Kingaroy

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kingaroy reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, Kingaroy's population is estimated around 10,728, reflecting a 462 person increase from the 2021 Census figure of 10,266. This growth represents a 4.5% rise since the census. The current population estimate of 10,714 comes from AreaSearch's analysis of latest ERP data released by ABS in Jun 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. Kingaroy's population density is approximately 156 persons per square kilometer. Since the Census, Kingaroy's growth rate of 4.5% is within 1.7 percentage points of its SA3 area's 6.2%. Overseas migration contributed about 45.0% to recent population gains in Kingaroy, with all drivers including natural growth and interstate migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 based on 2021 data are used. However, these state projections lack age category splits; hence AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 using 2022 data for each age cohort. Demographic trends project an above median population growth for national non-metropolitan areas like Kingaroy. Aggregated SA2-level projections indicate the suburb is expected to grow by 1,505 persons to reach a total of 12,233 by 2041, reflecting a 13.9% increase over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Kingaroy when compared nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Kingaroy has recorded around 27 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 135 homes. So far in FY-26, 22 approvals have been recorded. On average, for every home built between FY-21 and FY-25, there are approximately 3.4 new residents per year.

This indicates demand significantly outpaces supply, which typically exerts upward pressure on prices and intensifies competition among buyers. The average value of new dwellings developed is $515,000, consistent with broader regional development trends. In FY-26, there have been $72.9 million in commercial approvals, suggesting robust local business investment. When compared to the Rest of Qld, Kingaroy has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person.

Nationally, it places among the 49th percentile of areas assessed, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing dwellings. This activity is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New development consists predominantly of standalone homes at 93.0%, with townhouses or apartments making up the remaining 7.0%. This preserves Kingaroy's low density nature, attracting space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 328 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. Looking ahead, Kingaroy is expected to grow by 1,492 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Kingaroy has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Fourteen infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area's performance. Notable projects include South Burnett Renewable Energy Hub, Broadway Hotel Redevelopment, Kingaroy Youth Park Redevelopment: Stage 1, and New Kingaroy Shopping Complex. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Kingaroy shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Kingaroy has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The unemployment rate was 5.7% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 6.6%.

As of June 2025, 5,372 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 1.7% higher than Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation is lower at 55.1%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing is particularly strong with an employment share 2.6 times the regional level.

Conversely, construction is under-represented at 7.3% compared to Rest of Qld's 10.1%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 6.6%, and labour force by 7.6%, raising unemployment by 0.9 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Qld saw employment grow by 1.8% and unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's Sep-22 forecasts indicate national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kingaroy's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.7% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

Kingaroy's median income among taxpayers was $44,208 and average income stood at $52,518 in financial year 2022. This compares to figures for Rest of Qld which were $50,780 and $64,844 respectively. As of September 2025, current estimates based on Wage Price Index growth would be approximately $50,393 (median) and $59,865 (average). According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Kingaroy all fell between the 16th and 21st percentiles nationally. In income distribution, the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominated with 28.7% of residents (3,078 people), mirroring the broader area where 31.7% occupied this bracket. After housing costs, 85.6% of income remained, ranking at the 19th percentile nationally.

Kingaroy is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Kingaroy, as per the latest Census evaluation, 86.0% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 13.9% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other dwelling types. This is compared to Non-Metro Qld's figures of 93.4% houses and 6.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kingaroy stood at 33.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.6% and rented ones at 38.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,200, higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,083. The median weekly rent in Kingaroy was $260, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $230. Nationally, Kingaroy's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,200 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially lower at $260 compared to the national figure of $375.

Kingaroy features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 65.4 percent of all households in the region, including 22.9 percent couples with children, 27.4 percent couples without children, and 13.7 percent single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 34.6 percent, with lone person households at 30.5 percent and group households making up 4.2 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.3.

Kingaroy faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 14.5%, significantly below the Australian average of 30.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 10.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 2.3% and graduate diplomas at 1.5%. Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 39.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 9.3% and certificates at 30.6%.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.0% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 2.3% pursuing tertiary education. Kingaroy's 5 schools have a combined enrollment reaching 2,694 students while the area demonstrates typical Australian school conditions with an ICSEA score of 954, indicating balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes 2 primary, 1 secondary, and 2 K-12 schools. The area functions as an education hub with 25.1 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 13.9, attracting students from surrounding communities.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Kingaroy is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Kingaroy faces significant health challenges, as indicated by data from the area. Both younger and older age groups have notable prevalence rates for common health conditions.

Private health cover is low, at approximately 48% of the total population (around 5,151 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions in Kingaroy, affecting 10.6% and 10.4% of residents respectively. Conversely, 61.8% of residents report having no medical ailments, slightly higher than the 59.4% figure for the rest of Queensland. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over (20.2%, or 2,167 people) compared to the rest of Queensland (26.8%). Health outcomes among seniors in Kingaroy present some challenges, broadly aligning with the general population's health profile.

Kingaroy is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Kingaroy's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 88.5% of its population being citizens born in Australia who speak English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, making up 54.3% of Kingaroy's population, compared to 56.4% across the rest of Queensland. The top three ancestry groups are Australian and English, each comprising 30.1%, followed by German at 8.6%.

Notably, Australian Aboriginal is overrepresented in Kingaroy at 4.4%, compared to 6.0% regionally. New Zealanders make up 0.7%, higher than the regional average of 0.5%. Maori representation stands at 0.5%, slightly higher than the regional average of 0.3%.

Kingaroy's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Kingaroy is 38 years, which is slightly below Rest of Qld's average of 41 but aligns with Australia's median age of 38. The age group of 25-34 years old comprises 15.2% of the population in Kingaroy, higher than Rest of Qld's percentage. Conversely, the 45-54 age group makes up 9.9%, which is less prevalent compared to Rest of Qld. According to post-2021 Census data, the 25-34 age group has increased from 13.6% to 15.2% of Kingaroy's population. Meanwhile, the 5-14 age group has decreased from 13.5% to 12.3%. Population forecasts for 2041 suggest significant demographic changes in Kingaroy. Notably, the 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 29%, adding 473 people and reaching a total of 2,104 from the current 1,630. Conversely, the 15-24 age group is expected to decline by 106 people.