Granville (Qld)

Granville has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, Granville's population is estimated at around 2,655 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 123 people (4.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,532 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,648, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional 5 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 224 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Looking at population projections moving forward, a population increase just below the median of Australian non-metropolitan areas is expected, with the area expected to increase by 185 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 6.4% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Granville, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Granville has seen approximately 4 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 23 homes were approved, with an additional 1 approved so far in FY26. Each dwelling is estimated to accommodate an average of 2.7 new residents per year over these five years.

New homes are constructed at an average value of $340,000, aligning with broader regional development trends. This financial year has seen $432,000 in commercial development approvals, indicating minimal commercial development activity compared to the Rest of Qld, where Granville is 73.0% below the regional average per person. The current housing mix consists of 67.0% standalone homes and 33.0% townhouses or apartments, a shift from the previous dominance of houses (88.0%). There are estimated to be 874 people in the area per dwelling approval, reflecting its quiet development environment. By 2041, Granville is projected to grow by 171 residents. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Looking ahead, Granville is expected to grow by 171 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Granville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified eight projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable among these are Mary Harbour Development, Energy Storage Industries (ESI) Battery Manufacturing Facility, Maryborough Manufactured Home Park Development, and Homes for Queenslanders - Maryborough Social Housing. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in Granville are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Granville has a balanced workforce consisting of white and blue collar jobs, with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate is 9.4%, while estimated employment growth over the past year is 11.1%.

As of September 2025, there are 1,011 residents in work, but the unemployment rate is higher at 5.3% compared to Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation lags significantly at 41.4%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing is particularly specialized with an employment share of 2.0 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 1.9% versus the regional average of 5.1%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. Over a 12-month period, employment increased by 11.1% alongside labour force growth of 10.1%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Qld experienced employment growth of 1.7% and labour force growth of 2.1%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data to 25-Nov shows Queensland employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%, broadly in line with the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia suggest growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Granville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

In financial year 2023, Granville's median taxpayer income was $40,275 and average income was $46,498. These figures are below the national averages of $53,146 and $66,593 respectively for Rest of Qld. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $44,266 (median) and $51,106 (average), adjusted for a 9.91% growth in wages since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, Granville's household, family, and personal incomes rank between the 2nd and 2nd percentiles nationally. In Granville, 33.2% of locals earn between $400 and $799 weekly, differing from broader area trends where the $1,500 to $2,999 category is predominant at 31.7%. Economic pressures are evident with 41.3% of households having modest weekly budgets below $800 after housing costs. After adjusting for housing expenses, 85.9% of income remains, ranking at the 4th percentile nationally.

Granville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Granville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.5% houses and 11.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 91.8% houses and 8.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Granville was at 43.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.1% and rented ones at 29.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,044, lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,179. The median weekly rent figure in Granville was $239, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $260. Nationally, Granville's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,044 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Granville features high concentrations of lone person households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 66.0% of all households, including 20.7% couples with children, 29.7% couples without children, and 13.4% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 34.0%, with lone person households at 31.3% and group households making up 3.0%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which aligns with the average for the Rest of Qld.

Granville faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area has university qualification rates of 6.8%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 5.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (0.7%) and graduate diplomas (0.5%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 41.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 8.5% and certificates at 33.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 26.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 1.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Granville has 20 active public transport stops operating currently. These stops are used by buses only. There is 1 route serving these stops in total, which provides 40 weekly passenger trips combined.

The accessibility of transport in Granville is rated as good, with residents typically located 248 meters away from the nearest transport stop. On average, there are 5 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 2 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Granville is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Granville faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. The rate of private health cover is notably low at approximately 46%, covering around 1,211 people, compared to the national average of 55.7%.

Arthritis and mental health issues are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, impacting 12.4% and 12.2% of residents respectively. However, 50.1% of residents report having no medical ailments, slightly lower than the 54.0% reported across the rest of Queensland. The population aged 65 and over stands at 25.8%, comprising approximately 684 people, which is lower than the 29.9% seen in the rest of Queensland. Health outcomes among seniors are generally aligned with those of the broader population.

The latest Census data sees Granville placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Granville's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 90.3% of its population being citizens, 92.0% born in Australia, and 98.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Granville, comprising 52.4% of people, compared to 52.8% across Rest of Qld. The top three ancestry groups are English (33.1%), Australian (31.5%), and German (8.2%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation is higher at 4.1% in Granville than the regional average of 3.4%. Korean and Maori representations are also notable with 0.1% and 0.3%, respectively.

Granville hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Granville's median age of 47 years notably exceeds Rest of Qld's 41, making it considerably older than the national norm of 38. Compared to the Rest of Qld average, Granville has a notably over-represented 65-74 cohort (13.4% locally) and an under-represented 25-34 age group (9.5%). Between 2021 and present day, the 15 to 24 age group grew from 11.0% to 13.2%, while the 0 to 4 cohort increased from 3.9% to 5.0%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 12.3% to 10.0%, and the 65 to 74 group dropped from 15.2% to 13.4%. Demographic modeling suggests Granville's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041, with notable expansion projected for the 25 to 34 age cohort (from 252 to 344 people, a 36% increase). Conversely, population declines are projected for the 55 to 64 and 5 to 14 cohorts.