Granville (Qld)

Granville has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the estimated population of Granville (Qld) as of May 2026 is around 2,689 people. This reflects an increase of 157 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,532 people. The change is inferred from the resident population estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and six validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 227 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Granville's growth of 6.2% since census positions it within 2.8 percentage points of the SA3 area (9.0%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Looking at population projections moving forward, a population increase just below the median of Australian non-metropolitan areas is expected. The suburb is expected to increase by 167 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 6.2% in total over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Granville, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Granville has seen around 4 residential properties approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past 5 financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 23 homes were approved, with 1 more granted in FY-26. Each dwelling accommodated an average of 2.1 new residents per year during this period.

New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $340,000, aligning with broader regional development trends. In terms of commercial development, Granville recorded $432,000 in approvals for the current financial year, indicating minimal activity compared to other areas. Compared to Rest of Qld, Granville has significantly less development activity, at 73.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. New building activity in Granville consists of 67.0% standalone homes and 33.0% townhouses or apartments. This mix reflects a growing preference for different housing types, addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

The current housing mix is predominantly houses at 88.0%, indicating a considerable change. The estimated population per dwelling approval in Granville is 877 people, reflecting its quiet development environment. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Granville is expected to grow by 167 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Granville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified eight projects that could impact this region. Key projects include Mary Harbour Development, Energy Storage Industries (ESI) Battery Manufacturing Facility, Maryborough Manufactured Home Park Development, and Homes for Queenslanders - Maryborough Social Housing. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in Granville are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Granville's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs, with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 8.8% as of the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 10.2%. As of December 2025, 1,020 residents were employed, while the unemployment rate stood at 4.7%, above Regional Qld's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation was lower at 49.3% compared to Regional Qld's 64.5%. Only 5.2% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Key employment industries included health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing had a particularly high representation, at twice the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services showed lower representation at 1.9%, compared to the regional average of 5.1%. Employment opportunities appeared limited locally, as indicated by the working population vs resident population count. Over a 12-month period, employment increased by 10.2% and labour force by 8.8%, reducing the unemployment rate by 1.2 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Qld saw employment growth of 0.7% and labour force growth of 1.0%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industries. Applying these projections to Granville's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, Granville had a median income among taxpayers of $40,275. The average income stood at $46,498. Both figures are below the national average. In Regional Qld, the median and average incomes were $53,146 and $66,593 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year ending June 2023, current estimates for Granville are approximately $44,850 (median) and $51,780 (average) as of March 2026. From the 2021 Census, incomes in Granville ranked at the 2nd percentile nationally for households, families, and individuals. The predominant income cohort spanned 33.2% of locals (892 people), earning between $400 - $799 weekly. This differs from the broader area where the $1,500 - $2,999 category predominated at 31.7%. Economic circumstances indicated financial pressure, with 41.3% of households operating on weekly budgets below $800 after housing costs. Post-housing, 85.9% of income remained, ranking at the 4th percentile nationally.

Granville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Granville's dwelling structure, as recorded in the latest Census, consisted of 88.5% houses and 11.5% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Regional Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Granville stood at 43.4%, with mortgaged properties at 27.1% and rented dwellings at 29.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,044, below Regional Qld's average of $1,655. The median weekly rent in Granville was $239, compared to Regional Qld's $345. Nationally, Granville's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Granville features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 66.0% of all households, including 20.7% couples with children, 29.7% couples without children, and 13.4% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 34.0%, with lone person households at 31.3% and group households at 3.0%. The median household size is 2.3 people, smaller than the Regional Queensland average of 2.5.

Granville faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 6.8%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 5.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (0.7%) and graduate diplomas (0.5%). Vocational credentials are common, with 41.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas account for 8.5% and certificates for 33.4%. Educational participation is high at 26.3%, including 10.4% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 1.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 1.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Granville has 20 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by one route collectively providing 40 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 248 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to Granville being primarily residential. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.3 per dwelling, below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 5.2% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 5 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 2 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Granville is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Granville faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Several health conditions affect both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is extremely low in Granville, at approximately 46% (around 1,226 people), compared to 52.5% across Regional Qld and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (12.4%) and mental health issues (12.2%). Conversely, 50.1% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 67.6% in Regional Qld. Working-age individuals face notable health challenges due to high chronic condition rates. Granville has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 25.9% (696 people), than Regional Qld's 20.4%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, generally aligning with national rankings for the overall population.

The latest Census data sees Granville placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Granville's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 90.3% of its population being citizens, 92.0% born in Australia, and 98.1% speaking English only at home. The dominant religion in Granville is Christianity, comprising 52.4% of the population, which is similar to the regional percentage of 52.2%. Regarding ancestry, the top three groups in Granville are English (33.1%), Australian (31.5%), and German (8.2%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation is higher in Granville at 4.1% compared to the regional average of 3.9%, while Korean (0.1%) and Maori (0.3%) representations are lower than their respective regional averages of 0.2% and 0.8%.

Granville hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Granville's median age of 47 years exceeds Regional Queensland's average of 41 years significantly, making it considerably older than the national norm of 38 years. Compared to the Regional Queensland average, Granville has a notably higher proportion of people aged 65-74 (13.1% locally) and a lower proportion of those aged 25-34 (9.7%). Between 2021 and now, the population aged 15-24 has grown from 11.0% to 13.1%, while the 0-4 age group increased from 3.9% to 5.7%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group declined from 12.3% to 9.7%, and the 65-74 age group decreased from 15.2% to 13.1%. Demographic modeling indicates that Granville's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the 25-34 age cohort projected to increase notably, adding 83 people (a 32% rise) from 260 to 344. Conversely, population declines are projected for those aged 65-74 and 55-64.