Kingaroy

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kingaroy reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population for the Kingaroy statistical area (Lv2) is around 10,738. This reflects an increase of 472 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,266. The increase was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 10,712 based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 70 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 157 persons per square kilometer. Kingaroy's 4.6% growth since census is within 1.6 percentage points of the SA3 area, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 45.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and interstate migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area as released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. These state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 using 2022 data as the base year. Looking ahead, an above median population growth is projected for national non-metropolitan areas, with the Kingaroy (SA2) expected to grow by 1,505 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 13.8% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Kingaroy when compared nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, Kingaroy has recorded around 27 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 136 homes from FY-21 to FY-25. So far in FY-26, 33 approvals have been recorded. On average, 3.4 new residents per year are associated with every home built during this period.

Demand significantly outpaces supply, which can put upward pressure on prices and increase competition among buyers. New dwellings are developed at an average value of $515,000, higher than regional norms, reflecting quality-focused development. In FY-26, there have been $72.9 million in commercial approvals, indicating robust local business investment. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Kingaroy has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person.

Nationally, it places among the 49th percentile of areas assessed, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing dwellings. This activity is below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New development consists of 93% standalone homes and 7% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 328 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. Looking ahead, Kingaroy is expected to grow by 1,482 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Kingaroy has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified a total of 14 projects likely to affect the region. Notable initiatives include South Burnett Renewable Energy Hub, Broadway Hotel Redevelopment, Kingaroy Youth Park Redevelopment: Stage 1, and New Kingaroy Shopping Complex. The following list details those most relevant.

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The employment landscape in Kingaroy shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Kingaroy has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, prominent essential services sectors, an unemployment rate of 5.1%, and a 9.9% employment growth in the past year (AreaSearch data). As of September 2025, 5,473 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate at 5.1%, 1.0% higher than Rest of Qld's 4.1%.

Workforce participation is lower at 55.1% compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing stands out with an employment share 2.6 times the regional level, while construction is under-represented at 7.3% compared to Rest of Qld's 10.1%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work (Census data).

Over September 2024 to September 2025, employment increased by 9.9%, labour force by 10.0%, raising unemployment by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Qld saw employment grow by 1.7%, labour force expand by 2.1%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. State-wide (QLD), employment contracted by 0.01% to November 25, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. National forecasts (May-25) project total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kingaroy's mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.7% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

The suburb of Kingaroy's income level is lower than average on a national basis according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Kingaroy is $44,208 and the average income stands at $52,518, which compares to figures for Rest of Qld's of $53,146 and $66,593 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $48,589 (median) and $57,723 (average) as of September 2025. According to the Census conducted in August 2021, household, family and personal incomes in Kingaroy all fall between the 16th and 21st percentiles nationally. In terms of income distribution, the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 28.7% of residents (3,081 people), mirroring the broader area where 31.7% occupy this bracket. After housing costs, 85.6% of income remains, ranking at only the 19th percentile nationally.

Kingaroy is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The latest Census evaluation shows that in Kingaroy, 86.0% of dwellings are houses, with the remaining 13.9% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. In contrast, Non-Metro Qld has 93.4% houses and 6.6% other dwellings. Kingaroy's home ownership rate is 33.1%, with mortgaged properties at 28.6% and rented ones at 38.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Kingaroy is $1,200, higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,083. The median weekly rent in Kingaroy is $260, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $230. Nationally, Kingaroy's mortgage repayments are lower at $1,200 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are also lower at $260 compared to the national figure of $375.

Kingaroy features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 65.4% of all households, including 22.9% couples with children, 27.4% couples without children, and 13.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 34.6%, with lone person households at 30.5% and group households comprising 4.2%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.3.

Kingaroy faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 14.5%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 39.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.3%) and certificates (30.6%). Educational participation is high at 28.0%, comprising primary education (11.0%), secondary education (8.8%), and tertiary education (2.3%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.0% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 2.3% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Kingaroy is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Kingaroy faces significant health challenges, as indicated by its health data. Both younger and older age groups have notable prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover is low, at approximately 48% of the total population (around 5,156 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 10.6 and 10.4% of residents respectively. About 61.8% of residents claim to be completely free from medical ailments, slightly higher than the Rest of Qld's 59.4%. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 20.2% (2,169 people), compared to Rest of Qld's 26.8%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, generally aligning with the overall population's health profile.

Kingaroy is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Kingaroy's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 88.5% of its population being Australian citizens, 88.4% born in Australia, and 94.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Kingaroy, accounting for 54.3% of the population, compared to 56.4% across the rest of Queensland. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (30.1%), English (30.1%), and German (8.6%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation was higher in Kingaroy at 4.4%, compared to 6.0% regionally. New Zealanders made up 0.7% of Kingaroy's population, versus 0.5% regionally, while Maori comprised 0.5%, compared to 0.3%.

Kingaroy's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Kingaroy is 38 years, which is slightly below Rest of Qld's average of 41 but aligns with Australia's median age of 38. The 25-34 age group constitutes 15.2% of Kingaroy's population, higher than Rest of Qld, while the 45-54 cohort makes up 9.9%, lower than Rest of Qld. According to post-2021 Census data, the 25-34 age group increased from 13.6% to 15.2%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group decreased from 13.5% to 12.3%. By 2041, Kingaroy's population is forecasted to undergo significant demographic changes. Notably, the 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 29%, reaching 2,104 people from 1,632. Conversely, the 15-24 cohort is expected to decline by 107 people.