Churchill (Qld)

Churchill has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Churchill's population is estimated at around 1,944 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 102 people (5.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,842 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,925 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,136 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the Churchill (Qld) statistical area (Lv2) was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 70.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Moving forward with demographic trends, projections indicate a decline in overall population for the Churchill (Qld) (SA2), expected to contract by 50 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 85 and over age group, projected to increase by 63 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Churchill according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Churchill indicates approximately one dwelling receiving development approval per year over the past five financial years, totalling about five homes. No approvals have been recorded so far in FY-26. On average, 11 people move to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating substantial demand outstripping supply, which typically leads to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $370,000. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Churchill has markedly lower building activity, reflecting possible development constraints and market maturity. Recent development in Churchill consists entirely of detached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 772 people per dwelling approval, Churchill reflects a highly mature market. Population is expected to remain stable or decline, potentially reducing pressure on housing and creating opportunities for buyers.

With population expected to remain stable or decline, Churchill should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Churchill has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. Zero projects have been identified by AreaSearch that could potentially impact this area. Notable projects include Ipswich Hospital Expansion Stage 2, Ipswich Better Bus Network, Ipswich Smart City Program, and Ipswich AOD Residential Rehabilitation Facility (West Moreton Recovery), with the following list detailing those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Churchill recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Churchill's workforce comprises white and blue-collar jobs with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 9.0% as of an unspecified past year, with estimated employment growth of 4.6%.

As of September 2025837 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 5.0%, higher than Greater Brisbane's 4.0%. Workforce participation in Churchill lags at 55.5% compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Employment concentration lies in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with retail trade being particularly specialized at 1.6 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical employment is lower at 2.6% versus the regional average of 8.9%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 4.6%, while labour force grew by 2.0%, reducing unemployment by 2.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment growth of 3.8% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with a 0.5 percentage point drop in unemployment. Statewide, Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs) as of 25-Nov, with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project national growth rates over five and ten-year periods. Applying these projections to Churchill's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.8% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 indicates that Churchill has a median income among taxpayers of $40,665 and an average of $45,373. These figures are below the national average. In comparison, Greater Brisbane had a median income of $58,236 and an average of $72,799 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for Churchill as of September 2025 would be approximately $44,695 (median) and $49,869 (average). Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Churchill fall between the 11th and 13th percentiles nationally. Income distribution data reveals that the $800 - 1,499 earnings band captures 31.7% of the community (616 individuals), while the regional levels have the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leading at 33.3%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Churchill, with only 81.7% of income remaining, ranking at the 11th percentile nationally.

Churchill is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Churchill's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 84.8% houses and 15.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Brisbane metro's 88.4% houses and 11.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Churchill was at 26.0%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (33.5%) or rented (40.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Churchill was $1,213, lower than Brisbane metro's average of $1,517. The median weekly rent in Churchill was recorded at $300, the same as Brisbane metro's figure but significantly below the national average of $375. Nationally, Churchill's mortgage repayments were notably lower than the Australian average of $1,863.

Churchill features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 68.9% of all households, including 23.5% couples with children, 18.8% couples without children, and 24.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 31.1%, with lone person households at 26.7% and group households comprising 4.4%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Churchill faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 9.6%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 7.2%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.5%) and postgraduate qualifications (0.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (8.7%) and certificates (35.0%). Educational participation is high at 31.1%, with 10.9% in primary education, 10.0% in secondary education, and 3.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.9% in primary education, 10.0% in secondary education, and 3.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Churchill has eight operational public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by one route, offering a total of 213 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in Churchill is considered good, with residents generally located 214 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 30 trips per day across all routes, which translates to roughly 26 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Churchill is well below average with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Churchill faces significant health challenges, as indicated by health data. Both younger and older age groups are affected by various health conditions. Private health cover is low, with approximately 45% of Churchill's total population (~878 people) having it, compared to Greater Brisbane's 50.5%.

Nationally, the average is 55.7%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in Churchill, impacting 12.8% and 11.4% of residents respectively. However, 58.7% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Brisbane's 62.2%. Churchill has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 16.3% (316 people), compared to Greater Brisbane's 15.3%. Health outcomes among seniors in Churchill generally align with the overall population's health profile.

Churchill ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Churchill's population showed cultural diversity below average levels, with 89.0% citizens, 87.5% born in Australia, and 92.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 42.7%. Hinduism had an overrepresentation of 1.2%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 0.7%.

Top ancestry groups were English (27.9%), Australian (27.2%), and German (7.8%). Notable divergences included Australian Aboriginal at 7.1% (vs regional 4.1%), Maori at 1.2% (vs 0.9%), and Welsh at 0.7% (vs 0.6%).

Churchill hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Churchill's median age is 34, which is lower than Greater Brisbane's 36 and Australia's 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Churchill has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (16.5%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (10.8%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 15.1% to 16.5%, while the 75-84 cohort has risen from 3.7% to 4.9%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has decreased from 13.4% to 10.8%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Churchill. The 85+ cohort is projected to grow by 184%, adding 60 residents to reach 94. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 74% of the population growth, while the 15-24 and 0-4 age cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.