Geeveston - Dover

Population growth drivers in Geeveston - Dover are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

AreaSearch's analysis shows Geeveston-Dover's population is approximately 4,501 as of February 2026. This figure reflects an increase of 450 people (11.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,051. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 4,383 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 137 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 5.4 persons per square kilometer. Geeveston-Dover's growth of 11.1% since the 2021 census exceeded the state average of 5.3%. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration, contributing approximately 48.1% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Considering projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is projected for the area, expected to increase by 615 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an overall increase of 11.0% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Geeveston - Dover among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Geeveston-Dover has recorded approximately 35 residential properties granted approval each year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25179 homes were approved, with an additional 11 approved so far in FY26. On average, over these five years, each dwelling was expected to accommodate 2.5 new residents annually, indicating strong demand that supports property values.

The average construction cost value of new homes during this period was $255,000. In the current financial year, there have been $3.2 million in commercial approvals, suggesting limited focus on commercial development. Compared to the rest of Tasmania, Geeveston-Dover has recorded somewhat elevated construction activity, with an 18.0% increase per person over the five-year period, providing reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand.

Recent construction comprises 88.0% detached dwellings and 12.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character focused on family homes. The location has approximately 133 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Geeveston-Dover is expected to grow by 497 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Geeveston - Dover has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 30thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects that could affect this region. Notable projects include Huon Link Road, Huonville ReImagined: Crafting a Future Huonville, Greater Hobart Urban Growth Boundary Extension, and Tasmanian Irrigation Schemes: Tranche 3. The following list details those most relevant.

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Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Despite maintaining a low unemployment rate of 3.5%, Geeveston - Dover has experienced recent job losses, resulting in a below average employment performance ranking when compared nationally

Geeveston-Dover has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation and an unemployment rate of 3.5% as of September 2025. It has 1,732 residents in work, with an unemployment rate of 0.3% lower than Rest of Tas.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation is significantly lower at 47.6%, compared to Rest of Tas.'s 58.6%.

According to Census responses, 14.0% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in agriculture, forestry & fishing (3.1 times the regional average), health care & social assistance (11.2%), and education & training. Over the year to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 1.9%, with employment declining by the same percentage, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 3.5%. In contrast, Rest of Tas.

saw employment grow by 0.7% and labour force growth by 0.5%, with a drop in unemployment rate of 0.2 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 project growth rates differing significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Geeveston-Dover's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.3% over five years and 11.7% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not consider localised population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Geeveston - Dover SA2 had a median income of $44,289 and an average of $53,624 among taxpayers. This is below the national average. Rest of Tas., in comparison, had a median income of $49,689 and an average of $59,358. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.6% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Geeveston - Dover as of September 2025 would be approximately $48,541 (median) and $58,772 (average). According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Geeveston - Dover fall between the 5th and 6th percentiles nationally. The $400 - 799 earnings band captures 29.6% of the community (1,332 individuals), unlike surrounding regions where a higher percentage falls within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. Housing costs are modest, with 88.0% of income retained, but total disposable income ranks at just the 9th percentile nationally.

Geeveston - Dover is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Geeveston - Dover, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.6% houses and 2.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro Tas. had 89.9% houses and 10.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Geeveston - Dover stood at 50.7%, with the rest being mortgaged (34.9%) or rented (14.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,083, lower than Non-Metro Tas.'s average of $1,274. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $280, compared to Non-Metro Tas.'s $250. Nationally, Geeveston - Dover's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Geeveston - Dover features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 66.3% of all households, including 21.7% couples with children, 34.4% couples without children, and 9.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 33.7%, with lone person households at 31.0% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 2.2 people, smaller than the Rest of Tas. average of 2.3.

Geeveston - Dover faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 19.5%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.4%) and certificates (28.5%). A total of 24.2% of the population is actively engaged in formal education, comprising 10.6% in primary, 6.5% in secondary, and 2.5% in tertiary education.

A substantial 24.2% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 6.5% in secondary education, and 2.5% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Geeveston - Dover is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Geeveston-Dover faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 47% of the total population (around 2,097 people), compared to 49.1% in Rest of Tas.

and the national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 12.8 and 10.2% of residents respectively. However, 60.4% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 62.0% in Rest of Tas. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 28.9% of residents aged 65 and over (1,302 people), higher than the 24.9% in Rest of Tas. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than those of the general population.

Geeveston - Dover is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Geeveston-Dover has below average cultural diversity, with 88.8% of its population being citizens and 83.8% born in Australia. English is the language spoken at home by 95.9%. Christianity is the predominant religion, accounting for 39.3%.

The 'Other' religious category comprises 0.8%, slightly higher than the regional average of 0.7%. In terms of ancestry, the top groups are English (32.8%), Australian (29.4%), and Irish (8.6%). Notable differences exist in the representation of certain ethnicities: Australian Aboriginal is overrepresented at 7.4% compared to 4.1% regionally, New Zealand at 0.8% vs 0.4%, and Hungarian at 0.3% vs 0.1%.

Geeveston - Dover ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

The median age in Geeveston - Dover is significantly higher than the Rest of Tas.'s average of 45 years, and well above the national norm of 38 years. Compared to the Rest of Tas. average, the 65-74 cohort is notably over-represented at 16.5% locally, while the 15-24 year-olds are under-represented at 8.1%. This 65-74 concentration is well above the national average of 9.5%. From 2021 to present, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 7.5% to 10.8%, and the 25 to 34 cohort increased from 8.5% to 10.1%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort declined from 18.8% to 16.5%, and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 10.8% to 9.8%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Geeveston - Dover, with the 75 to 84 cohort projected to grow by 45%, adding 216 residents to reach 702. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive 61% of population growth, highlighting demographic aging trends. Both the 15 to 24 and 5 to 14 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.