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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Buninyong has an estimated 3,857 residents, up from 3,797 at the 2021 Census — a change of 60 people, or 1.6%. That puts 152 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Demographic analysis by AreaSearch utilizing ABS data and verified post-Census address additions estimates that the suburb of Buninyong has a population of approximately 3,857 as of May 2026. Compared to the 2021 Census population of 3,797, this indicates a growth of 60 residents (1.6%). This projection combines the ABS June 2025 ERP data with an extra 43 validated new addresses registered after the Census. The suburb of Buninyong registers a density of 151 persons per square kilometer, indicating a spacious environment with capacity for future residential expansion. The 1.6% growth rate of the suburb of Buninyong is within 2.7 percentage points of the Rest of Vic.
average (4.3%). Overseas migration served as the primary growth catalyst, generating roughly 70.0% of the total demographic gains during recent timeframes. Projections for each SA2 region are sourced from ABS and Geoscience Australia publications issued in 2024 using 2022 as the baseline. For SA2 areas lacking this coverage, AreaSearch aggregates VIC State Government projections from 2023 at the LGA tier down to SA2 level via weighted mapping. Age cohort expansions from 2032 to 2041 are modeled using these same weighted growth rates. Future trends suggest significant expansion within the upper tier of regional Australian zones, with the suburb of Buninyong projected to add 1,091 residents by 2041 under SA2 aggregation models, representing a total increase of 28.3% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
64 new dwellings have been approved in Buninyong over the past five years, an average of 12 a year. That is 3.4 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 13, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
According to building approval statistics from the ABS allocated to the area, the suburb of Buninyong averages approximately 12 residential development approvals annually, resulting in a total of 64 new dwellings over the last 5 financial years. In the current FY-26 period, 12 approvals have been documented. Since only 0.5 people added to the population for each completed home between FY-21 and FY-25, residential supply is meeting or exceeding local demand, leaving significant capacity for population growth and offering buyers broad choice, while new residential construction displays an average value of $818,000, indicating that builders are focusing on high-end, premium properties.
Meanwhile, commercial approvals for this financial year stand at $806,000, representing very quiet non-residential building activity. In comparison to the Rest of Vic. average, building activity in the suburb of Buninyong is substantially lower, sitting at 72.0% below the regional per capita figure. This limited supply of new dwellings generally underpins demand and valuation trends for established properties. Construction volume also falls below national averages, indicating a mature residential landscape and potential planning restrictions. Additionally, all recent building permits have been for separate houses, preserving the traditional low-density profile of the area and appealing to buyers who value space for families. The ratio of 427 people per single building approval highlights a quiet development sector. Based on the most recent quarterly projections from AreaSearch, the suburb of Buninyong is expected to grow by 1,091 residents by 2041. Should building volumes remain at their current pace, supply may fall short of this population expansion, which could intensify competition among buyers and foster stronger upward pressure on property prices.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Buninyong
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 5 current infrastructure and development projects inside Buninyong, worth an estimated $4 million. A further 50 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $6.03 billion. 18 are already under construction and 18 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, sports & recreation and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects and planning changes influence regional growth and real estate performance. AreaSearch has identified 5 key projects likely to impact the community. Principal initiatives include the Buninyong Botanic Gardens Landscape Masterplan and Gong Reservoir Wall Reconstruction, the Buninyong Heritage Swimming Baths Conservation Works, the Buninyong Community Road Safety Upgrades, and the Buninyong Pump Track Upgrade, with details provided on the most significant works.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Buninyong Heritage Swimming Baths Conservation Works
Heritage conservation project restoring and stabilising the historic former Buninyong swimming baths within the Buninyong Botanic Gardens. Works include new foundations, replacement of selected concrete wall panels, crack repairs, sealing and drainage improvements to preserve the Victorian Heritage Register listed site. Wall restoration has been completed and the project has progressed to the planning of the reinstated heritage garden, with community consultation on landscaping scheduled before final restoration works.
Buninyong Botanic Gardens Landscape Masterplan and Gong Reservoir Wall Reconstruction
City of Ballarat project to reconstruct the historic Gong Reservoir dam wall and implement elements of the Buninyong Botanic Gardens Landscape Masterplan. The works will stabilise the leaking heritage dam wall using an internal filter system, reduce downstream flood risk, improve water management, restore heritage features and deliver new landscaping including native planting, boardwalks and pedestrian paths. Detailed design was awarded in August 2025 and construction activities have continued, with associated heritage restoration works in the gardens progressing during 2026.
Buninyong Community Road Safety Upgrades
Safety improvements and road realignment works along the Midland Highway and Geelong Road corridors in Buninyong. The upgrades include line marking reconfiguration to shorten overtaking lanes, creating dedicated turn lanes on Learmonth Street, reducing the speed limit to 40km/h through the central pedestrian zone, and introducing on-road cycling lanes.
