Box Hill North

Population growth drivers in Box Hill North are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

The population of the Box Hill North statistical area (Lv2) was estimated at 13,128 as of November 2025, reflecting an increase of 791 people since the 2021 Census. This increase represents a growth rate of 6.4%, with the census population being 12,337. The latest estimate by AreaSearch is based on resident population data from June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,273 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. Overseas migration contributed approximately 88.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 adjusted using weighted aggregation methods for areas not covered by ABS data. Future population growth projections anticipate an above median increase, with the Box Hill North (SA2) expected to gain 2,213 persons by 2041, reflecting a total growth of 17.5% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Box Hill North when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Box Hill North has had around 64 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 322 homes. As of FY-26, 38 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.4 new residents have moved in per dwelling constructed annually between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating balanced supply and demand. However, this has increased to 5.6 people per dwelling over the past two years. Development projects average $859,000 in construction value, reflecting a focus on premium properties.

This financial year has seen $24.7 million in commercial approvals. New building activity comprises 56% detached dwellings and 44% townhouses or apartments.

Box Hill North's population density is around 203 people per approval, classified as low density. By 2041, the area is projected to gain 2,296 residents. Development pace appears reasonable in keeping with projected growth, but increasing competition among buyers is expected as population expands.

Box Hill North has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Twenty-four projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area's performance. Among these key projects are Eastern Freeway Upgrades from Tram Road to Springvale Road, North East Link - Eastern Freeway Upgrades (Tram Road to Springvale Road), North East Link - Doncaster Interchange Upgrades, and Box Hill Hospital Redevelopment. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Box Hill North remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Box Hill North has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 4.4% as of September 2025.

Over the past year, employment grew by an estimated 3.1%. As of September 2025, 7,415 residents are employed with an unemployment rate of 0.3% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%.

Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. However, construction shows lower representation at 6.9% compared to the regional average of 9.7%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 3.1% while labour force grew by 2.7%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.0%, but unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Box Hill North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023 shows that income in Box Hill North is higher than the national average. The median income here is $46,714, while the average income stands at $69,015. In comparison, Greater Melbourne has a median income of $57,688 and an average income of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since June 2023, current estimates for Box Hill North would be approximately $50,568 (median) and $74,709 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household income ranks at the 54th percentile ($1,820 weekly), while personal income sits at the 38th percentile. Distribution data shows that 29.3% of residents (3,846 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, which aligns with the broader area where this cohort represents 32.8%. High housing costs consume 16.9% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 53rd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Box Hill North displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with strong rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Box Hill North, as per the latest Census, consisted of 61.7% houses and 38.4% other dwellings including semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. Home ownership stood at 35.0%, with 30.5% of dwellings mortgaged and 34.5% rented. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,297, while the median weekly rent was $425. Nationally, Box Hill North's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Box Hill North features high concentrations of group households, with a median household size of 2.6 people

Family households account for 71.1% of all households, including 35.3% couples with children, 22.1% couples without children, and 11.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 28.9%, with lone person households at 23.0% and group households comprising 5.7%. The median household size is 2.6 people.

Educational achievement in Box Hill North places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Educational attainment in Box Hill North is significantly higher than broader benchmarks. As of the last census, 45.9% of residents aged 15 years and over held university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 33.4% statewide in Victoria. This educational advantage positions the area favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are most common at 28.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.2%) and graduate diplomas (4.3%).

Vocational pathways account for 22.0% of qualifications among those aged 15 years and over, with advanced diplomas at 11.1% and certificates at 10.9%. Educational participation is notably high, with 32.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.2% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 8.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Box Hill North has 56 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 18 different routes that together facilitate 2,759 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing just 185 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 394 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

Box Hill North's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Box Hill North shows excellent health outcomes, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.

Private health cover is high, at approximately 54% of the total population (~7,103 people). The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (6.8%) and asthma (6.6%). A majority, 75.2%, report no medical ailments, compared to 0% in Greater Melbourne. The area has 16.2% residents aged 65 and over (2,126 people), with seniors' health outcomes broadly aligning with the general population's profile.

Box Hill North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Box Hill North has high cultural diversity, with 49.7% speaking a language other than English at home and 48.7% born overseas. Christianity is the dominant religion at 36.8%. Buddhism is notably higher in Box Hill North at 6.8%, compared to none across Greater Melbourne.

Top ancestry groups are Chinese (27.6%), English (16.6%), and Australian (14.3%). Korean, Sri Lankan, and Greek ethnicities are overrepresented at 1.1%, 0.7%, and 2.7% respectively, compared to none regionally.

Box Hill North's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Box Hill North has a median age of 37, matching Greater Melbourne's figure and being comparable to Australia's median age of 38. The 15-24 age group comprises 14.7% of Box Hill North's population, higher than Greater Melbourne's percentage. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort makes up 10.4%, lower than the Greater Melbourne figure. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 13.1% to 14.7%. During this period, the 5-14 cohort has decreased from 11.4% to 10.4%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Box Hill North's age structure. The 75-84 group is projected to grow by 62%, adding 452 people and reaching 1,188 from the current figure of 735. Meanwhile, the 5-14 cohort is expected to decrease by 10 residents.