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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Railway Estate has an estimated 3,034 residents, up from 2,871 at the 2021 Census — a change of 163 people, or 5.7%. Growth has averaged 0.7% a year over five years. Overseas migration accounts for 62.0% of that increase. That puts 735 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the population of the suburb of Railway Estate stands at approximately 3,034, according to AreaSearch evaluations combining post-Census validated new addresses with ABS population updates for the wider region. This represents an addition of 163 people (5.7%) compared to the 2,871 people recorded in the 2021 Census. AreaSearch derived this shift by reviewing the ABS ERP release from June 2025, which indicated a resident population of 3,027, alongside 11 validated new addresses identified since the Census date. With 734 persons per square kilometer, the local population density aligns closely with typical benchmarks across AreaSearch study areas.
Furthermore, the 5.7% expansion achieved by the suburb of Railway Estate since census positions it within 1.5 percentage points of the SA4 region (7.2%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration served as the primary driver of population growth for the area, contributing approximately 62.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. Projections utilized by AreaSearch incorporate the ABS/Geoscience Australia dataset published in 2024 using 2022 as a baseline for SA2 areas. Where SA2 coverage is absent, or for timeframes post-2032, Queensland State Government SA2 projections issued in 2023 from 2021 data are adopted. Because these state figures omit age category splits, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings sourced from the ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 from 2022 data for each age cohort. In line with broader demographic trajectories, population growth across the suburb of Railway Estate is projected to track slightly below the national regional median, with aggregated SA2-level figures anticipating an increase of 300 persons to 2041, representing a gain of 9.7% in total over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
Residential building volumes across Railway Estate remain subdued, registering an annual average of 2 new dwellings approved, totaling 13 approvals over five years. Modest development rates of this scale frequently occur in rural settings where infrastructure capacity and limited local demand temper building volumes. Given the small number of approvals, yearly growth figures and relativities can vary considerably based on individual projects. Building activity in Railway Estate is naturally much lower than across Rest of Qld and also trails national averages. All recent residential construction has consisted of standalone homes, reflecting the rural character of the locality where larger properties and space are typical.
This focus on detached housing exceeds existing proportions (71.0% at Census), demonstrating ongoing robust demand for family homes despite increasing density pressures. A ratio of 1005 people in the area per dwelling approval underscores its quiet, low activity development environment. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Railway Estate is projected to add 293 residents by 2041. If the current tempo of residential construction persists, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Railway Estate
Loading development applications…
| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 29 current infrastructure and development projects close to Railway Estate, worth an estimated $4.07 billion. 9 are already under construction and 6 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects and planning initiatives. In total 4 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Weststate Private Hospital, Mater Private Hospital Townsville Relocation, Defence Housing Australia - Townsville New Builds Volume Leasing Program (400+ Homes), and Oxley Street Residences, with the below list detailing those likely to be of most relevance.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Weststate Private Hospital
A $60 million short-stay private hospital development transforming the heritage-listed former Townsville West State School into specialist consulting suites, with a new five-storey purpose-built hospital next door. The project includes four operating theatres, one procedure room, a HDU/ICU, 19 day beds, 26 overnight rooms, consulting rooms, cafe and 24/7 kitchen. Official project sources indicate construction has commenced and Centuria schedules completion for 2026.
Defence Housing Australia - Townsville New Builds Volume Leasing Program (400+ Homes)
Large-scale residential development by Defence Housing Australia (DHA) to deliver more than 400 new, high-quality homes for Australian Defence Force personnel and their families in Townsville. The homes are being built across approximately seven suburbs within 30km of Lavarack Barracks as part of the New Builds Volume Leasing Program, in partnership with local builders and developers. The first homes are expected to be delivered in the 2025-26 financial year.
