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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Nairne has an estimated 5,872 residents, up from 5,327 at the 2021 Census — a change of 545 people, or 10.2%. Growth has averaged 2.0% a year over five years. 102 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Natural increase accounts for 52.7% of that increase. That puts 236 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to research by AreaSearch, the resident count in Nairne stands at approximately 5,872 as of Aug 2026. This represents an expansion of 545 people (10.2%) compared to the 2021 Census, when 5,327 people were counted. This variation is calculated using the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population of 5,787 alongside 102 validated new addresses identified following the Census date. With 236 persons per square kilometer, the locality maintains an expansive density ratio with notable capacity for additional building. Outpacing both the state mark of 7.7% and Greater Adelaide, Nairne's 10.2% growth rate since the 2021 census establishes it as a regional growth leader.
Natural increase served as the primary growth engine, generating roughly 52.7% of recent net gains, while interstate migration and overseas migration also recorded positive contributions. Projections compiled by ABS/Geoscience Australia in 2024 using 2022 as a baseline are applied across SA2 territories by AreaSearch. For intervals beyond 2032 or locations absent from this series, the 2023 SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category (derived from 2021 figures) are utilized, converting LGA figures to SA2 boundaries via weighted population growth aggregation. Looking ahead, local expansion is forecast to outstrip the national median for statistical areas, with latest annual ERP numbers indicating the community will expand by 979 persons to 2041, culminating in an overall rise of 15.2% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
175 new dwellings have been approved in Nairne over the past five years, an average of 35 a year. That places the area in the 79th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 6 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 35 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 100% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Annual residential approvals in Nairne have averaged approximately 35 new homes, totaling 175 homes approved across the past 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26). Because the area absorbed an average of 3.1 new residents per year per finished dwelling across the past 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26), additions to housing stock fall well short of demand, typically intensifying buyer competition and elevating local price pressures. The expected construction cost of these new residences averages $358,000. In addition, $4.5 million in commercial building approvals was documented during this financial year, underscoring that the area remains primarily residential.
New residential approvals per capita in Nairne track at roughly two-thirds of the Greater Adelaide pace, placing the suburb in the 81st percentile nationwide despite an uptick in construction across recent years. Every single approved dwelling has been a standalone detached house, preserving low-density neighborhood character and appealing to buyers seeking greater space. With around 121 people per dwelling approval, the local residential market continues to expand. Urban growth modeling indicates Nairne will absorb 894 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Current construction rates correspond closely with projected requirements, fostering balanced property conditions without triggering acute upward pressure on prices.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Nairne
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 55 current infrastructure and development projects close to Nairne, worth an estimated $7.07 billion. 29 are already under construction and 33 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Capital investments, planning schemes, and regional works exert a profound influence over neighborhood growth. AreaSearch has highlighted 5 key development initiatives positioned to affect the surrounding district, prominent among them being Larkview Mount Barker, Springlake Communities, Amblemead Estate, and the Onkaparinga Valley Road Intersection Upgrade, with the most pertinent projects outlined below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Aston Hills Masterplanned Community
An award-winning 2,000+ lot masterplanned residential community featuring multiple precincts (Maplewood, Pine Valley, The Range, The Pinnacle), an integrated village shopping centre, golf course, mountain bike park, and extensive linear parklands.
Hampton Hill Land Estate
Hampton Hill Land Estate is a boutique masterplanned acreage residential subdivision located off Kym Avenue near Littlehampton and Blakiston. The development comprises 15 semi-rural lifestyle allotments designed for luxury homestead builds in the Adelaide Hills. Civil works and infrastructure planning are oriented toward low-density rural living with direct connection to regional transport links.
Eastern Sewer Trunk Main Project
Construction of a 2.1 km sewer trunk main pipeline connecting from the Laratinga Wastewater Treatment Plant site through reserve corridors near Bald Hills Road and Hartman Road to Emerald Way. The upgrade significantly enhances wastewater transport capacity to support continuing growth across Mount Barker.
Springs Road East Upgrade
An $11 million road infrastructure and safety upgrade extending along a 1-kilometre section of Springs Road East between Bald Hills Road and Heysen Boulevard. Jointly funded by the Australian Government and Mount Barker District Council, the project delivers pavement widening, bridge widening, barrier upgrades, and dedicated cycling facilities to cater for regional growth.
Littlehampton Greening & Open Space Renewal Program
Comprehensive township revitalisation project by Mount Barker District Council in partnership with State and Federal Governments to upgrade Miels Park, Main Street streetscapes, and open spaces at The Glebe.
