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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Aranda has an estimated 2,648 residents, up from 2,605 at the 2021 Census — a change of 43 people, or 1.7%. That puts 1,697 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to research conducted by AreaSearch, the population of Aranda stands at approximately 2,648 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 43 individuals, or 1.7%, from the 2,605 residents recorded in the 2021 Census. This adjustment is calculated using the ABS estimated resident population of 2,643 from June 2025 alongside 10 validated new addresses registered since the Census. With these figures, the population density reaches 1,697 persons per square kilometer, outperforming the typical density across national locations analyzed by AreaSearch. The suburb's post-census growth of 1.7% trails the wider SA3 area's rate of 4.2% by 2.5 percentage points, showing competitive local demand.
The primary driver of these recent population gains was overseas migration, which was responsible for roughly 86.5% of the overall increase. Projections from ABS and Geoscience Australia, published in 2024 with a 2022 baseline, are utilized by AreaSearch for each SA2 area. In cases where this data is unavailable, or for timeframes extending past 2032, growth rates by age group are sourced from the ACT Government's SA2 projections, also using a 2022 base. Looking at long-term demographic trends, these projections point to a shrinking population, with the local count expected to decrease by 312 persons by 2041. Despite this overall contraction, some age brackets are set to expand, particularly the 45 to 54 cohort, which is expected to add 9 people. See the age section for more details.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
49 new dwellings have been approved in Aranda over the past five years, an average of 9 a year. That is 3.8 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 5, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Aranda averages approximately 9 new dwelling approvals annually, with a total of 49 residential approvals registered over the 5 financial years spanning FY-21 to FY-25, and an additional 5 recorded so far in FY-26. Market conditions appear balanced as the area welcomed an average of 1.1 new residents per approved home over the FY-21 to FY-25 period. The average value of these newly constructed homes stands at $314,000, which is slightly higher than the regional average and points to a focus on premium builds. Meanwhile, commercial development approvals totaling $1.2 million were registered during the current financial year, highlighting the predominantly residential focus of the suburb.
Aranda's rate of new dwelling approvals per capita is about two-thirds of the Australian Capital Territory average, placing it in the 60th percentile of all locations analyzed nationwide. Newly approved buildings consist of 57.0% standalone houses and 43.0% townhouses or apartments, indicating an increasing supply of medium-density housing that provides options across various price points, from classic family homes to smaller, more affordable dwellings. This marks a clear departure from the current housing stock, which is 87.0% houses, signaling a shortage of vacant land for development alongside changing lifestyle preferences and demand for diverse housing. A ratio of roughly 264 people per dwelling approval characterizes Aranda as a low density area. Faced with stable or contracting population projections, Aranda is likely to experience reduced demand for housing, which could create advantageous buying opportunities.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Aranda
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 57 current infrastructure and development projects close to Aranda, worth an estimated $21.6 billion. 14 are already under construction and 24 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and communities. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major developments, and planning changes have a significant influence on local performance. In total, AreaSearch has identified 0 projects that are expected to impact the suburb. Key developments include Bruce Precinct (Section 15), Bruce Residential Development Zone, New Northside Hospital (North Canberra Hospital Redevelopment), and Bruce Commercial Centre Expansion, with the list below highlighting the most relevant projects.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Radford College Master Plan Implementation
Ongoing implementation of the Radford College Master Plan at the Bruce campus. Major recent works include the completed Collegians Centre (multi-purpose hall) and the Boorer Family Cricket Centre. As of mid-2025 the College Board confirmed the final stage of works was progressing, comprising the completion of the school ovals, presentation upgrades to the Haydon Drive and College Street boundaries, a new Foundation Walk, and a feature pedestrian entrance and path linking College Street to the Collegians Centre with shelter, seating, lighting and an avenue of trees.The College anticipated the design becoming visible by the end of Term 3 2025 following earthworks and landscaping across multiple worksites.
New Northside Hospital (North Canberra Hospital Redevelopment)
The New Northside Hospital is a landmark $1.1 billion health infrastructure project located on the existing North Canberra Hospital campus. As of May 2026, the project has transitioned into the early works phase, which includes the establishment of site compounds, utility upgrades, and the staged demolition of existing campus buildings following a Development Application lodged in April 2026. This state-of-the-art facility will feature an expanded emergency department with a dedicated ambulance entry, modern inpatient units, and integrated spaces for medical research and training.Main hospital construction is scheduled to follow in 2027 while existing hospital services remain fully operational.
Bruce Precinct (Section 15)
A masterplanned mixed-use urban precinct and residential land release located centrally in Bruce, adjacent to the AIS and Bruce Ridge Nature Reserve. The project aligns with the Bruce Sports, Health and Education Precinct masterplan, delivering approximately 250-500 new dwellings, including affordable housing options, alongside commercial, hospitality, and retail opportunities.