The Hive - 10-15 The Strand Masterplan
The Hive is a $450 million masterplanned mixed-use waterfront precinct spanning approximately 1.73 hectares in central Townsville, occupying almost an entire city block bounded by The Strand, Flinders Street, King Street and Wickham Street. The development approval, current to June 2030, permits buildings up to 20 storeys. The staged scheme includes a five-star hotel tower, 10,000 square metres of premium office space, retail and dining, residential apartments, research and technology facilities, and a concert hall component.The site incorporates the heritage-listed Queens Hotel and the former Criterion Hotel site, which has separate approval for a residential tower. The project was originally developed and master planned by the Gleeson Group with architect Conrad Gargett. In 2023, Centurion Global Developments acquired the site from the Gleeson Group and assumed responsibility for delivering the project. As of mid-2024 the project remains in the pre-construction phase with no active works commenced, though Centurion Global has indicated plans for a five-star hotel and a verbal agreement with an international hotel brand.
Marina Residences
A $65 million luxury waterfront apartment tower by Maidment Group, comprising 18 residences (15 three-bedroom apartments and 3 sky homes) in a 10-storey building. Features include a rooftop pool and sundeck, gym, private dining/meeting room, and panoramic views over Breakwater Marina, The Strand, and Magnetic Island. Construction commenced in 2025 with completion expected late 2026.
Eden Park Estate
Premium acreage estate in Townsville's Northern Beaches offering large blocks ranging from 2000sqm to over 4000sqm. This master-planned park residential development provides a rural lifestyle combined with modern comfort, featuring town water and fully sewered lots.
Francis Street Roadworks, West End
Townsville City Council is delivering roadworks on Francis Street between Henry Street and Leigh Street, West End. Works form part of Council's annual roadworks program and include removing and replacing the kerb and channel, upgrading identified driveway crossovers, and renewing sections of concrete medians.
Oxley Street Residences
A development of 19 units with associated office and food and drink facilities in the neighbouring suburb of North Ward, approved by Townsville City Council.
Townsville Breakwater Master-Planned Precinct
A $1 billion master-planned expansion of the Townsville Breakwater precinct by Morris Group. Located on vacant land adjacent to The Ville Resort-Casino and the 5-star Ardo hotel, the development is designed as a mixed-use hub. Key features include residential apartments to address local housing shortages, short-term hotel accommodation, conference and function spaces, retail outlets, and expansive public open areas with views of Magnetic Island. The project is expected to inject significant economic benefit into North Queensland over the next decade.As of early 2025, Morris Group had commenced a master planning and feasibility process; no development application has been lodged.
1,561 residents of Railway Estate are employed, from a labour force of 1,629. Unemployment sits at 4.2%, with participation at 64.1%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.6% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Aggregated statistical area metrics compiled by AreaSearch show that Railway Estate maintains a skilled workforce featuring strong representation across essential services sectors alongside an unemployment rate of 4.2%. As of March 2026, 1,561 residents are in work, with the local unemployment rate sitting 0.3% above Regional Qld's rate of 3.9%, while workforce participation is on par with Regional Qld's 64.2%. Based on Census responses, only 5.0% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Resident employment is centered primarily within health care & social assistance, public administration & safety, and education & training.
The workforce exhibits a notable concentration in public administration & safety, running at 1.8 times the regional average. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing employs just 0.4% of local workers, below Regional Qld's 4.5%. Comparisons between the Census working population and resident population indicate that the area offers limited employment opportunities locally. An evaluation of broader statistical data from SALM and the ABS by AreaSearch reveals that during the 12 months to March 2026, the local labour force contracted by 1.9% and employment declined by 1.2%, causing unemployment to fall by 0.7 percentage points. Over the same timeframe in Regional Qld, employment grew by 0.1%, the labour force expanded by 0.3%, and unemployment rose 0.1 percentage points. Looking ahead, national forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia from Mar-26 provide insight into potential future demand within Railway Estate across five and ten-year periods when mapped against the local employment profile. Nationally, employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though trajectories differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Railway Estate's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Railway Estate is $1,529 a week (about $80,000 a year), with median personal income at $877 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $53,524 a year against an average of $72,840. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
The suburb of Railway Estate shows a median taxpayer income of $53,524 and an average of $72,840 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is higher than average nationally, contrasting with Regional Qld's median income of $53,146 and average income of $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $59,604 (median) and $81,115 (average) as of March 2026. According to 2021 Census figures, personal income ranks at the 63rd percentile ($877 weekly), while household income sits at the 37th percentile.
