Dernancourt

Population growth drivers in Dernancourt are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

The population of the Dernancourt statistical area (Lv2) is estimated at around 4,636 as of November 2025, reflecting an increase of 573 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents a 14.1% increase from the previous population count of 4,063 people in the area. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 4,394 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 27 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,283 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Dernancourt (SA2) experienced a growth rate of 14.1% since the 2021 census, surpassing both the SA3 area's 7.2% and the state's growth rates, making it a notable growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 48.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with other drivers such as natural growth and interstate migration also being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, the SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category are adopted, based on 2021 data and adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Looking ahead, demographic trends suggest an above median population growth for statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch. The Dernancourt (SA2) is projected to grow by 809 persons to the year 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total gain of 11.0% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Dernancourt when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Dernancourt has received around 40 dwelling approvals per year on average over the past five financial years, totalling approximately 201 homes. In FY-26 so far, 29 approvals have been recorded. This results in an estimated 176 people per dwelling approval. Over these five years, there has been an average of 1.6 new residents per year per dwelling constructed.

There have also been $385,000 in commercial approvals this financial year. When compared to Greater Adelaide, Dernancourt has 106.0% more new home approvals per person. The area's building activity is predominantly standalone homes at 93.0%, with townhouses or apartments making up the remaining 7.0%. The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $412,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment.

Looking ahead, Dernancourt is projected to grow by 510 residents by 2041, with current development rates suggesting that new housing supply should meet demand comfortably.

Dernancourt has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 31stth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects that may affect this region. Notable projects are Modbury Hospital Redevelopment, Thorndon Park Reserve Master Plan Implementation (ongoing), Newton Village Shopping Centre Expansion, and Highbury Aqueduct Reserve Master Plan Implementation. The following details these projects, focusing on those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Dernancourt rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Dernancourt's workforce is highly educated with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 1.5% as of September 2025, lower than Greater Adelaide's 3.9%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.7%. There are 2,324 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.4%, matching Greater Adelaide's workforce participation rate of 61.7%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction, with notable concentration in construction at 1.2 times the regional average. Accommodation & food employs only 5.0% of local workers, below Greater Adelaide's 6.8%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. In the past year, employment increased by 1.7% while labour force grew by 1.6%, keeping unemployment broadly flat, contrasting with Greater Adelaide's higher employment and labour force growth rates. State-level data from 25-Nov shows SA employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.0%. National forecasts from May-25 project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years. Applying these projections to Dernancourt's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.8% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released on 1st July 2023 for financial year 2023, the suburb of Dernancourt's median income among taxpayers is $50,158, with an average of $60,926. This is lower than average on a national basis. Comparing to Greater Adelaide, Dernancourt has a median income of $54,808 and an average of $66,852. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.8% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Dernancourt's median income would be approximately $54,572 as of September 2025, with the average being around $66,287. Census 2021 income data shows that in Dernancourt, household incomes rank at the 49th percentile, family incomes at the 49th percentile, and personal incomes also at the 49th percentile. The income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 32.7% of residents (1,515 people), consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region where 31.8% fall into this category. After housing costs, residents retain 87.2% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Dernancourt is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dernancourt's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 90.3% houses and 9.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Adelaide metro had 88.6% houses and 11.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Dernancourt was at 43.6%, with the rest being mortgaged (39.5%) or rented (16.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Dernancourt was $1,733, higher than Adelaide metro's $1,517. The median weekly rent was $380, compared to Adelaide metro's $330. Nationally, Dernancourt's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Dernancourt has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 76.2% of all households, including 33.6% couples with children, 31.1% couples without children, and 10.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 23.8%, with lone person households at 22.1% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Dernancourt exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

In Dernancourt, 32.1% of residents aged 15 and above have university qualifications, exceeding the SA4 region's 19.8% and the SA3 area's 23.2%. This high educational attainment is beneficial for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are most common at 22.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.9%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 32.3% of residents holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.9%) and certificates (19.4%).

Educational participation is high, with 26.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in primary education, 6.3% in secondary education, and 6.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Dernancourt shows that there are currently 21 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 8 individual routes providing service. Together, these routes facilitate 682 weekly passenger trips.

The report rates transport accessibility as good, with residents typically located approximately 217 meters from their nearest transport stop. On average, each route provides 97 trips per day across all stops, which equates to roughly 32 weekly trips per individual stop.

Dernancourt's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data for Dernancourt shows positive outcomes with common health conditions similar across age groups.

Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51%, covering around 2,368 people. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.9% and 6.8% of residents respectively. About 69.4% report no medical ailments, compared to 66.3% in Greater Adelaide. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 23.9%, totaling 1,108 people, higher than the 21.2% in Greater Adelaide. Senior health outcomes are strong, outperforming general population metrics.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Dernancourt was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Dernancourt, as per the census conducted on 9 August 2016, exhibited higher cultural diversity compared to most local markets. It had 29.9% of its population born overseas and 24.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Dernancourt, comprising 55.1% of its population.

Notably, the 'Other' religious category comprised 2.8%, slightly higher than Greater Adelaide's 2.1%. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (24.4%), Australian (19.2%), and Italian (13.3%). These figures were lower than regional averages for English (31.0%) and Australian (24.7%), but higher for Italian (5.5%). There were also notable differences in the representation of Polish (1.1% vs 1.2%), Russian (0.5% vs 0.3%), and German (5.2% vs 5.8%) ethnic groups compared to regional averages.

Dernancourt hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Dernancourt has a median age of 42, which is slightly higher than Greater Adelaide's figure of 39 and significantly higher than the national norm of 38. The age group of 75-84 years shows strong representation in Dernancourt at 10.0%, compared to Greater Adelaide. However, the 25-34 age cohort is less prevalent in Dernancourt at 12.0%. According to the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 8.9% to 10.0% of the population. Conversely, the 65 to 74 age cohort has declined from 12.4% to 10.4%, and the 45 to 54 age group has dropped from 12.0% to 10.9%. Demographic modeling suggests that Dernancourt's age profile will undergo significant changes by 2041. Leading this demographic shift, the 85+ age group is projected to grow by 156%, reaching 415 people from 162. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above comprising 62% of the projected growth. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.