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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Chinchilla has an estimated 7,351 residents, up from 7,068 at the 2021 Census — a change of 283 people, or 4.0%. Growth has averaged 0.6% a year over five years. That puts 102 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Following an examination of ABS demographic data updates for the wider region and new address verifications conducted by AreaSearch since the Census, the population of the suburb of Chinchilla is estimated to be approximately 7,351 as of May 2026. This represents an addition of 283 individuals (4.0%) compared to the 2021 Census, which counted 7,068 residents. The calculation is based on a resident population of 7,335 calculated by AreaSearch using the ABS demographic release from June 2025 alongside 66 validated new addresses identified since the Census. This population level yields a density of 102 persons per square kilometer, indicating low density and space for potential future construction.
The 4.0% expansion rate in the suburb of Chinchilla since the 2021 census outperformed the broader SA3 region (3.5%), positioning it as a growth leader. Natural increase was the main driver of growth in the area, accounting for roughly 73.0% of the total population gains in recent times. ABS and Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024, using 2022 as a base, are utilized by AreaSearch for each SA2 area. For SA2 areas where this data is unavailable or for periods after 2032, projections from the Queensland State Government released in 2023 (utilizing 2021 baseline data) are applied. Because these state-level projections omit age breakdowns, AreaSearch allocates growth weights across cohorts in line with the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region projections (based on 2022 data). Demographic trends suggest that the area will experience population growth above the median for non-metropolitan Australia, with aggregated SA2 projections indicating an increase of 1,103 residents by 2041, representing a overall gain of 14.8% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
41 new dwellings have been approved in Chinchilla over the past five years, an average of 8 a year. That is 1.1 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 6, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approvals indicates that the suburb of Chinchilla averages approximately 8 annual dwelling approvals, totaling an estimated 41 residential approvals over the 5 fiscal years from FY-21 to FY-25, with 6 approvals recorded in FY-26 so far. With an average of 4.9 new residents arriving per constructed home over the 5 financial years spanning FY-21 to FY-25, demand is outstripping new supply, which typically drives up prices and buyer rivalry, while new homes average an estimated construction value of $396,000. Non-residential approvals stand at $569,000 for the current financial year, highlighting a focus that is mostly residential.
In comparison to the Rest of Qld, building activity per capita in the suburb of Chinchilla is about three-quarters of the level and places it in the 19th percentile of areas evaluated across the nation, resulting in fewer purchasing options and reinforcing demand for established dwellings. This volume is also below the national average, reflecting an established locality and pointing to possible planning constraints. Furthermore, recent building activity has consisted entirely of detached houses, maintaining a low-density character that draws buyers looking for space. Detached houses make up a larger share of new building activity than historical levels (83.0% at the Census), showing sustained demand for traditional family properties even with growing density. The ratio of 861 residents per single dwelling approval highlights a quiet development climate with low construction volume. Projections indicate the suburb of Chinchilla will add 1,087 residents by 2041, starting from the most recent quarterly estimate by AreaSearch. If development rates persist at current levels, housing supply might not keep pace with population growth, which could increase competition among buyers and support upward pressure on home prices.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Chinchilla
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 6 current infrastructure and development projects inside Chinchilla, worth an estimated $28 million. A further 37 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $11.5 billion. 11 are already under construction and 14 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans energy, residential development and health & medical. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major works, and planning updates have a significant impact on local performance. AreaSearch has identified 6 projects that are expected to influence the local area. Key projects include the Chinchilla Aquatic Precinct, Chinchilla Christian College Extensions, Southern Cross Care Chinchilla - Illoura Village Redevelopment, and the Chinchilla Cultural Precinct Revitalisation, with the accompanying list highlighting the most relevant developments.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Chinchilla Aquatic Precinct
Council-led replacement of the ageing Chinchilla Aquatic and Fitness Centre with a modern aquatic precinct at 35-41 Villiers Street. The new precinct will feature an eight-lane 50-metre pool, a 25-metre indoor lap pool, and a dedicated learn-to-swim and toddler pool. The plan also features flexible spaces for aquatic support areas, allied health and rehabilitation gym areas, cafe/kiosk, amenities, change areas, outdoor recreation areas, and administration spaces.
Chinchilla Christian College Extensions
Multi-stage expansion and refurbishment of Chinchilla Christian College including Stage 3 and Stage 4 extensions to the main school building, new general learning areas, technologies building, library hub, staff facilities, toilet amenities and refurbishment of the multipurpose court. The expanded facilities support enrolment growth from Kindergarten to Year 12 across the Western Downs region.
