Yorke Peninsula - South

An assessment of population growth drivers in Yorke Peninsula - South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Yorke Peninsula - South's population is approximately 4,605 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 463 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,142. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 4,433 in June 2024 and an additional 68 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 2.0 persons per square kilometer. Yorke Peninsula - South's growth rate of 11.2% since the 2021 census exceeds that of non-metro areas (6.8%) and the state, indicating it is one of the region's growth leaders. Interstate migration contributed approximately 89.9% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth were positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, the SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category are adopted, based on 2021 data and adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Future population trends suggest an increase just below the median of national regional areas, with the area expected to expand by 363 persons to reach approximately 5,098 by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 4.2% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Yorke Peninsula - South among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Yorke Peninsula - South recorded approximately 55 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25279 homes were approved, with a further 12 approved in FY26 so far. On average, 1.2 new residents arrived per new home each year over these five years, indicating a balanced supply and demand market that supports stable conditions.

The average construction cost value of new dwellings was $390,000. In the current financial year, $4.7 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting limited focus on commercial development. Compared to the rest of South Australia, Yorke Peninsula - South has slightly more development activity, with 21.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. This reflects strong developer confidence in the area and offers buyer choice while supporting current property values.

All recent building activity consists of standalone homes, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 80 people per dwelling approval, Yorke Peninsula - South exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the area is projected to add 191 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Yorke Peninsula - South has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 21stth percentile nationally

No factors influence a region's performance more than alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that could potentially impact this area. Significant projects include SA Public Housing Maintenance and Services Contracts, SA Water Capital Work Delivery Contracts, South Australian Regional Bulk Port Development, and South Australian Road Network Maintenance, with the following list outlining those most pertinent.

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Employment conditions in Yorke Peninsula - South face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Yorke Peninsula - South has a balanced workforce with representation from both white and blue collar jobs across various sectors. As of June 2025, the unemployment rate is 7.3%.

In this month, 1,603 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.8% higher than Rest of SA's rate of 4.6%. The workforce participation rate in Yorke Peninsula - South is significantly lower at 42.1%, compared to Rest of SA's 54.1%. Employment is concentrated in agriculture, forestry & fishing, accommodation & food, and health care & social assistance sectors. The area specializes particularly in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level.

Conversely, manufacturing has a lower representation at 3.9% compared to the regional average of 9.3%. Local employment opportunities appear limited, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, the labour force increased by 0.1%, while employment decreased by 2.5%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 2.5 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of SA saw employment contract by 1.2%, labour force grow by 0.1%, and unemployment rise by 1.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer insights into potential future demand within Yorke Peninsula - South over five and ten-year periods. Applying these projections to the local employment mix suggests that local employment should increase by 5.2% over five years and 11.5% over ten years, though these are simple weighted extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Yorke Peninsula - South SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $39,821 and an average income of $49,918. Nationally, the averages were $46,889 and $56,582 respectively for Rest of SA. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $44,930 (median) and $56,322 (average), based on a 12.83% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. Census 2021 data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Yorke Peninsula - South all fall between the 1st and 5th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows 33.5% (1,542 individuals) earning $400-$799 weekly, differing from regional patterns where $1,500-$2,999 dominates with 27.5%. A significant portion of the community faces economic challenges, with 45.7% in sub-$800 weekly brackets despite modest housing costs retaining 90.0% of income. However, total disposable income ranks at just the 4th percentile nationally.

Yorke Peninsula - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Yorke Peninsula - South's dwellings were 96.1% houses and 3.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other') at the latest Census, compared to Non-Metro SA's 93.3% houses and 6.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Yorke Peninsula - South was 58.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 24.3% and rented at 17.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $986, lower than Non-Metro SA's average of $1,083. Median weekly rent in the area was $200, compared to Non-Metro SA's $230. Nationally, Yorke Peninsula - South's median mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $986 than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Yorke Peninsula - South features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 59.7% of all households, including 15.4% couples with children, 37.8% couples without children, and 6.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 40.3%, with lone person households at 38.2% and group households comprising 2.1%. The median household size is 2.0 people, which is smaller than the Rest of SA average of 2.1.

Yorke Peninsula - South faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 9.8%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This discrepancy presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 7.1%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.5%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.2%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 41.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (9.6%) and certificates (32.3%).

A total of 20.2% of the population is actively engaged in formal education, including 9.2% in primary, 6.0% in secondary, and 1.5% in tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Yorke Peninsula - South is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Yorke Peninsula South faces significant health challenges with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. Approximately 46% (~2,122 people) have private health cover, significantly lower than the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical issues are arthritis (14.9%) and mental health concerns (8.3%). Conversely, 55.8% report no medical ailments, comparable to the Rest of SA's 56.0%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 37.0% (1,703 people). Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are better than those of the general population.

The latest Census data sees Yorke Peninsula - South placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Yorke Peninsula-South had a cultural diversity level below average, with 90.5% of its population being citizens, 88.5% born in Australia, and 98.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 49.6% of the population, compared to 48.3% across Rest of SA. The top three ancestry groups were English (36.0%), Australian (32.3%), and German (7.7%).

Notably, Welsh (0.7%) was overrepresented compared to the regional average (0.4%), as were French (0.6%, vs 0.3%) and Croatian (0.5%, vs 0.2%) groups.

Yorke Peninsula - South ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Yorke Peninsula - South's median age is 57 years, which is older than Rest of SA's 47 and significantly higher than Australia's national average of 38 years. The 65-74 age cohort is notably over-represented in Yorke Peninsula - South at 21.0%, compared to the Rest of SA average, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 6.8%. This concentration of the 65-74 cohort is well above the national average of 9.4%. According to the 2021 Census, the 35-44 age group has grown from 7.4% to 9.4%, and the 75-84 cohort has increased from 11.2% to 12.8%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has declined from 11.2% to 9.0%, and the 55-64 group has dropped from 19.8% to 18.5%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Yorke Peninsula - South's age structure. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow significantly by 134 people (90%), from 149 to 284. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive 56% of population growth, highlighting demographic aging trends. Conversely, the 15-24 and 65-74 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.