Bruce Sporting Complex Upgrade
Progressive upgrade of sporting facilities in Bruce including playing fields, lighting, pavilions, changerooms and supporting infrastructure. The works form part of the ACT Government's ongoing sportsground improvement program to improve community and competition sporting facilities.
AIS Podium Project
A 249.7 million dollar redevelopment of the Australian Institute of Sport campus to modernize infrastructure for the Brisbane 2032 Games. The project includes a new High Performance Testing and Training Centre, a multi-sport indoor dome, and a 200-bed accessible athlete residence. As of May 2026, the project is in a critical planning and procurement phase with major works tenders closing this month and demolition of the original 1985 Athletes Village scheduled for June 2026.
Ethos Belconnen
Ethos is the second stage of Per Se Developments' Cirrus lakeside precinct at Belconnen. The project comprises 88 premium apartments with ground floor commercial tenancies overlooking Lake Ginninderra. Construction is well advanced with display apartments open and commercial space being marketed ahead of expected completion in 2026.
Belconnen Community Hub Upgrade
Comprehensive upgrade of existing community facilities including expanded library services, community meeting spaces, youth programs area, seniors center, and childcare facilities. Improved accessibility and technology integration throughout.
University of Canberra Sports Precinct
Major expansion of University of Canberra sports facilities, including the development of Sports Hub 2, new aquatic centre, indoor sports courts, outdoor playing fields, gymnasium upgrades, and athlete training facilities. It focuses on community access programs and elite athlete development.
1,345 residents of Aranda are employed, from a labour force of 1,385. Unemployment sits at 2.9%, with participation at 65.1%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.6% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,137, about 81% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce is highly educated, featuring a strong concentration of professionals, a low unemployment rate of 2.9%, and a 2.1% increase in estimated employment over the last year. As of March 2026, there are 1,345 employed residents. The unemployment rate is 1.2% lower than the Australian Capital Territory average of 4.1%, while the participation rate of 65.1% is notably lower than the territory's 70.8%. Census data indicates that a moderate 16.7% of the workforce operated from home, though this figure may have been influenced by COVID-19 pandemic restrictions. The primary sectors employing local residents are public administration & safety, education & training, and professional & technical services.
Education & training stands out as a key specialization, with its employment share reaching 1.6 times the regional average. Conversely, health care & social assistance employs only 9.5% of local workers, which is below the Australian Capital Territory benchmark of 11.7%. The comparison between the local working population and the resident population suggests this highly residential suburb offers limited local employment opportunities. Based on AreaSearch's evaluation of SALM and ABS statistics, the 12 months leading up to March 2026 saw employment rise by 2.1% and the labour force expand by 1.2%, which led to a 0.9 percentage point decrease in the unemployment rate. This performance contrasts with the broader Australian Capital Territory, where employment grew by 0.3%, the labor force increased by 1.1%, and the unemployment rate rose by 0.7 percentage points. National employment projections released by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 offer additional context on future demand trends in Aranda. These five- and ten-year projections have been applied to the local workforce structure to model potential growth. Nationally, employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though rates vary significantly by sector. Applying these industry-specific trends to the local employment distribution suggests Aranda's employment could grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, representing a basic weighted extrapolation that does not account for local population changes.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Aranda is $3,161 a week (about $164,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,372 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $81,229 a year against an average of $99,921. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Aggregated ATO statistics from the 2023 financial year position the Aranda SA2 within the highest income percentile nationwide. Taxpayer data shows a median income of $81,229 and an average income of $99,921, compared to the Australian Capital Territory medians and averages of $72,206 and $85,981. Adjusted for a Wage Price Index growth of 10.44% since the 2023 financial year, estimated figures as of March 2026 reach approximately $89,709 for the median and $110,353 for the average. In the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes all placed between the 96th and 98th percentiles nationally.
Looking at income distribution, the $4000+ weekly bracket is the most common, accounting for 37.1% of residents (982 people), whereas the surrounding region is led by the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket at 34.3%. High earners are highly represented, with 52.6% of residents receiving over $3,000 weekly, pointing to significant local purchasing power. After accounting for housing expenditure, residents retain 90.2% of their income, and the suburb is positioned in the 10th decile of the SEIFA index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Aranda had 897 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 87% detached houses and 3% apartments. 39% are owned with a mortgage, 16% rented and 45% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $530 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,500 a month. Rent absorbs 16.8% of household income here and mortgage repayments 18.3%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census data shows Aranda's housing mix consists of 87.3% standalone houses and 12.7% other housing types, such as semi-detached properties and apartments, compared to the Australian Capital Territory split of 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Aranda reached 44.7%, which is higher than the territory average, with the remaining households holding a mortgage (38.8%) or renting (16.4%). The median monthly mortgage payment in the area was $2,500, which is higher than the Australian Capital Territory median of $2,080, while the median weekly rent was $530, compared to the territory median of $450.
