Rozelle

An assessment of population growth drivers in Rozelle reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Rozelle's population is estimated at around 8,840 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 287 people (3.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 8,553 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 8,829, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 6 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 4,830 persons per square kilometer, placing Rozelle (SA2) within the top 10% nationally according to AreaSearch. Rozelle's growth rate since census is 3.4%, positioning it within 0.4 percentage points of its SA3 area's growth rate of 3.8%. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 66.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth for Australian statistical areas like Rozelle (SA2), expected to increase by 1,672 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 17.7% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Rozelle recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Rozelle indicates approximately 53 new homes approved annually. Between financial years FY-21 and FY-25, around 266 homes were approved, with an additional 9 approved in FY-26 to date. Despite population decline, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with varied buyer choices.

The average construction cost value of new homes is $1,219,000, suggesting developers target the premium market segment. Commercial approvals totaled $30.8 million in FY-26, indicating strong local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Rozelle has 106.0% more building activity per person. Recent construction consists of 15.0% detached houses and 85.0% townhouses or apartments, promoting higher-density living for affordability and suitability for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. With approximately 81 people per dwelling approval, Rozelle exhibits characteristics of a low-density area.

AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects Rozelle to add 1,562 residents by 2041, with current development levels aligning with future requirements, maintaining stable market conditions without significant price pressures.

Rozelle has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 22 projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include Rozelle Village Mixed-Use Precinct, Rozelle Village, Balmain Shores - Harbourwatch Building G, and The Bays Metro Station Development. Below is a list of most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Rozelle remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Rozelle has an educated workforce, particularly in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate is 4.6%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025, Rozelle has 5,421 employed residents with an unemployment rate of 4.6%, which is 0.4% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Rozelle is 72.6%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include professional & technical, finance & insurance, and health care & social assistance. Rozelle specializes in professional & technical jobs, employing 18% of its workforce, which is 1.8 times the regional level.

However, health care & social assistance employs only 10.8% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 14.1%. The area offers limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Rozelle's labour force increased by 0.2%, while employment declined by 0.6%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.7 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.1% and labour force expand by 2.4%, with unemployment rising by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data from NSW as of 25-Nov-25 shows employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Rozelle's employment should increase by 7.5% over five years and 14.7% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Rozelle's employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023 shows Rozelle's median income is $90,355 and average income is $131,767. This compares to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% from July 2023 to September 2025, estimated incomes are approximately $98,360 (median) and $143,442 (average). The 2021 Census places Rozelle's household, family, and personal incomes between the 98th and 99th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals 41.6% of residents earn $4000+ weekly, unlike surrounding regions where 30.9% earn $1,500 - 2,999 weekly. High earnings are reflected in 52.8% of households earning over $3,000 weekly. Despite high housing costs consuming 16.6% of income, disposable income ranks at the 97th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Rozelle displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Rozelle's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 24.6% houses and 75.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 30.0% houses and 70.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Rozelle was at 26.6%, similar to Sydney metro. Mortgaged dwellings accounted for 33.1% and rented ones for 40.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,500, aligning with the Sydney metro average. The median weekly rent was $650, compared to Sydney metro's $600. Nationally, Rozelle's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Rozelle features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 66.5% of all households, including 27.9% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 7.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 33.5%, with lone person households at 29.1% and group households comprising 4.2%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

Rozelle demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Rozelle's educational attainment exceeds national averages. Among residents aged 15+, 58.5% hold university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common (36.0%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (17.7%) and graduate diplomas (4.8%). Vocational pathways account for 20.7%, with advanced diplomas at 10.6% and certificates at 10.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 25.5% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.4% in primary, 6.0% in tertiary, and 5.7% in secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Rozelle has 48 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops are served by a mix of buses along 27 individual routes. Together, they facilitate 8,250 weekly passenger trips.

The transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 159 meters from the nearest stop. On average, there are 1,178 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately 171 weekly trips per individual stop.

Rozelle's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Rozelle shows excellent health outcomes with very low prevalence of common conditions across all ages. Approximately 79% of its total population of 6,963 have private health cover, significantly higher than the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 7.9 and 7.2% of residents respectively. 74.3% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 73.2%. As of 14th June 2021, 14.5% of Rozelle's population are aged 65 and over (1,281 people). Seniors' health outcomes align with those of the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Rozelle was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Rozelle, surveyed in 2016, had a higher proportion of culturally diverse residents compared to most local areas. 14.0% spoke a language other than English at home, while 31.1% were born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 39.7%.

Judaism, however, was more prevalent in Rozelle at 0.6%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 0.7%. The top three ancestry groups were English (27.4%), Australian (19.4%), and Irish (11.5%). Notably, French (0.9% vs regional 0.8%), Welsh (0.8% vs 0.7%), and Russian (0.6% vs 0.5%) ethnic groups were overrepresented in Rozelle compared to the region.

Rozelle's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Rozelle has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Sydney average, Rozelle has a notably higher proportion of people aged 45-54 (15.4% locally) but a lower proportion of those aged 15-24 (9.6%). Between 2021 and the present, the population of those aged 15 to 24 grew from 7.8% to 9.6%, while those aged 75 to 84 increased from 3.9% to 4.9%. Conversely, the proportion of people aged 35 to 44 declined from 18.8% to 17.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Rozelle's age profile will change significantly. The number of people aged 75-84 is projected to grow by 344 individuals (an increase of 80%), from 433 to 778. Meanwhile, the population of those aged 5-14 is expected to decrease by 7 residents.