Lilyfield - Rozelle

An assessment of population growth drivers in Lilyfield - Rozelle reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Lilyfield - Rozelle's population was around 14,168 as of November 2025. This showed an increase of 344 people, a 2.5% rise from the 2021 Census figure of 13,824. The change was inferred from the ABS estimated resident population of 14,152 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a population density of 3,935 persons per square kilometer, placing Lilyfield - Rozelle in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's 2.5% growth since the census was within 1.3 percentage points of the SA3 area's 3.8%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 66.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch used the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group were applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics projected an above median growth for statistical areas nationally, with Lilyfield - Rozelle expected to grow by 2,882 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 20.2% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Lilyfield - Rozelle when compared nationally

Lilyfield-Rozelle has recorded approximately 68 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25342 homes were approved, with an additional 11 approved in FY26 as of now. The area's population decline suggests that new supply is likely meeting demand, providing good options for buyers.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $999,000, indicating a focus on the premium market by developers. This year has seen $49.3 million in commercial approvals registered, suggesting strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Sydney, Lilyfield-Rozelle has 64.0% more development activity per capita. Recent construction comprises 17.0% detached dwellings and 83.0% medium to high-density housing, marking a shift from the current 32.0% houses. This focus on higher-density living offers more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. The area has approximately 563 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market.

Population forecasts estimate Lilyfield-Rozelle will gain 2,866 residents by 2041. Construction pace is maintaining with projected growth, but buyers may face increasing competition as population increases.

Lilyfield - Rozelle has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

The performance of an area can be significantly influenced by changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 39 such projects that could impact the area. Notable projects include Rozelle Village Mixed-Use Precinct, Rozelle Village, Balmain Shores - Harbourwatch Building G, and The Bays Metro Station Development. A list detailing those most relevant is provided below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Lilyfield - Rozelle has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Lilyfield - Rozelle has an unemployment rate of 5.1% as of September 2025. The area's workforce participation is high at 76.6%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses in 2025, 65.8% of residents work from home.

Key industries for employment among residents are professional & technical, finance & insurance, and health care & social assistance. The area has a notable concentration in professional & technical services, with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average. However, retail trade shows lower representation at 6.5% versus the regional average of 9.3%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data.

In the 12-month period prior to September 2025, labour force increased by 0.3%, while employment declined by 0.6%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.8 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years for Lilyfield - Rozelle's employment mix, based on industry-specific projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released on June 30, 2023, Lilyfield - Rozelle SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $86,982 with an average level standing at $123,688. Nationally, this is exceptionally high compared to levels of $60,817 and $83,003 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $94,689 (median) and $134,647 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Lilyfield - Rozelle rank highly nationally, between the 97th and 98th percentiles. Income analysis reveals that the $4000+ bracket dominates with 39.8% of residents (5,638 people), differing from regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 30.9%. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 50.9% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. High housing costs consume 16.5% of income, however strong earnings still place disposable income at the 96th percentile nationally and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Lilyfield - Rozelle displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

As of the latest Census, Lilyfield-Rozelle's dwellings comprised 32.4% houses and 67.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lilyfield-Rozelle was at 27.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 33.4% and rented ones at 39.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,500, above Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Lilyfield-Rozelle was $600, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Lilyfield-Rozelle's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than Australia's average of $1,863, and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Lilyfield - Rozelle features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 66.4% of all households, including 30.3% couples with children, 26.8% couples without children, and 8.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 33.6%, with lone person households at 29.4% and group households comprising 4.2% of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Lilyfield - Rozelle demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Lilyfield-Rozelle exceeds broader benchmarks. 55.4% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.2% statewide. University graduates comprise 34.3%, postgraduate qualifications are held by 16.6%, and graduate diplomas by 4.5%. Vocational pathways account for 21.5% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 10.6% and certificates at 10.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 27.5% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.2% in primary, 6.6% in secondary, and 6.0% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows that Lilyfield-Rozelle has 79 active public transport stops offering a mix of light rail and bus services. These stops are served by 31 different routes, collectively handling 11,602 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 164 meters to the nearest stop. The area is primarily residential, with most residents commuting outward using various modes: car (67%), bus (12%), walking (9%). Vehicle ownership stands at 0.8 per dwelling, below the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a high proportion of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 1,657 trips daily across all routes, amounting to approximately 146 weekly trips per individual stop.

Lilyfield - Rozelle's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Lilyfield - Rozelle. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover was exceptionally high at approximately 79% of the total population (11,164 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions were mental health issues affecting 8.2% of residents and asthma impacting 7.1%. A total of 73.8% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents had low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 14.6% of residents aged 65 and over (2,064 people). Health outcomes among seniors were particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Lilyfield - Rozelle was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Lilyfield-Rozelle has a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 15.6% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 29.9% born overseas. Christianity is the dominant religion in Lilyfield-Rozelle, comprising 41.7% of its population. Judaism, however, is more prevalent here compared to Greater Sydney, making up 0.5% versus 0.8%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (26.3%), Australian (19.9%), and Irish (11.0%). Notably, Hungarian (0.5%) Welsh (0.8%), and French (0.8%) ethnicities have higher representation in Lilyfield-Rozelle compared to regional averages of 0.3%, 0.4%, and 0.5% respectively.

Lilyfield - Rozelle's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Lilyfield - Rozelle has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38. The 45-54 age group is notably over-represented in Lilyfield-Rozelle at 16.0%, compared to the Greater Sydney average. Meanwhile, the 15-24 age group is under-represented at 9.9%. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of 15-24 year-olds has increased from 8.2% to 9.9%, while the 35-44 age group has decreased from 17.9% to 16.7%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Lilyfield-Rozelle's age profile. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to grow by 84%, from 701 people to 1,290. Conversely, the 5-14 age group is expected to grow by a modest 1%, adding 13 people.