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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Churchill (Qld) has an estimated 1,959 residents, up from 1,842 at the 2021 Census — a change of 117 people, or 6.4%. Growth has averaged 0.8% a year over five years. Natural increase accounts for 70.0% of that increase. That puts 1,146 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Evaluating ABS population data updates for the surrounding region and recent residential address validations by AreaSearch following the Census, the suburb of Churchill (Qld) has a projected population of approximately 1,959 in May 2026. This indicates a growth of 117 residents (6.4%) compared to the 2021 Census, which recorded 1,842 individuals. This shift is determined from the estimated resident count of 1,959, compiled by AreaSearch using the recent ERP information released by the ABS in June 2025 along with 9 validated new addresses added since the Census. Such a population count results in a density of 1,145 persons per square kilometer, which matches normal values observed in other regions analyzed by AreaSearch.
The expansion rate of 6.4% since the census sits within 2.9 percentage points of the countrywide rate of 9.3%, showing healthy growth dynamics. The expansion was mostly propelled by natural increase, which accounted for roughly 70.0% of total population additions in recent times. For regional forecasts, AreaSearch uses data from ABS and Geoscience Australia published in 2024 with a 2022 baseline. In cases where SA2 regions lack this coverage, or for periods after 2032, projections from the Queensland State Government published in 2023 using 2021 baselines are utilized. Because these state forecasts lack breakdowns by age bracket, AreaSearch distributes growth using proportional weights from the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region projections, which are based on 2022 data. Future demographic patterns under this system suggest a drop in total residents, with the suburb of Churchill (Qld) projected to lose 73 people by 2041. Despite this, some age groups are set to expand, particularly residents aged 85 and over, who are expected to grow by 62 individuals. Refer to the age section for additional statistics.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
According to AreaSearch evaluations of building approvals from the ABS, Churchill averages about 2 new home approvals annually, compiling a total of 13 dwellings over the preceding 5 financial years. Thus far in FY-26, 3 approvals have been registered. With an average of 5.7 new occupants annually per built home during the last 5 financial years (spanning FY-21 to FY-25), the need for housing outstrips the supply of new builds, commonly triggering price increases and heightened buyer rivalry, while new dwellings carry an average construction cost of $370,000. Relative to Greater Brisbane, Churchill features substantially lower building construction rates, sitting 88.0% below the metropolitan per-capita average.
Such limited additions of new housing typically support the values of established residences, even though local building approvals have risen lately. This construction level also falls below the national benchmark, showing the mature nature of the suburb and suggesting potential regulatory limitations. Current building approvals comprise 67.0% separate houses and 33.0% multi-unit options like townhouses or apartments, offering more diverse, mid-density choices and creating housing variety across different price points, ranging from standard houses to smaller, cost-effective options. This marks a clear departure from the current housing profile, which consists of 85.0% standalone houses, signaling a lack of vacant land alongside shifting preferences for varied, affordable housing styles. With roughly 326 residents for every home approval, the suburb has capacity for further construction. As demographic forecasts point to stable or shrinking resident counts, Churchill is expected to experience less pressure on residential demand, which should prove advantageous for prospective purchasers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Churchill (Qld)
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 27 current infrastructure and development projects close to Churchill (Qld), worth an estimated $34.9 billion. 13 are already under construction and 10 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans transport & logistics, residential development and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Infrastructure upgrades, major developments, and urban planning changes heavily shape local performance. Overall, AreaSearch has identified no projects that are expected to impact the location. Major undertakings include the Ipswich Hospital Expansion Stage 2, Ipswich Better Bus Network, Ipswich Smart City Program, and Ipswich AOD Residential Rehabilitation Facility (West Moreton Recovery), with the following records detailing the most relevant initiatives.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Ipswich Hospital Expansion Stage 2
A major expansion delivering 200 new beds and a multi-storey acute clinical services building. Key features include a new Emergency Department, six operating theatres, a satellite medical imaging service, and a Central Sterilisation Service Department. Internal fit-outs began on lower levels in late 2025, with major structural work continuing into 2026 to support the fast-growing West Moreton population.
Ipswich Better Bus Network
A three-stage bus network improvement program for Ipswich funded by a $70 million state investment. Stage 1 commenced in November 2025, introducing four new routes (501, 520, 522, 523) and upgrades to existing services, benefiting over 42,300 residents. Stage 2 (late 2026) and Stage 3 (2027) are in planning to extend services to Yamanto, Ripley, and Karalee.
Cross Street Kerb and Channel Rehabilitation
Reconstruction of kerb, channel, and road pavement on a section of Cross Street, Raceview. This project is part of Ipswich City Council's 2025-2026 Capital Works Program focused on rehabilitating aging infrastructure in established suburbs. The work includes full pavement reconstruction to improve drainage, road condition, and safety for road users and pedestrians.
