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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Holden Hill has an estimated 3,623 residents, down from 3,716 at the 2021 Census — a change of 93 people, or 2.5%. The population has thinned by an average 0.6% a year over five years, slower than 98% of areas nationally. That puts 1,917 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Holden Hill has a population of approximately 3,623 as of May 2026, according to AreaSearch evaluations of updated ABS stats and newly validated local addresses. This represents a contraction of 93 individuals (2.5%) relative to the 3,716 residents documented in the 2021 Census. This calculation is derived from the figure of 3,601 residents calculated by AreaSearch using the June 2025 ABS ERP data, plus 40 newly validated physical addresses added since the Census date. Given this total, the suburb has a density of 1,916 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the typical ratio of national locations assessed by AreaSearch.
In the long run, the suburb of Holden Hill has exhibited steady development patterns with a 0.7% compound annual growth rate over the last ten years, exceeding the SA3 region. This growth was driven mostly by international arrivals, who accounted for about 91.0% of the overall population gains during the recent period. Projections for each SA2 district from ABS and Geoscience Australia, released in 2024 with a baseline of 2022, are incorporated by AreaSearch. For SA2 sectors lacking this coverage, and for any projections past 2032, calculations are based on the SA State Government's 2023 Regional/LGA age projections using 2021 data, which are aggregated from LGA to SA2 levels via weighted mapping. Looking ahead, the suburb of Holden Hill is projected to experience population growth slightly below the median of areas assessed by AreaSearch, with SA2 projections indicating a net increase of 262 residents by 2041, representing a total expansion of 6.6% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
142 new dwellings have been approved in Holden Hill over the past five years, an average of 28 a year. That is 7.7 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 25 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 72% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 6, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
AreaSearch calculations of ABS building consent records indicate that Holden Hill has averaged approximately 28 dwelling approvals per year, resulting in an estimated 142 total homes approved over the last 5 financial years. In the current FY-26 period, 6 approvals have been documented. Since local numbers have decreased in recent times, this supply has likely aligned with demand, preserving options for prospective buyers while new construction shows an average cost of $323,000. In addition, $17.1 million in commercial building approvals have been logged in the current financial year, which points to steady business investment.
Per capita building approvals in Holden Hill are 62.0% higher than in Greater Adelaide, creating more opportunities for buyers, although construction volume has softened of late. Detached houses account for 72.0% of the building approvals while 28.0% are attached residences, which preserves the traditional low-density suburban landscape suitable for families. Having roughly 168 people per residential consent shows that the area is characterized by low density. Long-range estimates indicate the suburb of Holden Hill will add 240 residents by 2041, calculated from the latest quarterly figures from AreaSearch. If the current pace of construction is maintained, the housing supply will be more than sufficient to accommodate this growth, supporting favorable conditions for purchasers and potentially allowing for population gains that exceed current expectations.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Holden Hill
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 18 current infrastructure and development projects close to Holden Hill, worth an estimated $1.85 billion. 6 are already under construction and 4 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans sports & recreation, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major planning amendments, and development initiatives are primary drivers of neighborhood change. AreaSearch has identified no projects within the local boundary that are expected to influence the suburb. Key regional developments of interest include the Modbury Hospital Redevelopment, the Newton Village Shopping Centre Expansion, the Gawler Line Electrification & Level Crossing Removals, and the Golden Grove Neighbourhood Code Amendment, which are detailed in the list below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Modbury Hospital Redevelopment
A $117 million expansion of Modbury Hospital featuring the new South Wing. The project delivered a Mental Health Precinct with a 24-bed rehabilitation unit and a 20-bed older persons unit, the North Eastern Cancer Centre with 12 chemotherapy chairs, and a five-storey multi-deck car park for over 300 vehicles. This redevelopment modernizes the facility to provide specialized care closer to home for Adelaide's north-eastern community.
Thorndon Park Reserve Master Plan Implementation
Staged upgrade and implementation of the Thorndon Park Master Plan in Paradise, SA. Completed works include the all-inclusive Super Playground (opened December 2022), car parking improvements, and Hamilton Terrace entrance upgrade. Stage 1 community consultation on the revised Draft Master Plan closed November 2025, with Council considering engagement outcomes at its 21 April 2026 meeting. Future projects under consideration include improved oval space, enhanced wetlands and lake edging, a revamped central plaza and kiosk, amphitheatre relocation, heritage building repurposing, and potential accommodation bays.
Modbury Hospital Redevelopment Project
The $117 million major upgrade of Modbury Hospital includes a state-of-the-art Health Precinct with a brand-new Cancer Centre featuring 12 chemotherapy chairs, and a new Mental Health Precinct with 44 beds (24 mental health rehabilitation beds and a 20-bed older persons mental health unit). The project also delivers a new five-storey multi-deck car park with over 300 spaces, marking the re-introduction of cancer services to the hospital after a decade. Expected completion is December 2025.
