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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Aranda has an estimated 2,648 residents, up from 2,605 at the 2021 Census — a change of 43 people, or 1.7%. That puts 1,697 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, demographic analysis from AreaSearch puts the resident count in Aranda at approximately 2,648. Compared with the 2021 Census tally of 2,605 people, this indicates an expansion of 43 people (1.7%). The updated estimate draws on an ABS estimated resident population of 2,643 as of June 2025 alongside 10 validated new addresses logged post-census. The local population density reaches 1,697 persons per square kilometer, tracking higher than the typical benchmark across nationwide regions evaluated by AreaSearch. Aranda's 1.7% post-census uptick sits within 2.5 percentage points of the broader SA3 area (4.2%), reflecting resilient growth dynamics.
Recent expansion has been predominantly underpinned by overseas migration, which generated around 86.5% of total population additions in recent periods. Projections utilised by AreaSearch are sourced from ABS/Geoscience Australia 2024 releases with a 2022 base year for each SA2 district, supplemented post-2032 or for unlisted areas by ACT Government SA2 cohort projections based on 2022. Looking at forward trajectories, the modelling anticipates an aggregate contraction, forecasting that local headcount will decrease by 316 persons by 2041. Even so, certain demographics will see positive movement, led by the 45 to 54 age group with an estimated addition of 8 people. See the age section for more details.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
41 new dwellings have been approved in Aranda over the past five years, an average of 8 a year. That is 3.2 approvals per 1,000 residents. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential planning activity in Aranda averages roughly 8 dwelling consents annually, totaling 41 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26). With an influx averaging 1.3 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26), additions have broadly matched underlying demand to support balanced conditions, though a shift to 5.1 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years points to heightened interest and prospective tight supply. Approved dwellings carry an average construction value of $443,000, which moderately exceeds the regional benchmark and points toward higher-specification builds.
Alongside this, commercial development accounted for $1.2 million in approvals this financial year, underscoring a largely residential landscape. Per capita residential consents in Aranda run at roughly half the territory-wide average for Australian Capital Territory, placing the locality in the 37th percentile nationwide and constraining purchaser selection, which bolsters support for established stock. This below-average national volume reflects both local maturity and possible planning constraints. Contemporary construction consists of 62.0% detached houses and 38.0% medium and high-density housing, delivering a broadening array of apartments and townhouses to serve diverse budgets from standalone family residences to compact living. This diverges from the current local profile of 87.0% houses, signaling limited greenfield capacity alongside changing lifestyle requirements and affordability considerations. The ratio of approximately 426 people per dwelling approval characterizes an established residential environment. Given that the local headcount is projected to hold steady or contract, easing pressure on residential supply should open up prospects for incoming purchasers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Aranda
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 57 current infrastructure and development projects close to Aranda, worth an estimated $19.2 billion. 14 are already under construction and 24 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and communities. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Urban development, major capital works, and planning strategies play a pivotal role in shaping an area's trajectory. AreaSearch has identified no major infrastructure projects expected to impact the suburb. Notable surrounding initiatives include Bruce Precinct (Section 15), Bruce Residential Development Zone, New Northside Hospital (North Canberra Hospital Redevelopment), and Bruce Commercial Centre Expansion, with key relevant works outlined below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Radford College Master Plan Implementation
Ongoing implementation of the Radford College Master Plan at the Bruce campus. Major recent works include the completed Collegians Centre (multi-purpose hall) and the Boorer Family Cricket Centre. As of mid-2025 the College Board confirmed the final stage of works was progressing, comprising the completion of the school ovals, presentation upgrades to the Haydon Drive and College Street boundaries, a new Foundation Walk, and a feature pedestrian entrance and path linking College Street to the Collegians Centre with shelter, seating, lighting and an avenue of trees.The College anticipated the design becoming visible by the end of Term 3 2025 following earthworks and landscaping across multiple worksites.
New Northside Hospital
The ACT Government is developing the New Northside Hospital on the existing North Canberra Hospital campus in Bruce to replace the ageing Calvary Public Hospital infrastructure. The project encompasses a state-of-the-art main acute services building, expanded emergency department, expanded mental health facility, a 600-space multi-storey car park, and upgraded site services. Multiplex was appointed as the Early Contractor Involvement delivery partner, with early works progressing ahead of expected completion by 2031.
Bruce Precinct (Section 15)
A masterplanned mixed-use urban precinct and residential land release located centrally in Bruce, adjacent to the AIS and Bruce Ridge Nature Reserve. The project aligns with the Bruce Sports, Health and Education Precinct masterplan, delivering approximately 250-500 new dwellings, including affordable housing options, alongside commercial, hospitality, and retail opportunities.
Bruce Sporting Complex Upgrade
Progressive upgrade of sporting facilities in Bruce including playing fields, lighting, pavilions, changerooms and supporting infrastructure. The works form part of the ACT Government's ongoing sportsground improvement program to improve community and competition sporting facilities.
