Mudgeeraba - Bonogin

Population growth drivers in Mudgeeraba - Bonogin are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Mudgeeraba-Bonogin's population is 20,785 as of May 2026. This shows an increase of 1,233 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 19,552. The growth is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 20,770 in June 2025 and 73 new addresses validated since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 311 persons per square kilometer. Mudgeeraba-Bonogin's 6.3% growth since census is close to the SA3 area's 6.9%, indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 70.3% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. These state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data for each age cohort. Nationally, non-metropolitan areas are projected to have above median population growth. Mudgeeraba-Bonogin is expected to expand by 3,696 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 17.7% in total over the 16 years based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Mudgeeraba - Bonogin when compared nationally

Mudgeeraba-Bonogin has seen approximately 38 new homes approved annually. Between financial years FY21 and FY25191 homes were approved, with a further 21 approved in FY26. This results in an average of 5.4 new residents per year arriving per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years.

Demand significantly exceeds new supply, leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $541,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY26, there have been $9.6 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Mudgeeraba-Bonogin shows around 75% of the construction activity per person.

Nationally, it ranks at approximately the 44th percentile of areas assessed, suggesting more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing homes. However, recent construction activity has intensified. The area maintains a traditional low-density character with 97.0% detached houses and 3.0% attached dwellings, appealing to those seeking space in family homes. As of now, there are an estimated 460 people per dwelling approval in the area. Future projections estimate Mudgeeraba-Bonogin will add 3,681 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Mudgeeraba - Bonogin has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 57 projects that could impact the area. Notable projects include Teak Mixed Use Development, Merrimac Technology Park, Raba Urban Farm Hub, and Mudgeeraba Aquatic Centre Upgrade. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Mudgeeraba - Bonogin significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Mudgeeraba - Bonogin has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 2.9% as of December 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 2.7% over the past year. In December 2025, there were 11,278 residents in work and the unemployment rate was 1.1% below Regional Qld's rate of 4.0%.

The workforce participation rate was 71.5%, compared to Regional Qld's 64.5%. According to Census responses, 17.3% of residents worked from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction employs 1.3 times the regional level but agriculture, forestry & fishing only employs 0.6% of local workers compared to Regional Qld's 4.5%.

Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 2.7%, labour force increased by 2.6%, and unemployment fell by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Qld saw employment rise by 0.7%, labour force grow by 1.0%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mudgeeraba - Bonogin's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

The Mudgeeraba - Bonogin SA2 has an income level above the national average, according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in this area is $53,967, with an average income of $71,042. These figures compare to Regional Qld's median and average incomes of $53,146 and $66,593 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Mudgeeraba - Bonogin SA2 would be approximately $60,098 (median) and $79,112 (average) as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census, household income ranks at the 68th percentile ($2,052 weekly), while personal income sits at the 47th percentile. Income analysis shows that the largest segment comprises 35.4% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (7,357 residents), consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 31.7% in the same category. High housing costs consume 17.2% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 67th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Mudgeeraba - Bonogin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Mudgeeraba-Bonogin's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, were 82.8% houses and 17.2% other dwellings. Regional Qld had 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mudgeeraba-Bonig was 27.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 52.5% and rented ones at 19.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,100, exceeding Regional Qld's average of $1,655. Median weekly rent in Mudgeeraba-Bonig was $500, higher than Regional Qld's $345. Nationally, Mudgeeraba-Bonig's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,100 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Mudgeeraba - Bonogin features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.0% of all households, including 43.9% couples with children, 24.9% couples without children, and 13.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 17.0%, with lone person households at 14.1% and group households making up 2.8%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Regional Queensland average of 2.5.

Mudgeeraba - Bonogin shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Mudgeeraba show that 25.3% of residents aged 15+ have university degrees, compared to Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 17.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are held by 39.9% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 13.1% and certificates at 26.8%. Educational participation is high, with 32.8% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.0% in primary education, 10.4% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates 33 active transport stops operating within Mudgeeraba-Bonogin area. These are served by three individual bus routes, collectively providing 329 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 1658 meters from the nearest stop. The area is primarily residential, with most residents commuting outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 17.3% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 47 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately nine weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Mudgeeraba - Bonogin is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Mudgeeraba-Bonogin shows better health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

Both younger and older age groups have low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover is high at approximately 54% of the total population, around 11,244 people. The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (7.6%) and asthma (7.2%). About 72.2% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 67.6% in Regional Qld. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. As of June 2021, 14.7% of the population is aged 65 and over (3,051 people), lower than Regional Qld's 20.4%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Mudgeeraba - Bonogin records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mudgeeraba-Bonogin showed above-average cultural diversity, with 8.9% speaking a language other than English at home and 26.7% born overseas. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 50.8%. Judaism's representation stood at 0.2%, higher than Regional Qld's 0.1%.

Top ancestry groups were English (32.2%), Australian (25.1%), and Scottish (7.9%). Notable divergences included New Zealand (1.5% vs regional 0.9%), South Australian (1.2% vs 0.5%), and Maori (1.0% vs 0.8%).

Mudgeeraba - Bonogin's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Mudgeeraba - Bonogin is 39 years, which is lower than Regional Queensland's average of 41 but close to Australia's national average of 38. The age profile shows that individuals aged 5-14 make up 16.1% of the population, while those aged 25-34 comprise 9.4%. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of 15-24 year-olds has increased from 12.0% to 13.0%, while the percentage of 55-64 year-olds has decreased from 11.8% to 11.0%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate that the 25-34 age group will increase by 761 people (39%), reaching a total of 2,717 individuals. Conversely, the 15-24 age group is projected to decrease by 5 residents.