Tinana

Population growth drivers in Tinana are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Tinana's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, stands at approximately 6,223 people as of May 2026. This figure represents an increase of 351 individuals (6.0%) since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 5,872 people. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 6,176 in June 2025 and an additional 169 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 166 persons per square kilometer. Interstate migration contributed approximately 75.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections lack age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 using 2022 data as the base year. Considering projected demographic shifts, Tinana's population is expected to increase by approximately 389 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 5.5% over the 16-year period based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Tinana when compared nationally

Tinana has averaged approximately 38 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 191 homes. As of FY26, 49 approvals have been recorded. Historically, between FY21 and FY25, an average of 1.7 new residents per year per dwelling constructed has been observed. The average construction cost value for new homes in Tinana is $313,000, which is below the regional average.

In FY26, there have been $26.5 million in commercial approvals, indicating moderate levels of commercial development. When compared to Rest of Qld, Tinana's building activity per person is comparable, supporting market stability aligned with regional patterns. The dwelling approval composition shows 90.0% detached dwellings and 10.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's low density nature.

There are approximately 231 people per dwelling approval in Tinana, suggesting a low density market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Tinana is projected to grow by 342 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Tinana has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects that could impact this region. Notable ones are The Heights Estate, Central Acres Estate, Mary Harbour Development, and Energy Storage Industries' Battery Manufacturing Facility. Below is a list of those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Tinana has been broadly consistent with national averages

Tinana has a balanced workforce consisting of both white and blue collar jobs. Key sectors include essential services, with an unemployment rate of 4.0% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 8.8%.

There are 2,906 residents currently employed, with an unemployment rate in line with Regional Queensland's rate of 4.0%, but workforce participation is lower at 56.8%. According to Census data, only 5.4% of residents work from home. The primary industries for employment among Tinana residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. Manufacturing is particularly prominent, with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 2.8% compared to Regional Queensland's 5.1%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data on working population versus resident population. In the 12-month period ending in May-25, employment increased by 8.8%, labour force grew by 8.7%, and unemployment remained essentially unchanged. By comparison, Regional Queensland recorded employment growth of 0.7%, labour force growth of 1.0%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tinana's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not account for localized population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The Tinana SA2's median income among taxpayers in financial year 2023 was $49,931. The average income stood at $57,888 during the same period. These figures are lower than those for Regional Qld, which were $53,146 and $66,593 respectively. By March 2026, estimates suggest that median income would be approximately $55,603 and average income around $64,464, based on a Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023. According to Census 2021 data, incomes in Tinana fall between the 9th and 17th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. In Tinana, 29.9% of individuals earn between $800 and $1,499 annually, differing from regional levels where earnings predominantly fall within the $1,500 to $2,999 category at 31.7%. Despite modest housing costs allowing for 88.7% income retention, Tinana's total disposable income ranks at just the 22nd percentile nationally.

Tinana is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Tinana, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 9 August 2016, comprised 94.9% houses and 5.0% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This is compared to Regional Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tinana was at 53.0%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (31.0%) or rented (16.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,310 as of 2016, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $300. In comparison, Regional Qld's figures were $1,655 and $345 respectively for mortgage repayments and rents. Nationally, Tinana's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863 as of 2016, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Tinana features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 77.4% of all households, including 26.7% couples with children, 39.7% couples without children, and 10.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 22.6%, consisting of 19.9% lone person households and 2.5% group households. The median household size is 2.5 people, which aligns with the Regional Queensland average.

Tinana faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.4%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 9.1%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.7%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.6%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 44.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (9.6%) and certificates (34.4%).

A substantial 23.8% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, including 8.9% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 2.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Tinana has 26 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by one route, offering a total of 25 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is moderate, with residents typically living 455 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards, with cars being the dominant mode at 95%. On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, only 5.4% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages three trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately zero weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Tinana is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Tinana faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch through mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Multiple health conditions affect both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 48% of Tinana's total population (~2,999 people), compared to 52.5% in Regional Qld and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (12.3%) and mental health issues (9.4%). Conversely, 58.1% of residents report no medical ailments, lower than Regional Qld's 67.6%. Working-age individuals face notable health challenges due to high chronic condition rates. Tinana has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 31.6%, compared to Regional Qld's 20.4%. Health outcomes among seniors present additional challenges, ranking even higher than the general population nationally.

Tinana is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Tinana's population was found to be predominantly culturally homogeneous, with 88.8% born in Australia, 91.7% being citizens, and 96.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Tinana, accounting for 56.3% of its population, compared to 52.2% across Regional Queensland. The top three ancestry groups in Tinana are English (33.7%), Australian (30.3%), and Scottish (8.3%).

Notably, German ancestry is overrepresented at 7.8%, compared to the regional average of 4.7%. Similarly, Australian Aboriginal ancestry is present at 3.0%, slightly below the regional average of 3.9%. Samoan ancestry is underrepresented at 0.1%, lower than the regional average of 0.2%.

Tinana hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Tinana's median age in 2021 was 49 years, significantly higher than Regional Queensland's average of 41 years and the national average of 38 years. The age profile showed that those aged 65-74 were particularly prominent, making up 17.4% of the population, compared to Regional Queensland's average of 12.9%. This concentration was also higher than the national average of 9.4%. Between 2021 and 2023, the proportion of those aged 75-84 increased from 8.2% to 12.2%, while the 55-64 cohort decreased from 15.0% to 13.4% and the 5-14 group dropped from 11.1% to 9.6%. By 2041, Tinana's age composition is expected to shift notably. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 23%, reaching 934 people from 761. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 67% of the population growth, while declines are projected for the 5-14 and 15-24 cohorts.