Chinchilla Cultural Precinct Revitalisation
Revitalisation of the Chinchilla Cultural Precinct to create a modern, vibrant and welcoming community hub for residents and visitors to enjoy, home to the Customer Contact Centre, Library, Cinema, Cultural Centre and Lapunyah Art Gallery. The project includes a central lawn area for community events, revitalized library with multimedia and reading areas, art gallery with new layout and workshops, street arbours, communal workshop, landscaping, amphitheatre, and enhanced lighting.
Southern Cross Care Chinchilla - Illoura Village Redevelopment
A new, state-of-the-art residential aged care home that opened in February 2025, replacing the previous 40-year-old building. The $36 million facility provides 81 private rooms with ensuites, replacing the previous facility that accommodated 66 residents. The project is part of a broader vision for a 'Chinchilla Wellness Hub' which includes an 'Age Well' community centre and an education and training hub in partnership with Southern Queensland Rural Health. The redevelopment also includes staff housing and aims to provide comprehensive aged care expansion for the Western Downs region.
Warrego Highway Chinchilla Heavy Vehicle Route Strategy
A $1 million planning project to investigate the need for a future heavy vehicle route for Chinchilla, identifying a potential bypass or alternative route to improve safety, local amenity, and flood immunity as part of the Warrego Highway Upgrade Program.
Chinchilla Weir Revitalisation
Revitalisation of the Chinchilla Weir under Western Downs Regional Council's COVID-19 Recovery Package. Works completed 3 July 2021 improved amenities and the natural landscape including day use upgrades, landscaping, fire pits, shelters, BBQs, bin enclosures, vehicle barriers, camp kitchen, interpretation signage, and upgrades to overnight camping areas.
Arrow Energy Surat Gas Project North
Arrow Energy's Surat Gas Project North is the northern expansion of its 27-year Surat Gas Project near Miles. The development includes up to 450 coal seam gas wells over two stages, a field compression station, a 26 to 27 km infrastructure corridor, gas and water gathering pipelines, road and intersection upgrades, and a hybrid power station with gas generation, solar and battery storage. First gas was delivered in late 2025 and the project is scaling toward about 130 TJ/day at peak capacity, with field compression station, accommodation and hybrid power works continuing.
New Tara Hospital
Part of the Queensland Government's Building Rural and Remote Health Program, the new Tara Hospital replaces a 60-year-old facility. The modern development includes a 12-bed inpatient unit, an expanded emergency department, palliative care, and adult mental health services. It features single inpatient rooms and enhanced digital connectivity to improve healthcare delivery for the Tara community.
3,827 residents of Chinchilla are employed, from a labour force of 3,979. Unemployment sits at 3.8%, with participation at 68.6%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.9% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 5,474, about 74% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The suburb of Chinchilla has a balanced mix of white and blue collar workers, with the construction industry showing especially strong representation. The unemployment rate stands at 3.8% and estimated job growth was 0.7% over the prior year, based on AreaSearch figures compiled from statistical areas. In March 2026, employed residents numbered 3,827, while unemployment matched the Regional Qld level of 3.9%, and participation was typical (68.6% relative to 64.3% in Regional Qld). Census statistics show that a low 7.2% of the workforce worked from home, though this figure may have been affected by pandemic lockdown conditions.
Local employment is mostly concentrated in construction, retail, and the education & training sectors. The local workforce has a notable specialization in the electricity, gas, water & waste sector, where employment is 6.0 times the regional average share. Meanwhile, health care & social assistance accounts for only 8.4% of jobs, compared to 16.1% across Regional Qld. Comparing the Census working population against the resident workforce suggests that local job opportunities within the area are relatively limited. Analysis of SALM and ABS statistics aggregated across broader statistical areas shows that for the year ending March 2026, employment grew by 0.7% and the labor force grew by 2.1%, which led to a 1.3 percentage point rise in the unemployment rate. In comparison, employment in Regional Qld grew by 0.1%, its labor force expanded by 0.3%, and the unemployment rate rose by 0.1 percentage points. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia published in May-25 provide additional context on future demand in the suburb of Chinchilla. These projections, spanning five and ten years, have been applied to the local workforce profile to model future trends. While national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates vary by industry. Applying these industry projections to the local employment mix suggests job numbers in the suburb of Chinchilla would rise by 5.9% over five years and 12.2% over ten years, though this is a simple weighted projection and does not account for local population changes.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Chinchilla is $1,549 a week (about $81,000 a year), with median personal income at $810 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $50,581 a year against an average of $62,933. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Based on the most recent postcode level ATO data released for the 2023 financial year, taxpayers in the suburb of Chinchilla have a median income of $50,581 and an average income of $62,933. These figures are lower than national averages, and compare to a median of $53,146 and an average of $66,593 in Regional Qld. Adjusted for Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since the 2023 financial year, current estimates would be roughly $56,327 for median income and $70,082 for average income as of March 2026. According to the Census, household, family, and individual incomes are moderate, placing between the 38th and 51st percentiles.
