Hope Valley (SA)

Hope Valley has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

The population of Hope Valley (SA) is estimated at around 8,725 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 541 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 8,184 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 8,677 following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2025 and an additional 364 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,727 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Hope Valley's growth rate of 6.6% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's growth rate of 4.1%, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 91.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered and years post-2032, the SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category are adopted with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Anticipating future population dynamics, an above median population growth is projected for the suburb, with an expected increase of 1,433 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 15.9% in total over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Hope Valley among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Hope Valley has seen approximately 88 dwelling approvals annually, with a total of 444 homes approved between FY21 and FY25, and an additional 58 in FY26. On average, each new home attracts 0.4 new residents per year over the past five financial years. This indicates that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing more options for buyers and potentially driving population growth beyond current projections.

The average expected construction cost of new dwellings is $323,000. In FY26, Hope Valley has registered $25.5 million in commercial approvals, indicating moderate levels of commercial development compared to its residential activity. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Hope Valley has 123.0% more building activity per person, offering buyers ample choice. Recent construction comprises 70.0% standalone homes and 30.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's suburban identity with a focus on family homes suited for space-seeking buyers.

With around 92 people per dwelling approval, Hope Valley exhibits characteristics of a growth area. Looking ahead, AreaSearch estimates that Hope Valley is expected to grow by 1,385 residents by 2041. Given current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favorable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth beyond current forecasts.

Hope Valley has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 38thth percentile nationally

Seven projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly. These include Modbury Hospital Redevelopment Project, Luminaire Estate - Residential Development, Tea Tree Gully Township North East Road Streetscape Upgrade, and Golden Grove Neighbourhood Code Amendment. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Hope Valley demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Hope Valley has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 1.7% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 0.8%. As of December 2025, 3,853 residents were in work while the unemployment rate was 2.1% below Greater Adelaide's rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation lagged significantly at 53.0%, compared to Greater Adelaide's 66.0%. Only 9.5% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Leading employment industries among residents comprised health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area had particular employment specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.2 times the regional level.

However, accommodation & food was under-represented, with only 5.1% of Hope Valley's workforce compared to 6.8% in Greater Adelaide. Employment opportunities appeared limited locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. During the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 0.8% and labour force increased by 0.6%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.2 percentage points. This contrasted with Greater Adelaide, where employment rose by 4.2%, the labour force grew by 3.9%, and unemployment fell by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offered further insight into potential future demand within Hope Valley. These projections suggested that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with growth rates differing significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Hope Valley's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Hope Valley is below the national average. The median income is $47,638 and the average income stands at $53,556. In comparison, Greater Adelaide has a median income of $54,808 and an average income of $66,852. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.17% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Hope Valley would be approximately $52,483 (median) and $59,003 (average) as of March 2026. Census 2021 income data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Hope Valley all fall between the 18th and 20th percentiles nationally. The distribution data shows that the largest segment comprises 29.7% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (2,591 residents), similar to the metropolitan region where 31.8% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Hope Valley, with only 83.5% of income remaining, ranking at the 18th percentile.

Hope Valley is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Hope Valley's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Adelaide metro had 75.2% houses and 24.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hope Valley was at 38.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.3% and rented ones at 22.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, lower than Adelaide metro's $1,562. Median weekly rent was $320, matching Adelaide metro's figure. Nationally, Hope Valley's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Hope Valley features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 64.7% of all households, including 26.2% couples with children, 28.3% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 35.3%, with lone person households at 33.4% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.5.

Educational attainment in Hope Valley aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

In Hope Valley, 22.3% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees, compared to the Australian average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 15.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are held by 36.0% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 10.8% and certificates at 25.2%. Currently, 23.3% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, including 8.5% in primary, 5.5% in secondary, and 4.3% in tertiary education.

A substantial 23.3% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 8.5% in primary education, 5.5% in secondary education, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Hope Valley has 39 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by eight different routes that together facilitate 655 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is considered good, with residents living an average of 202 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 85% of residents, while buses are used by 11%. On average, there are 1.2 vehicles per dwelling, which is below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 9.5% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 93 trips per day, equating to approximately 16 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Hope Valley is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates substantial health challenges in Hope Valley. AreaSearch's assessment found notable prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover was found to be low at approximately 48% of the total population (~4,206 people), compared to 52.7% across Greater Adelaide and a national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions were arthritis (11.8%) and mental health issues (7.8%). 61.3% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 67.9% in Greater Adelaide. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. Hope Valley has 31.7% of residents aged 65 and over (2,765 people), higher than Greater Adelaide's 19.2%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Hope Valley was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Hope Valley's population showed greater cultural diversity than most local markets, with 28.1% born overseas and 18.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Hope Valley, accounting for 53.0% of its population. Notably, the 'Other' religious category comprised 3.5%, higher than Greater Adelaide's 1.8%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (28.6%), Australian (23.4%), and Other (8.5%). Italian (8.3%) and German (5.8%) ancestry were overrepresented in Hope Valley compared to regional averages of 5.2% and 5.1%, respectively, while Polish ancestry was equally represented at 1.0%.

Hope Valley hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

At age 46 years, Hope Valley's median age is significantly higher than Greater Adelaide's average of 39 years, which itself is older than Australia's national median age of 38 years. The age profile reveals that the 75-84 year-old group is particularly prominent at 12.8%, while the 15-24 year-old group is smaller at 8.7% compared to Greater Adelaide. This concentration of 75-84 year-olds is well above the national average of 6.1%. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has grown from 12.1% to 13.5%, while the 75-84 cohort has increased from 11.6% to 12.8%. Conversely, the 55-64 age group has declined from 9.8% to 8.9%. Population forecasts for Hope Valley in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes. The 85+ cohort is projected to grow by 73%, adding 493 residents to reach a total of 1,174. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive 60% of population growth, emphasizing demographic aging trends. Meanwhile, the 65-74 age group is expected to grow by a modest 1%, adding just 7 people.