Chart Color Schemes
This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
Find a Recent Sale
Sales Detail
Churchill (Qld) has an estimated 1,960 residents, up from 1,842 at the 2021 Census — a change of 118 people, or 6.4%. Growth has averaged 0.8% a year over five years. Natural increase accounts for 70.0% of that increase. That puts 1,146 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the suburb of Churchill (Qld) has an estimated population of around 1,960, determined through AreaSearch's evaluation of broader ABS demographic releases alongside validated new addresses logged following the Census. This total represents an expansion of 118 people (6.4%) compared to the 1,842 people recorded at the 2021 Census. AreaSearch established this figure by examining the ABS June 2025 ERP figures, which showed 1,959 residents, combined with 9 validated new addresses established post-Census. Consequently, the suburb of Churchill (Qld) exhibits a population density of 1,146 persons per square kilometer, aligning closely with typical benchmarks recorded across AreaSearch locations.
Natural increase served as the primary catalyst for local demographic expansion, accounting for approximately 70.0% of all recent population additions. For local projections, AreaSearch incorporates ABS/Geoscience Australia SA2 modeling published in 2024 using 2022 baseline figures, transitioning to Queensland State Government SA2 forecasts (released in 2023 from 2021 data) for post-2032 horizons or areas lacking coverage. Because state datasets omit cohort breakdowns, AreaSearch applies age-group distribution weightings derived from the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (published in 2023 using 2022 benchmarks). Under this framework, future demographic trends in the suburb of Churchill (Qld) point toward population contraction, with a projected reduction of 71 persons by 2041. In contrast, older demographics will expand, spearheaded by the 85 and over bracket which is slated to add 67 people.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
Analysis of ABS building approvals by AreaSearch shows that Churchill averages approximately 2 residential property consents each year, totaling an estimated 14 homes approved across the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), with 3 approved during FY-25 to date. An average intake of 4.3 new residents per annum occurred for each dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), indicating that local demand outstrips construction volume, a dynamic that typically intensifies buyer rivalry and drives capital appreciation. Meanwhile, newly built dwellings reflect an average construction value of $223,000, sitting below the broader regional standard and delivering relatively accessible price points.
Residential building output in Churchill is subdued, falling 86.0% below the Greater Brisbane per-capita norm. While a constrained pipeline usually bolsters pricing and demand for existing stock, construction activity has demonstrated recent momentum. Current approval volumes also trail national benchmarks, reflecting an established urban landscape and possible planning constraints. Upcoming residential additions consist of 67.0% detached dwellings and 33.0% townhouses or apartments, expanding the availability of medium-density formats and catering to varied budgets alongside traditional houses. This introduces a structural departure from the prevailing housing stock (currently 85.0% houses), signaling shrinking land availability, evolving resident preferences, and demand for attainable housing options. With approximately 391 people per approval, Churchill presents the profile of a fully established market. Given that demographic projections point toward a static or shrinking population base, Churchill is anticipated to experience eased housing demand, creating advantageous conditions for prospective purchasers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Churchill (Qld)
Loading development applications…
| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 40 current infrastructure and development projects close to Churchill (Qld), worth an estimated $45.4 billion. 22 are already under construction and 16 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Planning initiatives, major works, and local infrastructure projects significantly impact regional growth and development. AreaSearch has identified no projects positioned to directly impact the immediate area. Regionally significant projects of relevance include the Ipswich Hospital Expansion Stage 2, Ipswich Better Bus Network, Ipswich Smart City Program, and the Ipswich AOD Residential Rehabilitation Facility (West Moreton Recovery).
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Ipswich Hospital Expansion Stage 2
A major expansion delivering 200 new beds and a multi-storey acute clinical services building. Key features include a new Emergency Department, six operating theatres, a satellite medical imaging service, and a Central Sterilisation Service Department. Internal fit-outs began on lower levels in late 2025, with major structural work continuing into 2026 to support the fast-growing West Moreton population.
Ipswich Better Bus Network
A three-stage bus network improvement program for Ipswich funded by a $70 million state investment. Stage 1 commenced in November 2025, introducing four new routes (501, 520, 522, 523) and upgrades to existing services, benefiting over 42,300 residents. Stage 2 (late 2026) and Stage 3 (2027) are in planning to extend services to Yamanto, Ripley, and Karalee.
