Kingaroy

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kingaroy reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Kingaroy's population was approximately 11,023 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 478 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 10,545. The change is inferred from ABS estimated resident population figures of 11,009 in June 2024 and an additional 74 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 157 persons per square kilometer. Kingaroy's growth rate of 4.5% since the census is within 1.7 percentage points of its SA3 area (6.2%). Overseas migration contributed approximately 44.8% to overall population gains recently, with all drivers being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 based on a 2022 base year. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 using 2021 data are adopted. However, these state projections lack age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Future trends project above median population growth for national regional areas. Kingaroy is expected to grow by 1,539 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 13.8% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Kingaroy when compared nationally

Kingaroy has recorded approximately 28 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 140 homes were approved, with an additional 27 so far in FY-26. On average, about 3.4 new residents arrive per dwelling constructed over these years.

This demand significantly outpaces supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $324,000, aligning with regional trends. In FY-26, approximately $72.9 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating robust local business investment. Compared to the rest of Queensland and nationally, Kingaroy shows around 75% of the construction activity per person, placing it among the 50th percentile of areas assessed.

This reflects market maturity and possible development constraints. New developments consist of approximately 91.0% standalone homes and 9.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The location has around 336 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low-density market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Kingaroy is expected to grow by approximately 1,525 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Kingaroy has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Fourteen projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to influence the local area's performance significantly. These include South Burnett Renewable Energy Hub, Kingaroy Youth Park Redevelopment: Stage 1, Broadway Hotel Redevelopment, and New Kingaroy Shopping Complex. The following list provides details on those projects likely to have the most relevance.

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Kingaroy has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Kingaroy's workforce comprises an equal mix of white and blue-collar jobs, with essential services well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 5.0% in the past year, seeing a 9.9% employment growth.

As of September 2025, 5,642 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 5.9%, slightly higher than Rest of Qld's 4.1%. Workforce participation is lower at 55.3%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing stands out with an employment share 2.5 times the regional level, while professional & technical services employ only 2.4% locally, below Rest of Qld's 5.1%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work. In the past year, employment increased by 9.9%, labour force by 10.0%, raising unemployment by 0.1 percentage points. Statewide, Queensland saw a 0.01% employment contraction (losing 1,210 jobs) by 25-Nov, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. National forecasts project total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kingaroy's industry mix suggests local employment could increase by 5.7% in five years and 12.6% in ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

Kingaroy SA2's median income among taxpayers was $44,409 and average income stood at $52,756 in financial year 2022, according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This compares to Rest of Qld's figures of $50,780 and $64,844 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $50,622 (median) and $60,137 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Kingaroy all fall between the 17th and 22nd percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 28.5% of residents (3,141 people), aligning with the region where this cohort likewise represents 31.7%. After housing costs, 85.8% of income remains, ranking at only the 19th percentile nationally.

Kingaroy is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Kingaroy's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 86.4% houses and 13.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro Qld's 93.4% houses and 6.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kingaroy was at 33.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.9% and rented ones at 37.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,213, higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,083. The median weekly rent in Kingaroy was $262, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $230. Nationally, Kingaroy's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kingaroy features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 66.0% of all households, including 23.4% couples with children, 27.7% couples without children, and 13.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 34.0%, with lone person households at 30.0% and group households comprising 4.2% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.3.

Kingaroy faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 14.6%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.0% of residents aged 15 and above holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.3%) and certificates (30.7%). Educational participation is high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.0% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 2.3% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Kingaroy is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Kingaroy faces significant health challenges, as indicated by its health data. Both younger and older age groups have notable prevalence rates for common health conditions.

The area has a low private health cover rate of approximately 47%, covering around 5,147 people, which is lower than the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 10.6% and 10.4% of residents respectively. Conversely, 61.8% of residents report having no medical ailments, slightly higher than the Rest of Qld's rate of 59.4%. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 20.4%, or approximately 2,253 people, compared to the Rest of Qld's 26.8%. Health outcomes among seniors in Kingaroy generally align with those of the broader population.

Kingaroy is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Kingaroy's cultural diversity was found to be below average. Its population comprised 88.6% citizens, 88.5% born in Australia, and 94.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, with 54.8% of Kingaroy residents identifying as such, compared to 56.4% across the rest of Queensland.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (30.2%), English (30.0%), and German (8.6%). Notably, Australian Aboriginal was overrepresented at 4.3%, compared to the regional average of 6.0%. New Zealanders made up 0.7% and Maori 0.5%, both higher than their respective regional averages of 0.5% and 0.3%.

Kingaroy's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Kingaroy is 38 years, slightly below Rest of Qld's average of 41 but aligned with Australia's median age of 38 years. The 25-34 age group constitutes 15.1% of Kingaroy's population compared to Rest of Qld, while the 45-54 cohort makes up 10.1%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 25-34 age group has increased from 13.4% to 15.1%, and the 5-14 cohort has decreased from 13.5% to 12.3%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Kingaroy. Notably, the 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 29%, adding 476 people to reach a total of 2,137 from 1,660. Conversely, the 15-24 cohort is expected to decrease by 113 people.