The largest income bracket contains 32.7% of local residents (2,403 people) who earn between $1,500 - 2,999, mirroring regional trends where 31.7% fall into this bracket. Housing costs consume a manageable portion of income, leaving residents with 87.3% of their earnings, though disposable income is below average in the 42nd percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Chinchilla had 2,420 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 83% detached houses and 2% apartments. 29% are owned with a mortgage, 44% rented and 27% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $250 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,300 a month. Rent absorbs 16.1% of household income here and mortgage repayments 19.4%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the time of the latest Census, residential dwellings in the suburb of Chinchilla consisted of 83.3% houses and 16.7% alternative housing styles (such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and other dwellings), compared to 76.4% houses and 23.6% other options in Regional Qld. Home ownership rates in the suburb of Chinchilla trailed the regional average at 27.0%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (29.1%) or rented (44.0%). The median monthly mortgage payment was $1,300, which is below the Regional Qld average, while median weekly rent was $250, compared to regional figures of $1,655 and $345 respectively.
On a national level, mortgage repayments are lower than the Australian median of $1,863, and rent payments are below the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Chinchilla counted 2,420 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.5 people each. 28% are couples with children, against 27% couples without children. 29% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households make up the majority at 68.0% of the total, which includes couples with children at 27.9%, couples without children at 26.6%, and single parent households at 12.6%. Non-family households account for the remaining 32.0%, with single person households representing 28.6% and group houses making up 3.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is equal to the average across Regional Qld.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
16.3% of adults in Chinchilla hold a university qualification, including 12.8% with a bachelor degree and 2.0% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 33.8% hold a vocational qualification. 4 schools serve the area, with 1,734 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 961 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational challenges are present in the area, as university qualification rates (16.3%) are below the national average of 30.4%. This situation presents opportunities for targeted education initiatives. Among degree holders, bachelor degrees are most common at 12.8%, followed by postgraduate degrees (2.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational training is prevalent, with 43.1% of residents aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas (9.3%) and certificates (33.8%). Enrollment rates in education are high, with 32.9% of residents currently undertaking formal studies. Of those studying, 15.1% are in primary school, 9.9% are in secondary school, and 2.1% are enrolled in tertiary programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Chinchilla means driving: households keep an average of 1.5 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
70.2% of residents in Chinchilla report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 76% of areas nationally. 4.9% need daily assistance with core activities, and 52.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.8 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health assessments indicate that the suburb of Chinchilla faces notable challenges, according to AreaSearch indicators for mortality and chronic illness. The prevalence of common medical conditions is elevated across both younger and older cohorts, while the private health insurance rate is slightly higher than the average SA2 area at approximately 52% of the population, representing about 3,832 people. Asthma and mental health issues were the most frequently reported conditions, affecting 8.6% and 8.5% of the population respectively. Meanwhile, 70.2% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld.
Working-age individuals experience chronic illnesses at rates above the national average. Residents aged 65 and older represent 16.2% of the population (1,190 people), which is lower than the Regional Qld figure of 20.4%. Health profiles for older residents show some challenges, with national rankings generally matching those of the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Chinchilla is largely Australian-born, at 88.8% of residents, with 6.0% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (33.2%) and English (29.0%). 5.7% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The suburb of Chinchilla has lower cultural diversity compared to national averages, with citizens making up 82.6% of the population, 88.8% of residents born in Australia, and 94.0% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 58.8% of the population, compared to 52.2% across Regional Qld. In terms of ancestral background, the three largest groups in the suburb of Chinchilla are Australian at 33.2% of the population, which is higher than the regional average of 26.5%, English at 29.0%, and Irish at 7.7%. Specific ethnic representations show variation, with German ancestry overrepresented at 6.2% of the population (compared to 4.7% regionally), Australian Aboriginal ancestry at 5.7% (compared to 3.9%), and Spanish ancestry at 0.5% (compared to 0.3%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Chinchilla is 33, younger than 86% of areas nationally. 29.1% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
With a median age of 33, residents in the suburb of Chinchilla are younger than the regional median of 41 and the national median of 38. The 25 - 34 cohort has a strong presence at 17.3% compared to Regional Qld, while the 45 - 54 cohort is smaller at 8.8%. Since 2021, the 35 to 44 age cohort has increased its share from 12.3% to 13.7% of the population. In contrast, the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 15.5% to 13.4% and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 10.6% to 8.8%.
By 2041, demographic projections point to shifts in the age profile. Leading these changes, the 35 to 44 age group is projected to expand by 31% (316 people), growing from 1,007 to 1,324. Meanwhile, the cohorts aged 55 to 64 and 15 to 24 are expected to decrease in size.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Chinchilla
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jul 2026 last month all 6 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jul 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 66 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (7,068 at the 2021 Census → 7,351 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL30602). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.