Lilyfield - Rozelle

An assessment of population growth drivers in Lilyfield - Rozelle reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Lilyfield - Rozelle's population was approximately 14,118 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 294 people, a 2.1% rise from the 2021 Census count of 13,824. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 14,152 in June 2024 and the addition of 13 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,921 persons per square kilometer, placing Lilyfield - Rozelle within the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch, indicating high demand for land in the area. The area's 2.1% growth since the census is within 1.3 percentage points of the SA3 area (3.4%), suggesting competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 66.4% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary population growth in Lilyfield - Rozelle.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where applicable, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics project an above median growth for statistical areas across the nation, with Lilyfield - Rozelle expected to grow by 2,882 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 20.6% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Lilyfield - Rozelle when compared nationally

Lilyfield-Rozelle has recorded approximately 68 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25342 homes were approved, with an additional 8 approved so far in FY-26. The area's population decline suggests that new supply has likely been meeting demand, providing good choices for buyers.

New properties are constructed at an average value of $999,000, indicating a focus on the premium market and high-end developments. This financial year has seen $49.3 million in commercial approvals, reflecting strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Sydney, Lilyfield-Rozelle has 64.0% more development activity per person, offering ample choice for buyers. Recent construction comprises 17.0% detached dwellings and 83.0% medium and high-density housing, creating affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This shift marks a significant departure from the current housing pattern of 32.0% houses, likely due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. The area has approximately 563 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market.

Population forecasts estimate Lilyfield-Rozelle will gain 2,916 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Lilyfield - Rozelle has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 39 projects likely to impact the area. Notable ones include Rozelle Village Mixed-Use Precinct, Rozelle Village, Balmain Shores - Harbourwatch Building G, and The Bays Metro Station Development. Below is a list of those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Lilyfield - Rozelle has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Lilyfield - Rozelle has an unemployment rate of 5.1% as of September 2025. In this period, 8,544 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.9% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

The workforce participation rate in Lilyfield - Rozelle is 70.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries for employment among residents are professional & technical, finance & insurance, and health care & social assistance. Employment levels in professional & technical services are at 1.6 times the regional average, while retail trade shows lower representation at 6.5% versus the regional average of 9.3%. Analysis of SALM and ABS data for a 12-month period ending September 2025 showed labour force increasing by 0.3%, alongside an employment decline of 0.6%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.8 percentage points in Lilyfield - Rozelle.

In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.1% and unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points during the same period. State-level data for NSW as of 25-Nov shows employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lilyfield - Rozelle's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.4% over five years and 14.6% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Lilyfield - Rozelle SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $84,339 and an average income of $122,994. These figures are notably high nationally compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth from 2022 to September 2025, estimated incomes are approximately $94,974 (median) and $138,504 (average). The 2021 Census places Lilyfield - Rozelle's household, family, and personal incomes between the 97th and 98th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 39.8% of residents earn over $4,000 weekly, contrasting with regional levels where the $1,500-$2,999 category is predominant at 30.9%. High housing costs consume 16.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 96th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Lilyfield - Rozelle displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Lilyfield-Rozelle, as per the latest Census, 32.4% of dwellings were houses while 67.6% were other types such as semi-detached homes and apartments, compared to Sydney metropolitan's 30.0% houses and 70.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lilyfield-Rozelle stood at 27.2%, similar to the Sydney metro average, with mortgaged dwellings at 33.4% and rented ones at 39.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,500, aligning with the Sydney metro average, while the median weekly rent was $600, matching Sydney's figure. Nationally, Lilyfield-Rozelle's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Lilyfield - Rozelle features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 66.4% of all households, including 30.3% couples with children, 26.8% couples without children, and 8.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 33.6%, with lone person households at 29.4% and group households comprising 4.2%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

Lilyfield - Rozelle demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Lilyfield-Rozelle is notable with 55.4% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications, surpassing the national average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%. This high educational attainment positions the area favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 34.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 16.6% and graduate diplomas at 4.5%. Vocational pathways account for 21.5% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 10.6% and certificates at 10.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 27.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.2% in primary education, 6.6% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The transport analysis indicates 46 active stops operating within Lilyfield-Rozelle, offering a mix of light rail and bus services. These stops are served by 30 individual routes, collectively facilitating 9,043 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 162 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 1,291 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 196 weekly trips per individual stop.

Lilyfield - Rozelle's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in Lilyfield-Rozelle, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 79% of the total population (11,209 people) has private health cover, significantly higher than the national average of 55.3%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 8.2% and 7.1% of residents respectively. A majority of residents, 73.8%, report being completely clear of medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 73.2%. The area has a senior population (aged 65 and over) of 14.6% (2,056 people), with health outcomes among seniors broadly aligning with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Lilyfield - Rozelle was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Lilyfield-Rozelle, surveyed in June-August 2016, had a higher proportion of residents speaking a language other than English at home, with 15.6%, compared to the majority of local areas. Born overseas, 29.9% of Lilyfield-Rozelle's population was recorded in 2016. Christianity was the predominant religion, making up 41.7%.

Judaism, however, showed a slight overrepresentation at 0.5% compared to Greater Sydney's 0.7%. The top three ancestry groups were English (26.3%), Australian (19.9%), and Irish (11.0%). Notably, Hungarian residents were slightly more prevalent in Lilyfield-Rozelle at 0.5%, compared to the regional figure of 0.4%. Similarly, Welsh residents comprised 0.8% versus 0.7% regionally, and French residents made up 0.8% each in both areas.

Lilyfield - Rozelle's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Lilyfield - Rozelle's median age is 40, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 37 and Australia's 38 years. The 45-54 age group is notably over-represented at 16.0%, while the 15-24 age group is under-represented at 9.9%. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 8.2% to 9.9%, while the 35-44 cohort has decreased from 17.9% to 16.7%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant growth in the 75-84 age cohort, from 698 to 1,290 people (an increase of 591 people or 85%). The 5-14 age group is projected to grow by a modest 1%, adding 19 people.