Bruny Island - Kettering
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Bruny Island - Kettering are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Bruny Island - Kettering's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 3670, an increase of 223 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents a 6.5% rise from the previous population count of 3447. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 3607 in June 2024 and an additional 98 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 8.3 persons per square kilometer. Bruny Island - Kettering's growth rate exceeded the state average of 4.8% during this period, positioning it as a regional growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 68.7% to overall population gains, with other factors such as interstate migration and natural growth also being positive influences.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, the Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections are adopted, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021, and adjusted using weighted aggregation methods from LGA to SA2 levels. Looking ahead, demographic trends suggest a population increase just below the median for Australia's non-metropolitan areas by 2041. Based on current numbers, the area is expected to gain approximately 440 persons by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 10.3% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Bruny Island - Kettering when compared nationally

Bruny Island - Kettering has seen approximately 22 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 113 homes. As of FY-26, 9 approvals have been recorded. On average, 2.6 people moved to the area per new home constructed between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating strong demand that supports property values. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $287,000.

This financial year has also seen $154,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to the Rest of Tas., Bruny Island - Kettering has 12.0% less new development per person but ranks among the 77th percentile nationally. Recent development has consisted entirely of detached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes.

With around 166 people per approval, Bruny Island - Kettering is considered a developing area. Population forecasts indicate it will gain 377 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Bruny Island - Kettering has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 6thth percentile nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 0 projects that are anticipated to have an impact on this particular area. Notable projects include Hobart City Deal, Greater Hobart Urban Growth Boundary Extension, Tasmanian Irrigation Schemes: Tranche 3, and Cethana Pumped Hydro Energy Storage Project. The following list provides details about those projects deemed most relevant.

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While Bruny Island - Kettering retains a healthy unemployment rate of 2.6%, recent employment declines have impacted its national performance ranking

Bruny Island - Kettering has a well-educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 2.6%.

As of June 2025, there are 1,474 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.3% lower than the Rest of Tas.'s rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation is at 50.6%, compared to Rest of Tas.'s 55.7%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Professional & technical services have notable concentration with employment levels at 1.9 times the regional average.

Retail trade employs only 6.2% of local workers, below Rest of Tas.'s 10.1%. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census data showing fewer working residents than expected based on population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, the labour force decreased by 5.1%, with a 5.8% decline in employment, leading to an unemployment rate rise of 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Tas. experienced milder declines in employment (0.5%) and labour force (0.6%). Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bruny Island - Kettering's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.2%% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Bruny Island - Kettering had a median income among taxpayers of $43,905 and an average of $59,964. These figures are lower than the national averages. The Rest of Tas.'s median was $47,358 with an average of $57,384. Using Wage Price Index growth of 13.83% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $49,977 (median) and $68,257 (average). The 2021 Census figures place Bruny Island - Kettering's household, family and personal incomes between the 19th and 20th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows that 29.2% of locals (1,071 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to regional levels at 28.5%. Despite modest housing costs allowing for 89.3% income retention, total disposable income ranks at just the 27th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Bruny Island - Kettering is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Bruny Island - Kettering's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consists of 96.9% houses and 3.1% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Tas. has 96.8% houses and 3.2% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Bruny Island - Kettering is 57.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.2% and rented ones at 10.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area is $1,450, while the median weekly rent is $300. Nationally, Bruny Island - Kettering's mortgage repayments are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Bruny Island - Kettering has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 72.1 percent of all households, including 22.0 percent couples with children, 42.5 percent couples without children, and 7.1 percent single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 27.9 percent, with lone person households at 26.7 percent and group households comprising 1.1 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Tas. average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Bruny Island - Kettering exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Bruny Island - Kettering shows that 33.8% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to 19.3% in the rest of Tasmania and 21.0% in the SA4 region. The most common university qualification is a bachelor degree, held by 21.0% of residents, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 8.9%, and graduate diplomas at 3.9%. Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 36.7% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (12.9%) and certificates (23.8%). A significant portion of the population is actively pursuing formal education, with 24.5% engaged in it, including 9.6% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 3.2% in tertiary education. Educational provision includes Woodbridge School and Bruny Island District School, serving a total of 395 students.

The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1022) with balanced educational opportunities, comprising one primary school and one K-12 school. School capacity exceeds residential needs, with 10.8 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 8.7, indicating that the area serves as an educational center for the broader region.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bruny Island - Kettering has 29 active public transport stops. These are served by a mix of buses along 46 different routes. This results in 5049 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is limited, with residents typically located 6351 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 721 trips per day across all routes, equating to about 174 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Bruny Island - Kettering is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Bruny Island - Kettering faces significant health challenges, with common conditions prevalent across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 50% (~1,816 people) have private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.3%. The most common conditions are arthritis (12.2%) and mental health issues (8.8%).

Around 63.7% report no medical ailments, slightly higher than Rest of Tas.'s 62.7%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 33.0% (1,212 people), compared to 25.4% in Rest of Tas.. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are above average, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

Bruny Island - Kettering ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bruny Island-Kettering, as per the census conducted on 9 August 2016, showed a lower than average cultural diversity with 79.3% of its residents born in Australia and 89.1% being Australian citizens. English was spoken at home by 94.9% of the population. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 33.3% of the population.

While Judaism's representation was similar to the rest of Tasmania at 0.1%, there were notable overrepresentations in other religions: Dutch (1.9% vs regional 1.7%), French (0.8% vs regional 0.5%), and Welsh (0.7% vs regional 0.6%). In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (34.9%), Australian (26.1%), and Scottish (10.2%).

Bruny Island - Kettering ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

The median age in Bruny Island - Kettering is 54 years, significantly higher than Rest of Tas.'s average of 45 years and Australia's average of 38 years. The 65-74 age group comprises 19.1% of the population, compared to Rest of Tas., while the 25-34 cohort makes up 5.6%. This is notably higher than the national average of 9.4%. According to the 2021 Census, the 75-84 age group has grown from 8.5% to 11.6%, while the 55-64 cohort has declined from 18.3% to 16.3%, and the 65-74 group has dropped from 20.4% to 19.1%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Bruny Island - Kettering's age structure. The 45-54 cohort is projected to grow by 43%, adding 199 residents to reach 668. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 65-74 cohorts.