New Northside Hospital (North Canberra Hospital Redevelopment)
The New Northside Hospital is a landmark $1+ billion health infrastructure project delivering a modern acute hospital campus to replace aging facilities at North Canberra Hospital in Bruce. The project delivers a new state-of-the-art seven-storey clinical services building featuring over 200 acute inpatient beds, 14 intensive care beds, 8 modern operating theatres, expanded emergency facilities, and multi-deck parking. Delivered by Major Projects Canberra for Canberra Health Services with early site works commencing in mid-2026, the new hospital is slated for completion in 2032.
AIS Podium Project
A 249.7 million dollar redevelopment of the Australian Institute of Sport campus to modernize infrastructure for the Brisbane 2032 Games. The project includes a new High Performance Testing and Training Centre, a multi-sport indoor dome, and a 200-bed accessible athlete residence. As of May 2026, the project is in a critical planning and procurement phase with major works tenders closing this month and demolition of the original 1985 Athletes Village scheduled for June 2026.
Ethos Belconnen
Ethos is the second stage of Per Se Developments' Cirrus lakeside precinct at Belconnen. The project comprises 88 premium apartments with ground floor commercial tenancies overlooking Lake Ginninderra. Construction is well advanced with display apartments open and commercial space being marketed ahead of expected completion in 2026.
Belconnen Mixed-Use Towers (40 Cameron Avenue)
RF Corval has proposed a major mixed-use redevelopment at 40 Cameron Avenue comprising two towers of 24 and 27 storeys. The proposal includes 407 residential apartments, ground-floor commercial and office tenancies, and structured basement and podium parking. The project replaces an existing low-rise commercial building situated within the Belconnen Town Centre precinct.
1,345 residents of Aranda are employed, from a labour force of 1,385. Unemployment sits at 2.9%, with participation at 65.3%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.6% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,137, about 81% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Aranda features a highly skilled labor pool with prominent representation in professional services, an unemployment rate of only 2.9%, and an estimated employment gain of 2.1% across the prior twelve months. By March 2026, working residents numbered 1,345, while the jobless rate came in 1.2% lower than the Australian Capital Territory benchmark of 4.1%, even as the local labor participation rate of 65.3% trailed the territory level of 70.6%. Census findings indicated that 16.7% of employed locals conducted their work from home, though pandemic restrictions during that period should be noted.
Local workers are concentrated predominantly across public administration & safety, education & training, and professional & technical sectors. Specialization is particularly marked in education & training, where local employment concentration is 1.6 times the regional level. In contrast, health care & social assistance is less represented locally at 9.5%, against the wider region's 11.7%. A comparison between the Census workplace count and local resident numbers highlights that this primarily residential suburb offers few employment positions within its borders. According to AreaSearch evaluation of ABS and SALM metrics, the annual cycle recorded a 2.1% rise in jobs alongside a 1.2% expansion in the active workforce, lowering the jobless rate by 0.9 percentage points. In contrast, Australian Capital Territory recorded an employment gain of 0.3%, labor force growth of 1.1%, and an unemployment rise of 0.7 percentage points. Looking ahead, Mar-26 projections from Jobs and Skills Australia shed light on future labor requirements. When mapped onto Aranda's occupational profile over five- and ten-year horizons, overall national employment is expected to lift by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with performance varying across sectors. Applying these sectoral trajectories to the local structure indicates local employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.4% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Aranda is $3,161 a week (about $164,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,372 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $81,229 a year against an average of $99,921. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Postcode-level ATO records compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 place earnings in the Aranda SA2 at an exceptionally elevated level nationally, showing a median income of $81,229 and an average income of $99,921. These figures outperform the broader Australian Capital Territory benchmarks of $72,206 (median) and $85,981 (average). Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.44% since financial year 2023, updated modeled earnings reach approximately $89,709 for the median and $110,353 for the average as of March 2026. Across 2021 Census measures, personal, family, and household earnings all placed between the 96th and 98th percentiles across the country.