Senses Living Mount Barker
Senses Living is a masterplanned residential estate delivering approximately 250 allotments in Mount Barker. The community development features elevated views across the Adelaide Hills, integrated landscaped sensory gardens, walking trails, and open green space with close access to town centre amenities.
Summit Precinct Hotel
A $50 million, 120-room, four-star hotel development by Accord Property as part of the Summit Precinct in Mount Barker. The hotel is designed to transform the area into a premier regional tourism and leisure destination, featuring dining facilities and conference spaces to meet the Adelaide Hills region's accommodation demand.
Cedar Woods Mount Barker Community
Cedar Woods Mount Barker is a masterplanned residential community developed by Cedar Woods Properties in the expanding Mount Barker growth precinct. The estate delivers approximately 450 residential homesites, linear parklands, central open space reserves, stormwater wetlands, and walking trail connections. Staged civil infrastructure and dwelling construction are underway.
3,385 residents of Nairne are employed, from a labour force of 3,507. Unemployment sits at 3.5%, with participation at 76.6%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.3% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 4,486, about 76% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Nairne features a proficient local workforce with solid presence across essential service industries, a jobless rate of merely 3.5%, and an estimated 5.4% expansion in employment throughout the previous year. As of March 2026, employed locals tally 3,385, while the local jobless rate sits 0.3% below Greater Adelaide's 3.8%. Labor force engagement is particularly elevated at 76.6%, outperforming the 66.4% recorded across Greater Adelaide. Only 12.9% of local workers reported working from home during the Census, an outcome potentially shaped by pandemic lockdown directives. Employment among local residents is concentrated primarily within health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.
Nevertheless, health care & social assistance accounts for 15.2% of local workers, trailing the 17.7% observed across the wider region. Comparing Census counts of local positions against the working resident base reveals that employment opportunities situated directly within the suburb are somewhat constrained. Analysis conducted by AreaSearch, drawing on SALM and ABS figures, indicates that employment rose by 5.4% and the labour force grew by 5.1% in the period up to March 2026. This dual increase led to a 0.2 percentage point decline in the unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Adelaide experienced employment growth of 4.2%, a labour force expansion of 4.0%, and an unemployment reduction of 0.2 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, dated Mar-26, provide additional context regarding anticipated workforce demand in Nairne. These forecasts span five and ten-year horizons and have been overlaid with local employment data to project growth trajectories. Nationally, employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and by 13.7% over ten years. However, expansion varies considerably across different industry sectors. When these sector-specific national projections are applied to Nairne’s employment composition, local employment is expected to rise by 6.3% over five years and by 13.2% over ten years. It should be noted that this calculation relies on a straightforward weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not incorporate localized population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Nairne is $1,776 a week (about $92,000 a year), with median personal income at $859 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $54,374 a year against an average of $62,529. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO postcode figures for financial year 2023 compiled by AreaSearch indicate that personal earnings across the Nairne SA2 sit below nationwide benchmarks, showing a median assessed income of $54,374 and an average of $62,529. These figures compare with Greater Adelaide benchmarks of $54,808 (median) and $66,852 (average). Accounting for a 10.17% rise in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, updated estimates as of March 2026 reach approximately $59,904 for median income and $68,888 for average income. In the 2021 Census, household, family, and individual incomes across Nairne were situated around the national 55th percentile.
In terms of earnings tiers, the single largest cohort is the 40.6% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (2,384 residents), aligning with broader regional patterns where 31.8% fall into this bracket. Once housing expenses are met, households retain 85.3% of their earnings for general living costs, and the district occupies the 5th decile on the SEIFA income index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Nairne had 1,944 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 99% detached houses and 0% apartments. 54% are owned with a mortgage, 21% rented and 25% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $350 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,500 a month. Rent absorbs 19.7% of household income here and mortgage repayments 19.5%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Residential stock in Nairne at the time of the latest Census was overwhelmingly dominated by separate houses at 98.5%, with semi-detached dwellings, units, and other formats making up just 1.5%. By comparison, metropolitan Adelaide recorded 75.2% houses and 24.9% other dwellings. Outright home ownership in Nairne stood at 25.0%, lagging metropolitan Adelaide, while 54.1% of properties were mortgaged and 20.9% were occupied by renters. Typical monthly mortgage payments were $1,500, coming in below the metropolitan Adelaide benchmark of $1,562, while median weekly rent was $350 compared to $320 across metropolitan Adelaide.
