Shailer Park

An assessment of population growth drivers in Shailer Park reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Shailer Park is around 12,706, reflecting an increase of 524 people since the 2021 Census. The ABS ERP estimate for surrounding areas applied to Shailer Park by AreaSearch in June 2024 was 12,701, with an additional 32 validated new addresses contributing to this population figure. This results in a density ratio of 1,576 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 53.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 based on 2021 data are used. However, these state projections lack age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 and based on 2022 data for each age cohort. Looking ahead, population trends indicate a decline overall by 2041, with the suburb's population expected to reduce by 138 persons. However, growth is anticipated within specific age cohorts, notably the 75 to 84 age group projected to grow by 387 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Shailer Park according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Shailer Park averaged around 27 new dwelling approvals each year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 138 homes. So far in FY-26, 5 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years (FY-21 to FY-25), an average of 3 people moved to the area per new home constructed, reflecting robust demand that underpins property values.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $367,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY-26, there have been $40.9 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating high levels of local commercial activity.

New building activity shows 88.0% detached houses and 12.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 1101 people per approval, Shailer Park shows a mature, established area. Population projections indicate stability or decline, which should reduce housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Shailer Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects potentially affecting this region. Notable ones are INNOVA Shailer Park, Daisy Hill Estate by Mirvac, Hyperdome Redevelopment at Loganholme, and River Gardens Estate - Stages 3 & 4. The following details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Shailer Park performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Shailer Park has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 1.7% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 5.1%.

As of June 2025, 8,048 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 2.4% lower than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation is higher at 70.4%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. The area specializes in construction, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

However, health care & social assistance has limited presence at 13.7% compared to the regional average of 16.1%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. In the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 5.1%, while labour force grew by 4.8%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 4.4% and a reduction in unemployment of 0.4 percentage points during this period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Shailer Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022. Shailer Park's median income among taxpayers was $57,370 with an average of $66,117. This is slightly above the national average and compares to Greater Brisbane's median of $55,645 and average of $70,520. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, estimates as of September 2025 would be approximately $65,396 (median) and $75,367 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Shailer Park cluster around the 74th percentile nationally. Distribution data shows that 35.2% of locals (4,472 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category. This is similar to the surrounding region where 33.3% occupy this range. Economic strength is evident with 32.2% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 14.4% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 80th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Shailer Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Shailer Park, as per the latest Census data, consisted of 89.9% houses and 10.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In Brisbane metro, there were no semi-detached or apartment dwellings recorded at that time. Home ownership in Shailer Park was 28.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 52.3% and rented dwellings at 19.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,993, aligning with Brisbane metro's figure. The median weekly rent in Shailer Park was $410, whereas no figures were available for Brisbane metro at that time. Nationally, Shailer Park's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, and rents surpassed the national figure of $375.

Shailer Park features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 2.9 people

Family households comprise 83.2% of all households, including 42.0% couples with children, 29.6% couples without children, and 10.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.8%, with lone person households at 14.7% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people.

Educational attainment in Shailer Park aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The educational profile of the area stands out regionally with university qualification rates at 25.0% for residents aged 15+, exceeding the SA4 region average of 16.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 17.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 39.3% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 11.9% and certificates at 27.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.1% in primary, 8.4% in secondary, and 4.9% in tertiary education. The area's four schools have a combined enrollment of 2,183 students, serving both local and surrounding communities with an ICSEA score of 1010. Educational provision is split between two primary and two secondary institutions, with 17.1 school places per 100 residents.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The transport analysis indicates 59 active stops operating within Shailer Park, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 19 different routes, collectively facilitating 3094 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of public transport is rated as good, with residents typically located 308 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 442 daily trips across all routes, equating to approximately 52 weekly trips per individual stop.

Shailer Park's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows relatively positive results for Shailer Park residents.

Prevalence of common health conditions is low across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 53% (~6,785 people) have private health cover. The most common medical conditions are asthma (8.1%) and mental health issues (8.0%). About 70.3% report no medical ailments, compared to 0% in Greater Brisbane. Around 16.5% of residents are aged 65 and over (2,096 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average, similar to the general population's health profile.

Shailer Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Shailer Park, surveyed in June-August 2016, had 14.6% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 29.4% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, with 50.6%. Judaism, at 0.1%, was overrepresented compared to Greater Brisbane (None%).

Top ancestry groups were English (28.5%), Australian (23.7%), and Other (8.6%). Notable divergences included New Zealand (1.4% vs None%), Maori (1.7% vs None%), and South African (1.0% vs None%) ethnicities.

Shailer Park's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Shailer Park is 39 years, which is slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years and close to Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Shailer Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (10.3%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.0%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the proportion of residents aged 75-84 has increased from 3.3% to 5.1%, while the proportion of those aged 25-34 has decreased from 11.7% to 10.0%. By 2041, Shailer Park's age composition is expected to change significantly. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 53%, reaching 993 people from the current 648. The population aged 65 and above is expected to comprise 74% of this growth. Conversely, declines in population are projected for the 15-24 and 0-4 age groups.