Bruny Island - Kettering

Population growth drivers in Bruny Island - Kettering are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Bruny Island - Kettering's population is around 3,633 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 186 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,447 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 3,607 from ABS in June 2024 and an additional 99 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 8.2 persons per square kilometer. Bruny Island - Kettering's growth rate of 5.4% since the 2021 census exceeded the state's rate of 5.3%. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 68.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections are adopted with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Anticipating future population dynamics, the area is expected to increase by 440 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an overall increase of 11.4% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Bruny Island - Kettering when compared nationally

Bruny Island - Kettering has seen approximately 22 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 113 homes. As of FY-26, 12 approvals have been recorded. On average, each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25 has resulted in an increase of 2.6 new residents per year, indicating strong demand that supports property values. The average construction cost value for these new homes is $287,000.

In the current financial year, there have been $154,000 worth of commercial approvals, suggesting minimal commercial development activity in the area. Compared to the rest of Tasmania, Bruny Island - Kettering has 12.0% less new development per person but ranks among the 77th percentile nationally. All new construction since FY-21 has been detached houses, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

With approximately 166 people per approval, Bruny Island - Kettering reflects a low-density population. According to AreaSearch quarterly estimates, the area is forecasted to gain 414 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Bruny Island - Kettering has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 23rdth percentile nationally

No infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch as likely to impact this area. Key projects include Hobart City Deal, Greater Hobart Urban Growth Boundary Extension, Tasmanian Irrigation Schemes: Tranche 3, and Cethana Pumped Hydro Energy Storage Project.

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The labour market in Bruny Island - Kettering demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Bruny Island - Kettering has an unemployment rate of 2.3% as of September 2025, with 1,508 residents employed. This is 1.5% lower than the Rest of Tas.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation in the area is 49.9%, compared to Rest of Tas.'s 58.6%.

According to Census responses, 18.8% of residents work from home. The leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Professional & technical services have notable concentration, with employment levels at 1.9 times the regional average. Retail trade employs only 6.2% of local workers, lower than Rest of Tas.'s 10.1%.

Over the year to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 2.2%, and employment fell by 2.0%, leading to a 0.2 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bruny Island - Kettering's employment mix indicates potential local employment increases of 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

The Bruny Island-Kettering SA2 has a lower income level than the national average according to the latest Australian Taxation Office (ATO) data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in this area is $46,229, with an average income of $60,874. This compares to figures for Rest of Tas., which has a median income of $49,689 and an average income of $59,358. Based on the Wage Price Index growth of 9.6% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $50,667 for median income and $66,718 for average income as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family, and personal incomes in Bruny Island-Kettering all fall between the 18th and 19th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that 29.2% of individuals (1,060 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, which is consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 28.5% in the same category. While housing costs are modest, with 89.3% of income retained, total disposable income ranks at just the 27th percentile nationally. The area's Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA) income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Bruny Island - Kettering is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Bruny Island - Kettering's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, were 96.9% houses and 3.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Tas.'s 89.9% houses and 10.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bruny Island - Kettering was 57.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.2% and rented ones at 10.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,450, higher than Non-Metro Tas.'s average of $1,274. Median weekly rent in the area was $300, compared to Non-Metro Tas.'s $250. Nationally, Bruny Island - Kettering's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,450 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Bruny Island - Kettering has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 72.1% of all households, including 22.0% couples with children, 42.5% couples without children, and 7.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 27.9%, with lone person households at 26.7% and group households comprising 1.1%. The median household size is 2.2 people, smaller than the Rest of Tas average of 2.3.

The educational profile of Bruny Island - Kettering exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment on Bruny Island - Kettering shows that 33.8% of residents aged 15 and above have university qualifications, compared to 19.3% in the rest of Tasmania and 21.0% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are most common at 21.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 8.9% and graduate diplomas at 3.9%. Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 36.7% of residents aged 15 and above holding them, including advanced diplomas at 12.9% and certificates at 23.8%. A total of 24.5% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, which includes 9.6% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 3.2% in tertiary education.

A substantial 24.5% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 9.6% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 3.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bruny Island - Kettering has 29 active public transport stops serviced by 83 routes. These provide a total of 6,351 weekly passenger trips. Residents have limited access to transport, with an average distance of 6351 meters to the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward using cars, which are used by 89% of residents. Walking is used by 6%. The area has an average vehicle ownership of 1.8 per dwelling, above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 18.8% of residents work from home. Service frequency averages 907 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 219 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Bruny Island - Kettering is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Bruny Island - Kettering exhibits superior health outcomes as per AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both younger and older age groups display low incidence of common health conditions.

Private health insurance coverage is relatively low at approximately 49% (~1,787 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 12.2%) and mental health issues (impacting 8.8%). Notably, 63.7% claim to be free from any medical ailments, slightly higher than the Rest of Tas. figure at 62.0%. Working-age residents show a higher-than-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over (1,207 people), at 33.2%, compared to Rest of Tas.'s 24.9%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Bruny Island - Kettering ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bruny Island-Kettering had a cultural diversity below average, with 79.3% of its population born in Australia and 89.1% being citizens. English was spoken at home by 94.9%. Christianity was the main religion, comprising 33.3% of the population.

Judaism was overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to 0.1% across Rest of Tas.. The top three ancestry groups were English (34.9%), Australian (26.1%) and Scottish (10.2%). Dutch (1.9%), French (0.8%) and Welsh (0.7%) were notably overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.7%, 0.3% and 0.4% respectively.

Bruny Island - Kettering ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Bruny Island - Kettering's median age is 53 years, which is higher than Tasmania's average of 45 and older than Australia's norm of 38. The age profile shows that the 65-74 year-olds make up 18.7%, while those aged 25-34 constitute only 5.6%. This concentration of people aged 65-74 is higher than the national average of 9.5%. Between 2021 and present, the population aged 75 to 84 has grown from 8.5% to 11.9%, while those aged 55 to 64 have decreased from 18.3% to 15.9%, and the 65-74 group has dropped from 20.4% to 18.7%. By 2041, projections indicate that the 45-54 age cohort will increase significantly by 207 people (45%), from 460 to 668. Conversely, the populations aged 0-4 and 65-74 are expected to decrease.