On a national level, Aranda's housing costs are elevated, with mortgage payments sitting above the Australian average of $1,863 and rents exceeding the national average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Aranda counted 897 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.8 people each. 40% are couples with children, more than in 78% of areas nationally, against 30% couples without children. 16% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.5 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the majority of local households at 78.7%, consisting of couples with children at 39.6%, couples without children at 30.2%, and single-parent families at 8.2%. The remaining 21.3% are non-family households, with single-person households representing 16.3% and group households making up 4.9%. The median household size of 2.8 people is larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
62.5% of adults in Aranda hold a university qualification, including 30.7% with a bachelor degree and 24.5% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 91% of areas nationally. A further 8.1% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 695 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,141 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Academic achievement in Aranda is exceptionally high, with 62.5% of residents aged 15 and over holding a university degree, compared to 30.4% across Australia and 43.8% in the SA3 area. This strong educational profile positions the population well for professional opportunities. Bachelor degrees are the most common qualification at 30.7%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 24.5% and graduate diplomas at 7.3%. Vocational training accounts for 16.2% of qualifications among residents aged 15 and over, split equally between advanced diplomas at 8.1% and certificates at 8.1%. Educational enrollment is high, with 31.9% of the local population engaged in formal study.
This student population includes 10.3% in primary school, 9.0% in secondary school, and 7.8% enrolled in tertiary institutions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Aranda reaches 13 stops on 52 routes, timetabled for about 2,700 services a week. The typical home sits about 230 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.5 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport services in Aranda feature 13 active stops, utilizing a combination of light rail and buses. These stops are connected to 52 routes, which support 2,735 passenger journeys each week. Transport access is rated as good, with residents living an average of 232 meters from the nearest stop. The suburb is primarily residential, resulting in a high rate of outward commuting. Private vehicles are the main transport mode at 79%, followed by buses at 10% and cycling at 7%. Household vehicle ownership averages 1.5, which is above the regional average.
Additionally, 16.7% of residents work from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-era conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 390 daily trips, which translates to approximately 210 weekly trips for each transport stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
70.1% of residents in Aranda report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 76% of areas nationally. 4.3% need daily assistance with core activities, and 70.4% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.3 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators show positive outcomes across Aranda, based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality data and the prevalence of chronic illnesses. Younger age groups show very low rates of common health issues, and private health insurance coverage is exceptionally high, encompassing roughly 70% of the population (1,864 people). This compares to a rate of 62.4% in the Australian Capital Territory and a national average of 55.7%. Arthritis and mental health issues are the most frequent medical diagnoses in the suburb, affecting 8.7% and 7.9% of residents, respectively. Meanwhile, 70.1% of the population reported no chronic medical conditions, matching the Australian Capital Territory average of 70.2%.
The working-age population is particularly healthy with low rates of chronic disease. Residents aged 65 and over represent 19.6% of the population (520 people), which is higher than the Australian Capital Territory figure of 14.3%, although this represents a lower national ranking compared to the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
26.5% of Aranda residents were born overseas and 15.8% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (26.3%) and Australian (25.0%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Aranda displays higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 15.8% of the population speaking a non-English language at home and 26.5% born outside Australia. Christianity is the primary religion, representing 31.0% of residents. The most distinct religious overrepresentation is Judaism, which accounts for 0.4% of the population compared to 0.2% across the Australian Capital Territory. In terms of parent country of birth, the three most common ancestries in Aranda are English at 26.3%, Australian at 25.0%, and Irish at 10.0%. There are also distinct concentrations of other ethnic groups: Polish ancestry is overrepresented at 1.1% of the population (compared to 0.8% in the region), Welsh at 0.8% (compared to 0.6%), and Hungarian at 0.4% (compared to 0.3%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Aranda is 42. 23.5% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age in Aranda is 42, which is higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 and the Australian average of 38. Compared to the territory average, the 5 - 14 cohort is overrepresented at 15.2%, while the 25 - 34 bracket is underrepresented at 10.4%. Since 2021, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 11.7% to 13.1% of the population. In contrast, the 55 to 64 group has decreased from 13.0% to 10.8%, and the 0 to 4 cohort has dropped from 5.4% to 4.4%.
Demographic models indicate the age profile will change by 2041, with the 45 to 54 group projected to expand by 8 people (2%) from 368 to 377, while the number of residents in the 85+ and 0 to 4 groups will decrease.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Aranda
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | May 2026 3 months ago all 13 measures |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 10 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (2,605 at the 2021 Census → 2,648 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (801011001). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.