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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Lobethal has an estimated 2,698 residents, up from 2,534 at the 2021 Census — a change of 164 people, or 6.5%. Growth has averaged 1.0% a year over five years. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 54.0% of that increase. That puts 103 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Based on demographic evaluations from the ABS for the surrounding region, combined with address records verified by AreaSearch post-Census, the suburb of Lobethal has an estimated population of 2,698 in May 2026. This represents a gain of 164 people (6.5%) compared to the 2,534 individuals documented during the 2021 Census. The calculation is based on an estimated resident population of 2,696 derived from the June 2025 ABS ERP release, supplemented by 30 validated new addresses added after the Census. This count indicates a population density of 103 persons per square kilometer, indicating low density and capacity for future expansion.
The 6.5% growth rate of the suburb of Lobethal post-Census is within 1.0 percentage points of the statewide average (7.5%), showing comparable expansion dynamics. Incoming interstate migrants accounted for approximately 54.0% of the overall population gains recorded during the latest intervals. Projections utilize ABS and Geoscience Australia models released in 2024 with a 2022 baseline. For areas missing from these files, and for periods past 2032, regional projections by age bracket published in 2023 by the SA State Government using 2021 data are utilized, adjusted via weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Future expectations show the suburb of Lobethal is projected to experience population expansion above the national median, increasing by 400 persons by 2041 according to aggregated SA2 models, indicating an overall growth of 14.8% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
103 new dwellings have been approved in Lobethal over the past five years, an average of 20 a year. That is 8.0 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 5, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Analysis of ABS building approvals allocated to local levels reveals that Lobethal typically sees around 20 residential approvals annually, with 103 residences approved during the 5 financial years spanning FY-21 to FY-25, and 5 approvals recorded during FY-26 so far. With an average of 1.3 new residents per constructed dwelling over the 5 financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, supply aligns well with demand to support balanced market conditions, although this metric rose to 5 people per dwelling over the last 2 financial years, pointing to rising local popularity and potential capacity constraints.
Approved residential builds carry an average value of $510,000, showing that developers are targeting the premium, higher-end segment of the market. Furthermore, commercial approvals have reached $22.4 million this financial year, showing ongoing commercial investment. Lobethal's per capita construction rate sits at approximately 75% of the level seen in Greater Adelaide, placing it in the 56th percentile among all assessed areas nationally. Over this period, approvals consisted entirely of standalone homes, preserving the established low-density layout of the area with a focus on spacious single-family residences. Having roughly 281 people per approval, the local construction market is in a state of transition. Long-term forecasts suggest Lobethal will add 398 residents by 2041, measured from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Current construction volume indicates that incoming residential supply should easily accommodate this growth, creating favorable purchasing conditions and potentially paving the way for expansion beyond current projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Lobethal
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 16 current infrastructure and development projects close to Lobethal, worth an estimated $794 million. 4 are already under construction and 6 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, education & training and health & medical. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects and planning changes are major drivers of regional performance. AreaSearch has identified no projects expected to influence this locality. Planned regional works include the SA Water Capital Work Delivery Contracts 2024-28, SA Housing Trust Maintenance Contracts Review and Service Program, Northern Adelaide Transport Study, and South Australian Road Network Maintenance, with details of the most relevant items provided below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Amblemead Estate
Premium boutique land development featuring 194 allotments across multiple stages with stunning reserve, playgrounds, waterfront boardwalk, and bio-filtration systems, marketed by Connekt Urban Projects and setting new standards in Adelaide Hills living.
Tea Tree Gully Township North East Road Streetscape Upgrade
A multi-year project to upgrade the streetscape in the historic Tea Tree Gully township precinct. The project includes undergrounding of power lines and significant footpath upgrades to improve the public realm, enhance the village atmosphere, provide gateways into the City, new paving, landscaping, street furniture, lighting upgrades, and pedestrian-friendly infrastructure improvements.
Athelstone Health Precinct
A brand new, two-storey health precinct located at the corner of Gorge Road and Maryvale Road. The facility offers medical consulting, office, and retail spaces. It houses the Medical HQ GP Clinic (Level 1) and provides leasable ground-floor tenancies for allied health, retail, or other consulting uses. The precinct is immediately adjacent to a new childcare centre.
Verde in Athelstone
A collection of 19 sophisticated townhomes, offering 2 and 3-bedroom configurations with modern, open-plan living, quality finishes, and a focus on natural light. Located close to Black Hill Conservation Park and local amenities, the project is now sold out.