The Avenues at Paradise
Boutique neighbourhood shopping centre featuring national retailers BWS, TerryWhite Chemmart, Foodland and 20+ specialty stores with ample parking.
Tea Tree Gully Township North East Road Streetscape Upgrade
A multi-year project to upgrade the streetscape in the historic Tea Tree Gully township precinct. The project includes undergrounding of power lines and significant footpath upgrades to improve the public realm, enhance the village atmosphere, provide gateways into the City, new paving, landscaping, street furniture, lighting upgrades, and pedestrian-friendly infrastructure improvements.
Luminaire Estate - Residential Development
A 48-lot residential estate between Aristotle Close and Golden Grove Road, featuring the new Plato Place street. Land developed by Lendlease, with homes built by Metricon. Released late 2023, sold out November 2024, construction continuing into 2025. Metricon Homes, founded in 1976, is Australia's leading home builder with SA Builder's Licence BLD231776.
Euca Modbury Townhomes
Boutique development of 25 contemporary park-facing townhomes overlooking Australia Reserve. Features architecturally designed two-storey homes with 7-star energy rating, developed by local consortium Centina, Kolabb and Greenstate. Located just 20 minutes from Adelaide CBD and 1km from Tea Tree Plaza.
Campbelltown RSL Development
Redevelopment of Campbelltown RSL facilities including modern club amenities, function spaces, dining facilities, and community meeting rooms. The project enhances services for veterans and the local community with contemporary facilities and improved accessibility.
1,849 residents of Holden Hill are employed, from a labour force of 1,938. Unemployment sits at 4.6%, with participation at 65.5%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.6% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Holden Hill features a well-educated labor force with strong representation in essential service industries, and has an unemployment rate of 4.6% based on statistical data processed by AreaSearch. By March 2026, there are 1,849 employed residents, representing an unemployment rate 0.8% higher than Greater Adelaide's rate of 3.8%, while the labor participation rate matches the regional level of 66.6%. The Census recorded a modest 9.1% of the workforce operating from home, though this figure may have been affected by pandemic-related lockdowns. The largest sectors of employment for local residents are retail trade, education & training, and health care & social assistance.
Transport, postal & warehousing shows a heavy concentration locally, employing workers at 1.4 times the regional rate. Conversely, education & training is less represented locally at 8.2% compared to 9.3% across the region. Although local businesses provide some employment opportunities, a comparison of the Census working population against local resident numbers suggests a significant portion of the workforce travels outside the suburb for employment. An analysis of SALM and ABS data processed by AreaSearch shows that over a 12-month span, the local workforce shrank by 0.7% and total employment fell by 1.5%, driving a rise in the unemployment rate of 0.8 percentage points. This differs from Greater Adelaide, which saw employment grow by 4.2%, the labor force expand by 4.0%, and unemployment drop by 0.2 percentage points. Future expectations for Holden Hill can be evaluated using national employment forecasts published by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25. These five and ten-year forecasts have been applied to the local workforce distribution to project future employment trajectories. While national forecasts predict a 6.6% employment expansion over five years and a 13.7% increase over ten years, trends vary widely by sector. Applying these specific industry projections to the employment composition of Holden Hill indicates that local employment would grow by 6.6% in five years and 13.8% in ten years, using a simple weighted extrapolation based on industry mix without considering localized demographic projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Holden Hill is $1,363 a week (about $71,000 a year), with median personal income at $706 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $51,113 a year against an average of $57,462. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Holden Hill has tax profile data for financial year 2023 that places it below the national average, according to ATO records processed by AreaSearch. The median taxpayer income is $51,113 and the average is $57,462, compared to Greater Adelaide averages of $54,808 and $66,852. Factoring in a Wage Price Index expansion of 10.17% since financial year 2023, current projections for March 2026 suggest a median of approximately $56,311 and an average of $63,306. Census outcomes place local household, family, and individual incomes in a modest range between the 25th and 29th percentiles.
Income distribution figures show that 33.1% of the community (1,199 residents) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly bracket, which aligns closely with the regional rate of 31.8%. Affordability is highly constrained, leaving residents with only 82.5% of their income after housing costs, placing the area in the 23rd percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Holden Hill had 1,476 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 81% detached houses and 6% apartments. 38% are owned with a mortgage, 36% rented and 26% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $300 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,500 a month. Rent absorbs 22.0% of household income here and mortgage repayments 25.4%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the time of the latest Census, the local housing mix consisted of 81.1% separate houses and 19.0% alternative formats like townhouses, apartments, and semi-detached properties, compared to Adelaide metro where separate houses represent 75.2% and other configurations make up 24.9%. Home ownership in Holden Hill was lower than the metropolitan benchmark at 26.4%, with the remaining properties divided between mortgaged homes at 37.6% and rented properties at 36.0%. Typical monthly mortgage payments were below the metropolitan benchmark at $1,500, and typical weekly rents stood at $300, compared to Adelaide metro figures of $1,562 and $320.
