Mudgeeraba - Bonogin
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Mudgeeraba - Bonogin are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Mudgeeraba-Bonogin's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, is approximately 20,571 as of August 2025. This figure represents a growth of 1,019 individuals (5.2%) since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 19,552. The increase is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 20,571 in June 2024 and an additional 62 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a density ratio of 308 persons per square kilometer, indicating significant space per person and potential for further development. Mudgeeraba-Bonogin's growth rate since the Census (5.2%) is within 0.6 percentage points of its SA3 area's growth (5.8%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 57.4% to overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023, based on 2021 data, are adopted. These state projections lack age category splits; therefore, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023, using a base year of 2022 for each age cohort. Considering projected demographic shifts, above median population growth is expected for Australian non-metropolitan areas. The area is projected to expand by 3,948 persons to 2041 based on the latest population numbers, reflecting an increase of 19.2% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Mudgeeraba - Bonogin when compared nationally

Mudgeeraba-Bonogin averaged approximately 38 new dwelling approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics produces development approval data on a financial year basis, showing 191 homes approved over the past five financial years (FY-21 to FY-25), with one approval so far in FY-26. On average, 5.4 people moved to the area for each dwelling built during these years, indicating substantial demand outpacing supply, which can lead to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $891,000, suggesting developers focus on the premium market with high-end developments.

In FY-26, there have been $9.6 million in commercial approvals, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to the Rest of Qld, Mudgeeraba-Bonogin shows around 75% of construction activity per person and ranks among the 45th percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing properties. Recently, however, construction activity has intensified. The area maintains its traditional low-density character with 97.0% detached dwellings and 3.0% medium and high-density housing, appealing to those seeking space and family homes.

The estimated count of 460 people per dwelling approval reflects its quiet development environment. By 2041, Mudgeeraba-Bonogin is expected to grow by 3,948 residents. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Mudgeeraba - Bonogin has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 36thth percentile nationally

AreaSearch has identified 65 projects that are expected to impact a certain region. Notable among these are Teak Mixed Use Development, Pacific Motorway Upgrade - Merrimac to Mudgeeraba, Raba Urban Farm Hub, and Merrimac Technology Park. The following list provides details on those deemed most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The labour market in Mudgeeraba - Bonogin shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Mudgeeraba-Bonogin has a skilled labour force with prominent representation in essential services sectors. As of June 2025, the unemployment rate is 2.9%, and there's been an estimated employment growth of 1.9% over the past year.

There are 11,141 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.0% lower than Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation stands at 67.1%, higher than Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction is particularly specialized with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented at 0.6% compared to Rest of Qld's 4.5%.

Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 1.9%, labour force by 2.0%, raising unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Qld saw employment growth of 1.8% and a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. Statewide, Queensland's employment contracted by 0.23% (losing 8,070 jobs) to Sep-25, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%, compared to the national rate of 4.5%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mudgeeraba-Bonogin's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.7% over five years and 13.8% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Mudgeeraba - Bonogin has a median taxpayer income of $51,006 and an average income of $69,733 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is higher than the national average, compared with Rest of Qld's median income of $50,780 and average income of $64,844. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.71% since financial year 2022, estimated current incomes would be approximately $56,979 (median) and $77,899 (average) as of March 2025. According to census data, household income ranks at the 69th percentile ($2,052 weekly), while personal income is at the 47th percentile. Income distribution shows that 35.4% of the population (7,282 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range. This aligns with broader trends across the surrounding region, where 31.7% are in the same category. High housing costs consume 17.2% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 67th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Mudgeeraba - Bonogin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Mudgeeraba-Bonogin, as per the latest Census, consisted of 82.8% houses and 17.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Qld's 83.1% houses and 16.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mudgeeraba-Bonigun was at 27.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 52.5% and rented dwellings at 19.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,100, below Non-Metro Qld's average of $2,167. Median weekly rent was $500, matching Non-Metro Qld's figure but higher than the national average of $375. Nationally, Mudgeeraba-Bonigun's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,100 compared to Australia's average of $1,863.

Mudgeeraba - Bonogin features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 83.0% of all households, including 43.9% couples with children, 24.9% couples without children, and 13.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for 17.0%, with lone person households at 14.1% and group households making up 2.8%. The median household size is 3.0 people, aligning with the Rest of Qld average.

Mudgeeraba - Bonogin shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Mudgeeraba-Bonogin as of 2016 show 25.3% of residents aged 15+ have university degrees, compared to Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 17.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are held by 39.9% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 13.1% and certificates at 26.8%. Current formal education enrollment is 32.8%, including 12.0% in primary, 10.4% in secondary, and 4.4% in tertiary education.

As of 2020, there are six schools operating in Mudgeeraba-Bonogin educating approximately 3,957 students. The area has above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1062). There are four primary and two K-12 schools. School places per 100 residents in 2020 is 19.2, below the regional average of 34.8, indicating some students may attend schools outside Mudgeeraba-Bonogin. Note: for schools with 'n/a' enrolments data refers to parent campus.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 33 active transport stops within Mudgeeraba - Bonogin area, consisting of bus services. These stops are served by three distinct routes, offering a total of 329 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is evaluated as limited, with residents generally situated 1658 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 47 trips per day across all routes, equating to roughly 9 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Mudgeeraba - Bonogin is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Mudgeeraba-Bonogin shows better-than-average health results, with both younger and older age groups having low rates of common health issues.

About 54% (~11,190 people) have private health insurance. Common conditions include mental health problems (7.6%) and asthma (7.2%), while 72.2% reported no medical ailments, compared to 73.3% in the rest of Queensland. The area has 14.5% residents aged 65 and over (2,984 people). Seniors' health outcomes are above average, similar to the general population's profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mudgeeraba - Bonogin was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mudgeeraba-Bonogin, assessed in the period from 2016 to 2021, exhibited cultural diversity above average. During this time, 8.9% of its population spoke languages other than English at home, and 26.7% were born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 50.8%.

Judaism, however, was overrepresented compared to regional averages, with 0.2% of the population identifying as such. The top three ancestral groups based on parental birthplaces were English (32.2%), Australian (25.1%), and Scottish (7.9%). Notably, New Zealand (1.5%), South African (1.2%), and Maori (1.0%) ethnicities showed higher representation than regional averages.

Mudgeeraba - Bonogin's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Mudgeeraba-Bonogin is 39 years, lower than Rest of Qld's average of 41 but close to Australia's national average of 38. The age profile shows 5-14 year-olds make up 15.8%, while the 65-74 group comprises 8.1%. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group grew from 12.0% to 13.2%, while the 55-64 cohort decreased from 11.8% to 10.7%. By 2041, projections indicate significant shifts in Mudgeeraba-Bonogin's age structure: the 25-34 age group is expected to increase by 901 people (44%) from 2,032 to 2,934, while the 15-24 cohort grows by a modest 1% (30 people).