Yorke Peninsula - South

An assessment of population growth drivers in Yorke Peninsula - South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Yorke Peninsula - South's population, as of February 2026, is approximately 4,573. This figure represents a growth of 431 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 4,142. The increase is inferred from the estimated resident population of 4,433 in June 2024 and an additional 70 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 2.0 persons per square kilometer. Yorke Peninsula - South's growth rate of 10.4% since the 2021 census exceeds that of the SA4 region (7.4%) and the Rest of SA, indicating it as a leading growth area. Interstate migration accounted for approximately 89.9% of overall population gains in recent periods, with other factors such as overseas migration and natural growth also contributing positively.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, the SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category are adopted, based on 2021 data and adjusted using a weighted aggregation method from LGA to SA2 levels. By 2041, Yorke Peninsula - South is projected to increase its population by approximately 363 persons, reflecting an overall increase of 4.9% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Yorke Peninsula - South among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Yorke Peninsula - South has granted around 55 residential properties approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25279 homes were approved, with a further 19 approved so far in FY-26. This results in an average of approximately 1.2 new residents arriving per year for each new home over these five years, indicating a balanced supply and demand market that supports stable conditions.

The average value of new dwellings developed is $272,000. In terms of commercial development, $4.7 million in approvals have been registered this financial year, suggesting limited focus on commercial development compared to residential. Compared to the rest of South Australia, Yorke Peninsula - South has seen slightly more development activity, with 21.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. This is reflective of strong developer confidence in the area and offers good conditions for buyers while supporting current property values.

Recent building activity consists entirely of standalone homes, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 80 people per dwelling approval, Yorke Peninsula - South shows characteristics of a growth area. Future projections estimate an addition of 223 residents by 2041 based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Yorke Peninsula - South has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 18thth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like modifications to its local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that could potentially impact this area. Notable projects include SA Public Housing Maintenance and Services Contracts, SA Water Capital Work Delivery Contracts, South Australian Regional Bulk Port Development, and South Australian Road Network Maintenance, with the following list outlining those most likely to be relevant.

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Employment conditions in Yorke Peninsula - South face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Yorke Peninsula - South has a balanced workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 7.2% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 0.6%. As of September 2025, 1,642 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 7.3%, which is 1.9% higher than Rest of SA's rate of 5.3%.

Workforce participation is lower at 45.4%, compared to Rest of SA's 58.5%. According to Census responses, 14.8% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in agriculture, forestry & fishing (strong specialization with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level), accommodation & food services, and health care & social assistance. Manufacturing shows lower representation at 3.9%, compared to the regional average of 9.3%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the working population vs resident population count. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 0.6% while labour force grew by 2.1%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.5 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of SA saw employment rise by 0.3%, labour force grow by 2.3%, and unemployment increase by 1.9 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Yorke Peninsula - South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.2% over five years and 11.5% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch aggregated latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023. Yorke Peninsula - South SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $42,318 and an average income of $55,470. These figures are lower than national averages of $48,920 and $58,933 respectively for Rest of SA. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.8% since financial year 2023, estimated median and average incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $46,042 and $60,351 respectively. Census 2021 income data shows Yorke Peninsula - South's household, family, and personal incomes fall between the 1st and 5th percentiles nationally. Income distribution in Yorke Peninsula - South differs from regional patterns, with 33.5% (1,531 individuals) earning $400-$799 weekly compared to 27.5% earning $1,500-$2,999 across regions. A significant portion of the community faces economic challenges, with 45.7% in sub-$800 weekly brackets. Despite modest housing costs allowing for 90.0% income retention, total disposable income ranks at just the 4th percentile nationally.

Yorke Peninsula - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Yorke Peninsula - South's dwellings were 96.1% houses and 3.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other') in the latest Census, compared to Non-Metro SA's 88.5% houses and 11.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Yorke Peninsula - South was 58.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 24.3% and rented at 17.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $986, below Non-Metro SA's average of $1,153. Median weekly rent in the area was $200, compared to Non-Metro SA's $220. Nationally, Yorke Peninsula - South's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Yorke Peninsula - South features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 59.7% of all households, including 15.4% couples with children, 37.8% couples without children, and 6.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 40.3%, with lone person households at 38.2% and group households comprising 2.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.0 people, which is smaller than the Rest of SA average of 2.3.

Yorke Peninsula - South faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 9.8%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This discrepancy presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 7.1%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.5%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 41.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such credentials - advanced diplomas at 9.6% and certificates at 32.3%.

A substantial 20.2% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, including 9.2% in primary education, 6.0% in secondary education, and 1.5% in tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health outcomes in Yorke Peninsula - South are marginally below the national average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Yorke Peninsula - South shows below-average health indicators based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is very low at approximately 47% of the total population (~2,167 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (14.9%) and mental health issues (8.3%). While 55.8% of residents report no medical ailments, this is lower than the 62.5% across Rest of SA. The working-age population faces significant health challenges due to high chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors at 37.2%, with 1,699 people aged 65 and over compared to 27.1% in Rest of SA. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, generally aligning with national rankings for the general population.

The latest Census data sees Yorke Peninsula - South placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Yorke Peninsula-South had cultural diversity levels below average, with 90.5% of its population being citizens, 88.5% born in Australia, and 98.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 49.6%, compared to 45.2% across Rest of SA. The top three ancestry groups were English (36.0%), Australian (32.3%), and German (7.7%).

Notably, Welsh (0.7%) and French (0.6%) were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.5% and 0.3%, respectively, while Croatian was also notably present at 0.5%.

Yorke Peninsula - South ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Yorke Peninsula - South's median age is 57 years, significantly older than Rest of SA's 47 and national average of 38 years. The 65-74 cohort is over-represented at 21.3% locally compared to the Rest of SA average, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 6.7%. This concentration in the 65-74 age group is well above the national figure of 9.5%. According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 35 to 44 grew from 7.4% to 9.9%, while those aged 75 to 84 increased from 11.2% to 12.9%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 11.2% to 8.7%, and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 19.8% to 18.3%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Yorke Peninsula - South's age structure. The 85+ age cohort is projected to expand by 145 people (105%) from 138 to 284. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive 55% of population growth, indicating demographic aging trends. Conversely, the 15-24 and 65-74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.