On a national scale, Nairne's mortgage obligations sit well beneath the $1,863 Australian norm, and weekly rents are lower than the nationwide figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Nairne counted 1,944 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 2,143 today, averaging 2.6 people each. 36% are couples with children, against 27% couples without children. 21% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the vast majority of local living arrangements at 77.4%, consisting of couples with children (36.3%), childless couples (27.4%), and single parent families (12.9%). Non-family living situations account for the remaining 22.6%, comprising solo occupants at 20.7% and shared group households at 2.0%. With an average of 2.6 people per home, the median household size exceeds the Greater Adelaide metric of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
23.6% of adults in Nairne hold a university qualification, including 17.2% with a bachelor degree and 3.9% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 29.0% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 407 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,018 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment levels present clear developmental opportunities, as the 23.6% university qualification rate in the area falls well short of the 42.2% benchmark recorded across the SA4 region. Among tertiary graduates, 17.2% hold Bachelor degrees, 3.9% possess postgraduate qualifications, and 2.5% have graduate diplomas. In contrast, technical and trade credentials are prominent, with 40.8% of individuals aged 15+ possessing vocational training, broken down into advanced diplomas (11.8%) and certificates (29.0%). Engagement with schooling and study is substantial, as 29.8% of the local population is enrolled in formal education. This proportion encompasses 12.4% attending primary school, 6.9% engaged in secondary school, and 4.3% enrolled in tertiary institutions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Nairne reaches 22 stops on 9 routes, timetabled for about 240 services a week. The typical home sits about 300 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit infrastructure in Nairne consists of 22 operational stops providing bus connectivity across 9 separate routes, which combine to deliver 241 weekly passenger trips. Access to transit is favorable, with residents living an average of 296 meters from the nearest stopping point. Given the district's residential profile, most workers travel outside the suburb, with private vehicles accounting for 92% of journeys. Vehicle availability averages 1.7 cars per dwelling, surpassing the regional norm, while only 12.9% worked remotely according to the 2021 Census (which may reflect COVID-19 conditions). Across all transit lines, scheduled service averages 34 trips per day, which translates to roughly 10 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
68.8% of residents in Nairne report no long-term health condition. 4.3% need daily assistance with core activities, and 50.4% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.2 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
AreaSearch evaluations of mortality benchmarks and long-term illness rates indicate below-average general wellness in Nairne, with routine medical conditions showing higher prevalence across younger as well as older demographics. Private health insurance participation is subdued, encompassing roughly 50% of residents (~2,959 people), below the 52.7% observed across Greater Adelaide and the 55.7% recorded nationally. The most widespread long-term diagnoses locally are mental health issues and asthma, experienced by 10.2 and 9.2% of residents respectively, whereas 68.8% reported having no diagnosed chronic medical conditions compared to 67.9% across Greater Adelaide. Chronic health problems are elevated above average among residents of working age.
Seniors aged 65 and over comprise 15.0% of the population (883 people), which is lower than the 19.1% share seen across Greater Adelaide. Among older residents, overall health metrics outperform wider averages, achieving higher national standings than the broader community.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Nairne is largely Australian-born, at 87.0% of residents, with 3.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (32.6%) and Australian (31.7%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Demographic indicators reflect a relatively uniform cultural environment in Nairne, with 87.0% of residents born domestically, 92.5% holding Australian citizenship, and 96.3% speaking exclusively English in the home. Christianity represents the most widely held faith, accounting for 34.7% of locals. The most noticeable relative overrepresentation appears in Judaism, representing 0.1% of the suburb, matching the 0.1% proportion throughout Greater Adelaide. Evaluating parental origin, the predominant ancestral groups in Nairne are English at 32.6%, Australian at 31.7% (notably higher than the 22.8% regional norm), and German at 7.7%. Clear representation differences emerge among other backgrounds as well: Dutch background accounts for 2.6% in Nairne compared to 1.2% regionally, Hungarian stands at 0.4% against 0.3%, and Welsh represents 0.6% compared to 0.6% across the wider region.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Nairne is 36. 25.8% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The demographic profile of Nairne leans toward younger cohorts. Those aged 0 - 24 constitute 32.5% of the community as at August 2026, exceeding the 29.0% recorded across Greater Adelaide, whereas seniors aged 65+ account for 15.0% versus 19.1% regionally. As at August 2026, the estimated median age is 36, identical to the 2021 Census result and 3 years younger than the 39 recorded for Greater Adelaide at that Census. Since that Census, the proportion of residents aged 65 and above has grown from 13.1% to an estimated 15.0%. Over the period to 2041, senior age brackets are forecast to experience the largest numerical increase, rising by 405 (46%) to reach 1,288.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Nairne
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Sep 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jun 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 last month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Sep 2026 this month all 1 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Sep 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 102 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (5,327 at the 2021 Census → 5,872 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (401021009). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.