East Corrimal

An assessment of population growth drivers in East Corrimal reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

East Corrimal's population is estimated at 3,481 as of November 2025. This reflects a growth from the 2021 Census figure of 3,432 people, an increase of 49 individuals (1.4%). AreaSearch validated this estimate after examining the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and identifying 26 new addresses since the Census date. The population density is approximately 2,486 persons per square kilometer, placing East Corrimal in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. Overseas migration contributed around 61% of recent population gains in the area.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2-level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate lower quartile growth nationally for regional areas. East Corrimal is expected to expand by 151 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 5.5% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees East Corrimal recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

East Corrimal experienced around 19 dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS data. Approximately 96 homes were approved between financial years FY21 to FY25, with a further 27 approved in FY26. On average, 0.8 people moved to the area per dwelling built over these five years.

This indicates supply meeting or exceeding demand, offering greater buyer choice and potential for population growth. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $517,000, reflecting a focus on the premium segment. In FY26, $22.5 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Rest of NSW, East Corrimal maintains similar construction rates per person, maintaining market balance.

Recent periods have seen increased development activity. New developments consist of 42.0% detached houses and 58.0% townhouses or apartments, providing accessible entry options for downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. With around 108 people per dwelling approval, East Corrimal is considered a low density area. By 2041, AreaSearch estimates East Corrimal's population will grow by 190 residents. Given current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

East Corrimal has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. A total of 10 projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Notable projects include the 79 Dobbie Avenue Townhouses, Murray Road Shared Cycleway, Corrimal Transport Oriented Development Area, and Bellambi Estate Renewal Project. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market performance in East Corrimal lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

East Corrimal has a skilled workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 7.3% as of an unspecified past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.1%.

As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 7.8%, which is 3.5% higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 4.3%. Workforce participation in East Corrimal stands at 60.9%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. The dominant employment sectors among residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Notably, the area has a specialization in education & training, with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 0.6% versus the regional average of 5.3%.

Over a 12-month period ending in September 2025, employment increased by 1.1%, and labour force increased by 0.3%, leading to a decrease in unemployment rate by 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW experienced an employment decline of 0.5% and labour force decline of 0.1%, with a rise in unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data for NSW as of 25-Nov shows employment contracted by 0.03%, with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to East Corrimal's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, assuming population projections remain constant for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

The suburb of East Corrimal has a median taxpayer income of $61,019 and an average income of $77,179 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year ending June 2023. This is higher than the national averages of $52,390 median and $65,215 average in Rest of NSW. Using a Wage Price Index growth rate of 8.86% since FY2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $66,425 median and $84,017 average. Based on the 2021 Census, personal income ranks at the 57th percentile ($840 weekly), while household income is at the 36th percentile. The largest income segment comprises 28.3% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (985 residents). Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 81.2% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 34th percentile. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

East Corrimal displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

East Corrimal's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 49.0% houses and 50.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Comparatively, Non-Metro NSW had 58.9% houses and 41.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in East Corrimal stood at 32.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.7% and rented ones at 39.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, below Non-Metro NSW's average of $2,189. The median weekly rent figure was $361, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $400. Nationally, East Corrimal's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $361 compared to the national figure of $375.

East Corrimal features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 65.5% of all households, with couples with children making up 25.7%, couples without children at 24.8%, and single parent families comprising 13.4%. Non-family households account for the remaining 34.5%, with lone person households at 30.2% and group households at 4.1%. The median household size is 2.3 people, smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.5.

Educational attainment in East Corrimal aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 28.2%, surpassing the Rest of NSW average of 21.3%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 18.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.9%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 38.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (27.4%).

Educational participation is high at 28.5%, with 8.9% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 5.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

East Corrimal has 21 active public transport stops, serving a mix of train and bus services. These stops are covered by 18 different routes, collectively offering 1,220 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 153 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 174 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 58 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in East Corrimal are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

East Corrimal shows below-average health outcomes, with common conditions slightly more prevalent than average among both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is very high at approximately 57% of the total population, which numbers around 1,998 people. The most frequent medical issues are mental health problems affecting 9.2% of residents and arthritis impacting 9.0%. Only 66.8% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 68.6% in the rest of NSW. The area has 16.8% of residents aged 65 and over, totaling 584 people, which is broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

East Corrimal ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

East Corrimal exhibited below-average cultural diversity, with 82.9% of its population born in Australia, 89.6% being citizens, and 90.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 50.8% of East Corrimal's population. Notably, Judaism was overrepresented, comprising 0.1% compared to the rest of NSW's 0.1%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (28.1%), Australian (26.9%), and Irish (7.6%). Other ethnic groups with notable divergences included Welsh at 0.9%, Hungarian at 0.4%, and Dutch at 1.9%.

East Corrimal's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

East Corrimal's median age is 38 years, which is lower than Rest of NSW's figure of 43 but equivalent to Australia's national norm of 38 years. The 25-34 age group constitutes 15.6% of East Corrimal's population compared to Rest of NSW, while the 75-84 cohort makes up 4.8%. Post the 2021 Census, the 25-34 age group increased from 13.5% to 15.6%, whereas the 55-64 cohort decreased from 13.4% to 12.0% and the 45-54 group dropped from 13.2% to 12.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in East Corrimal's age profile. The 25-34 age group is expected to grow by 18%, reaching 643 people from the current 543. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 45-54 and 5-14 cohorts.