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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Geeveston - Dover has an estimated 4,454 residents, up from 4,051 at the 2021 Census — a change of 403 people, or 9.9%. Growth has averaged 1.7% a year over five years. 164 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Overseas migration accounts for 49.5% of that increase. Fewer than ten people live on each square kilometre, across a boundary that takes in surrounding rural land. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to AreaSearch, the population of Geeveston - Dover stands at approximately 4,454 as of Aug 2026. This represents a gain of 403 people (9.9%) compared to the 4,051 residents recorded in the 2021 Census. Such growth is calculated using the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population figure of 4,408 alongside 164 validated new addresses added after the Census. This results in a population density of 5.4 persons per square kilometer, indicating a spacious living environment. The area's 9.9% increase since the 2021 census outpaced the broader state figure of 4.2% as well as the Rest of Tas., establishing it as a regional growth outperformer.
Inflow from overseas migration served as the primary growth catalyst, generating roughly 49.5% of recent gains, while natural increase and interstate arrivals also remained in positive territory. Projections for the SA2 utilize the 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia dataset with a 2022 baseline. For areas outside this dataset and to model demographic shifts by age beyond 2032, the 2022 Tasmania State Government Regional/LGA projections (2021 baseline) are integrated via a weighted aggregation approach from LGA to SA2 geographic levels. Looking forward, population growth is projected to exceed the median for non-metropolitan areas across Australia, with ERP figures pointing to an expansion of 604 persons by 2041, representing a cumulative increase of 12.5% over the 16-year timeframe.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
145 new dwellings have been approved in Geeveston - Dover over the past five years, an average of 29 a year. That places the area in the 67th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 7 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 29 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 90% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Dwelling approvals in Geeveston - Dover have averaged roughly 29 per year, totaling 145 homes across the last 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26). Over this period (between FY-22 and FY-26), approximately 2.4 residents arrived annually for every new home built, demonstrating solid underlying demand that underpins local property values, with new residential builds averaging an expected construction cost of $386,000. Commercial approvals in the current financial year reached $3.2 million, confirming the overwhelmingly residential profile of local development. Per capita residential construction in Geeveston - Dover runs 13.0% higher than the regional benchmark for Rest of Tas.
across the 5-year span, supporting buyer availability while reinforcing local real estate demand. The development pipeline consists of 90.0% standalone houses and 10.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving a traditional low-density neighborhood fabric tailored to family living and open space. Furthermore, the region records around 160 residents per dwelling approval, underscoring an expanding residential sector. Based on the most recent quarterly estimates from AreaSearch, Geeveston - Dover is forecasted to add 558 residents by 2041. Ongoing building volumes appear well-positioned to satisfy this incoming housing demand, creating balanced conditions for purchasers and potentially laying the foundation for growth beyond current projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Geeveston - Dover
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 33 current infrastructure and development projects close to Geeveston - Dover, worth an estimated $1.52 billion. 10 are already under construction and 10 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans transport & logistics, communities, precincts & urban renewal and sports & recreation. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Strategic planning, public works, and capital investments play a critical role in shaping regional progress. AreaSearch has pinpointed 2 major initiatives expected to influence the local area. Notable projects include Huon Link Road, Huonville ReImagined: Crafting a Future Huonville, Greater Hobart Urban Growth Boundary Extension, and Tasmanian Irrigation Schemes: Tranche 3.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Huon Link Road
The Huon Link Road is a new bypass road around the eastern side of Huonville town centre, connecting the Huon Highway to the Channel Highway via Flood Road. It diverts Cygnet-bound traffic from Main Street, reducing congestion, improving safety and accessibility, and providing a reliable alternative route during floods. The project includes roundabouts at both ends and upgrades to Flood Road. It opened to traffic on March 24, 2025, and was fully completed in May 2025.
Huonville Reimagined: Crafting a Future Huonville
Huon Valley Council is preparing business cases, a master plan and detailed planning for five Huonville precincts: the Huonville Recreational and Educational Precinct, Glen Road Light Industrial Precinct, Huon Link Residential Development Precinct, Activated Foreshore and Mixed Use Precinct, and Hansens Orchard Potential Opportunity Area. The project is funded by a $4.69 million Australian Government Regional Precincts and Partnerships Program grant and is intended to guide housing choice and affordability, economic growth, education and recreation opportunities, active and public transport, public realm upgrades and climate resilience.Council adopted the related Huonville Residential and Commercial Precinct Structure Plan in 2026, providing a 20-year framework for growth and implementation planning.
Margate Main Street Masterplan 2024-2044
Council-endorsed 20-year plan (2024-2044) to revitalise Margate's Main Street with safer crossings, upgraded streetscapes, accessible public spaces, green links and staged delivery in partnership with the Tasmanian Department of State Growth.
