, accounting for 50.6% of its population. Judaism, however, is overrepresented, comprising 0.1% compared to none across Greater Brisbane.

The top three ancestry groups are English (28.5%), Australian (23.7%), and Other (8.6%). Notably, New Zealand (1.4%), Maori (1.7%), and South African (1.0%) ethnicities are overrepresented in Shailer Park compared to none regionally.

Shailer Park's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Shailer Park is 39 years, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years but close to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Shailer Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (10.3%) and fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.0%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 75-84 has increased from 3.3% to 5.1%, while the proportion of those aged 25-34 has decreased from 11.7% to 10.0%. By 2041, Shailer Park's age composition is expected to change significantly. The number of residents aged 75-84 is projected to grow by 53%, reaching 993 from 648. This growth will be led by the demographic shift in the 75-84 age group, with those aged 65 and above comprising 74% of the projected population growth. Conversely, declines are expected in the populations aged 15-24 and 0-4 years.