Morialta Rise
Morialta Rise is a premium hillside house and land estate of approximately 44 large residential allotments on Morialta Road in Rostrevor, delivering high end homes integrated with a historic church setting and adjacent to conservation parks. Civil works were completed around 2019 and the estate is now effectively built out with final allotments sold or under construction.
Nido Early School Athelstone
A premium, purpose-built childcare centre catering for up to 82 children aged six weeks to school age. The centre features beautifully designed indoor spaces, unique atelier art workshops, and outdoor play areas. The curriculum is inspired by the Reggio Emilia philosophy and includes a dedicated Kindergarten program.
Modbury Sporting Club Redevelopment
Redevelopment of the Modbury Sporting Club with a new clubhouse including four unisex changerooms, umpire facilities, function space, amenities and upgraded sportsfield lighting. The facility supports the Modbury Football Club, Modbury Cricket Club and wider community sporting use. Council planning documents indicate the project was completed by the end of 2025, with the club now operating from the new facility.
Highbury Aqueduct Reserve Master Plan Implementation
Staged implementation of the 2013 Highbury Aqueduct Reserve Master Plan, transforming the former aqueduct lands into a 50 hectare linear park with shared walking and cycling trails, revegetation, erosion control and stormwater management works. Of the five major stormwater projects identified in the Master Plan, three have been completed along with four minor works, most recently a 2023 project near Freshford Avenue that replaced an eroded dam wall with rock chute structures and stabilised the channel.Tree removal and remediation works are currently underway along a section of the Aqueduct Trail. The reserve connects to the River Torrens Linear Park and includes the Pioneer Court Community Garden and a Bush For Life conservation site.
1,456 residents of Lobethal are employed, from a labour force of 1,506. Unemployment sits at 3.3%, with participation at 67.5%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.7% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,234, about 83% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce is characterized by high skill levels and a strong presence in essential services, showing an unemployment rate of just 3.3% alongside an estimated 6.0% employment growth over the past year based on regional aggregations. In March 2026, there are 1,456 working residents, with an unemployment rate 0.5% lower than the 3.8% recorded in Greater Adelaide, while participation rates remain comparable to the 66.6% average of Greater Adelaide. Census statistics show that a low 11.5% of working locals operated from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of past pandemic lockdowns.
The main industries employing local residents are health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and construction. There is a high concentration of manufacturing workers, with the sector's employment share reaching 2.1 times the regional benchmark. Conversely, health care & social assistance has a lower share at 14.7% compared to the regional representation of 17.7%. Comparing the count of employed residents against local job numbers suggests the area offers limited local employment options. According to SALM and ABS figures aggregated across wider areas, the 12 months ending March 2026 saw employment expand by 6.0% and the labour force grow by 5.2%, leading to a 0.7 percentage point drop in unemployment. During the same timeframe, Greater Adelaide saw employment rise by 4.2% and its labour force grow by 4.0%, while its unemployment rate decreased by 0.2 percentage points. National employment projections from May-25 by Jobs and Skills Australia provide further context on expected demand patterns in Lobethal. These five and ten-year forecasts are aligned with local industry structures to project future trends. While national employment is expected to increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates vary by industry. Applying these national sector trends to the local workforce mix estimates that employment in Lobethal will rise by 5.7% over five years and 12.5% over ten years, using a simple weighted extrapolation that does not account for local population changes.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Lobethal is $1,529 a week (about $80,000 a year), with median personal income at $759 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $48,766 a year against an average of $62,443. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO records for the 2023 financial year show that incomes in the suburb of Lobethal are below national benchmarks, with a median of $48,766 and an average of $62,443. This is lower than the Greater Adelaide median of $54,808 and average of $66,852. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.17% since the 2023 financial year, current estimates correspond to approximately $53,726 for the median and $68,793 for the average in March 2026. The 2021 Census ranks household, family, and individual incomes moderately, placing them between the 37th and 40th percentiles.
The largest income group is the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, accounting for 34.7% of residents (936 people), which matches the metropolitan pattern of 31.8% in this bracket. After accounting for housing costs, residents retain 85.7% of their income for other needs, placing the area in the 4th decile of the SEIFA income index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Lobethal had 959 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 91% detached houses and 1% apartments. 50% are owned with a mortgage, 16% rented and 34% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $310 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,473 a month. Rent absorbs 20.3% of household income here and mortgage repayments 22.2%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the time of the latest Census, housing types in Lobethal consisted of 90.6% standalone houses and 9.4% alternative dwellings like semi-detached homes, apartments, and others, compared to 75.2% houses and 24.9% other dwellings across metropolitan Adelaide. The home ownership rate was higher than the metropolitan average at 34.4%, with remaining properties held under a mortgage (50.1%) or occupied by renters (15.5%). Typical monthly mortgage payments were lower than the Adelaide metropolitan average of $1,562 at $1,473, and median weekly rent was $310 compared to the metropolitan average of $320.
