Holden Hill

Population growth drivers in Holden Hill are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of the Holden Hill statistical area (Lv2) is around 4,225. This figure reflects a growth of 509 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,716. The increase was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 3,862 in June 2024 and an additional 27 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,235 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Holden Hill's growth rate of 13.7% since the 2021 census exceeds that of its SA3 area (7.2%) and the state, indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 91.0% to the overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category are adopted, based on 2021 data and adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Looking ahead, demographic trends suggest a population increase just below the median of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch. The Holden Hill (SA2) is expected to grow by 427 persons to reach 4,652 by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 1.5% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Holden Hill when compared nationally

Holden Hill has received around 32 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling approximately 164 homes. In FY-26 so far, 15 approvals have been recorded. On average, each new home attracts about 1.2 new residents per year. The average construction value of these homes is around $323,000.

This financial year has seen $17.1 million in commercial development approvals, indicating steady investment activity. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Holden Hill experiences 83.0% more construction activity per person. Recent construction consists of 71.0% detached dwellings and 29.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's suburban character while offering buyer choice. With approximately 161 people per dwelling approval, Holden Hill exhibits growth area characteristics.

Future projections estimate an addition of 64 residents by 2041. Current construction levels should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potential growth exceeding current forecasts.

Holden Hill has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 32ndth percentile nationally

No factors influence an area's performance more than changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that could potentially impact this area. Key projects include Modbury Hospital Redevelopment, Gawler Line Electrification & Level Crossing Removals (including Valley View area works), Newton Village Shopping Centre Expansion, and Springbank Waters Residential Estate. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Holden Hill has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Holden Hill has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 4.2%, with estimated employment growth of 0.8% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of September 2025, there are 1,961 residents employed while the unemployment rate is 3.9% higher than Greater Adelaide's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation is comparable to Greater Adelaide's 61.7%. Employment in Holden Hill is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training sectors. The area has a particular employment specialization in transport, postal & warehousing with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level.

Conversely, education & training employs only 8.2% of local workers compared to Greater Adelaide's 9.3%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census working population count to local population ratio. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 0.8% while labour force increased by 0.8%, keeping unemployment relatively stable. In contrast, Greater Adelaide experienced employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a drop in unemployment rate of 0.1 percentage points. State-level data as of 25-Nov shows SA employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year, adding 10,710 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.0%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%, with SA's employment growth outpacing the national average of 0.14%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Holden Hill's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Holden Hill's median income among taxpayers was $51,113 in financial year 2023. The suburb's average income stood at $57,462 during the same period. This compares to figures for Greater Adelaide of $54,808 and $66,852 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.8% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $55,611 (median) and $62,519 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows household, family and personal incomes in Holden Hill rank modestly, between the 25th and 29th percentiles. Income analysis reveals that 33.1% of locals fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, which aligns with the surrounding region where this cohort represents 31.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Holden Hill, with only 82.5% of income remaining, ranking at the 23rd percentile.

Holden Hill is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Holden Hill's dwellings were predominantly houses at 81.1%, with other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and others making up the remaining 19.0%. This is in contrast to Adelaide metropolitan area's dwelling structure, which comprised 88.6% houses and 11.3% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Holden Hill was lower at 26.4%, with mortgaged dwellings accounting for 37.6% and rented dwellings making up 36.0%. As of the latest Census, the median monthly mortgage repayment in Holden Hill was $1,500, lower than Adelaide metro's average of $1,517. The median weekly rent figure in Holden Hill was recorded at $300, compared to Adelaide metro's $330. Nationally, Holden Hill's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Holden Hill features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 65.8% of all households, including 28.1% couples with children, 22.9% couples without children, and 12.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 34.2%, with lone person households at 29.7% and group households comprising 4.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.5.

Holden Hill performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 29.4% among residents aged 15+, surpassing both the SA4 region average of 19.8% and the SA3 area average of 23.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 19.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 31.6% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas comprise 10.5% and certificates account for 21.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.0% in primary education, 6.3% in tertiary education, and 5.7% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Holden Hill shows that there are currently 29 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 16 individual routes providing service to the community. Collectively, these routes facilitate 1,518 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 192 meters away from their nearest transport stop. On average, there are 216 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 52 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Holden Hill are marginally below the national average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Holden Hill's health indicators show below-average outcomes, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 50% of Holden Hill residents (~2,101 people) have private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues affect 8.8% of residents, while arthritis impacts 8.2%. Around 69.1% report no medical ailments, compared to 66.3% in Greater Adelaide. The area has 14.4% of residents aged 65 and over (608 people), lower than Greater Adelaide's 21.2%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly aligned with the general population's health profile.

Holden Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Holden Hill has a high level of cultural diversity, with 38.1% of its population born overseas and 37.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Holden Hill, comprising 39.7% of people. However, there's an overrepresentation in the 'Other' category, which makes up 6.6% of the population compared to Greater Adelaide's 2.1%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (21.8%), Australian (18.5%), and Other (15.4%). Holden Hill has notably lower percentages for English and Australian than the regional averages of 31.0% and 24.7%, respectively, but a substantially higher percentage for Other compared to the regional average of 7.3%. There are notable divergences in certain ethnic groups: Polish (1.4% vs regional 1.2%), Hungarian (0.5% vs regional 0.4%), and Indian (7.9% vs regional 2.0%).

Holden Hill's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Holden Hill is 37 years, which is lower than Greater Adelaide's average of 39 years and close to the national average of 38 years. The 35-44 age cohort is over-represented in Holden Hill at 18.1%, compared to Greater Adelaide's average. Conversely, the 15-24 age group is under-represented at 10.2%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 35-44 age group has increased from 17.0% to 18.1%, while the 15-24 cohort has decreased from 11.0% to 10.2%. Population forecasts for Holden Hill indicate substantial demographic changes by 2041. The 45-54 age group is projected to grow by 19%, reaching 596 people from 502. Meanwhile, both the 25-34 and 55-64 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.