Weekly earnings of $4000+ represent the largest cohort at 37.1% of residents (982 people), diverging from regional patterns where 34.3% earn in the $1,500 - 2,999 band. Furthermore, 52.6% of residents earn above $3,000 per week, underpinning high disposable wealth. After meeting accommodation commitments, households retain 90.2% of income, securing a place in the 10th decile of the SEIFA economic index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Aranda had 897 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 87% detached houses and 3% apartments. 39% are owned with a mortgage, 16% rented and 45% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $530 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,500 a month. Rent absorbs 16.8% of household income here and mortgage repayments 18.3%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the most recent Census, the local housing landscape in Aranda comprised 87.3% houses alongside 12.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with the Australian Capital Territory distribution of 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Outright home ownership stood well ahead of territory figures at 44.7%, with remaining properties held under a mortgage (38.8%) or rented (16.4%). Typical monthly mortgage obligations reached $2,500 compared to $2,080 across Australian Capital Territory, while median weekly rent was $530 versus $450 territory-wide. When compared to the nationwide averages of $1,863 for home loans and $375 for rental rates, Aranda's housing expenses remain considerably higher.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Aranda counted 897 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.8 people each. 40% are couples with children, more than in 78% of areas nationally, against 30% couples without children. 16% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.5 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The domestic fabric is predominantly family-oriented, with family households comprising 78.7% of all residences, consisting of couples with children at 39.6%, couples without children at 30.2%, and single parent families at 8.2%. Non-family setups make up the remaining 21.3%, encompassing lone person households at 16.3% and group households at 4.9%. The area records a median household size of 2.8 people, higher than the Australian Capital Territory metric of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
62.5% of adults in Aranda hold a university qualification, including 30.7% with a bachelor degree and 24.5% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 91% of areas nationally. A further 8.1% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 695 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,141 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Academic credentials among Aranda residents sit well above broader benchmarks, with 62.5% of individuals aged 15+ possessing higher education qualifications, in contrast to 30.4% across Australia and 43.8% across the SA3 area. This pronounced knowledge profile positions the local workforce favorably for professional disciplines. Bachelor degrees account for the largest share at 30.7%, accompanied by postgraduate qualifications at 24.5% and graduate diplomas at 7.3%. Technical and vocational credentials represent 16.2% of qualifications among residents aged 15+, divided between advanced diplomas (8.1%) and certificates (8.1%). Educational engagement is substantial across the community, with 31.9% of residents actively participating in formal schooling or study.
This cohort comprises 10.3% attending primary school, 9.0% enrolled in secondary school, and 7.8% pursuing tertiary qualifications.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Aranda reaches 13 stops on 58 routes, timetabled for about 4,300 services a week. The typical home sits about 230 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.5 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local transit network features 13 active transport stops across Aranda offering bus connectivity. These facilities are served across 58 individual routes that generate 4,318 weekly passenger trips in total. Transit access is favorable, with residents generally situated 228 meters from their nearest stop. Outward travel characterizes the commuting profile: private motor vehicles account for 79% of journeys, followed by 10% on buses and 7% cycling. Private vehicle access sits at 1.5 per dwelling, tracking above regional norms. Additionally, 16.7% of workers worked from home according to the 2021 Census, which coincided with COVID-19 conditions.
Transit services provide an average of 616 trips daily across the collective network, which translates to roughly 332 weekly departures per stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
70.1% of residents in Aranda report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 76% of areas nationally. 4.3% need daily assistance with core activities, and 70.4% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.3 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators across Aranda reflect strong community wellbeing in AreaSearch's review of mortality and long-term health issues, with younger demographics showing minimal rates of standard ailments. Private health insurance coverage is remarkably widespread, encompassing approximately 70% of the total population (1,864 people), compared to 62.4% across Australian Capital Territory and a nationwide benchmark of 55.7%. Arthritis and mental health issues represent the primary chronic ailments diagnosed locally, affecting 8.7% and 7.9% of the population respectively, while 70.1% reported no long-term medical conditions, closely matching the 70.2% recorded across Australian Capital Territory.
The working-age population maintains robust health with minimal chronic issues. Residents aged 65 and over constitute 20.4% of the community (540 people), exceeding the territory proportion of 14.2%, though sitting below the broader national distribution.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
26.5% of Aranda residents were born overseas and 15.8% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (26.3%) and Australian (25.0%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Aranda exceeds that of most comparable local areas, with 15.8% of residents speaking a language other than English at home and 26.5% born overseas. Christianity represents the predominant faith, practiced by 31.0% of the population. Notably, Judaism demonstrates clear overrepresentation locally at 0.4% of residents, relative to 0.2% across Australian Capital Territory. Looking at heritage based on parental birthplace, the three most common ancestries recorded in Aranda are English (26.3%), Australian (25.0%), and Irish (10.0%). Clear divergences also appear across other cultural backgrounds, with Polish showing higher local representation at 1.1% (compared to 0.8% regionally), Welsh at 0.8% (versus 0.6%), and Hungarian at 0.4% (versus 0.3%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Aranda is 42. 23.9% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The community profile leans older in Aranda. Based on demographic assessments updated to August 2026, seniors and retirees aged 65+ make up 20.4% of the population, compared to 14.2% across Australian Capital Territory, whereas young to middle aged adults (25 - 44) account for 23.0% against a regional share of 32.8%. The estimated median age stands at 42 as at August 2026, matching the 2021 Census figure and exceeding the territory median of 35 recorded at that Census by 7 years. Since the Census, the mature adult bracket aged 45 - 64 has declined from 26.0% to an estimated 23.6%.
By 2041, no major age cohort is expected to experience substantial growth, while children, young adults, and young to middle aged adults are all forecasted to decrease.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Aranda
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Sep 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Sep 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Sep 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 4 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 10 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (2,605 at the 2021 Census → 2,648 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (801011001). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.