Holden Hill

Population growth drivers in Holden Hill are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, Holden Hill's population is estimated at around 4,232, showing an increase of 516 people since the 2021 Census. This reflects a growth rate of 13.9% from the previous census figure of 3,716 people. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 3,862 in June 2024 and an additional 38 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,239 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Holden Hill's growth rate exceeded that of its SA3 area (7.2%) and the state, making it a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 91.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

For projections, AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered and years post-2032, the SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category are used, based on 2021 data and adjusted employing weighted aggregation methods from LGA to SA2 levels. Looking ahead, demographic trends indicate a population increase just below the median of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch, with Holden Hill expected to grow by 419 persons to reach an estimated total of 4,651 by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 1.3% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Holden Hill when compared nationally

Holden Hill has seen approximately 32 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling around 164 homes. As of FY-26, 15 approvals have been recorded. On average, each new home accommodates about 1.2 new residents per year over the last five financial years (FY-21 to FY-25), indicating a balanced supply and demand in the market. The average construction value for new homes is around $323,000.

This year has seen $17.1 million in commercial development approvals, reflecting steady investment activity. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Holden Hill records 83.0% more construction activity per person. Recent construction comprises 71.0% detached dwellings and 29.0% medium to high-density housing, preserving the area's suburban character while offering choice for buyers. With around 161 people per dwelling approval, Holden Hill exhibits characteristics of a growth area.

Future projections estimate an addition of 55 residents by 2041, with current construction levels expected to meet demand adequately and potentially enable growth beyond current forecasts.

Holden Hill has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 29thth percentile nationally

No changes can impact an area's performance more than alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. Zero projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially influencing the area. Notable projects comprise Modbury Hospital Redevelopment, Gawler Line Electrification & Level Crossing Removals (including Valley View area works), Newton Village Shopping Centre Expansion, and Springbank Waters Residential Estate. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Holden Hill has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Holden Hill has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 4.2% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 0.7% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation. As of September 2025, 1,957 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 0.3% higher than Greater Adelaide's rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation was broadly similar to Greater Adelaide's 66.4%. Census responses indicated that only 9.1% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training sectors. The area has a particular employment specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level, while education & training employs only 8.2% of local workers, below Greater Adelaide's 9.3%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on the count of Census working population to local population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 0.7% while labour force increased by 0.7%, leaving unemployment broadly flat, according to AreaSearch's analysis of SALM and ABS data aggregated from broader statistical areas. In contrast, Greater Adelaide experienced employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a 0.1 percentage point drop in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer further insight into potential future demand within Holden Hill. These projections suggest that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with growth rates differing significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Holden Hill's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Holden Hill's median income among taxpayers was $51,113 in financial year 2023, according to AreaSearch data. The suburb's average income stood at $57,462 during the same period. These figures compare with Greater Adelaide's median and average incomes of $54,808 and $66,852 respectively. By September 2025, Holden Hill's estimated median income would be approximately $55,611, based on an 8.8% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. The estimated average income for the same period is $62,519. Census data shows that Holden Hill's household, family, and personal incomes rank modestly, between the 25th and 29th percentiles. Income analysis reveals that 33.1% of locals (1,400 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, which aligns with the surrounding region where this cohort represents 31.8%. Holden Hill faces severe housing affordability pressures, with only 82.5% of income remaining, ranking at the 23rd percentile.

Holden Hill is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Holden Hill's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 81.1% houses and 19.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Adelaide metro's 75.2% houses and 24.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Holden Hill stood at 26.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.6% and rented ones at 36.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,500, below Adelaide metro's average of $1,562. Median weekly rent in Holden Hill was $300, compared to Adelaide metro's $320. Nationally, Holden Hill's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,500 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were lower at $300 compared to the national figure of $375.

Holden Hill features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 65.8% of all households, including 28.1% couples with children, 22.9% couples without children, and 12.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 34.2%, with lone person households at 29.7% and group households comprising 4.4%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.5.

Holden Hill performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 29.4%, surpassing the SA4 region average of 19.8% and the SA3 area rate of 23.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 19.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 31.6% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 10.5% and certificates at 21.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.0% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary (9.0%), tertiary (6.3%), and secondary education (5.7%).

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 29 active transport stops operating within Holden Hill, consisting of bus services. These stops are served by 16 individual routes, collectively providing 1518 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 192 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode at 84%, with 13% using bus. Vehicle ownership averages 1.2 per dwelling, below the regional average.

A relatively low 9.1% of residents work from home (2021 Census). Service frequency averages 216 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 52 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Holden Hill is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Holden Hill faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~2,104 people), compared to 52.7% across Greater Adelaide and the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues impact 8.8% of residents, while arthritis affects 8.2%, with 69.1% declaring themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 67.9% across Greater Adelaide. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 14.4% of residents aged 65 and over (609 people), lower than the 19.3% in Greater Adelaide. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Holden Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Holden Hill has high cultural diversity, with 38.1% of its population born overseas and 37.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Holden Hill, comprising 39.7% of the population. The most notable overrepresentation is in Other religions, which makes up 6.6% of Holden Hill's population compared to 1.8% across Greater Adelaide.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English (21.8%), Australian (18.5%), and Other (15.4%). Holden Hill has notably lower representation of English ancestry than the regional average of 27.8%, but higher representation of Other ancestry compared to the regional average of 9.7%. There are also notable divergences in the representation of certain ethnic groups, including Polish at 1.4% (vs regional 1.0%), Hungarian at 0.5% (vs regional 0.3%), and Indian at 7.9% (vs regional 2.3%).

Holden Hill's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Holden Hill is 37 years, lower than Greater Adelaide's average of 39 years but close to the national average of 38 years. In Holden Hill, the 35-44 cohort is over-represented at 18.1%, compared to Greater Adelaide's average, while the 15-24 age group is under-represented at 10.1%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 35-44 age group grew from 17.0% to 18.1% of Holden Hill's population, while the 15-24 cohort declined from 11.0% to 10.1%. By 2041, forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Holden Hill. Notably, the 45-54 age group is projected to grow by 17%, reaching 593 people from 507. Conversely, both the 25-34 and 0-4 age groups are expected to decrease in number.