Mudgeeraba - Bonogin

Population growth drivers in Mudgeeraba - Bonogin are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Mudgeeraba - Bonogin's population is around 20,637 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,085 people (5.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 19,552 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 20,571 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 68 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 309 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Mudgeeraba - Bonogin's 5.5% growth since the census positions it within 0.5 percentage points of the SA3 area (6.0%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 57.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence, where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Considering the projected demographic shifts, an above-median population growth for Australian non-metropolitan areas is projected, with the area expected to expand by 3,948 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 18.8% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Mudgeeraba - Bonogin when compared nationally

Mudgeeraba - Bonogin has averaged around 38 new dwelling approvals each year, with 191 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 14 so far in FY-26. With an average of 5.4 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand is significantly outpacing supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $541,000, showing that developers are focusing on the premium market with high-end developments. Additionally, $9.6 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting balanced commercial development activity.

When measured against the Rest of Qld, Mudgeeraba - Bonogin shows approximately 75% of the construction activity per person while it places among the 44th percentile of areas assessed nationally, meaning somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established dwellings, though construction activity has intensified recently. This activity is similarly under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. New building activity shows 97.0% standalone homes and 3.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated count of 460 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

Future projections show Mudgeeraba - Bonogin adding 3,882 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Mudgeeraba - Bonogin has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 58 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Teak Mixed Use Development, Merrimac Technology Park, Raba Urban Farm Hub, and Mudgeeraba Aquatic Centre Upgrade, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Mudgeeraba - Bonogin demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Mudgeeraba - Bonogin possesses a skilled workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of just 2.9%, and 2.7% estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 11,278 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 1.1% below Regional Qld's rate of 4.0%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (72.3% compared to Regional Qld's 65.4%). Based on Census responses, a moderate 17.3% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area has a particular employment specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level. On the other hand, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 0.6% of Mudgeeraba - Bonogin's workforce compared to 4.5% in Regional Qld. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 2.7% while the labour force increased by 2.6%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Qld experienced employment growth of 0.7% and labour force growth of 1.0%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Mudgeeraba - Bonogin. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Mudgeeraba - Bonogin's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.8% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

The Mudgeeraba - Bonogin SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $53,967 and an average of $71,042 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is above the national average, contrasting with Regional Qld's median income of $53,146 and average income of $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $59,315 (median) and $78,082 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household income ranks at the 68th percentile ($2,052 weekly), while personal income sits at the 47th percentile. Distribution data shows 35.4% of the population (7,305 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 31.7% in the same category. High housing costs consume 17.2% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 67th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Mudgeeraba - Bonogin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Mudgeeraba - Bonogin, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 82.8% houses and 17.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Mudgeeraba - Bonogin was lagging that of Regional Qld, at 27.7%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (52.5%) or rented (19.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Regional Qld average at $2,100, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $500, compared to Regional Qld's $1,655 and $345. Nationally, Mudgeeraba - Bonogin's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Mudgeeraba - Bonogin features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 83.0% of all households, comprising 43.9% couples with children, 24.9% couples without children, and 13.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 17.0%, with lone person households at 14.1% and group households comprising 2.8% of the total. The median household size of 3.0 people is larger than the Regional Qld average of 2.5.

Mudgeeraba - Bonogin shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Mudgeeraba - Bonogin trail regional benchmarks, with 25.3% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 30.4% in Australia. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 17.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 39.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (13.1%) and certificates (26.8%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.0% in primary education, 10.4% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 33 active transport stops operating within Mudgeeraba - Bonogin, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 3 individual routes, collectively providing 329 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 1658 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. Some 17.3% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 47 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 9 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Mudgeeraba - Bonogin is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Mudgeeraba - Bonogin demonstrates above-average health outcomes, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both young and old age cohorts show a low prevalence of common health conditions, and the rate of private health cover is fairly high at approximately 54% of the total population (~11,164 people).

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 7.6% and 7.2% of residents, respectively, while 72.2% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld. Working-age residents are notably healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 14.4% of residents aged 65 and over (2,971 people), which is lower than the 20.4% in Regional Qld. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Mudgeeraba - Bonogin records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mudgeeraba - Bonogin was found to be above average in terms of cultural diversity, with 8.9% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 26.7% born overseas. The main religion in Mudgeeraba - Bonogin is Christianity, which makes up 50.8% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Judaism, which comprises 0.2% of the population, compared to 0.1% across Regional Qld.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Mudgeeraba - Bonogin are English, comprising 32.2% of the population, Australian, comprising 25.1% of the population, and Scottish, comprising 7.9% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: New Zealand is notably overrepresented at 1.5% of Mudgeeraba - Bonogin (vs 0.9% regionally), South Australian at 1.2% (vs 0.5%) and Maori at 1.0% (vs 0.8%).

Mudgeeraba - Bonogin's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The 38-year median age in Mudgeeraba - Bonogin is marginally below Regional Qld's average of 41 while in line with Australia's 38 years. The 5 - 14 age group shows strong representation at 15.7% compared to Regional Qld, whereas the 65 - 74 cohort is less prevalent at 8.0%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 12.0% to 13.3% of the population. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 11.8% to 10.6%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Mudgeeraba - Bonogin. Leading the demographic shift, the 25 to 34 group will grow by 40% (837 people), reaching 2,934 from 2,096. In contrast, the 15 to 24 cohort shows minimal growth of just 1% (15 people).