Cross Street Kerb and Channel Rehabilitation
Reconstruction of kerb, channel, and road pavement on a section of Cross Street, Raceview. This project is part of Ipswich City Council's 2025-2026 Capital Works Program focused on rehabilitating aging infrastructure in established suburbs. The work includes full pavement reconstruction to improve drainage, road condition, and safety for road users and pedestrians.
Raceview Rise
Boutique residential land release offering 22 generously sized lots ranging from 450 sqm to 800 sqm in a family-friendly cul-de-sac position. Located in an established pocket of Raceview, the development features fully serviced lots with water, sewerage, underground power, and NBN coverage. Positioned just 6km from Ipswich CBD with convenient access to schools, parks, shopping centers, and transport links including arterial roads and rail connections to Brisbane, Toowoomba, and the Gold and Sunshine Coasts.
Ripley Road Upgrade
The Ripley Road Upgrade is a joint state and local infrastructure project duplicating the road corridor from two to four lanes between the Cunningham Highway and Centenary Highway. Stage 1 focuses on the critical corridor section connecting through Monterea Road and Fischer Road to service growing masterplanned communities. The scope includes signalised intersections, dedicated on-road cycling lanes, active transport shared paths, and trunk stormwater upgrades.
Scenic Views Estate Brassall
Residential development project in Brassall featuring family homes with scenic views. Development includes infrastructure for roads, utilities, and landscaping to support new housing in growing Springfield-Ipswich corridor. Situated just 6km northwest of the Ipswich CBD, enjoying wonderful district views of the surrounding bushland, with great access to the Warrego Highway and Ipswich rail lines.
HB Land Bellevue Estate
47.41-hectare residential community at gateway to Ripley Valley. Lot sizes 375m2 to 1,236m2. Positioned near transport corridors and future infrastructure.
Dahlia at Flinders View
A $57-million residential estate in Flinders View offering 140 townhouses with three bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms. Amenities include a 15m swimming pool, children's splash pool, sun lounges, and more. Approved by Ipswich City Council to address the housing crisis, with 33 conditions addressing community concerns about density, traffic, and environmental impacts.
906 residents of Churchill (Qld) are employed, from a labour force of 989. Unemployment sits at 8.4%, with participation at 61.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.9% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 1,774, about 91% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Churchill possesses a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of 8.4%, and 12.0% in estimated employment growth over the past year, based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of March 2026, 906 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 4.1% above Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.3%, showing room for improvement, and workforce participation lags significantly (61.7% compared to Greater Brisbane's 70.1%). Based on Census responses, a low 7.4% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.
Resident employment centers primarily around retail trade, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing. Notably, retail trade demonstrates high local concentration, capturing an employment share 1.6 times that of the regional standard. Conversely, professional & technical roles account for only 2.6% of Churchill's working population, compared with 8.9% throughout Greater Brisbane. Comparing local resident worker tallies with the working population counted at the Census confirms that this primarily residential locality offers limited internal commercial employment. Employment rose by 12.0% during the twelve-month period, while the labour force grew by 9.4%, which led to a 2.1 percentage point decrease in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Brisbane experienced employment growth of 3.2% and labour force growth of 3.4%, accompanied by a 0.1 percentage point increase in unemployment. Insights into future demand for Churchill can be found in Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Mar-26. These five- and ten-year projections have been overlaid on the local employment profile to estimate growth trends. National employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though sector-specific growth varies considerably. Applying these industry-specific forecasts to Churchill's employment composition indicates local employment should rise by 5.9% over five years and 12.8% over ten years. This calculation is a simple weighting extrapolation intended for illustration and does not incorporate localised population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Churchill (Qld) is $1,174 a week (about $61,000 a year), with median personal income at $615 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $40,665 a year against an average of $45,373. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO postcode records compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 indicate that earnings in Churchill sit below nationwide figures, reporting a median income of $40,665 and an average income of $45,373. These numbers contrast with Greater Brisbane benchmarks of $58,236 (median) and $72,799 (average). Factoring in a Wage Price Index rise of 11.36% since financial year 2023, modelled benchmarks as of March 2026 reach approximately $45,285 for median earnings and $50,527 for average earnings. Census metrics place Churchill's household, family, and individual income tiers between the 11th and 13th percentiles across Australia.