Looking at income distribution, the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 34.0% of residents (1,031 people), consistent with broader trends across the region showing 31.7% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 84.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 38th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Railway Estate had 1,216 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 71% detached houses and 6% apartments. 33% are owned with a mortgage, 42% rented and 25% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $300 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,430 a month. Rent absorbs 19.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 21.6%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, dwelling structure in Railway Estate comprised 70.9% houses and 29.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Meanwhile, home ownership within Railway Estate was lagging that of Regional Qld, at 24.7%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (33.2%) or rented (42.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Regional Qld average at $1,430, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $300, compared to Regional Qld's $1,655 and $345.
Nationally, Railway Estate's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Railway Estate counted 1,216 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 1,285 today, averaging 2.2 people each. 19% are couples with children, fewer than in 89% of areas nationally, against 26% couples without children. 35% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.4 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households dominate at 59.2% of all households, comprising 19.1% couples with children, 26.2% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 40.8%, with lone person households at 35.0% and group households comprising 5.9% of the total. The median household size of 2.2 people is smaller than the Regional Qld average of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
23.8% of adults in Railway Estate hold a university qualification, including 16.9% with a bachelor degree and 4.3% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 27.8% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 1,013 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 913 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational qualifications in Railway Estate trail regional benchmarks, with 23.8% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 30.4% in Australia, highlighting potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 16.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 39.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.4%) and certificates (27.8%). Educational participation is notably high, with 30.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.4% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 7.3% pursuing tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Railway Estate reaches 18 stops on 2 routes, timetabled for about 150 services a week. The typical home sits about 190 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.2 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport analysis reveals 18 active transport stops operating within Railway Estate comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 2 individual routes, collectively providing 145 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 192 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward - car remains the dominant mode at 92%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.2 per dwelling, below the regional average. A relatively low 5.0% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).
Service frequency averages 20 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 8 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
68.7% of residents in Railway Estate report no long-term health condition. 4.9% need daily assistance with core activities, and 56.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.2 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Railway Estate faces significant health challenges, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover found to be very high at approximately 56% of the total population (~1,700 people). This compares to 52.5% across Regional Qld. The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be mental health issues and arthritis, impacting 10.8 and 7.8% of residents, respectively, while 68.7% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld.
The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 15.7% of residents aged 65 and over (476 people), which is lower than the 20.3% in Regional Qld. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Railway Estate is largely Australian-born, at 86.2% of residents, with 6.6% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (28.6%) and Australian (26.2%). 5.4% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Railway Estate was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 87.5% of its population being citizens, 86.2% born in Australia, and 93.4% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Railway Estate was found to be Christianity, which makes up 47.7% of people in Railway Estate. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Judaism, which comprises 0.1% of the population, compared to 0.1% across Regional Qld. In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Railway Estate are English, comprising 28.6% of the population, Australian, comprising 26.2% of the population, and Irish, comprising 8.7% of the population.
Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Australian Aboriginal is notably overrepresented at 5.4% of Railway Estate (vs 3.9% regionally), German at 4.4% (vs 4.7%) and Maori at 0.7% (vs 0.8%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Railway Estate is 36. 32.9% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The suburb of Railway Estate is weighted towards younger residents. On estimates updated to August 2026, 30.4% of residents are young to middle aged adults (25 - 44), against 25.5% across Regional Qld, while just 15.7% fall within retiree and elderly cohorts (65+) where the wider region records 20.4%. AreaSearch estimates the median age at 36 as at August 2026, unchanged from the 2021 Census, and 5 years below the Regional Qld figure of 41 recorded at the same Census. Since the Census, middle aged and young retiree cohorts (45 - 64) have contracted from 26.3% of residents to an estimated 22.7%.
By 2041, young to middle aged adults are expected to absorb most of the growth, adding 205 residents (22%) to reach 1,127. Against that, children and young adults are expected to shrink.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Railway Estate
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 5 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 11 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (2,871 at the 2021 Census → 3,034 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL32384). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.