Raceview Rise
Boutique residential land release offering 22 generously sized lots ranging from 450 sqm to 800 sqm in a family-friendly cul-de-sac position. Located in an established pocket of Raceview, the development features fully serviced lots with water, sewerage, underground power, and NBN coverage. Positioned just 6km from Ipswich CBD with convenient access to schools, parks, shopping centers, and transport links including arterial roads and rail connections to Brisbane, Toowoomba, and the Gold and Sunshine Coasts.
Scenic Views Estate Brassall
Residential development project in Brassall featuring family homes with scenic views. Development includes infrastructure for roads, utilities, and landscaping to support new housing in growing Springfield-Ipswich corridor. Situated just 6km northwest of the Ipswich CBD, enjoying wonderful district views of the surrounding bushland, with great access to the Warrego Highway and Ipswich rail lines.
Monterea Land Holdings Monterea Estate
Affordable residential lots from 300-480m2 in central Ripley location. Close to Ripley Town Centre and transport infrastructure.
Dahlia at Flinders View
A $57-million residential estate in Flinders View offering 140 townhouses with three bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms. Amenities include a 15m swimming pool, children's splash pool, sun lounges, and more. Approved by Ipswich City Council to address the housing crisis, with 33 conditions addressing community concerns about density, traffic, and environmental impacts.
Ipswich Smart City Program
The Ipswich Smart City Program is a city-wide digital transformation initiative integrated into the iFuture 2021-2026 Corporate Plan. Key 2026 developments include a 2.51 million dollar upgrade to 90 new pay-by-plate smart parking meters with real-time digital enforcement integration. The program continues to expand its IoT sensor network for flood monitoring and environmental data, while Fire Station 101 serves as a central hub for digital innovation and community events like Flood Fest 2026. The initiative aims to enhance liveability through smart lighting, public Wi-Fi, and a centralized city data platform.
902 residents of Churchill (Qld) are employed, from a labour force of 984. Unemployment sits at 8.3%, with participation at 61.0%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.9% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 1,775, about 91% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local labor force is diverse, encompassing both professional and trade roles, with a solid footprint in key service industries, an unemployment rate of 8.3%, and an estimated job growth rate of 11.6% over the preceding year, according to AreaSearch regional figures. In March 2026, there are 902 employed locals, though the unemployment rate is 4.0% higher than the Greater Brisbane level of 4.3%, and the activity rate in the workforce is notably lower at 61.0% compared to the metropolitan average of 70.4%. Census figures indicate that just 7.4% of the working population operated from home, though this may reflect temporary pandemic restrictions.
Residents are primarily employed within manufacturing, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. The suburb displays a strong specialization in retail trade, where the employment proportion is 1.6 times higher than the regional benchmark. In contrast, scientific and technical roles are underrepresented at 2.6% compared to the metropolitan average of 8.9%. Since it is mostly a residential locality, local employment options appear restricted when comparing the census working population against the total number of residents. AreaSearch research using SALM and ABS records shows that over the 12-month period, jobs grew by 11.6% and the overall labor pool expanded by 9.3%, leading to a decrease in the unemployment rate of 1.9 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Brisbane saw employment grow by 3.2%, the labor force increase by 3.4%, and the jobless rate tick up by 0.1 percentage points. Long-term trends can be gleaned from Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment outlook published in May-25. These five and ten-year forecasts, when applied to the local workforce mix, project future employment trends. While the countrywide workforce is expected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, the rates of change vary by sector. Distributing these sector projections across the local workforce indicates that employment in the suburb could grow by 5.9% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, though this is a basic weighted projection that does not factor in local demographic forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Churchill (Qld) is $1,174 a week (about $61,000 a year), with median personal income at $615 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $40,665 a year against an average of $45,373. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to the most recent postcode ATO statistics for financial year 2023, taxpayers in Churchill earn a median of $40,665 and an average of $45,373. These levels are lower than the national benchmarks, and compare to a metropolitan median of $58,236 and average of $72,799 in Greater Brisbane. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, estimated earnings as of March 2026 are approximately $45,285 for the median and $50,527 for the average. Census records show that individual, family, and household incomes in Churchill lie between the 11th and 13th percentiles nationally.
Income distribution figures show that 31.7% of residents (621 individuals) earn between $800 - 1,499, whereas the metropolitan average is led by the $1,500 - 2,999 category at 33.3%. Financial pressure from housing is high, leaving residents with 81.7% of their income, which places the suburb in the 11th percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Churchill (Qld) had 660 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 85% detached houses and 0% apartments. 34% are owned with a mortgage, 41% rented and 26% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $300 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,213 a month. Rent absorbs 25.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 23.8%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census data reveals that standalone houses make up 84.8% of the housing stock in Churchill, with the remaining 15.2% comprised of multi-unit residences like townhouses or apartments, compared to 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings in Greater Brisbane. The proportion of outright home owners is 26.0%, matching the metropolitan average, while 33.5% of homes are mortgaged and 40.5% are occupied by tenants. Typical monthly mortgage costs stand at $1,213, which is lower than the Brisbane average of $1,863, and the median weekly rent is $300, compared to the metro rate of $380.
