Avenell Heights

Avenell Heights is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the population of Avenell Heights is estimated at around 5,211 people. This reflects an increase of 183 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,028 people. The current population estimate by AreaSearch is based on their examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 17 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of approximately 1,708 persons per square kilometer, which is higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed around 56% of overall population gains during recent periods in the suburb of Avenell Heights.

For population projections, AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, based on 2021 data and released in 2023. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 using 2022 data as the base year. Looking ahead, a population increase just below the median of non-metropolitan areas nationally is expected for Avenell Heights by 2041, with an anticipated growth of 438 persons and a total gain of approximately 7.9% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Avenell Heights according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Avenell Heights had 2 dwelling approvals annually over the past five years, totalling 11. These low development levels reflect its rural nature, with development typically driven by local housing needs rather than broad market demand. The small sample size means individual projects can significantly influence annual growth statistics.

Compared to Rest of Qld and national averages, Avenell Heights has much lower development activity. Recent construction comprised 50% detached houses and 50% medium-high density housing, a shift from the current 80% houses pattern, suggesting diminishing land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. The area has approximately 1150 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. By 2041, Avenell Heights is expected to grow by 414 residents (AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Looking ahead, Avenell Heights is expected to grow by 414 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Avenell Heights has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 32ndth percentile nationally

Five projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly: New Bundaberg Hospital, St Vincent de Paul Social Housing Walkervale Bundaberg, Walkervale Social Housing Development, and 432-434 Goodwood Road Land Lease Community Site. These are likely the most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Avenell Heights recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Avenell Heights has a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar jobs, with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 6.3% as of June 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 6.4%. This is based on AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of June 2025, 2,296 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 2.4% higher than Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation lagged significantly at 47.4%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%.

Employment was concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. Health care & social assistance had particularly notable concentration, with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. However, construction was under-represented, with only 7.6% of Avenell Heights's workforce compared to 10.1% in Rest of Qld. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 6.4% while labour force increased by 7.2%, resulting in unemployment rising by 0.7 percentage points. This compares to Rest of Qld, where employment grew by 1.8%, labour force expanded by 2.0%, and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Avenell Heights. These projections estimate that national employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Avenell Heights's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.6% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 indicates that Avenell Heights had a median income among taxpayers of $41,775 and an average level standing at $51,621. This is lower than national averages, which were $50,780 and $64,844 for Rest of Qld respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, estimated median income as of September 2025 would be approximately $47,619, with average income at around $58,843. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Avenell Heights fall between the 5th and 8th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. The earnings profile shows that 30.0% of the population (1,563 individuals) earn within the $400 - $799 income range, differing from regional patterns where $1,500 - $2,999 dominates with 31.7%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Avenell Heights, with only 84.1% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 7th percentile nationally.

Avenell Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Avenell Heights' dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 80.0% houses and 20.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro Qld's 84.6% houses and 15.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Avenell Heights was at 37.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 26.3% and rented ones at 36.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,200, below Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,300. Weekly rent in Avenell Heights was $270, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $285. Nationally, Avenell Heights' mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Avenell Heights features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 64.3% of all households, including 18.8% couples with children, 28.7% couples without children, and 15.4% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 35.7%, with lone person households at 32.8% and group households comprising 3.0% of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Avenell Heights exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 12.4%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 9.1%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.8%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 37.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 7.7% and certificates at 29.7%. Educational participation is high, with 25.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 8.9% in primary, 8.8% in secondary, and 2.8% in tertiary education.

Schools appear to be located outside the immediate catchment boundaries, requiring families to access them in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 20 active transport stops in Avenell Heights, served by buses only. These stops are covered by two routes, offering a total of 83 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 172 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 11 trips per day across all routes, amounting to approximately 4 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Avenell Heights is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Critical health challenges are evident across Avenell Heights, where a range of health conditions impact both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population (~2,483 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 12.1 and 10.7% of residents respectively, while 54.7% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 59.1% across Rest of Qld. The area has 27.9% of residents aged 65 and over (1,453 people), which is higher than the 26.3% in Rest of Qld. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Avenell Heights is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Avenell Heights, surveyed in 2016, had a predominantly homogeneous population: 90.6% were Australian citizens, 90.1% were born in Australia, and 95.6% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, practiced by 59.3%, compared to 54.0% regionally. The top three ancestry groups were English (31.9%), Australian (30.5%), and German (7.5%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal individuals made up 4.8% of Avenell Heights' population, higher than the regional average of 3.4%. Maltese and Korean populations were equally represented at 0.4% and 0.2%, respectively, matching regional figures.

Avenell Heights hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Avenell Heights has a median age of 46 years, which is significantly higher than Rest of Qld's 41 and above the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of Qld, Avenell Heights has a higher proportion of residents aged 75-84 (10.5%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (10.6%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 25 to 34 has grown from 10.0% to 11.5%, while the 55 to 64 age group has declined from 13.4% to 12.1%. By 2041, Avenell Heights is projected to experience significant changes in its age composition. The 25 to 34 age group is expected to grow by 28%, reaching 767 people from 599. Conversely, the 45 to 54 and 55 to 64 age groups are anticipated to decrease in population size.