Lobethal

An assessment of population growth drivers in Lobethal reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The population of the Lobethal statistical area (Lv2) is estimated at approximately 2,871 as of November 2025. This figure reflects a growth of 337 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,534. The increase was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 2,742 in June 2024, based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS, and an additional 27 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 109 persons per square kilometer. The Lobethal (SA2) experienced a growth rate of 13.3% from 2021 to November 2025, exceeding both the state's growth rate of 8.7% and the metropolitan area's growth during this period. Interstate migration contributed approximately 54.0% of the overall population gains in recent periods for Lobethal (SA2).

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, the SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category are used, based on 2021 data and adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. According to aggregated SA2-level projections, the Lobethal (SA2) is expected to expand by 422 persons to reach a total population of approximately 3,393 by 2041, reflecting an overall gain of 6.8% over the 17-year period from 2025 to 2041.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Lobethal recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, sourced from statistical area data, indicates Lobethal has approved around 25 new homes annually. In the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 126 homes were approved, with another 8 approved so far in FY-26. On average, 1.1 new residents have arrived per new home each year over these five years, suggesting a balanced supply and demand market that supports stable conditions.

The average expected construction cost value of new homes is $510,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. This financial year has seen $22.4 million in commercial approvals, reflecting steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Lobethal maintains similar development levels per person, preserving market balance consistent with the broader area.

All new construction consists of detached houses, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 159 people approved per dwelling, Lobethal exhibits growth area characteristics. Future projections estimate Lobethal will add 194 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Lobethal has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 12thth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly impact a region's performance like modifications to local infrastructure, major projects, or planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that could potentially affect this area. Notable projects include SA Water Capital Work Delivery Contracts, SA Public Housing Maintenance and Services Contracts, Northern Adelaide Transport Study, and South Australian Road Network Maintenance. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

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The employment environment in Lobethal shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Lobethal has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. The unemployment rate is 3.7%, with an estimated employment growth of 3.2% in the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of September 2025, 1,421 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.2% lower than Greater Adelaide's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Adelaide's 61.7%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and construction. Manufacturing shows strong specialization with an employment share 2.1 times the regional level.

Conversely, health care & social assistance has lower representation at 14.7% versus the regional average of 17.7%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. Employment levels increased by 3.2% and labour force by 3.1% in Lobethal during the year to September 2025, keeping unemployment relatively stable. Greater Adelaide recorded employment growth of 3.0%, labour force growth of 2.9%, with unemployment falling 0.1 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov shows SA employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year, adding 10,710 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.0%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%, with SA's employment growth outpacing the national average of 0.14%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Lobethal's employment should increase by 5.7% over five years and 12.5% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Lobethal's employment mix.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023 shows that median income in Lobethal suburb is $48,766, with average income at $62,443. This contrasts with Greater Adelaide's median income of $54,808 and average income of $66,852. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.8% from July 2023 to September 2025, estimated current incomes would be approximately $53,057 (median) and $67,938 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Lobethal rank modestly, between 37th and 40th percentiles. Income brackets show that 34.7% of residents (996 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket, similar to metropolitan trends at 31.8%. After housing costs, 85.7% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Lobethal is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Lobethal, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 90.6% houses and 9.4% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Adelaide metro's 95.2% houses and 4.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lobethal was at 34.4%, similar to Adelaide metro, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (50.1%) or rented (15.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Lobethal was $1,473, below the Adelaide metro average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Lobethal was recorded at $310, compared to Adelaide metro's $350. Nationally, Lobethal's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Lobethal has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 71.9% of all households, including 30.2% couples with children, 30.9% couples without children, and 9.9% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 28.1%, with lone person households at 26.7% and group households making up 1.4%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Lobethal aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 19.2%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 42.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 13.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (29.5%). Educational participation is high at 27.5%, comprising primary education (11.2%), secondary education (7.9%), and tertiary education (3.6%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.2% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lobethal has 15 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops are served by a mix of buses along eight individual routes. Together, these routes facilitate 131 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport in Lobethal is rated as good, with residents typically located 229 meters from the nearest transport stop. On average, there are 18 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately eight weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Lobethal are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Lobethal's health indicators show below-average outcomes, with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 52% of Lobethal's total population (~1,484 people) has private health cover, compared to 55.5% in Greater Adelaide.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, affecting 9.1% and 8.9% of residents respectively. 66.3% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 68.5% across Greater Adelaide. As of 2021, 21.7% of Lobethal's residents are aged 65 and over (623 people), higher than the 19.9% in Greater Adelaide. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Lobethal perform better than the general population in terms of health metrics.

Lobethal ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Lobethal's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 84.7% of its population born in Australia, 91.8% being citizens, and 94.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Lobethal, comprising 49.7% of people. However, the most notable overrepresentation was in Other religions, which makes up 0.8% of Lobethal's population compared to 0.6% across Greater Adelaide.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English (31.5%), Australian (29.0%), and German (13.3%), with German being substantially higher than the regional average of 8.2%. Additionally, Polish (1.4%) is notably overrepresented compared to the regional average of 0.8%, Dutch remains similar at 1.8%, and Russian shows a slight increase from 0.3% regionally to 0.4% in Lobethal.

Lobethal hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Lobethal is 43 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Adelaide's average of 39 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Lobethal has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (14.9%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.2%). According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 75-84 increased from 7.5% to 8.7%, while the proportion of those aged 45-54 decreased from 12.6% to 11.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Lobethal's age structure. The number of residents aged 85 and above is expected to grow by 115%, reaching 216 from 100. Notably, the combined population aged 65 and above will account for 76% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the age groups 5-14 and 55-64 are projected to decrease in number.