Box Hill North

Population growth drivers in Box Hill North are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, the estimated population of the suburb of Box Hill North is 13,186 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 849 people (6.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,337 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 13,162 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 158 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,288 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 6.9% growth since census positions it within 2.0 percentage points of the SA4 region (8.9%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 88.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, an above median population growth of statistical areas across the nation is projected, with the suburb expected to increase by 2,061 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 15.4% in total over the 16 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Box Hill North when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Box Hill North has received approximately 64 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling around 321 homes. As of FY-26, there have been 55 recorded approvals. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an average of 0.9 people moved to the area per dwelling built. New construction has matched or exceeded demand, offering buyers more options while enabling population growth that may surpass current expectations.

The average expected construction cost value for new dwellings is $859,000, indicating a focus on premium properties. In FY-26, there have been around $24.7 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development.

Recent building activity comprises approximately 57.0% detached dwellings and 43.0% townhouses or apartments, providing choices across price ranges from spacious family homes to compact options. Box Hill North currently reflects a developing area with around 202 people per approval. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the population is expected to grow by approximately 2,037 residents by 2041. Development appears to be keeping pace with projected growth, though buyers may face increasing competition as the population expands.

Box Hill North has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 23 projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include North East Link - Eastern Freeway Upgrades (Tram Road to Springvale Road), North East Link - Doncaster Interchange Upgrades, Box Hill Hospital Redevelopment, and Box Hill Metropolitan Activity Centre - Public Realm. The following list details those most pertinent:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Box Hill North remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Box Hill North has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 4.6% as of December 2025, compared to Greater Melbourne's 4.8%. Employment grew by an estimated 1.6% over the past year.

There were 7,251 residents in work while the unemployment rate was 0.1% below Greater Melbourne's rate. Workforce participation was somewhat lower at 67.3%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. A high proportion of residents, 36.0%, worked from home, possibly due to Covid-19 lockdown impacts.

Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. However, construction shows lower representation at 6.9% compared to the regional average of 9.7%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data on working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 1.6%, while labour force grew by 1.8%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 2.4% and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia suggest that Box Hill North's employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows income in Box Hill North is $46,714 median and $69,015 average. Greater Melbourne has $57,688 median and $75,164 average. With a 9.62% Wage Price Index growth since FY2023, estimates are approximately $51,208 median and $75,654 average by March 2026. The 2021 Census reports Box Hill North's household income at the 54th percentile ($1,820 weekly) and personal income at the 38th percentile. Distribution data shows 29.3% of residents (3,863 people) earn $1,500 - 2,999 weekly. This aligns with the broader area where this cohort represents 32.8%. High housing costs consume 16.9% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 53rd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Box Hill North displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Box Hill North's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 61.7% houses and 38.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Box Hill North stood at 35.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 30.5% and rented ones at 34.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,297, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent was $425, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Box Hill North's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national average of $375.

Box Hill North features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households comprise 71.1% of all households, including 35.3% couples with children, 22.1% couples without children, and 11.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 28.9%, with lone person households at 23.0% and group households comprising 5.7%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which matches the Greater Melbourne average.

Educational achievement in Box Hill North places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Educational attainment in Box Hill North is notable with 45.9% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications, compared to national (30.4%) and Victorian (33.4%) averages. Bachelor degrees are most common at 28.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.2%) and graduate diplomas (4.3%). Vocational pathways account for 22.0% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 11.1% and certificates at 10.9%. Educational participation is high, with 32.0% currently enrolled in formal education, including 8.2% in primary, 8.2% in secondary, and 8.0% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.2% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 8.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Box Hill North has 56 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 18 different routes, offering a total of 2,759 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically living 185 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars are the dominant mode of transport at 78%, followed by trains at 9% and buses at 6%. On average, there are 1.2 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 36% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 394 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

Box Hill North's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results for Box Hill North, as per AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.

Approximately 54% (~7,134 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 6.8 and 6.6% of residents respectively. Around 75.2% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 16.5% (2,175 people) of residents aged 65 and over, higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.0%. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Box Hill North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Box Hill North has a high level of cultural diversity, with 49.7% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 48.7% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion in Box Hill North, comprising 36.8%. However, Buddhism is overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, making up 6.8% versus 4.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Chinese (27.6%), English (16.6%), and Australian (14.3%). Korean (1.1%) and Greek (2.7%) are notably overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.3% and 2.7%, respectively. Sri Lankan is slightly overrepresented at 0.7%.

Box Hill North's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Box Hill North has a median age of 37, which matches Greater Melbourne's figure and is comparable to Australia's median age of 38. The 15-24 age group constitutes 14.6% of the population in Box Hill North, higher than Greater Melbourne's percentage. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort makes up 9.9%, which is lower compared to Greater Melbourne. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 13.1% to 14.6%, while the 75-84 cohort has risen from 4.7% to 5.8%. During this period, the 5-14 cohort has decreased from 11.4% to 9.9%, and the 45-54 age group has fallen from 13.7% to 12.4%. Looking forward to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Box Hill North's age structure. Notably, the 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 50%, adding 386 people and reaching a total of 1,151 from its current figure of 764. Meanwhile, the 5-14 group is expected to decrease by 26 residents.