Wentworth Falls
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Wentworth Falls reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Wentworth Falls' population is approximately 6,461 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 33 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 6,428. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 6,438 in June 2024 and an additional 29 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 307 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Wentworth Falls has shown resilient growth with a compound annual growth rate of 0.4%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population gains during this period.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area's population is projected to decrease by 67 persons according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, notably a projected increase of 313 people in the 75 to 84 age group.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Wentworth Falls, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Wentworth Falls has averaged approximately 9 new dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, 49 homes were approved, with an additional 7 approved so far in FY26. The average population growth associated with these approvals is around 0.4 people per year.

This suggests that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and creating capacity for future population growth beyond current forecasts. The average expected construction cost value of new properties is $346,000. In FY26, there have been $180,000 in commercial development approvals, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Comparatively, Wentworth Falls shows approximately 75% of the construction activity per person compared to Greater Sydney.

Nationally, it places among the 20th percentile of areas assessed, suggesting more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing properties. This level is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New building activity in Wentworth Falls consists predominantly of detached houses at 86.0%, with townhouses or apartments making up the remaining 14.0%. This preserves the area's low-density nature and attracts space-seeking buyers. The estimated population count per dwelling approval is 1070 people, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. Population projections indicate stability or decline in Wentworth Falls, which should reduce housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Wentworth Falls has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 0 projects that are expected to impact this particular area. Notable projects include Regional NSW Road Network Safety Improvements, Paling Yards Wind Farm, Low and Mid-Rise Housing Policy, and Sydney Metro. The following details those projects likely to be most relevant.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Wentworth Falls maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Wentworth Falls has a highly educated workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate is 2.7%.

As of June 2025, there are 3,026 residents employed while the unemployment rate is 1.5% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Wentworth Falls is significantly lower at 50.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The leading employment industries among residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and public administration & safety. Education & training is particularly specialized, with an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level.

In contrast, finance & insurance employs only 2.4% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 7.3%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the Census working population count vs resident population. Over the 12 months to June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 2.3%, alongside a 2.5% employment decline, resulting in an unemployment rate rise of 0.2 percentage points. Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6%, labour force growth of 2.9%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest potential future demand within Wentworth Falls. These projections estimate national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Wentworth Falls' employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.9% over five years and 14.2% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released on June 30, 2022, Wentworth Falls had a median income among taxpayers of $46,418 with the average level standing at $67,583. This is above the national average and compares to levels of $56,994 and $80,856 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $52,271 (median) and $76,105 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Wentworth Falls, between the 37th and 37th percentiles. Income brackets indicate the largest segment comprises 28.9% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (1,867 residents), reflecting patterns seen the broader area where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 84.2% of income remaining, ranking at the 38th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Wentworth Falls is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Wentworth Falls' dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.7% houses and 4.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other'). This contrasts with Sydney metro's 92.3% houses and 7.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Wentworth Falls stood at 47.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.5% and rented ones at 17.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,080, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $2,033. Median weekly rent in Wentworth Falls was $430, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Wentworth Falls' mortgage repayments were higher at $2,080 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Wentworth Falls has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 68.8% of all households, including 25.8% couples with children, 33.2% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 31.2%, with lone person households at 28.2% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.4.

Wentworth Falls shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Wentworth Falls has a higher proportion of residents with university qualifications than the broader SA4 region and Australia. Specifically, 39.9% of Wentworth Falls residents aged 15 and above hold such qualifications, compared to 23.9% in the SA4 region and 30.4% nationally. This is driven by a high number of residents with bachelor degrees (23.6%), postgraduate qualifications (12.0%), and graduate diplomas (4.3%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 32.7% of residents aged 15 and above holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.8%) and certificates (19.9%).

Educational participation is high, with 27.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.2% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education. Wentworth Falls has three schools with a combined enrollment of 1,013 students, indicating above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1093). The educational mix includes one primary school and two K-12 schools.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Wentworth Falls has 69 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 26 different routes that together facilitate 1,046 weekly passenger trips. The transport accessibility is rated good with residents on average located 295 meters from the nearest stop.

There are an average of 149 trips per day across all routes, which translates to about 15 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Wentworth Falls is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Wentworth Falls faces significant health challenges, with common conditions prevalent among both younger and older age groups.

Approximately 53% (~3,450 people) of its population has private health cover. The most frequent medical issues are arthritis (10.9%) and mental health problems (8.9%), while 61.9% report no medical ailments, compared to 64.1% in Greater Sydney. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 31.1% (2,007 people) of the population, higher than Greater Sydney's 24.3%.

Wentworth Falls ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Wentworth Falls had a lower cultural diversity, with 78.7% born in Australia, 90.0% being citizens, and 92.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion, comprising 43.3%. Judaism was overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's 0.2%.

Top three ancestry groups were English (30.7%), Australian (23.6%), and Irish (11.8%). Scottish (9.7%) was notably overrepresented, as were French (0.9%) and Russian (0.5%) compared to regional averages of 9.0%, 0.6%, and 0.4% respectively.

Wentworth Falls ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Wentworth Falls's median age is 50 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's 37 years and the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Wentworth Falls has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (16.3%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (5.7%). This concentration of 65-74 year-olds is well above the national average of 9.4%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the proportion of residents aged 75 to 84 has grown from 8.8% to 11.4%, while the proportion of those aged 15 to 24 has increased from 8.4% to 9.6%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25 to 34 has declined from 7.3% to 5.7%. By 2041, Wentworth Falls is expected to experience notable shifts in its age composition. The demographic shift will be led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to grow by 35%, reaching 995 people from 736. This growth will be entirely due to residents aged 65 and older representing all anticipated population growth. Conversely, both the 65 to 74 and the 55 to 64 age groups are expected to decrease in number.