Dernancourt

Population growth drivers in Dernancourt are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Dernancourt is around 4,527, reflecting an increase of 464 people since the 2021 Census. The resident population estimate by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) was 4,506, with an additional 27 validated new addresses since the Census date contributing to this figure. This results in a density ratio of 2,230 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's population growth of 11.4% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA3 area (4.5%) and the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 48.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and interstate migration were positive factors. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year.

For areas not covered by this data, and years post-2032, the SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category are adopted, based on 2021 data and adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to grow by 808 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 13.7% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Dernancourt when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Dernancourt shows approximately 40 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, totalling an estimated 203 homes. In FY-26 so far, 19 approvals have been recorded. The average new resident growth rate is 1.6 persons per year per dwelling constructed during this period. This indicates a balanced supply and demand, with stable market conditions for new dwellings valued at approximately $412,000 on average.

Commercial approvals in FY-26 reached $805,000, suggesting a residential focus. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Dernancourt has 108% more new home approvals per capita, offering buyers greater choice. However, building activity has slowed recently. The dwelling approval type breakdown is 96% standalone homes and 4% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's suburban nature with detached housing being prominent.

With approximately 157 people per dwelling approval, Dernancourt exhibits growth area characteristics. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Dernancourt is expected to grow by 618 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should meet demand comfortably, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond projections.

Dernancourt has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 48thth percentile nationally

Four projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area: Modbury Hospital Redevelopment, Thorndon Park Reserve Master Plan Implementation (ongoing), Newton Village Shopping Centre Expansion, and Highbury Aqueduct Reserve Master Plan Implementation.

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Employment performance in Dernancourt ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Dernancourt has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 1.5%, lower than Greater Adelaide's 4.0%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.6%. As of June 2025, 2,330 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.5% below Greater Adelaide's and workforce participation on par with Greater Adelaide's 61.7%. The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction, which has notably high levels at 1.2 times the regional average. Conversely, accommodation & food employs just 5.0% of local workers, below Greater Adelaide's 6.8%.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. Over a 12-month period ending Sep-22, employment increased by 1.6% alongside labour force increasing by 1.6%, leaving unemployment broadly flat. In contrast, Greater Adelaide saw employment rise by 2.1%, labour force grow by 2.1%, and unemployment rise marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Dernancourt's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Dernancourt's median income among taxpayers is $50,158. The average income in Dernancourt during this period was $60,926. Nationally, the median income was higher at $54,734 and the average was $70,212. In Greater Adelaide, the median income was $52,592 with an average of $64,886. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.83% since financial year 2022, estimated current incomes in Dernancourt would be approximately $56,593 (median) and $68,743 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data ranks Dernancourt's household, family, and personal incomes modestly, between the 49th and 49th percentiles. The most common income bracket in Dernancourt is $1,500 - $2,999, with 32.7% of residents (1,480 people) falling into this category. After housing costs, residents retain 87.2% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Dernancourt is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dernancourt's latest Census showed 90.3% houses and 9.6% other dwellings, compared to Adelaide metro's 88.6% houses and 11.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Dernancourt was 43.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.5% and rented ones at 16.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,733, higher than Adelaide metro's $1,517. Median weekly rent in Dernancourt was $380, compared to Adelaide metro's $330. Nationally, Dernancourt's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Dernancourt has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 76.2% of all households, including 33.6% couples with children, 31.1% couples without children, and 10.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 23.8%, with lone person households at 22.1% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is larger than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Dernancourt exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

In Dernancourt, educational attainment is notably high with 32.1% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications, surpassing both the SA4 region (19.8%) and SA3 area (23.2%). Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 22.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.9%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Vocational credentials are also prominent with 32.3% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (12.9%) and certificates (19.4%). Educational participation is high at 26.6%, with 9.3% in primary education, 6.3% in secondary education, and 6.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Dernancourt School serves the local area with an enrollment of 325 students as of a recent report. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available nearby. Socio-educational conditions are above average (ICSEA: 1055). Local school capacity is limited at 7.2 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 16.6, leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis in Dernancourt shows 21 active public transport stops operating, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 7 different routes that collectively facilitate 680 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of the transport system is deemed good, with residents on average located 217 meters from their nearest stop.

On a daily basis, service frequency averages 97 trips across all routes, translating to approximately 32 weekly trips per individual stop.

Dernancourt's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data shows positive outcomes for Dernancourt residents with standard levels of common health conditions across young and old age groups.

Private health cover stands at approximately 51%, slightly lower than the average SA2 area (~2,313 people). The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (8.9%) and asthma (6.8%). A majority, 69.4%, report no medical ailments, compared to 66.3% in Greater Adelaide. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 23.9% of the population (1,081 people), higher than Greater Adelaide's 21.2%. Health outcomes among seniors are notably strong, outperforming general population metrics.

Dernancourt was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Dernancourt's population, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics Census Data from June 2016, showed higher cultural diversity compared to most local markets. Overseas-born residents constituted 29.9%, while those speaking a language other than English at home comprised 24.8%. Christianity was the predominant religion, with 55.1% of Dernancourt's population identifying as such.

However, the category 'Other' religions had an overrepresentation in Dernancourt at 2.8% compared to Greater Adelaide's 2.1%. In terms of ancestry, English (24.4%) and Australian (19.2%) were the top two groups but were lower than regional averages of 31.0% and 24.7%, respectively. Italian ancestry was significantly higher at 13.3% compared to the regional average of 5.5%. Other ethnic groups with notable divergences included Polish (1.1% vs 1.2%), Russian (0.5% vs 0.3%), and German (5.2% vs 5.8%).

Dernancourt hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Dernancourt is 43 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Adelaide's average of 39 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Dernancourt has a higher proportion of residents aged 75-84 (10.0%), but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.0%). According to the 2021 Census, the 75-84 age group has increased from 8.9% to 10.0% of Dernancourt's population. Conversely, the 65-74 age group has decreased from 12.4% to 10.4%, and the 45-54 age group has dropped from 12.0% to 10.9%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Dernancourt's age structure. The 85+ age group is projected to grow by 161%, reaching 413 people from 158. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 55% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 65-74 age group is projected to decrease by 10 residents.