Granville (Qld)

Granville has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Granville's (Qld) population is estimated at around 2,634 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 102 people (4.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,532 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,629, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest Estimated Resident Population data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional five validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 223 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Looking at population projections moving forward, a population increase just below the median of Australian non-metropolitan areas is expected, with the suburb expected to increase by 185 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 7.3% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Granville, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Granville recorded approximately four residential properties granted approval annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 23 homes were approved, with one more in FY-26 so far. On average, each dwelling accommodated about 2.7 new residents per year during these five years, indicating robust demand that supports property values.

The average construction cost value of new homes was $340,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms. In FY-26, commercial development approvals totaled $144,000, suggesting minimal commercial development activity in Granville. Compared to the Rest of Qld, Granville had significantly less development activity, 73.0% below the regional average per person as of AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. Nationally, Granville's level of development activity was also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New building activity in Granville showed 67.0% standalone homes and 33.0% townhouses or apartments, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments providing options across different price points.

This shift reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements, differing from the current housing mix which is predominantly houses (88.0%). The estimated population density in Granville was 874 people per dwelling approval, indicating a quiet, low activity development environment. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Granville is expected to grow by 192 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Granville has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 31stth percentile nationally

Eight projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to influence the local area's performance, with major changes to infrastructure and planning initiatives. Key projects include Mary Harbour Development, Energy Storage Industries' Battery Manufacturing Facility, Maryborough Manufactured Home Park Development, and Homes for Queenslanders - Maryborough Social Housing. The following list details those likely to be most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in Granville are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Granville has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, well-represented essential services sectors, an unemployment rate of 10.4% as of June 2025, and estimated employment growth of 7.8% over the past year according to AreaSearch data aggregation. The area's unemployment rate is 6.5% higher than Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%, indicating room for improvement, and workforce participation lags at 41.4% compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%.

Leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing is particularly specialized with an employment share of 2.0 times the regional level, while professional & technical services show lower representation at 1.9% versus the regional average of 5.1%. The predominantly residential area offers limited local employment opportunities as suggested by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Over a 12-month period ending in June 2025, employment increased by 7.8% while labour force grew by 7.6%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points.

In contrast, Rest of Qld experienced employment growth of 1.8% and labour force growth of 2.0%, with a slight rise in unemployment rate of 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Granville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released in financial year 2022, Granville had a median income among taxpayers of $40,275. The average income stood at $46,498. Both figures were below the national average. In comparison, Rest of Qld had averages of $50,780 and $64,844 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Granville would be approximately $45,909 (median) and $53,003 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household incomes in Granville fell between the 2nd and 2nd percentiles nationally. The predominant income cohort spanned 33.2% of locals (874 people), falling within the $400 - $799 category. This differed from the broader area where the $1,500 - $2,999 category predominated at 31.7%. Economic circumstances indicated widespread financial pressure, with 41.3% of households operating on modest weekly budgets below $800. After housing expenses, 85.9% of income remained, ranking at the 4th percentile nationally.

Granville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Granville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.5% houses and 11.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro Qld's 91.8% houses and 8.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Granville was at 43.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.1% and rented ones at 29.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,044, lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,179. The median weekly rent in Granville was $239, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $260. Nationally, Granville's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,863, and rents substantially below the national figure of $375.

Granville features high concentrations of lone person households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 66.0% of all households, including 20.7% couples with children, 29.7% couples without children, and 13.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 34.0%, with lone person households at 31.3% and group households comprising 3.0% of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, which aligns with the average in the Rest of Qld.

Granville faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 6.8%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 5.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (0.7%) and graduate diplomas (0.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 41.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas (8.5%) and certificates (33.4%). Educational participation is high at 26.3%, including primary (10.4%), secondary (9.1%), and tertiary education (1.7%).

Granville State School, with an enrollment of 217 students, serves the area. It focuses exclusively on primary education; secondary options are available nearby. The school places per 100 residents (8.2) are below the regional average (12.3), indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Granville has 20 active public transport stops operating currently. These are mixed-use bus stops serviced by one route collectively offering 40 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good with residents typically located 248 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages five trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately two weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Granville is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Granville faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. Only approximately 46% (~1,201 people) have private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 12.4% of residents) and mental health issues (impacting 12.2%). Conversely, 50.1% report no medical ailments, compared to 54.0% in the rest of Queensland. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 25.8% (679 people), lower than the 29.9% in the rest of Queensland. Health outcomes among seniors broadly align with those of the general population.

The latest Census data sees Granville placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Granville's cultural diversity was found to be below average. Its population comprised 90.3% citizens, with 92.0% born in Australia and 98.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 52.4% of Granville residents, compared to 52.8% across the rest of Queensland.

The top three ancestry groups were English (33.1%), Australian (31.5%), and German (8.2%). Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation in Granville was higher at 4.1%, compared to the regional average of 3.4%. Korean and Maori populations were also notable, with Koreans comprising 0.1% of Granville's population, while Maori made up 0.3%, matching the regional figure.

Granville hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Granville's median age in 2021 was 47 years, notably exceeding Rest of Qld's 41 years and considerably older than the national norm of 38 years. Compared to the Rest of Qld average, Granville had a notably over-represented 65 - 74 cohort (13.4%) and under-represented 25 - 34 year-olds (9.5%). Between 2021 and the present, the 15 to 24 age group grew from 11.0% to 13.2%, while the 0 to 4 cohort increased from 3.9% to 5.0%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 12.3% to 10.0% and the 65 to 74 group dropped from 15.2% to 13.4%. Demographic modeling suggests Granville's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041, with notable expansion projected for the 25 to 34 age cohort (expanding by 93 people, from 250 to 344), and population declines projected for the 55 to 64 and 5 to 14 cohorts.