Kingaroy

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kingaroy reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Kingaroy's population is around 11,042 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 497 people (4.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,545 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 11,009 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 75 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 157 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Kingaroy's 4.7% growth since the census positions it within 1.6 percentage points of the SA3 area (6.3%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 44.8% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers, including natural growth and interstate migration, were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence, where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. As we examine future population trends, an above-median population growth for national regional areas is projected, with the area expected to grow by 1,539 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 13.6% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Kingaroy when compared nationally

Kingaroy has recorded around 28 residential properties granted approval annually, with 140 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 37 so far in FY-26. Given an average of 3.4 new residents per year arriving per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand is significantly outpacing supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers, while new homes are being built at an average value of $324,000, in line with regional trends. Additionally, $72.9 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, suggesting robust local business investment.

Compared to the rest of Queensland, Kingaroy shows approximately 75% of the construction activity per person and ranks within the 50th percentile of areas assessed nationally. This is lower than the national average, reflecting market maturity and pointing to possible development constraints. New development consists of 91.0% standalone homes and 9.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The location has approximately 336 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low-density market.

Looking ahead, Kingaroy is expected to grow by 1,506 residents through to 2041 (based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Kingaroy has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 14 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the South Burnett Renewable Energy Hub, Kingaroy Youth Park Redevelopment: Stage 1, Broadway Hotel Redevelopment, and the New Kingaroy Shopping Complex, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Kingaroy has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Kingaroy features a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of 4.6%, and 9.3% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 5,675 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 0.6% above Regional Qld's rate of 4.0%, and workforce participation is broadly similar to Regional Qld's 65.4%. Based on Census responses, a low 4.4% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. The area has particular employment specialization in manufacturing, with an employment share of 2.5 times the regional level. In contrast, professional & technical services employ just 2.4% of local workers, below Regional Qld's 5.1%. While local employment opportunities exist in the area, it appears many residents commute elsewhere for work, based on the count of Census working population to local population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw employment increasing by 9.3% alongside the labour force increasing by 8.8%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.4 percentage points. This contrasts with Regional Qld, where employment rose by 0.7%, the labour force grew by 1.0%, and unemployment rose 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Kingaroy. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Kingaroy's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.7% over five years and 12.6% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

The Kingaroy SA2's income level is below the national average according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. The Kingaroy SA2's median income among taxpayers is $46,133 and the average income stands at $55,688, which compares to figures for Regional Qld's of $53,146 and $66,593 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $50,705 (median) and $61,207 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Kingaroy all fall between the 17th and 22nd percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 28.5% of residents (3,146 people), aligning with the region where this cohort likewise represents 31.7%. After housing, 85.8% of income remains, though this ranks at only the 19th percentile nationally.

Kingaroy is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Kingaroy, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 86.4% houses and 13.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Kingaroy was in line with that of Regional Qld, at 33.7%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (28.9%) or rented (37.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Regional Qld average at $1,213, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $262, compared to Regional Qld's $1,655 and $345. Nationally, Kingaroy's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kingaroy features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 66.0% of all households, comprising 23.4% couples with children, 27.7% couples without children, and 13.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 34.0%, with lone person households at 30.0% and group households comprising 4.2% of the total. The median household size of 2.4 people is smaller than the Regional Qld average of 2.5.

Kingaroy faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (14.6%) substantially below the Australian average of 30.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 10.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 40.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (9.3%) and certificates (30.7%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.0% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 2.3% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Kingaroy is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data reveals substantial challenges facing Kingaroy, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is notable across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 47% of the total population (~5,233 people). This compares to 52.5% across Regional Qld. The national average is 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and arthritis, impacting 10.6 and 10.4% of residents, respectively, while 61.8% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 20.5% of residents aged 65 and over (2,264 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Kingaroy is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Kingaroy was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 88.6% of its population being citizens, 88.5% born in Australia, and 94.5% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Kingaroy is Christianity, which makes up 54.8% of the population. This compares to 52.2% across Regional Qld.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Kingaroy are Australian, comprising 30.2% of the population, English, comprising 30.0% of the population, and German, comprising 8.6% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Australian Aboriginal is notably overrepresented at 4.3% of Kingaroy (vs 3.9% regionally), New Zealand at 0.7% (vs 0.9%) and Maori at 0.5% (vs 0.8%).

Kingaroy's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The 38-year median age in Kingaroy is marginally below Regional Qld's average of 41 while in line with Australia's 38 years. The 25 - 34 age group shows strong representation at 15.3% compared to Regional Qld, whereas the 45 - 54 cohort is less prevalent at 9.9%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 13.4% to 15.3% of the population. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 13.5% to 11.9%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Kingaroy. Leading the demographic shift, the 25 to 34 group will grow by 26% (444 people), reaching 2,137 from 1,692. Conversely, the 15 to 24 cohort is projected to decline by 117 people.