Margate to Huntingfield Shared Pathway
Proposed off-road shared pathway for walking, wheeling and riding between Margate and Huntingfield. The jointly funded feasibility study has been completed and a preferred alignment identified. During 2024-25 preliminary design refinement was undertaken by Transport Services with Kingborough Council. As of July 2026, construction remains unfunded, while Kingborough Council is actively advocating for State and Federal funding and progression to detailed design.
Huntingfield Land Release
Government-led subdivision delivering about 460 lots in Kingborough. As of June 2026, construction has begun on the first new homes, with stage 2 lots released for sale as house and land packages. Approximately 15 percent of lots will be kept for social and affordable rental housing, alongside a planned commercial zone and 37.5 ha of open space.
Spring Farm Village
A $50 million next-generation retail precinct in Kingston, Tasmania, developed by Tipalea Partners. It features the largest Coles supermarket in Kingston at 4,200 sqm with drive-through click and collect, Chemist Warehouse's first regional superstore, a medical centre, outdoor dining, and over 15 specialty retailers. The centre includes sustainable features such as a full solar array, electric vehicle charging stations, free Wi-Fi, and cloud-based CCTV. Construction began in early 2025 and is expected to be completed by mid-2026, creating over 1,100 jobs during construction and operation.
Tasmania Devils AFL High Performance Centre
A 115 million dollar high-performance training and administration facility for the Tasmania Devils AFL and AFLW teams at the Kingborough Sports Precinct. The state-of-the-art hub features a full gymnasium, recovery pools, infrared saunas, and an indoor training field. It includes a 80-seat lecture theatre, medical suites, and administrative space for 80 staff, alongside community-accessible spaces including a cafe and club merchandise store.
Blackmans Bay Bluff Specific Area Plan Review
Kingborough Council is progressing planning scheme work affecting Blackmans Bay, including the Blackmans Bay Bluff Specific Area Plan and related Landscape Conservation Zone review under the draft Local Provisions Schedule. The current focus is statutory planning controls, community engagement, resident surveys and Tasmanian Planning Commission hearings rather than a confirmed capital works redevelopment. The review seeks to guide use and development while balancing residential certainty, scenic coastal character, bushland and landscape values.
1,855 residents of Geeveston - Dover are employed, from a labour force of 1,926. Unemployment sits at 3.7%, with participation at 50.9%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.3% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local labour market in Geeveston - Dover features diverse industry participation, an unemployment rate of 3.7%, and an estimated 11.1% increase in employment over the preceding year. As of March 2026, employed residents total 1,855. The local jobless rate sits 0.3% below the 3.9% recorded for Regional Tas., though the labor force participation rate of 50.9% trails the regional benchmark of 58.7%. Census records indicate that 14.0% of the workforce operated from home, though this figure reflects Covid-19 restrictions active at the time. Local employment is predominantly concentrated across agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and education & training.
The region exhibits an exceptionally high concentration in agriculture, forestry & fishing, where its employment share reaches 3.1 times the wider regional proportion. In contrast, health care & social assistance accounts for 11.2% of jobs, trailing the regional share of 16.5%. Comparing resident workers to the local Census workplace count suggests that local job openings within the boundary remain limited. AreaSearch assessment of ABS and SALM figures shows that in the twelve months to March 2026, local employment expanded by 11.1% while the workforce base rose by 10.7%, lowering unemployment by 0.4 percentage points. Across Regional Tas., employment grew by 1.8%, the labor pool rose by 1.7%, and unemployment edged down slightly. National projections from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 provide forward-looking context for employment demand. Nationally, employment is projected to expand by 6.6% across five years and 13.7% over ten years, though sector outcomes vary. Projecting these industry forecasts onto the Geeveston - Dover occupational profile implies local job growth of 5.3% over five years and 11.7% over ten years (calculated as an illustrative weighted extrapolation that excludes localized population changes).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Geeveston - Dover is $1,059 a week (about $55,000 a year), with median personal income at $543 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $44,289 a year against an average of $53,624. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO postcode data compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 indicates that earnings in the Geeveston - Dover SA2 sit below nationwide figures, showing a median income of $44,289 and an average of $53,624. By comparison, Regional Tas. recorded a median of $49,689 and an average of $59,358. Accounting for a 10.95% rise in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, March 2026 estimates place median earnings at approximately $49,139 and average earnings at $59,496. Across personal, family, and household levels in Census findings, local incomes place between the 5th and 6th percentiles across Australia.