Buninyong Pump Track Upgrade
Upgrade of the pump track at Buninyong Recreation Park, constructed with asphalt and positioned closer to the skatepark to allow for potential future expansions. The design is an all-abilities, single-loop track with a central complex, featuring double rollers, berms, transfers, and a primary rest platform. Construction began around 28 November 2024 (weather dependent). A new Choose Tap water fountain was also installed.
Mount Buninyong Tourism Units
VCAT has approved, with conditions, the development of eight single-bedroom, single-storey short-stay tourism accommodation units on the lower edge of the Mount Buninyong Scenic Reserve. The original proposal was for larger, barrel-shaped units (known as 'Skybarrels'). The developer, Lapilli La Mt Buninyong Pty Ltd, was placed under voluntary administration in February 2025, and the project's current status beyond approval is uncertain.
The Roads Mount Clear
A residential homesite community developed by Hygge Property in Mount Clear, south of the Ballarat CBD, set beside the Woowookarung Regional Park with Canadian Creek running through the site. The Roads comprises 48 homesites ranging from 505sqm to 1764sqm, released across a Lifestyle Collection and standard homesite range. Stage 1 is titled and sold out, Stage 2 is titled with construction of new homes underway, and 16 homesites remain available for sale as of mid-2026.The estate is within walking distance of childcare, primary and secondary schools, and local shopping.
Mount Clear Childcare Centre
Believe Early Learning received a planning permit from the City of Ballarat on 21 January 2026 for a 124-place childcare centre at 7 Recreation Road, Mount Clear. The approved centre spans eight activity rooms, including two nursery rooms, one room for one and two year olds, three toddler rooms, and two preschooler rooms, plus food preparation, laundry, staffing and reception areas. It was set to be the first Ballarat centre to offer extended hours, operating from 6:30am to 7pm.However, Believe Early Learning entered voluntary administration on 10 April 2026, placing the future of the site in doubt while an administrator assesses the company's position. The company's two existing regional Victorian centres, at Eaglehawk and Mooroopna, are continuing to operate during the administration process. This project is a standalone childcare development; it is unrelated to the separate childcare and medical centre proposal (PLP/2024/228) at 107-109 Whitehorse Road, Mount Clear.
Mount Clear College Upgrade and Modernisation - Stage 3
Construction in Stage 3 included new classrooms, new home economics kitchen and storage facilities, performing arts classrooms, multipurpose and student breakout spaces, locker rooms and student amenities. Externally it included extensive hard landscaping for tiered seating and covered spaces. The overall project also included a large independent student study space, science laboratories, and general classrooms in Stage 2. The project has been referred to by the Victorian School Building Authority as 'Upgrade and Modernisation - Stage 3'.
1,933 residents of Buninyong are employed, from a labour force of 1,961. Unemployment sits at 1.4%, with participation at 62.4%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.5% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The suburb of Buninyong features a workforce with high levels of education and a strong presence in key service industries, coupled with an unemployment rate of only 1.4% and steady jobs figures over the past year. As of March 2026, employed residents count 1,933, and the local jobless rate is 2.3% below the Regional Vic. average of 3.7%, while participation matches the Regional Vic. level of 61.1%. Data from the Census indicates that 23.8% of the local workforce performed their duties from home, though this figure reflects pandemic-related restrictions. The primary employment sectors for local workers are education & training, health care & social assistance, and construction.
The area displays a high concentration in education & training, which employs 1.9 times the regional average share of workers. Conversely, agricultural, forestry, and fishing enterprises employ only 1.9% of local workers compared to 7.5% in Regional Vic. Comparison of the Census working population against resident workers suggests that local employment opportunities within the immediate area are limited. According to ABS and SALM figures aggregated for the year ending March 2026, the local workforce grew by 0.1% while total employment fell by 0.1%, causing a 0.2 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate. By comparison, Regional Vic. saw employment contract by 0.1%, the workforce shrink by 0.3%, and the unemployment rate decrease by 0.2 percentage points. Five and ten-year national employment projections published by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 help illustrate future demand trends. Nationally, employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though rates vary by sector. Applying these national sector trends to the local industry mix suggests employment among residents would rise by 6.5% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, assuming a direct weighted projection that does not incorporate local population forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Buninyong is $1,745 a week (about $91,000 a year), with median personal income at $818 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $55,012 a year against an average of $69,393. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO records for the 2023 financial year show that the suburb of Buninyong has a median taxpayer income of $55,012 and an average taxpayer income of $69,393. These figures are higher than the Regional Vic. median of $50,954 and average of $62,728, and sit slightly above the national baseline. Adjusted for a 9.62% increase in the Wage Price Index since the 2023 financial year, current figures are estimated at approximately $60,304 for the median and $76,069 for the average as of March 2026. The 2021 Census indicates that household, family, and individual incomes are generally positioned around the 50th percentile nationally.
