Tinana
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Tinana are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Tinana's population was around 6,232 as of Aug 2025. This showed an increase of 360 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,872. The change was inferred from ABS estimates of 6,157 in June 2024 and additional validated addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 166 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Tinana's growth rate was 1.5% annually, outpacing its SA3 area. Interstate migration contributed approximately 73.0% to recent population gains.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data were used. These state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applied proportional growth weightings from ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data for each age cohort. Based on projected demographic shifts, Tinana is expected to increase by 430 persons to 2041, with a total increase of 5.7% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Tinana when compared nationally

Tinana has averaged approximately 38 new dwelling approvals annually. Development approval data is produced by the ABS on a financial year basis, totalling 191 approvals across the past five financial years from FY21 to FY25. As of now, 10 approvals have been recorded in FY26. On average, 1.7 new residents per year per dwelling constructed were registered over the past five financial years from FY21 to FY25.

This indicates a balanced supply and demand, creating stable market conditions. The average construction cost value of new homes is $392,000, which is below regional norms, reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers. In this financial year, $26.5 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting balanced commercial development activity.

Compared to the Rest of Qld, Tinana has similar development levels per person, maintaining market balance consistent with the broader area. Recent construction comprises 90.0% standalone homes and 10.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. Currently, there are around 231 people per approval in Tinana, reflecting a transitioning market. Future projections show Tinana adding approximately 355 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Tinana has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 16thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified nine projects that could affect this area. Notable ones are The Heights Estate, Central Acres Estate, Energy Storage Industries' battery manufacturing facility, and Mary Harbour Development. Below is a list of the most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Tinana has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Tinana's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs, with prominent sectors being essential services. The unemployment rate was 4.7% as of June 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 6.2% over the past year.

In Tinana, 2,811 residents were employed by June 2025, while the unemployment rate stood at 4.7%, 0.8% higher than Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation in Tinana was lower at 48.5%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. Manufacturing stands out with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services have limited presence, at 2.8% compared to the regional 5.1%. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 6.2%, while labour force grew by 7.4%, raising the unemployment rate by 1.1 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Qld saw employment growth of 1.8% and a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment. As of Sep-25, Queensland's employment contracted by 0.23%, losing 8,070 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%. Nationally, unemployment was 4.5% with employment growth of 0.26%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tinana's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.0%% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Tinana's median income among taxpayers was $47,951 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $55,360 during the same period. In comparison, Rest of Qld had median and average incomes of $50,780 and $64,844 respectively. By March 2025, estimates suggest Tinana's median income will be approximately $53,566 and the average will be around $61,843, based on a Wage Price Index growth of 11.71% since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Tinana fall between the 10th and 17th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. The $800 - 1499 earnings band captures 29.9% of Tinana's community, compared to regional levels where the $1500 - 2999 band dominates at 31.7%. Housing costs are modest in Tinana, with 88.7% of income retained after housing expenses. However, total disposable income ranks at just the 23rd percentile nationally.

Tinana is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Tinana, as recorded at the latest Census, consisted of 94.9% houses and 5.0% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had a structure of 91.8% houses and 8.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tinana stood at 53.0%, with the remaining dwellings being mortgaged (31.0%) or rented (16.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Tinana was $1,310, which is higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,179. The median weekly rent figure for Tinana was $300, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $260. Nationally, Tinana's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Tinana features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.4% of all households, including 26.7% couples with children, 39.7% couples without children, and 10.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 22.6%, with lone person households at 19.9% and group households comprising 2.5%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.3.

Tinana faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.4%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.1%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.7%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 44.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.6%) and certificates (34.4%). A total of 23.8% of the population is actively pursuing education, including 8.9% in primary, 8.8% in secondary, and 2.0% in tertiary education.

Educational institutions include Tinana State School and Carinity Education - Glendyne - Tinana Campus, serving 479 students collectively. Tinana State School has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 966) with balanced educational opportunities. The schools' mix includes one primary and one K-12 school. There are 7.7 school places per 100 residents, below the regional average of 12.3, indicating some students may attend schools in nearby areas.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Tinana has 26 operational public transport stops, all serving buses. There is one route operating, offering a total of 25 weekly passenger trips across these stops. Tinana's transport accessibility is moderate, with residents usually located 455 meters from the nearest stop.

The average service frequency is three trips per day, resulting in roughly zero weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Tinana is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Tinana faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. Private health cover is low at approximately 48%, covering around 2,966 people, compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (12.3%) and mental health issues (9.4%). Conversely, 58.1% reported no medical ailments, slightly higher than the Rest of Qld's 54.0%. Tinana has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 31.4% (1,958 people), compared to Rest of Qld's 29.9%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are generally good.

Tinana is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Tinana's population, surveyed in June 2016, showed low cultural diversity with 88.8% born in Australia, 91.7% being citizens, and 96.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, accounting for 56.3%, slightly higher than the Rest of Qld's 52.8%. The top three ancestry groups were English (33.7%), Australian (30.3%), and Scottish (8.3%).

Notably, Germans were overrepresented at 7.8% compared to the regional average of 6.6%, while Australian Aboriginal was slightly underrepresented at 3.0% vs 3.4%, and Samoans were negligible at 0.1%.

Tinana hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Tinana's median age stands at 49 years, which is significantly higher than the Rest of Qld average of 41 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile reveals that those aged 65-74 are particularly prominent, comprising 17.7% of the population, while the 25-34 age group makes up only 8.7%, compared to Rest of Qld. This concentration of those aged 65-74 is notably higher than the national average of 9.4%. Between 2021 and the present, the proportion of the population aged 75-84 has grown from 8.2% to 11.6%, while the 5-14 age group has declined from 11.1% to 9.5% and the 55-64 age group has dropped from 15.0% to 13.5%. By 2041, Tinana's population is projected to experience significant shifts in its age composition. Notably, the 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 28%, reaching 928 people from a current total of 724. This growth will be driven primarily by an aging population dynamic, with those aged 65 and above comprising 65% of projected growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 45-54 and 5-14 age cohorts.