Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay

Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay's population is around 11,481 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 430 people (3.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,051 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 11,354 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 101 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 515 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay's 3.9% growth since the census positions it within 1.0 percentage points of the SA4 region (4.9%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 76.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth by age group in the years post-2032, the Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year, are adopted with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. As we examine future population trends, a population increase just below the median of national areas is expected, with the area expected to expand by 502 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 3.3% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay has averaged around 34 new dwelling approvals per year, with 174 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 4 so far in FY-26. With an average of 1.4 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply and demand appear well-balanced, creating stable market conditions, while new homes are being built at an average construction value of $312,000. Additionally, $1.2 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, indicating minimal commercial development activity.

When measured against Greater Hobart, Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and places in the 38th percentile of areas assessed nationally, meaning somewhat limited buyer options and strengthening demand for established properties. This activity is likewise lower than the national average, reflecting market maturity and pointing to possible development constraints. Meanwhile, recent development has been entirely comprised of standalone homes, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated count of 444 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low-activity development environment.

Looking ahead, Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay is expected to grow by 375 residents through to 2041 (based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 17thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 15 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Illawarra Rise Estate, Blackmans Bay Primary School Redevelopment and Expansion, Kings Quarter (Kingston Park Masterplan), and Blackmans Bay Central Masterplan Redevelopment, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay possesses a well-educated workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of just 2.4%, and relative employment stability over the past year. As of December 2025, 5,946 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 1.6% below Greater Hobart's rate of 4.0%, and workforce participation is on par with Greater Hobart's 64.0%. Based on Census responses, a low 12.6% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, education & training, and public administration & safety. The area has a particular employment specialization in education & training, with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level. Conversely, retail trade shows lower representation at 7.7% versus the regional average of 9.6%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw the labour force decrease by 0.1% combined with employment decreasing by 0.1%, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable. In contrast, Greater Hobart experienced employment growth of 0.1% and a labour force decline of 0.1%, with a 0.2 percentage point drop. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.9% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $55,212 and an average of $67,898 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is approximately average nationally, contrasting with Greater Hobart's median income of $54,577 and average income of $65,190. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.6% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $60,512 (median) and $74,416 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay cluster around the 57th percentile nationally. Looking at income distribution, the largest segment comprises 32.5% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (3,731 residents), aligning with the region where this cohort likewise represents 32.2%. After housing costs, residents retain 87.7% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 91.1% houses and 9.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Hobart metro's 85.3% houses and 14.7% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay was well beyond that of Hobart metro, at 44.2%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (34.9%) or rented (20.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Hobart metro average at $1,685, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $400, compared to Hobart metro's $1,517 and $350. Nationally, Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay's mortgage repayments are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are exceeding the national figure of $375.

Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 73.8% of all households, comprising 31.2% couples with children, 31.4% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 26.2%, with lone person households at 23.3% and group households comprising 2.9% of the total. The median household size of 2.5 people is larger than the Greater Hobart average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 38.6% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 25.5% in TAS and 30.4% in Australia. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 23.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.6%) and graduate diplomas (4.5%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 30.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.7%) and certificates (19.4%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 5.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 62 active transport stops operating within Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 144 individual routes, collectively providing 11,354 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 340 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 88%, with 8% by bus. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A relatively low 12.6% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 1,622 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 183 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay demonstrates above-average health outcomes, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is quite low across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover just leads that of the average SA2 area at approximately 53% of the total population (~6,039 people).

The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 10.0 and 9.1% of residents, respectively, while 66.0% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 65.5% across Greater Hobart. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 25.5% of residents aged 65 and over (2,929 people), which is higher than the 19.9% in Greater Hobart. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay is roughly in line with the wider region's average in terms of cultural diversity, with 78.0% of its population born in Australia, 89.4% being citizens, and 89.9% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay is Christianity, which makes up 43.9% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Judaism, which comprises 0.2% of the population, compared to 0.1% across Greater Hobart.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay are English, comprising 32.7% of the population, Australian, comprising 24.9% of the population, and Irish, comprising 8.9% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Dutch is notably overrepresented at 3.2% of Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay (vs 1.5% regionally), South Australian at 0.8% (vs 0.2%) and Scottish at 8.6% (vs 7.0%).

Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay's median age exceeds the national pattern

The 43-year median age in Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay is significantly above Greater Hobart's average of 39 and similarly considerably older than Australia's 38 years. Relative to Greater Hobart, Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay has a higher concentration of 65 - 74 residents (13.9%) but fewer 25 - 34 year-olds (9.4%). Following the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 6.9% to 8.8% of the population. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 10.9% to 9.4% and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 12.2% to 11.0%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections reveal significant shifts in Kingston Beach - Blackmans Bay's age structure. Leading the demographic shift, the 45 to 54 group will grow by 43% (625 people), reaching 2,078 from 1,452. Conversely, the 65 to 74 and 0 to 4 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.