Hayborough

Population growth drivers in Hayborough are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, the estimated population of the suburb of Hayborough as of May 2026 is around 2,654. This reflects an increase of 416 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,238. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 2,641 residents following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2025 and an additional 204 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,382 persons per square kilometer, above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Hayborough's growth rate of 18.6% since the 2021 census exceeded the Rest of SA (5.9%) and the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the area. Interstate migration contributed approximately 86.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, the SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category are adopted, based on 2021 data and released in 2023, with adjustments made using weighted aggregation methods from LGA to SA2 levels. According to demographic trends, a population increase just below Australia's non-metropolitan median is expected for Hayborough, with an estimated expansion of 218 persons by 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 7.7% over the 16-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Hayborough when compared nationally

Between FY-21 and FY-25, Hayborough experienced approximately 48 dwelling approvals annually, totalling around 241 homes. As of FY-26, 45 approvals have been recorded. Over these five financial years, the average population increase per dwelling built was about 0.8 people per year. This suggests that supply is meeting or exceeding demand, offering greater buyer choice and potential for population growth beyond projections.

The average construction value of new homes was approximately $391,000, indicating a focus on premium properties. In FY-26, $5.2 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to Rest of SA, Hayborough has 60.0% higher construction activity per person. Recent construction comprises around 95.0% detached dwellings and 5.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining Hayborough's suburban character with a focus on family homes. With approximately 46 people per approval, Hayborough is considered a developing area.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the population is forecasted to increase by around 205 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current projections.

Hayborough has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 23rdth percentile nationally

AreaSearch has identified one major project likely to impact the area: Victor Harbor Baptist Church Expansion, Granite Island Causeway Project, SA Water Capital Work Delivery Contracts 2024-28, and SA Housing Trust Maintenance Contracts Review and Service Program are key projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Hayborough recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Hayborough's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs, with essential services well represented. The unemployment rate in the area was 5.5% as of the past year. Employment grew by an estimated 3.8% during this period, according to AreaSearch data aggregation.

As of December 2025, 1,040 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.3% below Regional SA's rate of 5.7%. Workforce participation in Hayborough was 50.2%, significantly lower than Regional SA's 58.3%. Only 8.1% of residents worked from home, based on Census responses, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance (1.6 times the regional average), retail trade, and accommodation & food services.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing employs just 1.8% of local workers, below Regional SA's 14.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, with a lower working population compared to resident population. Over the past year, employment increased by 3.8%, while labour force grew by 5.7%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.7 percentage points. In comparison, Regional SA recorded employment growth of 0.7%, labour force growth of 3.1%, and an unemployment rate increase of 2.2 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in May-25, project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Hayborough's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2023 shows Hayborough had a median taxpayer income of $40,993 and an average income of $52,374. These figures are below the national averages of $48,920 and $58,933 respectively for Regional SA. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.17% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $45,162 (median) and $57,700 (average). Census data indicates Hayborough's household, family, and personal incomes fall between the 5th and 8th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 31.2% of residents (828 people) earn within the $400 - $799 bracket, differing from Regional SA where the $1,500 - $2,999 category is predominant at 27.5%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Hayborough, with only 83.7% of income remaining, ranking at the 7th percentile nationally.

Hayborough is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Hayborough's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 93.4% houses and 6.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Regional SA had 88.5% houses and 11.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hayborough was 41.3%, similar to Regional SA's level. Dwellings were either mortgaged (36.0%) or rented (22.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, higher than Regional SA's average of $1,153. Median weekly rent in Hayborough was $285, compared to Regional SA's $220. Nationally, Hayborough's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,300 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Hayborough has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 70.1% of all households, including 19.6% that are couples with children, 36.8% that are couples without children, and 13.5% that are single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 29.9%, with lone person households making up 27.1% and group households comprising 2.0% of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, which aligns with the Regional SA average.

Educational attainment in Hayborough aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 14.1%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.9%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 42.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 11.1% and certificates at 31.5%. A total of 23.1% of the population is actively engaged in formal education, including 10.4% in primary, 5.6% in secondary, and 1.5% in tertiary education.

A substantial 23.1% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 5.6% in secondary education, and 1.5% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Hayborough is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Hayborough faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high, affecting both younger and older age cohorts.

Private health cover is low at approximately 48% of the total population (~1,267 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (12.1%) and mental health issues (10.6%). However, 58.3% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 62.5% in Regional SA. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 33.0% (875 people), compared to 27.1% in Regional SA. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Hayborough is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Hayborough's cultural diversity was found to be below average. As of a certain date, 83.4% of its population were born in Australia, 92.8% were citizens, and 96.2% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 40.5% of Hayborough's population.

However, Judaism was not represented at all, mirroring the regional average of 0%. The top three ancestry groups in Hayborough were English (38.8%), Australian (28.3%), and Scottish (7.4%). Notably, German ancestry was overrepresented at 6.9% compared to the regional average of 8.2%, Welsh ancestry was also overrepresented at 0.7% versus 0.5%, and Australian Aboriginal ancestry was underrepresented at 2.5% compared to the regional average of 3.3%.

Hayborough hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Hayborough is 48 years, similar to Regional South Australia's average of 47 years, which is notably higher than the national norm of 38 years. Comparing Hayborough with Regional SA, the 75-84 age cohort is significantly over-represented at 14.2%, while the 55-64 year-olds are under-represented at 11.7%. The 75-84 cohort's representation in Hayborough is well above the national average of 6.1%. Between 2021 and the present, the percentage of the population aged 75 to 84 has increased from 10.4% to 14.2%, while the 65-74 age group has decreased from 17.1% to 15.5%, and the 55-64 age group has fallen from 13.2% to 11.7%. By 2041, Hayborough's population is projected to see significant demographic changes. The 85+ cohort is expected to grow by 94%, adding 82 residents to reach a total of 170. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 69% of the population growth, reflecting ongoing demographic aging trends. Conversely, both the 15-24 and 55-64 age groups are projected to decrease in number.