Hope Valley (SA)

Hope Valley has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, the Hope Valley (SA) statistical area (Lv2)'s population is estimated at around 9,226 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 1,042 people (12.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 8,184 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 8,396 following examination of ABS data released in June 2024 and an additional 352 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,826 persons per square kilometer, which is above average national levels assessed by AreaSearch. The Hope Valley (SA) (SA2)'s 12.7% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's 7.2% and the state's growth rate, marking it as a regional growth leader. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 91.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and the SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category released in 2023 based on 2021 data for areas not covered by this data and years post-2032. Future population dynamics anticipate above median growth for Australian statistical areas, with the area expected to expand by 1,313 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 6.2% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Hope Valley among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Hope Valley has averaged around 89 new dwelling approvals each year. Over the past 5 financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 449 homes were approved, with a further 39 approved so far in FY-26. This averages out to approximately 0.8 new residents per year per dwelling constructed during this period.

Given these figures, new construction is matching or outpacing demand, offering buyers more options and potentially enabling population growth that could exceed current expectations. The average expected construction cost value of new properties is $323,000. In the current financial year, Hope Valley has registered $25.5 million in commercial approvals, indicating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Hope Valley records 127.0% more development activity per person, creating greater choice for buyers.

New building activity shows a mix of detached dwellings (70.0%) and townhouses or apartments (30.0%), with a growing proportion of townhouses and apartments providing options across different price points. With around 90 people moving into the area per dwelling approval, Hope Valley exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the population is forecasted to grow by 571 residents through to 2041 based on current development patterns. Given this trend, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Hope Valley has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 40thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects that could affect the region. Notable ones are Modbury Hospital Redevelopment Project, Luminaire Estate - Residential Development, Tea Tree Gully Township North East Road Streetscape Upgrade, and Golden Grove Neighbourhood Code Amendment. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Hope Valley demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Hope Valley has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 1.7% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.8%.

As of September 2025, 3970 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 2.3% lower than Greater Adelaide's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation in Hope Valley lagged at 52.4%, compared to Greater Adelaide's 61.7%. Leading employment industries among residents included health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction showed strong specialization with an employment share 1.2 times the regional level.

Conversely, accommodation & food services were under-represented, at 5.1% of Hope Valley's workforce compared to Greater Adelaide's 6.8%. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 1.8%, while labour force grew by 1.6%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points in Hope Valley. In contrast, Greater Adelaide experienced employment growth of 3.0% and a 0.1 percentage point drop in unemployment rate over the same period. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 showed SA employment grew by 1.19%, adding 10710 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.0%. National forecasts from May-25 projected national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Hope Valley's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Hope Valley's median income among taxpayers is $47,638, with an average of $53,556. This is lower than the national average, and compares to Greater Adelaide's median of $54,808 and average of $66,852. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.8% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $51,830 (median) and $58,269 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Hope Valley all fall between the 18th and 20th percentiles nationally. Distribution data shows the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 29.7% of the community (2,740 individuals), aligning with the broader area where this cohort likewise represents 31.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.5% of income remaining, ranking at the 18th percentile.

Hope Valley is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Hope Valley's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, had 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Adelaide metro's 88.6% houses and 11.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hope Valley was at 38.0%, similar to Adelaide metro, with the rest mortgaged (39.3%) or rented (22.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, matching Adelaide metro's average, while median weekly rent was $320, compared to Adelaide metro's $1,517 and $330 respectively. Nationally, Hope Valley's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,517 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially lower at $320 compared to the national figure of $375.

Hope Valley features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 64.7% of all households, including 26.2% couples with children, 28.3% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 35.3%, with lone person households at 33.4% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.5.

Educational attainment in Hope Valley aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

In Hope Valley, 22.3% of residents aged 15 and above hold university degrees, compared to the Australian average of 30.4%. Among these residents, bachelor degrees are most common at 15.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 36.0% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 10.8% while certificates make up 25.2%. A significant portion of the population, 23.3%, is actively engaged in formal education.

This includes 8.5% pursuing primary education, 5.5% in secondary education, and 4.3% enrolled in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transport in Hope Valley shows 39 active transport stops currently operating. These are served by a mix of bus routes, totalling 8 individual routes. Collectively, these routes provide 655 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 202 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 93 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 16 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Hope Valley is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health issues in Hope Valley, with common conditions prevalent across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover stands at approximately 48% of the total population (~4,447 people), compared to Greater Adelaide's 50.5% and the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (11.8%) and mental health issues (7.8%), while 61.3% report being free from medical ailments, compared to 66.3% in Greater Adelaide.

Hope Valley has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 30.5% (2,813 people), compared to Greater Adelaide's 21.2%. Senior health outcomes face challenges broadly aligned with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Hope Valley was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Hope Valley's population showed significant cultural diversity, with 28.1% born overseas and 18.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Hope Valley, comprising 53.0% of its population. Notably, the 'Other' religious category comprised 3.5%, higher than Greater Adelaide's 2.1%.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups were English (28.6%), Australian (23.4%), and Other (8.5%). Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: Italians made up 8.3% compared to 5.5% regionally, Germans were at 5.8%, matching regional figures, and Poles stood at 1.0% versus 1.2%.

Hope Valley hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Hope Valley's median age is 46 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Adelaide's average of 39 years and Australia's national median of 38 years. The age profile shows that residents aged 75-84 are particularly prominent, making up 11.7% of the population, compared to the national average of 6%. Conversely, residents aged 15-24 make up only 9.0% of Hope Valley's population, which is smaller than Greater Adelaide's proportion. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has grown from 12.1% to 13.6%, while the 55-64 age group has declined from 9.8% to 9.2%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate that the number of residents aged 85 and above will grow by 59%, adding 412 residents to reach a total of 1,114. Residents aged 65 and above are projected to drive 78% of Hope Valley's population growth, while declines are expected in the 55-64 and 35-44 age cohorts.