Aranda

An assessment of population growth drivers in Aranda reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population for the Aranda statistical area (Lv2) is around 2,584 people. This figure reflects a decrease of 21 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,605 people in the Aranda (SA2). The current estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS from June 2024. This results in a resident population of 2,582 with an additional 8 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio for the area stands at 1,656 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch.

Overseas migration contributed approximately 78.0% of overall population gains during recent periods in the Aranda (SA2). For projections, AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia figures for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. Post-2032 and for areas not covered by this data, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections are used, also based on 2022. According to these projections, the population is expected to decline by 319 persons in the Aranda (SA2) by 2041. However, specific age cohorts like the 45-54 group are projected to grow, with an increase of 4 people anticipated within this period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Aranda according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Aranda has received around 9 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 49 homes from FY-21 to FY-25. So far in FY-26, there has been 1 approval recorded. The average new residents per year per dwelling constructed is 0.8 between FY-21 and FY-25.

New supply meets or exceeds demand, offering ample buyer choice and capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. Average construction value of new properties is $399,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment. Commercial approvals this financial year total $1.2 million, demonstrating Aranda's residential nature. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Aranda shows approximately 66% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 61st percentile nationally.

New development consists of 60.0% detached dwellings and 40.0% townhouses or apartments, shifting from the area's existing housing composition of 87.0% houses. This reflects decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles requiring more diverse housing options. Aranda has around 246 people per approval, indicating a low density area. Population projections showing stability or decline may reduce housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Aranda has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

No changes can influence an area's performance more than alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that are likely to impact the area. Key projects include Bruce Precinct (Section 15), Bruce Residential Development Zone, Bruce Commercial Centre Expansion, and New Northside Hospital (North Canberra Hospital Redevelopment). The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Aranda shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Aranda has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 2.8% in the past year, showing an estimated growth of 2.8%.

As of September 2025, Aranda's unemployment rate is 0.7% lower than the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) rate of 3.6%, but workforce participation lags at 64.2% compared to ACT's 69.6%. Employment is concentrated in public administration & safety, education & training, and professional & technical services, with notable concentration in education & training at 1.6 times the regional average. Health care & social assistance employment is under-represented, at 9.5% compared to ACT's 11.7%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparison of working population and resident population.

In the past year, employment increased by 2.8%, labour force by 0.8%, reducing unemployment by 1.9 percentage points. This contrasts with ACT where employment grew by 1.4%, labour force expanded by 1.2%, and unemployment fell by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov shows ACT employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year, adding 710 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.5%. National forecasts project total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Aranda's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Aranda is among the top percentile nationally. The median assessed income is $76,660 while the average income stands at $96,204. This contrasts with Australian Capital Territory's figures of a median income of $72,206 and an average income of $85,981. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.26% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $83,759 (median) and $105,112 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Aranda, between the 96th and 98th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile reveals that 37.1% of locals (958 people) fall into the $4000+ category, differing from the broader area where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 34.3%. Notably, 52.6% earn above $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 90.2% of income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Aranda is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Aranda, as per the latest Census evaluation, 87.3% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 12.7% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This compares to the Australian Capital Territory's figures of 69.4% houses and 30.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Aranda stood at 44.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.8% and rented ones at 16.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,500, exceeding the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Aranda was recorded at $530, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's $430. Nationally, Aranda's median monthly mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Aranda features high concentrations of group households and family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 78.7% of all households, including 39.6% couples with children, 30.2% couples without children, and 8.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 21.3%, with lone person households at 16.3% and group households comprising 4.9% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Educational achievement in Aranda places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Aranda has a notably higher educational attainment than broader averages. Among residents aged 15+, 62.5% hold university qualifications, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the SA3 area's 43.8%. This advantage is evident in various qualification levels: Bachelor degrees are held by 30.7%, postgraduate qualifications by 24.5%, and graduate diplomas by 7.3%. Vocational pathways account for 16.2% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 8.1% and certificates also at 8.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.9% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (10.3%), secondary education (9.0%), and tertiary education (7.8%).

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 12 active stops operating in Aranda, serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by 52 individual routes, collectively offering 2,735 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 232 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 390 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 227 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Aranda is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Aranda demonstrates above-average health outcomes with a low prevalence of common health conditions among its general population, but this is higher than the national average for older and at-risk cohorts. Approximately 65% of Aranda's total population (1,684 people) has private health cover, compared to 57.7% in Australian Capital Territory and the national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions in Aranda are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 8.7% and 7.9% of residents respectively.

70.1% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 68.1% across Australian Capital Territory. Aranda has 19.6% of its residents aged 65 and over (506 people), which is higher than the 15.3% in Australian Capital Territory.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Aranda was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Aranda was found to be more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 15.8% speaking a language other than English at home and 26.5% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion in Aranda, comprising 31.0%. Judaism is overrepresented at 0.4%, compared to 0.1% across Australian Capital Territory.

The top three ancestry groups are English (26.3%), Australian (25.0%), and Irish (10.0%). Polish is notably overrepresented at 1.1%, Welsh at 0.8%, and Hungarian at 0.4%.

Aranda's median age exceeds the national pattern

Aranda's median age is 42, which is higher than the Australian Capital Territory figure of 35 and Australia's median age of 38. Compared to the ACT average, Aranda has a notably over-represented 5-14 cohort (15.0% locally) and an under-represented 25-34 age group (10.0%). Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group grew from 11.7% to 12.8%, while the 45-54 cohort increased from 13.0% to 14.1%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort declined from 13.0% to 10.9%. Demographic modeling suggests Aranda's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 45-54 age cohort is projected to expand by 3 people (1%) from 364 to 368, while both the 85+ and 65-74 age groups are expected to see reduced numbers.