Granville (Qld)

Granville has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Granville's population is estimated at around 2,657 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 125 people (4.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,532 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,648, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 6 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 225 persons per square kilometer. Population growth for Granville was primarily driven by interstate migration, contributing approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Looking at population projections moving forward, a population increase just below the median of Australian non-metropolitan areas is expected for Granville, with an increase of 179 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 6.4% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Granville, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Granville recorded approximately four residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 23 homes were approved, with one more in FY26 so far. On average, each dwelling accommodated about 2.7 new residents per year during these years.

The average construction cost value for new homes was approximately $340,000, aligning with broader regional development trends. In FY26, commercial development approvals totaled $432,000, indicating minimal commercial activity compared to the rest of Queensland, where Granville is 73.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes nationally, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New building activity comprised 67.0% standalone homes and 33.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a shift from the current housing mix of 88.0% houses. The estimated population per dwelling approval was 874 people, indicating a quiet, low activity development environment. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Granville is projected to grow by 170 residents by 2041.

If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Granville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified eight projects likely to affect the region. Notable ones are Mary Harbour Development, Energy Storage Industries' Battery Manufacturing Facility, Maryborough Manufactured Home Park Development, and Homes for Queenslanders - Maryborough Social Housing. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in Granville are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Granville has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, with essential services well represented. The unemployment rate was 9.4% in the past year, reflecting an estimated employment growth of 11.1%. As of September 2025, 1,009 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is higher than Rest of Qld's rate by 5.4%, indicating room for improvement.

Workforce participation is lower at 49.7% compared to Rest of Qld's 65.7%. Census data shows that only 5.2% of residents work from home, but Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing is particularly prominent with an employment share twice the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 1.9%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as suggested by the difference between working population and resident population counts. In the past year, employment increased by 11.1% while labour force grew by 10.1%, causing a decrease in unemployment rate of 0.9 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of Qld's employment growth of 1.7% and labour force growth of 2.1%, resulting in a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in May-25, project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Granville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for Granville in financial year 2023 shows a median taxpayer income of $40,275 and an average income of $46,498. This is below the national averages of $53,146 and $66,593 for Rest of Qld respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated median and average incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $44,266 and $51,106 respectively. According to the 2021 Census, Granville's household, family, and personal incomes rank at the 2nd percentile nationally. In Granville, 33.2% of locals (882 people) fall into the $400 - $799 income category, differing from the broader area where the $1,500 - $2,999 category is predominant at 31.7%. Economic circumstances indicate financial pressure, with 41.3% of households having modest weekly budgets below $800. After housing expenses, 85.9% of income remains, ranking at the 4th percentile nationally.

Granville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Granville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.5% houses and 11.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Granville was 43.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.1% and rented ones at 29.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,044, below Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,655. Median weekly rent in Granville was $239, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $345. Nationally, Granville's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Granville features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 66.0% of all households, including 20.7% couples with children, 29.7% couples without children, and 13.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 34.0%, with lone person households at 31.3% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 2.3 people, smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Granville faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 6.8%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 5.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (0.7%) and graduate diplomas (0.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 41.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (8.5%) and certificates (33.4%). Educational participation is high at 26.3%, comprising 10.4% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 1.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 1.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Granville has 20 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by one route, offering a total of 40 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated good, with residents located an average of 248 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily, primarily using cars (94%). On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling, below the regional norm. Only 5.2% of residents work from home (2021 Census).

Service frequency averages five trips per day across all routes, resulting in about two weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Granville is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Granville faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high across various health conditions, affecting both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~1,212 people), compared to 52.5% in Rest of Qld and the national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis (12.4%) and mental health issues (12.2%). However, 50.1% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 67.6% in Rest of Qld. Working-age population health challenges include elevated chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 25.9%, with 688 people, compared to 20.4% in Rest of Qld. Health outcomes among seniors are broadly in line with national rankings.

The latest Census data sees Granville placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Granville, surveyed in June 2016, had a culturally diverse population that was below average. It consisted of 90.3% citizens, with 92.0% born in Australia and 98.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity dominated Granville's religious landscape, practiced by 52.4%, which is similar to the Rest of Qld's 52.2%.

In ancestry, English comprised 33.1%, Australian 31.5% (higher than the regional average of 26.5%), and German 8.2%. Notably, Australian Aboriginal were overrepresented at 4.1% in Granville compared to the region's 3.9%. Korean representation was lower at 0.1% versus the regional 0.2%, and Maori stood at 0.3% against the regional 0.8%.

Granville hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Granville's median age of 47 years exceeds Rest of Qld's 41 and is considerably older than Australia's national norm of 38. Compared to the Rest of Qld average, Granville has a notably over-represented 65-74 cohort (13.7%) and an under-represented 25-34 age group (9.8%). Between 2021 and present, Granville's population has seen changes: the 15 to 24 age group grew from 11.0% to 13.2%, while the 0 to 4 cohort increased from 3.9% to 5.1%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 12.3% to 9.7%, and the 65 to 74 group dropped from 15.2% to 13.7%. Demographic modeling suggests Granville's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041, with notable expansion projected for the 25-34 cohort (from 260 to 346 people), an increase of 85 individuals or 33%. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 65 to 74 and 55 to 64 cohorts.