When compared nationally, local mortgage costs are well below the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are much lower than the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Churchill (Qld) counted 660 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 702 today, averaging 2.5 people each. 24% are couples with children, fewer than in 75% of areas nationally, against 19% couples without children. 27% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute 68.9% of local households, consisting of 23.5% couples with children, 18.8% couples without children, and 24.1% single-parent homes. The remaining 31.1% are non-family arrangements, which include 26.7% single-person households and 4.4% shared dwellings. The typical household size of 2.5 residents is slightly below the metropolitan Brisbane average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
9.6% of adults in Churchill (Qld) hold a university qualification, including 7.2% with a bachelor degree and 0.9% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 90% of areas nationally. A further 35.0% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 287 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 904 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Higher education attainment is low, with only 9.6% of residents holding a university degree, compared to the Greater Brisbane average of 30.5%. Among these qualifications, bachelor degrees are most common at 7.2%, followed by graduate diplomas at 1.5% and postgraduate degrees at 0.9%. Conversely, vocational and technical training is very common, as 43.7% of the population aged 15+ have completed practical certifications, comprising advanced diplomas at 8.7% and certificates at 35.0%. A high share of the community is engaged in study, with 31.1% of residents currently attending an educational institution.
This group includes 10.9% in primary school, 10.0% in high school, and 3.8% enrolled in higher education programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Churchill (Qld) reaches 8 stops on 1 route, timetabled for about 210 services a week. The typical home sits about 210 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.3 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Assessments of local transit options show 8 active bus stops servicing Churchill. These locations connect to 1 distinct route, supplying 213 weekly passenger journeys. Accessibility is favorable, with typical dwellings situated 214 meters from a stop. Since it is mostly a residential suburb, most workers commute out of the area; private vehicles are the primary mode of travel at 89%, while 6% of commuters use trains. Households average 1.3 cars. A small portion of 7.4% of residents worked from home according to the 2021 Census, which was likely affected by pandemic restrictions.
Across the network, services run at an average of 30 trips daily, which represents roughly 26 weekly departures for each stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
58.7% of residents in Churchill (Qld) report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 95% of areas nationally. 9.6% need daily assistance with core activities, and 45.2% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 7.4 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
AreaSearch health indicators show significant health issues in Churchill, with various ailments affecting residents across all age groups. Additionally, private health insurance uptake is low at about 45% of the population (~885 residents), compared to 55.8% in Greater Brisbane and the national average of 55.7%. Asthma and mental health conditions are the most prevalent diagnoses locally, affecting 11.4% and 12.8% of the population respectively, while 58.7% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane. Chronic illness rates are high among the working-age population. The suburb has 16.6% of its population aged 65 and over (325 people), which exceeds the Greater Brisbane average of 15.1%, and health measures for these older residents match national trends.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Churchill (Qld) is largely Australian-born, at 87.5% of residents, with 7.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (27.9%) and Australian (27.2%). 7.1% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity is lower than average, with 89.0% of the community holding citizenship, 87.5% born locally, and 92.7% communicating only in English at home. The dominant religious affiliation is Christianity, followed by 42.7% of residents. In contrast, Hinduism is represented at 1.2%, compared to 2.2% across Greater Brisbane. Looking at parental ancestry, the most common backgrounds are English at 27.9%, Australian at 27.2%, and German at 7.8%. There are also distinct concentrations of other heritages: Australian Aboriginal residents make up 7.1% of the population (compared to 2.1% in the wider region), Maori account for 1.2% (compared to 1.1% regionally), and Welsh ancestry is recorded at 0.7% (compared to 0.5% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Churchill (Qld) is 34, younger than 82% of areas nationally. 31.4% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Having a median age of 34, the local population is younger than the Greater Brisbane average of 36 and the national figure of 38. Compared to the capital region, there is a higher representation of young people aged 15 - 24 (16.9%) but fewer children aged 5 - 14 (10.6%). Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 cohort rose from 15.1% to 16.9% of the total, and the 75 to 84 group grew from 3.7% to 5.4%. In contrast, the 5 to 14 bracket fell from 13.4% to 10.6%, and the 25 to 34 demographic decreased from 15.7% to 14.5%.
By 2041, forecasts indicate major demographic shifts. The cohort of residents aged 85 and over is projected to grow the fastest at 194%, adding 60 people to total 92. Seniors aged 65 and older are expected to make up 77% of overall population growth, whereas the 15 to 24 and 65 to 74 brackets are projected to shrink.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Churchill (Qld)
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 9 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (1,842 at the 2021 Census → 1,959 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL30607). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.