Kingaroy

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kingaroy reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Kingaroy's population was approximately 11,042 as of February 2026. This figure represents an increase of 497 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 10,545. The increase is inferred from the estimated resident population of 11,009 in June 2024 and an additional 75 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 157 persons per square kilometer. Kingaroy's growth rate of 4.7% since the Census places it within 1.6 percentage points of its SA3 area (6.3%). The population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 44.8% of overall gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. The latest annual ERP population numbers project an above median growth for the area, expecting an increase of 1,539 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 13.6% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Kingaroy when compared nationally

Kingaroy has recorded approximately 28 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 140 homes were approved, with an additional 34 approved so far in FY-26. On average, about 3.4 new residents have arrived per dwelling constructed each year during this period.

This has led to demand outpacing supply, potentially exerting upward pressure on prices and increasing competition among buyers. The average construction value of new homes is $324,000, aligning with regional trends. In FY-26, commercial approvals totaled $72.9 million, indicating robust local business investment. Compared to the Rest of Qld, Kingaroy exhibits approximately 75% of the construction activity per person and falls within the 50th percentile nationally in terms of assessed areas.

This suggests market maturity and possible development constraints. New developments consist of 91.0% standalone homes and 9.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes. The location has approximately 336 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Kingaroy is expected to grow by 1,506 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Kingaroy has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 14 projects that could impact the area. Major projects include South Burnett Renewable Energy Hub, Kingaroy Youth Park Redevelopment: Stage 1, Broadway Hotel Redevelopment, and New Kingaroy Shopping Complex. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Kingaroy has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Kingaroy has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs, prominent essential services sectors, an unemployment rate of 5.0%, and estimated employment growth of 9.9% over the past year as of September 2025. The unemployment rate is 0.9% higher than Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%, with workforce participation at par with Rest of Qld's 65.7%. Census responses show that only 4.4% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Key industries for employment among residents are health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing is particularly specialized, employing 2.5 times the regional level. In contrast, professional & technical services employ only 2.4% of local workers, below Rest of Qld's 5.1%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data.

Over a 12-month period ending in September 2025, employment increased by 9.9%, and the labour force grew by 10.0%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.1 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of Qld, where employment rose by 1.7%, the labour force grew by 2.1%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia for May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kingaroy's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.7% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

The Kingaroy SA2's income level is below the national average according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The Kingaroy SA2's median income among taxpayers is $46,133 and the average income stands at $55,688. This compares to figures for Rest of Qld's of $53,146 and $66,593 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $50,705 (median) and $61,207 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Kingaroy all fall between the 17th and 22nd percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 28.5% of residents (3,146 people), aligning with the region where this cohort likewise represents 31.7%. After housing, 85.8% of income remains, though this ranks at only the 19th percentile nationally.

Kingaroy is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Kingaroy's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 86.4% houses and 13.6% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and others. This is compared to Non-Metro Qld's figures of 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kingaroy was at 33.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.9% and rented ones at 37.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,213, lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,655. The median weekly rent figure stood at $262, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $345. Nationally, Kingaroy's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kingaroy features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 66.0% of all households, including 23.4% couples with children, 27.7% couples without children, and 13.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 34.0%, with lone person households at 30.0% and group households comprising 4.2% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Kingaroy faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 14.6%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 40.0% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 9.3% and certificates at 30.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.0% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 2.3% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Kingaroy is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Kingaroy faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment completed on 15th September 2022. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are substantial across both younger and older age groups. The rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 47% of the total population (~5,233 people), compared to 52.5% in the rest of Queensland and a national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, affecting 10.6% and 10.4% of residents respectively, while 61.8% reported being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 67.6% in the rest of Queensland. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. As of September 2022, 20.5% of residents are aged 65 and over (2,264 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Kingaroy is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Kingaroy had a cultural diversity index below the average, with 88.6% of its residents being citizens, 88.5% born in Australia, and 94.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 54.8% of Kingaroy's population, compared to 52.2% across the rest of Queensland. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (30.2%), English (30.0%), and German (8.6%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation was higher in Kingaroy at 4.3%, compared to 3.9% regionally. New Zealand and Maori representations were lower at 0.7% and 0.5% respectively, versus regional averages of 0.9% and 0.8%.

Kingaroy's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Kingaroy is 38 years, which is slightly below Rest of Qld's average of 41 but matches Australia's median age of 38. The 25-34 age group comprises 15.3% of Kingaroy's population, higher than Rest of Qld, while the 45-54 cohort makes up 9.9%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 25-34 age group has increased from 13.4% to 15.3%, and the 5-14 cohort has decreased from 13.5% to 11.9%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Kingaroy. The 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 26%, adding 444 people and reaching 2,137 from the current 1,692. Conversely, the 15-24 cohort is expected to decrease by 117 people.