Kepnock

Kepnock is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the population of the suburb of Kepnock is estimated to be around 4,748 people. This figure reflects an increase of 247 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,501 residents in the area. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 4,650 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 26 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 1,488 persons per square kilometer, which is higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The primary driver for this growth was interstate migration, contributing approximately 81.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are used, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections are applied when utilized. Future population trends indicate an above median growth for national non-metropolitan areas, with the suburb expected to increase by 616 persons to reach a total of 5,364 residents by 2041, reflecting a 12.2% increase over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kepnock according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Kepnock has averaged approximately 11 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 59 homes. As of FY26, 10 approvals have been recorded. Historically, between FY21 and FY25, an average of 4.1 new residents arrived per year for each dwelling constructed. This demand outpaces supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $597,000. In FY26, $1.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to the Rest of Qld, Kepnock has significantly less development activity, with 60.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction often reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. Furthermore, this is lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints.

All new construction in Kepnock has been comprised of detached dwellings, maintaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. With around 588 people per approval, Kepnock shows signs of being a mature, established area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Kepnock is projected to add approximately 578 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Kepnock has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 32ndth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects that could impact this region. Notable ones are New Bundaberg Hospital, Sienna Boulevard, Bundaberg East Levee, and The Gateway Marina - Burnett Heads. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Kepnock recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Kepnock's workforce comprises an equal mix of white and blue-collar jobs. Key sectors include essential services, with an unemployment rate of 5.7% as of June 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 6.0%. Residents' employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training, particularly notable being health care & social assistance at 1.3 times the regional average. Mining has limited presence with 1.2% employment compared to 3.6% regionally. As of June 2025, 2,232 residents are in work while unemployment is 1.8% higher than Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation lags at 50.5%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 6.0% while labour force grew by 7.4%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.3 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Qld saw employment rise by 1.8%, labour force grow by 2.0%, and unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kepnock's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Kepnock's median income among taxpayers was $44,876 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $55,452 during the same period. For comparison, Rest of Qld's median and average incomes were $50,780 and $64,844 respectively. By September 2025, estimated median and average incomes in Kepnock would be approximately $51,154 and $63,210 based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022. Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Kepnock fall between the 10th and 12th percentiles nationally. In income distribution, 28.7% of Kepnock's population (1,362 individuals) earn within the $800 - $1,499 range, differing from surrounding regions where $1,500 - $2,999 dominates with 31.7%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Kepnock, with only 84.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 12th percentile nationally.

Kepnock is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Kepnock's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 85.7% houses and 14.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 84.6% houses and 15.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kepnock was at 35.7%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (30.5%) or rented (33.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Kepnock was $1,200, below Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,300 and significantly lower than the national average of $1,863. The median weekly rent figure in Kepnock was recorded at $280, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $285 and substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kepnock has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 66.7% of all households, including 21.9% couples with children, 28.5% couples without children, and 15.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 33.3%, with lone person households at 29.8% and group households comprising 3.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which aligns with the average in the Rest of Qld.

Kepnock faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 11.9%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 42.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas (8.5%) and certificates (33.7%).

Educational participation is high at 27.6%, including primary education (11.2%), secondary education (9.2%), and tertiary education (2.5%). Kepnock State High School and Y Schools Queensland - Moreton Bay (Kepnock Campus) serve a total of 1,140 students. The area has varied educational conditions with an ICSEA score of 935. Secondary education is dominant with two schools, while primary students typically attend schools in adjacent catchments. The area functions as an education hub with 24.0 school places per 100 residents, significantly higher than the regional average of 13.9%, attracting students from surrounding communities. Note: for schools showing 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kepnock has 14 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totaling three individual routes that collectively provide 61 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 250 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages eight trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately four weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Kepnock is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Kepnock faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. Approximately 49% (~2,335 people) have private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (11.7%) and mental health issues (10.1%). Conversely, 57.8% report no medical ailments, slightly below Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Kepnock has 23.9% (~1,134 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Rest of Qld's 26.3%. Health outcomes among seniors are broadly similar to those of the general population.

Kepnock is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Kepnock had a cultural diversity level below average, with 89.5% of its population being citizens, 89.2% born in Australia, and 95.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion in Kepnock, comprising 53.9% of people, compared to 54.0% across Rest of Qld. The top three ancestry groups were English (31.2%), Australian (29.7%), and Scottish (7.3%).

Notably, German representation was higher at 6.8% in Kepnock versus 6.4% regionally, Australian Aboriginal was higher at 4.3% versus 3.4%, and Korean was higher at 0.3% versus 0.2%.

Kepnock hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Kepnock's median age is 43 years, which is higher than the Rest of Qld average of 41 and substantially exceeds the national average of 38 years. The 75-84 age group makes up 9.3% of Kepnock's population, compared to a lower percentage in Rest of Qld. The 25-34 cohort is less prevalent in Kepnock at 11.1%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 35-44 age group grew from 10.4% to 11.9%, while the 5-14 cohort declined from 12.8% to 11.7%. Demographic modeling suggests Kepnock's age profile will significantly evolve by 2041. The 25-34 cohort is projected to grow by 24%, adding 127 residents to reach 655. Conversely, numbers in the 15-24 age range are expected to fall by 47%.