The largest earning bracket comprises 31.7% of residents (621 people) earning $800 - 1,499, differing from the wider region where 33.3% earn $1,500 - 2,999. Housing affordability constraints remain pronounced, with residual income at 81.7%, ranking in the 11th percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Churchill (Qld) had 660 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 85% detached houses and 0% apartments. 34% are owned with a mortgage, 41% rented and 26% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $300 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,213 a month. Rent absorbs 25.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 23.8%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census findings show that the dwelling stock in Churchill is comprised of 84.8% separate houses and 15.2% alternative formats (including semi-detached units, apartments, and other residential types), compared with 73.5% separate houses and 26.5% other residential structures across Brisbane metro. Fully owned properties match the Brisbane metro level at 26.0%, while 33.5% of homes carry a mortgage and 40.5% are occupied by tenants. Median monthly mortgage commitments stand at $1,213, well below the Brisbane metro benchmark of $1,863, and median weekly rent sits at $300 compared to $380 across the metropolitan area.
On a national level, Churchill's mortgage repayments remain lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents sit substantially beneath the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Churchill (Qld) counted 660 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 702 today, averaging 2.5 people each. 24% are couples with children, fewer than in 75% of areas nationally, against 19% couples without children. 27% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the majority of living arrangements in Churchill, representing 68.9% of households. This encompasses 24.1% single parent families, 23.5% couples with children, and 18.8% couples without children. Non-family living situations account for the other 31.1%, broken down into 26.7% lone person households and 4.4% group households. The median household occupancy is 2.5 people, slightly below the Greater Brisbane metric of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
9.6% of adults in Churchill (Qld) hold a university qualification, including 7.2% with a bachelor degree and 0.9% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 90% of areas nationally. A further 35.0% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 287 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 904 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment profiles indicate that 9.6% of Churchill residents possess higher education degrees, lagging behind the Greater Brisbane rate of 30.5%. Tertiary qualifications are led by bachelor degrees at 7.2%, with graduate diplomas at 1.5% and postgraduate credentials accounting for 0.9%. Meanwhile, technical and vocational training is widely held, with 43.7% of individuals aged 15+ possessing vocational qualifications, consisting of 8.7% with advanced diplomas and 35.0% holding certificates. A significant share of the community is engaged in study, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal schooling. Specifically, 10.9% attend primary education, 10.0% are in secondary education, and 3.8% are undertaking tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Churchill (Qld) means driving: households keep an average of 1.3 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
58.7% of residents in Churchill (Qld) report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 95% of areas nationally. 9.6% need daily assistance with core activities, and 45.2% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 7.4 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health assessments by AreaSearch based on chronic conditions and mortality statistics reveal notable wellness challenges in Churchill across age groups, accompanied by a low private health insurance coverage rate of approximately 45% of the population (~885 people). This tracks considerably lower than the 55.8% recorded for Greater Brisbane and the national level of 55.7%. Asthma and mental health issues represent the primary reported health conditions in the locality, affecting 11.4% and 12.8% of the community, respectively. Meanwhile, 58.7% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, in contrast to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane.
Working-age locals experience elevated rates of chronic illness, while older residents, who make up 16.0% of the population (313 people), display health outcomes generally consistent with broader national trends.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Churchill (Qld) is largely Australian-born, at 87.5% of residents, with 7.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (27.9%) and Australian (27.2%). 7.1% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity metrics in Churchill show an Australian-born share of 87.5%, an Australian citizenship rate of 89.0%, and 92.7% of households speaking solely English at home. Christianity forms the predominant faith, practiced by 42.7% of locals. Hinduism represents 1.2% of the population, compared to 2.2% across Greater Brisbane. Regarding ancestral backgrounds based on parental birthplace, the primary ancestries in Churchill are English (27.9%), Australian (27.2%), and German (7.8%). Divergences from regional norms include a higher representation of Australian Aboriginal residents at 7.1% (compared to 2.1% across the region), Maori at 1.2% (vs 1.1%), and Welsh at 0.7% (vs 0.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Churchill (Qld) is 34, younger than 82% of areas nationally. 32.2% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The age distribution in Churchill tracks closely with Greater Brisbane, displaying a maximum deviation of 2.9 percentage points across broad age tiers. The estimated median age is 34, matching the 2021 Census baseline and sitting 2 years younger than the Greater Brisbane Census median of 36. Since the Census, the most notable shift occurred among residents aged 65 and above, expanding from 14.1% to an estimated 16.0%. Forecasts to 2041 project the retiree and senior cohort to experience the highest growth, adding 91 residents (29%) to reach 405, while young to middle-aged adults, along with children and younger age groups, are anticipated to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Churchill (Qld)
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 5 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 9 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (1,842 at the 2021 Census → 1,960 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL30607). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.