The primary income bracket is $400 - 799, capturing 29.6% of residents (1,318 people), contrasting with the broader region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket is largest at 28.5%. Although housing overheads remain relatively modest with residents keeping 88.0% of income, total disposable earnings align with the 9th percentile nationwide.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Geeveston - Dover had 1,651 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 98% detached houses and 0% apartments. 35% are owned with a mortgage, 14% rented and 51% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $280 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,083 a month. Rent absorbs 26.4% of household income here and mortgage repayments 23.6%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census records show the housing stock in Geeveston - Dover is composed of 97.6% separate houses and 2.4% semi-detached, apartment, or alternative dwellings, compared to Regional Tas. which features 89.9% houses and 10.1% other dwelling formats. Outright property ownership is high at 50.7%, outpacing the wider region, while 34.9% of properties carry a mortgage and 14.4% are occupied by tenants. Typical monthly mortgage payments stand at $1,083 compared to $1,274 in Regional Tas. and an Australian benchmark of $1,863. Median weekly rents are $280 locally, compared to $250 across Regional Tas.
and $375 nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Geeveston - Dover counted 1,651 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 1,815 today, averaging 2.2 people each. 22% are couples with children, fewer than in 82% of areas nationally, against 34% couples without children. 31% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family units constitute 66.3% of local households, consisting of couples without children (34.4%), couples with children (21.7%), and single parent families (9.3%). The remaining 33.7% are non-family arrangements, dominated by single-person residences (31.0%) alongside group households (3.0%). The average household size is 2.2 persons, which is slightly below the 2.3 average recorded across Regional Tas..
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
19.5% of adults in Geeveston - Dover hold a university qualification, including 12.4% with a bachelor degree and 5.2% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 86% of areas nationally. A further 28.5% hold a vocational qualification. 3 schools serve the area, with 325 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 911 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary educational attainment in the region remains below the national standard, with 19.5% of residents possessing a university qualification versus 30.4% across Australia. Within higher education, bachelor degrees represent 12.4%, postgraduate degrees comprise 5.2%, and graduate diplomas make up 1.9%. Vocational and technical training is widely held, with 38.9% of individuals aged 15+ holding trade credentials, comprising certificates (28.5%) and advanced diplomas (10.4%). Around 24.2% of the local population is enrolled in an educational course. Primary school students constitute 10.6% of the population, secondary school attendees account for 6.5%, and tertiary students make up 2.5%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Geeveston - Dover means driving: households keep an average of 1.6 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
60.4% of residents in Geeveston - Dover report no long-term health condition. 7.1% need daily assistance with core activities, and 46.6% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.8 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health metrics evaluated by AreaSearch indicate elevated mortality and chronic illness rates across demographic groups, alongside subdued private health insurance coverage of approximately 47% (~2,075 people). This participation rate falls below the 49.1% seen in Regional Tas. and the Australian average of 55.7%. Arthritis and mental health conditions are the most prevalent ailments locally, diagnosed in 12.8% and 10.2% of the community respectively, while 60.4% reported no medical conditions compared to 62.0% in Regional Tas.. Chronic health issues are elevated among working-age residents. Seniors aged 65 and over comprise 29.3% of the populace (1,305 people), exceeding the 25.1% regional level in Regional Tas., with health rankings for this older age group tracking favorably against national benchmarks.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Geeveston - Dover is largely Australian-born, at 83.8% of residents, with 4.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (32.8%) and Australian (29.4%). 7.4% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity metrics in Geeveston - Dover sit below wider averages: 88.8% of residents hold Australian citizenship, 83.8% were born in Australia, and 95.9% communicate solely in English at home. Christianity represents the most common religious affiliation at 39.3%. The most noticeable area of overrepresentation is in the Other religious category, which accounts for 0.8% locally compared to 0.7% throughout Regional Tas.. Ancestry data indicates the leading backgrounds reported are English (32.8%), Australian (29.4%), and Irish (8.6%). Specific communities demonstrate elevated local representation compared to the wider region, notably Australian Aboriginal ancestry at 7.4% (against 4.1% regionally), New Zealand at 0.8% (against 0.4%), and Hungarian at 0.3% (against 0.1%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Geeveston - Dover is 50, older than 91% of areas nationally. 17.9% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Geeveston - Dover exhibits an older demographic distribution relative to Regional Tas.. As of August 2026, seniors aged 65 and over constitute 29.3% of the community compared to 25.1% across the region, while youth and young adults (0 - 24) make up 22.1% versus 26.3% regionally. The estimated median age of 50 matches the 2021 Census result, sitting 5 years above the Regional Tas. median of 45 and well above the Australian median of 38 at that Census. The retiree and elderly cohort has grown from 25.1% at the Census to 29.3%.
Projections indicate this group will absorb the majority of future growth to 2041, increasing by 453 residents (35%) to 1,759, while cohorts of young to middle aged adults and children and young adults are expected to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Geeveston - Dover
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jun 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 last month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 4 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 164 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (4,051 at the 2021 Census → 4,454 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (603021071). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.