Compared nationally, mortgage costs in Lobethal are much lower than the Australian median of $1,863, and rent levels are well below the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Lobethal counted 959 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 1,021 today, averaging 2.5 people each. 30% are couples with children, against 31% couples without children. 27% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families comprise the majority of households at 71.9%, consisting of couples with children at 30.2%, couples without children at 30.9%, and single-parent structures at 9.9%. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 28.1%, containing lone-person households at 26.7% and group homes at 1.4%. The average household occupancy of 2.5 people aligns with the regional average for Greater Adelaide.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
19.2% of adults in Lobethal hold a university qualification, including 13.9% with a bachelor degree and 3.0% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 29.5% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 222 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,041 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment profiles point to areas for development, as university graduation rates (19.2%) fall significantly short of the SA4 regional average of 42.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher education qualification at 13.9%, with postgraduate degrees at 3.0% and graduate diplomas at 2.3%. Vocational and technical training is highly prevalent, with 40.4% of residents aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificate-level qualifications (29.5%). Enrollment rates are high, with 27.5% of the local population actively participating in education. This group comprises 11.2% in primary schools, 7.9% in secondary schools, and 3.6% enrolled in tertiary institutions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Lobethal reaches 15 stops on 8 routes, timetabled for about 130 services a week. The typical home sits about 230 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.6 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit audits show 15 active stops in the area, serviced by a combination of buses. These stops accommodate 8 separate routes, which provide 131 passenger trips weekly. Accessibility is favorable, with residents living an average of 229 meters from the nearest stop. The suburb is mostly residential, leading most workers to travel out of the area, with private vehicles serving as the primary transport mode for 93% of commuters. Average vehicle ownership stands at 1.6 per household, higher than the regional average. A low 11.5% of residents work from home, based on 2021 Census data which may reflect pandemic-era conditions.
Average route frequency stands at 18 trips daily across all lines, translating to approximately 8 passenger trips weekly at each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
66.3% of residents in Lobethal report no long-term health condition. 6.2% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.7% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.3 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators show favorable conditions for local residents, with analyses of mortality rates and medical diagnoses aligning with national averages. The prevalence of common illnesses is low across both younger and older cohorts, and private health insurance coverage is relatively low, held by approximately 52% of the population (~1,394 people). The most prevalent health issues recorded are mental health conditions and arthritis, affecting 9.1% and 8.9% of residents, respectively. Meanwhile, 66.3% of the population reported no chronic medical conditions, compared to 67.9% across Greater Adelaide. Health conditions among working-age individuals are average.
Residents aged 65 and over make up 22.3% of the population (601 people), which is higher than the 19.2% average in Greater Adelaide. Health outcomes for these older residents are very positive, with national comparisons exceeding those of the general public.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Lobethal is largely Australian-born, at 84.7% of residents, with 5.4% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (31.5%) and Australian (29.0%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity metrics are below average, with 84.7% of residents born in Australia, 91.8% holding citizenship, and 94.6% using only English at home. Christianity is the primary religion, representing 49.7% of the population. The most distinct relative difference is in the Other category, which represents 0.8% of the population, compared to the Greater Adelaide average of 1.8%. Looking at ancestral backgrounds, the three largest groups are English at 31.5%, Australian at 29.0% (which is higher than the regional average of 22.8%), and German at 13.3% (which is higher than the regional average of 5.1%).
There are also variations in other European ancestries, with Polish backgrounds at 1.4% (compared to 1.0% regionally), Dutch at 1.8% (compared to 1.2% regionally), and Russian at 0.4% (compared to 0.3% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Lobethal is 43. 21.4% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 43 years is higher than the Greater Adelaide average of 39 and the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Adelaide, there is a larger share of residents aged 55 - 64 (15.0%) and a smaller share of young adults aged 25 - 34 (11.1%). Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 7.5% to 9.0%, whereas the 45 to 54 cohort decreased from 12.6% to 11.5%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate shifts, led by a 137% increase in the 85+ bracket, growing by 125 people to reach 217 from 91.
Combined cohorts aged 65 and over will represent 59% of all population growth, while the 35 to 44 age bracket is projected to grow by 1% (2 people).
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Lobethal
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 30 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (2,534 at the 2021 Census → 2,698 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL40771). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.