The most prominent income bracket contains 28.2% of households earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, representing 1,087 residents and comparing closely with the metropolitan average of 30.3%. Disposable income after mortgage or rent costs remains high at 88.8%, and the area ranks in the 7th decile for SEIFA income distribution.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Buninyong had 1,368 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 97% detached houses and 2% apartments. 39% are owned with a mortgage, 13% rented and 48% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $305 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,733 a month. Rent absorbs 17.5% of household income here and mortgage repayments 22.9%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the time of the last Census, the local housing stock consisted of 96.5% standalone houses and 3.5% other housing types like townhouses and apartments, compared to 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings across Regional Vic. Home ownership rates are high, with 48.1% of households owning their properties outright, while 38.7% have mortgages and 13.2% rent. The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,733 is higher than the Regional Vic. average of $1,430, while the median weekly rent is $305, compared to Regional Vic. figures of $285. Locally, mortgage costs are below the national average of $1,863, and rents remain significantly lower than the Australian average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Buninyong counted 1,368 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.6 people each. 35% are couples with children, against 32% couples without children. 22% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 77.0% of local households, with couples with children accounting for 34.6%, couples without children at 31.9%, and single parent households at 9.4%. The remaining 23.0% of households are non-family arrangements, with lone person households representing 21.9% and group homes making up 1.6%. The median household occupancy of 2.6 residents exceeds the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
36.2% of adults in Buninyong hold a university qualification, including 22.6% with a bachelor degree and 7.4% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 77% of areas nationally. A further 20.8% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 589 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,049 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Residents in the suburb of Buninyong demonstrate high levels of educational attainment, with 36.2% of those aged 15+ holding a university degree, compared to 21.7% in the Rest of Vic. and 24.6% in the SA4 region. This educational profile positions the community well for professional services and knowledge-based roles. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 22.6%, with postgraduate degrees at 7.4% and graduate diplomas at 6.2%. Vocational education is also common, with 33.0% of the population aged 15+ holding qualifications, consisting of advanced diplomas at 12.2% and certificates at 20.8%.
School and study participation is high, with 31.2% of residents currently undertaking formal education. This group comprises 13.2% in primary school, 9.4% in high school, and 3.8% enrolled in higher education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Buninyong reaches 18 stops on 3 routes, timetabled for about 520 services a week. The typical home sits about 430 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.8 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport services in the suburb of Buninyong include 18 active stops. These stops accommodate 3 separate transit routes, providing a total of 522 passenger trips each week. Transport access is moderate, with properties located an average of 433 meters from their nearest stop. Commuters are primarily car-dependent, with 96% of residents using private vehicles to travel to work. Households own an average of 1.8 vehicles, which is higher than the regional average. Working from home was recorded for 23.8% of workers in the 2021 Census, which was influenced by pandemic lockdowns.
Transit services average 74 trips daily across all local routes, which represents approximately 29 weekly departures for each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
67.5% of residents in Buninyong report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 75% of areas nationally. 4.8% need daily assistance with core activities, and 54.3% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.0 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators show positive outcomes in the suburb of Buninyong, with low rates of chronic illness and mortality across all age brackets. Private health insurance coverage is high, with approximately 54% of the population holding cover, representing about 2,092 people, compared to 50.5% in Regional Vic. Arthritis and mental health conditions are the most prevalent health issues, affecting 8.8% and 8.4% of residents, respectively. A total of 67.5% of residents reported having no long-term health conditions, compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic. Health profiles for working-age residents are typical for the state.
Residents aged 65 and older represent 23.9% of the population, totaling 921 people, and seniors show strong health profiles that align with national averages.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Buninyong is largely Australian-born, at 90.0% of residents, with 2.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (31.1%) and Australian (30.1%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity metrics are lower than average, with 90.0% of the population born in Australia, 93.4% holding citizenship, and 97.7% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the primary religious affiliation, representing 47.1% of the population, which matches the Regional Vic. average of 47.3%. The three most common ancestral backgrounds are English at 31.1%, Australian at 30.1%, and Irish at 12.4%. Certain backgrounds show higher representation locally than across the region, including Scottish ancestry at 11.4% compared to 8.8% regionally, Dutch at 1.8% compared to 1.7%, and Hungarian ancestry at 0.3% compared to 0.2%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Buninyong is 45, older than 80% of areas nationally. 18.8% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age in the suburb of Buninyong is 45 years, which is older than the Regional Vic. median of 43 and the national average of 38. The 5 to 14 age group is over-represented locally at 15.0% compared to regional trends, while 25 to 34 year-olds are under-represented at 6.8%. Since 2021, the 15 to 24 cohort has increased from 9.4% to 12.0% of the population, and the 75 to 84 cohort rose from 5.5% to 7.2%. Meanwhile, the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 17.1% to 15.0%, and the 55 to 64 group decreased from 14.1% to 12.5%.
Long-term modeling indicates significant shifts by 2041, with the 25 to 34 age bracket projected to grow by 240 people (92%) from 262 to 503, while the 55 to 64 cohort is expected to increase by only 10%, adding 45 residents.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Buninyong
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 5 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 43 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (3,797 at the 2021 Census → 3,857 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL20409). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.