Shailer Park

An assessment of population growth drivers in Shailer Park reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, the estimated population of Shailer Park as of May 2026 is around 12,781. This reflects an increase of 599 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,182 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 12,770 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 39 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,585 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 53.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. Projections indicate a decline in overall population by 214 persons by 2041, with growth anticipated across specific age cohorts led by the 75 to 84 age group projected to grow by 332 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Shailer Park according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis indicates Shailer Park averaged around 27 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 138 homes from FY-20 to FY-25. As of FY-26, 10 approvals have been recorded. On average, 2.8 people moved to the area per new home constructed between FY-21 and FY-25, reflecting strong demand that supports property values.

New homes are being built at an average construction cost value of $367,000. In FY-26, $40.9 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting robust local business investment.

Building activity shows 88.0% detached houses and 12.0% medium to high-density housing, maintaining Shailer Park's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes. With around 1101 people per approval, the area demonstrates maturity and established status. Population is expected to remain stable or decline, potentially reducing pressure on housing and creating opportunities for buyers.

Shailer Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified eight projects that are expected to impact this particular area. Notable among these are the M1 Pacific Motorway Upgrade from Daisy Hill to Logan Motorway, INNOVA Shailer Park, Daisy Hill Estate - Mirvac, and Hyperdome Redevelopment at Loganholme. The following list details those projects deemed most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Shailer Park performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Shailer Park has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate is 1.8%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data as of December 2025. There are 7,561 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.4% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%.

Workforce participation stands at 74.2%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 69.6%. A moderate 17.5% of residents work from home, considering Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. The area specializes in construction, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

However, health care & social assistance has limited presence at 13.7% compared to the regional 16.1%. The predominantly residential area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census working population vs resident population counts. Over the 12 months to December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 1.7%, with employment decreasing by 1.5%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane experienced employment growth of 3.2% and labour force growth of 3.0%, with a 0.1 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Shailer Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Shailer Park's median income among taxpayers is $57,369 and average is $66,116. This is below the national average. Greater Brisbane has a median of $58,236 and an average of $72,799. By March 2026, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth suggest median income will be approximately $63,886 and average will be $73,627. The 2021 Census shows incomes in Shailer Park cluster around the 74th percentile nationally. Distribution data reveals 35.2% of locals (4,498 people) earn between $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, similar to surrounding regions at 33.3%. Strong earnings are evident with 32.2% of households earning over $3,000 weekly, supporting high consumer spending. Housing accounts for 14.4% of income and residents rank in the 80th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Shailer Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Shailer Park's dwelling structure at the latest Census comprised 89.9% houses and 10.1% other dwellings. In comparison, Brisbane metro had 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Shailer Park was 28.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 52.3% and rented ones at 19.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,993, higher than Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $410 compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Shailer Park's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were above the national figure of $375.

Shailer Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.2% of all households, including 42.0% couples with children, 29.6% couples without children, and 10.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.8%, with lone person households at 14.7% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Shailer Park aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 25.0%, surpassing the SA4 region average of 16.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 17.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 39.3% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 11.9% and certificates at 27.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.6% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.1% in primary education, 8.4% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 59 active stops operating within Shailer Park. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totalling 17 individual ones. They facilitate 3,142 weekly passenger trips combined. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 308 metres from the nearest stop. In this primarily residential area, outward commuting dominates, with car being the primary mode at 91%, and bus at 5%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 17.5% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 448 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 53 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Shailer Park is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Shailer Park shows better-than-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both younger and older age groups have low prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover is higher than the average SA2 area at approximately 53% of the total population (~6,825 people), compared to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (8.1%) and mental health issues (8.0%). 70.3% of residents report being completely free of medical ailments, compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among working-age individuals are typical. As of the 2016 Census, 17.2% of Shailer Park's population is aged 65 and over (2,198 people), higher than Greater Brisbane's 15.1%. Senior health outcomes are above average, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Shailer Park was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Shailer Park has a higher cultural diversity compared to most local markets, with 14.6% of its population speaking languages other than English at home and 29.4% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Shailer Park, accounting for 50.6% of the population. Notably, Judaism comprises 0.1% of Shailer Park's population, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (28.5%), Australian (23.7%), and Other (8.6%). Some ethnic groups show significant differences: New Zealanders make up 1.4%, Maori 1.7%, and South Australians 1.0%, all higher than their respective regional percentages of 1.0%, 1.1%, and 0.6%.

Shailer Park's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Shailer Park is 39 years, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years and close to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Shailer Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (10.6%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.1%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 75 to 84 has grown from 3.3% to 5.3%, while the proportion of those aged 25 to 34 has decreased from 11.7% to 10.1%. The percentage of residents aged 55 to 64 has also dropped, from 13.0% to 11.7%. By 2041, Shailer Park's age composition is expected to change significantly. Notably, the number of people aged 75 to 84 is projected to grow by 42%, reaching 963 from 677. This growth will be led by those aged 65 and above, who are expected to comprise 73% of the population increase. Conversely, declines in population are projected for those aged 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 years old.