Nationally, local mortgages are considerably below the Australian average of $1,863, and rent payments are also well below the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Holden Hill counted 1,476 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.4 people each. 28% are couples with children, against 23% couples without children. 30% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.5 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the majority of households at 65.8%, consisting of couples with children at 28.1%, couples without children at 22.9%, and single parent households at 12.9%. The remaining 34.2% are non-family arrangements, with single person households accounting for 29.7% and group housing representing 4.4%. The average household occupancy of 2.4 residents is slightly smaller than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
29.4% of adults in Holden Hill hold a university qualification, including 19.3% with a bachelor degree and 8.2% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 21.1% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 735 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,042 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The educational achievements of the local community are strong compared to the wider region, with university degrees held by 29.4% of residents aged 15+, which is higher than the SA4 average of 19.8% and the SA3 average of 23.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common tertiary credential at 19.3%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 8.2% and graduate diplomas at 1.9%. Vocational qualifications are also prevalent, with 31.6% of residents aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas at 10.5% and certificates at 21.1%. A significant proportion of the population is actively studying, with 28.0% of residents enrolled in an educational program.
This student population includes 9.0% in primary schools, 6.3% in tertiary programs, and 5.7% in secondary schools.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Holden Hill reaches 29 stops on 16 routes, timetabled for about 1,500 services a week. The typical home sits about 190 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.2 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
An evaluation of public transport options shows 29 transit stops located in Holden Hill, consisting of bus services. These stops are connected to 16 separate transit routes, which provide a total of 1,518 passenger departures each week. Commuter access is highly convenient, with homes situated an average of 192 meters from the nearest stop. The neighborhood is mostly residential, meaning most working residents travel outside the suburb; private cars are the primary method of travel at 84%, while bus travel accounts for 13%. Household vehicle ownership stands at 1.2 cars per home, which is below the metropolitan average.
A relatively low proportion of the workforce (9.1%) operated from home according to the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by pandemic conditions. Transit service frequency averages 216 runs per day across all local routes, which translates to about 52 departures per week at each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
69.1% of residents in Holden Hill report no long-term health condition. 6.0% need daily assistance with core activities, and 49.7% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.5 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Mortality data and chronic illness rates compiled by AreaSearch indicate notable health difficulties in Holden Hill, with common conditions present among both older and younger cohorts, alongside a relatively low rate of private health insurance at roughly 50% of the population, or approximately 1,802 individuals. This is below the Greater Adelaide rate of 52.7% and the national rate of 55.7%. Mental health conditions and arthritis are the most prevalent health issues, affecting 8.8% and 8.2% of residents respectively, while 69.1% of the community reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 67.9% across Greater Adelaide.
Working-age citizens show higher rates of long-term illness than average. Seniors aged 65 and over make up 12.1% of the population (438 individuals), which is less than the Greater Adelaide average of 19.2%. Health indicators for this older age bracket show some difficulties, tracking roughly in line with national patterns.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
38.1% of Holden Hill residents were born overseas and 37.7% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 81% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are English (21.8%) and Australian (18.5%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The suburb of Holden Hill features a high degree of multicultural diversity, with 38.1% of residents born outside Australia and 37.7% speaking a non-English language at home. Christianity is the dominant religious affiliation, representing 39.7% of the local population. The most prominent divergence from regional averages is in the Other category, which represents 6.6% of the local community compared to only 1.8% across Greater Adelaide. English ancestry is claimed by 21.8% of the population, which is below the regional average of 27.8%, while Australian ancestry is claimed by 18.5%. The ancestry category of Other accounts for 15.4%, which is much higher than the regional average of 9.7%.
Significant variances in other ethnic heritages are also present, with Polish ancestry recorded at 1.4% (compared to 1.0% regionally), Hungarian ancestry at 0.5% (compared to 0.3%), and Indian ancestry at 7.9% (compared to 2.3%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Holden Hill is 36. That is 1 year younger than at the 2021 Census. 28.3% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 36 in Holden Hill is slightly younger than the Greater Adelaide median of 39 and the national median of 38. Compared to the metropolitan area, the suburb has a higher proportion of residents in the 35 - 44 age bracket (19.0%) but a smaller share of 65 - 74 year-olds (7.2%). Since the 2021 Census, the 35 to 44 age group rose from 17.0% to 19.0%, and the 25 to 34 cohort grew from 16.5% to 17.9%. Conversely, the population aged 85+ decreased from 1.9% to 0.6%, and the 65 to 74 cohort dropped from 8.4% to 7.2%.
By 2041, demographic shifts will alter the local age distribution, with the 45 to 54 group projected to expand by 25% (111 individuals), growing from 452 to 564, while the 65 to 74 bracket is expected to contract by 18 residents.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Holden Hill
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 40 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (3,716 at the 2021 Census → 3,623 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL40601). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.