Geeveston - Dover

Population growth drivers in Geeveston - Dover are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Geeveston - Dover's population is around 4,501 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 450 people (11.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,051 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 4,383 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 137 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 5.4 persons per square kilometer, providing ample space per person. Geeveston - Dover's 11.1% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the state (5.3%) and the Rest of Tas., marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration, which contributed approximately 48.1% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers, including overseas migration and natural growth, were positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth by age group in the years post-2032, the Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year, are adopted with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Considering the projected demographic shifts, an above-median population growth for national regional areas is projected, with the area expected to increase by 615 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 11.0% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Geeveston - Dover among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Geeveston - Dover has recorded around 35 residential properties granted approval each year, with 179 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 11 so far in FY-26. With an average of 2.5 new residents per year for each dwelling over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), suggesting solid demand that supports property values, new homes are being built at an average value of $255,000. There have also been $3.2 million in commercial approvals this financial year, indicating a limited commercial development focus.

Compared to the Rest of Tas., Geeveston - Dover records somewhat elevated construction (18.0% above regional average per person over the 5 year period), preserving reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. Recent construction comprises 88.0% detached dwellings and 12.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The location has approximately 133 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market.

Looking ahead, Geeveston - Dover is expected to grow by 497 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Geeveston - Dover has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 30thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 2 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Huon Link Road, Huonville ReImagined: Crafting a Future Huonville, Greater Hobart Urban Growth Boundary Extension, and Tasmanian Irrigation Schemes: Tranche 3, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Geeveston - Dover has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Geeveston - Dover features a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation, an unemployment rate of only 3.6%, and 4.9% estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 1,789 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 0.3% below Regional Tas.'s rate of 3.8%, and workforce participation lags significantly (49.2% compared to Regional Tas.'s 58.9%). Based on Census responses, a moderate 14.0% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents include agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area has a particular employment specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share 3.1 times the regional level. Conversely, health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 11.2% versus the regional average of 16.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 4.9% while the labour force increased by 4.1%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.7 percentage points. This contrasts with Regional Tas., where employment rose by 1.8%, the labour force grew by 1.5%, and unemployment fell 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Geeveston - Dover. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Geeveston - Dover's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.3% over five years and 11.7% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Geeveston - Dover SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $44,289 with the average level standing at $53,624. This is lower than average on a national basis and compares to levels of $49,689 and $59,358 across Regional Tas. respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.6% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $48,541 (median) and $58,772 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Geeveston - Dover all fall between the 5th and 6th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals the $400 - 799 earnings band captures 29.6% of the community (1,332 individuals), contrasting with the broader area where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 28.5%. While housing costs are modest with 88.0% of income retained, the total disposable income ranks at just the 9th percentile nationally.

Geeveston - Dover is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Geeveston - Dover, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 97.6% houses and 2.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional Tas.'s 89.9% houses and 10.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Geeveston - Dover was well beyond that of Regional Tas., at 50.7%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (34.9%) or rented (14.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Regional Tas. average at $1,083, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $280, compared to Regional Tas.'s $1,274 and $250. Nationally, Geeveston - Dover's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Geeveston - Dover features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 66.3% of all households, comprising 21.7% couples with children, 34.4% couples without children, and 9.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 33.7%, with lone person households at 31.0% and group households comprising 3.0% of the total. The median household size of 2.2 people is smaller than the Regional Tas. average of 2.3.

Geeveston - Dover faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (19.5%) substantially below the Australian average of 30.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 12.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 38.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.4%) and certificates (28.5%).

A substantial 24.2% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 6.5% in secondary education, and 2.5% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Geeveston - Dover is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Geeveston - Dover faces significant health challenges, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 47% of the total population (~2,097 people). This compares to 49.1% across Regional Tas. The national average is 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 12.8% and 10.2% of residents, respectively, while 60.4% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 62.0% across Regional Tas. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 28.9% of residents aged 65 and over (1,302 people), which is higher than the 24.9% in Regional Tas. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Geeveston - Dover is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Geeveston - Dover was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 88.8% of its population being citizens, 83.8% born in Australia, and 95.9% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Geeveston - Dover is Christianity, which makes up 39.3% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Other, which comprises 0.8% of the population, compared to 0.7% across Regional Tas..

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Geeveston - Dover are English, comprising 32.8% of the population, Australian, comprising 29.4% of the population, and Irish, comprising 8.6% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Australian Aboriginal is notably overrepresented at 7.4% of Geeveston - Dover (vs 4.1% regionally), New Zealand at 0.8% (vs 0.4%) and Hungarian at 0.3% (vs 0.1%).

Geeveston - Dover ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

The 50-year median age in Geeveston - Dover is significantly above Regional Tas.'s average of 45 and similarly well above the national norm of 38. Compared to the Regional Tas. average, the 65 - 74 cohort is notably over-represented (16.5% locally), while 15 - 24 year-olds are under-represented (8.1%). This 65 - 74 concentration is well above the national 9.5%. In the period since 2021, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 7.5% to 10.8% of the population, while the 25 to 34 cohort increased from 8.5% to 10.1%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 18.8% to 16.5% and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 10.8% to 9.8%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Geeveston - Dover. The 75 to 84 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 45%, adding 216 residents to reach 702. Senior residents (65+) will drive 61% of population growth, underscoring demographic aging trends. Conversely, both 15 to 24 and 5 to 14 age groups will see reduced numbers.