Lobethal

An assessment of population growth drivers in Lobethal reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, Lobethal's population is estimated at around 3,015, reflecting a 481 person increase since the 2021 Census. This growth represents a 19.0% rise from the previous count of 2,534 people. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of Lobethal's resident population at 2,990 following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024, along with an additional 27 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 115 persons per square kilometer. Lobethal's growth exceeded both state (7.1%) and metropolitan area averages, making it a regional growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 54.0% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, the SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections are used, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Demographic trends project an above median population growth for Lobethal, with an expected expansion of 425 persons to reach 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total gain of 1.8% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Lobethal when compared nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Lobethal, around 26 new homes were approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 134 homes were approved, with an additional five approved so far in FY-26. On average, 1.1 new residents arrived per year for each new home built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating a balanced supply and demand market that supports stable conditions.

The average construction value of new homes was $510,000, which is higher than regional norms, reflecting quality-focused development. In the current financial year, there have been $32.3 million in commercial approvals, suggesting strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Lobethal has similar development levels per person, maintaining market balance with the broader area.

All new construction comprised detached houses, preserving the area's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 105 people per dwelling approval, Lobethal exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Lobethal is projected to add 53 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Lobethal has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 36thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 0 projects that could impact the area. Notable projects include SA Water Capital Work Delivery Contracts, SA Public Housing Maintenance and Services Contracts, South Australian Road Network Maintenance, and South Australia High Productivity Vehicle Network Access. The following list details those most relevant:.

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Employment conditions in Lobethal remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Lobethal's workforce is skilled with well-represented essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 3.8% in June 2025, lower than Greater Adelaide's 4.0%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.7%. There are 1,412 residents employed, with workforce participation similar to Greater Adelaide's 61.7%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and construction. Manufacturing is particularly strong, with an employment share of 2.1 times the regional level.

Conversely, health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 14.7% versus the regional average of 17.7%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data. In the year to June 2025, employment levels increased by 1.7%, and labour force increased by 1.7%, keeping unemployment relatively stable. By comparison, Greater Adelaide recorded employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.1%, with a marginal rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 offer insight into potential future demand within Lobethal. These projections suggest national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with growth rates varying significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Lobethal's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.7% over five years and 12.5% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not consider localised population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Lobethal's median income is $48,766 and average income is $62,443. This is below Greater Adelaide's figures of a median income of $52,592 and an average income of $64,886. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $55,023 (median) and $70,454 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.83% since financial year 2022. The 2021 Census ranks Lobethal's household, family, and personal incomes modestly, between the 37th and 40th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that 34.7% of residents (1,046 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, consistent with metropolitan trends at 31.8%. After housing expenses, 85.7% of income remains for other expenses. Lobethal's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Lobethal is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Lobethal's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 90.6% houses and 9.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Adelaide metro's figures of 95.2% houses and 4.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lobethal stood at 34.4%, similar to Adelaide metro, with mortgaged dwellings making up 50.1% and rented dwellings comprising 15.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,473, lower than the Adelaide metro average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Lobethal was $310, compared to Adelaide metro's $350. Nationally, Lobethal's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Lobethal has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households compose 71.9% of all households, including 30.2% couples with children, 30.9% couples without children, and 9.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 28.1%, with lone person households at 26.7% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Lobethal aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 19.2%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 42.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (29.5%). Educational participation is high at 27.5%, comprising 11.2% in primary, 7.9% in secondary, and 3.6% in tertiary education.

Lobethal Lutheran School and Lobethal Primary School serve 222 students collectively, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1041) and balanced educational opportunities. Both schools focus on primary education, with secondary options available nearby. The area has 7.4 school places per 100 residents, below the regional average of 14.0, indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 15 active stops operating in Lobethal. These are mixed bus services. They are covered by 8 routes offering 131 weekly passenger trips combined.

Accessibility is rated good with residents usually 229 meters from nearest stop. Average service frequency is 18 trips daily across all routes, equating to about 8 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Lobethal are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Lobethal's health indicators show below-average results with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is approximately 52% of the total population (~1,558 people), compared to Greater Adelaide's 55.2%.

Mental health issues impact 9.1% of residents, while arthritis affects 8.9%. About 66.3% report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Adelaide's 68.5%. The area has 21.8% of residents aged 65 and over (657 people), higher than Greater Adelaide's 19.9%. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

Lobethal ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Lobethal, as per the Australian Census on 27 August 2016, showed low cultural diversity with 84.7% of its population born in Australia and 91.8% being citizens. English was spoken at home by 94.6%. Christianity was the predominant religion at 49.7%.

The 'Other' religious category had a higher representation in Lobethal at 0.8%, compared to Greater Adelaide's 0.6%. In terms of ancestry, English (31.5%) and Australian (29.0%) were the top groups, followed by German (13.3%), which was notably higher than the regional average of 8.2%. Polish (1.4%) and Dutch (1.8%) had similar representation to the region, while Russian (0.4%) was slightly overrepresented compared to Greater Adelaide's 0.3%.

Lobethal hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Lobethal is 43 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Adelaide's average of 39 years and Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Lobethal has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (14.9%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.1%). According to the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 75-84 increased from 7.5% to 8.7%, while the proportion of those aged 45-54 decreased from 12.6% to 11.6%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Lobethal's age structure. The number of residents aged 85 and above is projected to grow by 107%, reaching 218 from 105. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 81% of total population growth, reflecting Lobethal's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 0-4 and 25-34 age groups are projected to have reduced numbers.