Tinana

Population growth drivers in Tinana are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Tinana's population is around 6,277 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 405 people (6.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,872 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 6,157 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 134 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 168 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Over the past decade, Tinana has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a 1.5% compound annual growth rate, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration, which contributed approximately 73.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence, where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of Australia's non-metropolitan areas is expected, with the area expected to expand by 430 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 4.9% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Tinana when compared nationally

Tinana has averaged around 38 new dwelling approvals per year, totalling 191 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 46 approvals have been recorded. Given an average of 1.7 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply and demand seem well-matched, fostering stable market dynamics, while new homes are being built at an average value of $313,000—below the regional average—suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. There have also been $26.5 million in commercial approvals this financial year, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development.

When measured against the Rest of Qld, Tinana shows comparable building activity (per person), supporting market stability in line with regional patterns. New building activity consists of 90.0% detached dwellings and 10.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's low-density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 231 people per dwelling approval, indicating room for growth.

Looking ahead, Tinana is expected to grow by 310 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Tinana has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 9 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include The Heights Estate, Central Acres Estate, Mary Harbour Development, and the Energy Storage Industries (ESI) Battery Manufacturing Facility, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Tinana has been broadly consistent with national averages

Tinana features a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of only 4.0%, and 8.8% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 2,906 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is in line with Regional Qld's rate of 4.0%, and workforce participation lags significantly (56.9% compared to Regional Qld's 65.4%). Based on Census responses, a low 5.4% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. The area has a particular employment specialization in manufacturing, with an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level. On the other hand, professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 2.8% of Tinana's workforce compared to 5.1% in Regional Qld. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw employment increasing by 8.8% alongside the labour force increasing by 8.7%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. By comparison, Regional Qld recorded employment growth of 0.7%, labour force growth of 1.0%, and unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Tinana. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Tinana's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 13.0% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The Tinana SA2's income level is below the national average according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. The Tinana SA2's median income among taxpayers is $49,931 and the average income stands at $57,888, which compares to figures for Regional Qld's of $53,146 and $66,593 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $54,879 (median) and $63,625 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Tinana all fall between the 9th and 17th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows the $800 - 1,499 earnings band captures 29.9% of the community (1,876 individuals), diverging from regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 31.7%. While housing costs are modest with 88.7% of income retained, the total disposable income ranks at just the 22nd percentile nationally.

Tinana is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Tinana, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 94.9% houses and 5.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Tinana was well beyond that of Regional Qld, at 53.0%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (31.0%) or rented (16.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Regional Qld average at $1,310, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $300, compared to Regional Qld's $1,655 and $345. Nationally, Tinana's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Tinana features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households dominate at 77.4% of all households, comprising 26.7% couples with children, 39.7% couples without children, and 10.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 22.6%, with lone person households at 19.9% and group households comprising 2.5% of the total. The median household size of 2.5 people matches the Regional Qld average.

Tinana faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (12.4%) substantially below the Australian average of 30.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 9.1%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.7%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.6%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 44.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (9.6%) and certificates (34.4%).

A substantial 23.8% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 8.9% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 2.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 26 active transport stops operating within Tinana, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 1 individual route, collectively providing 25 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 455 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 95%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A relatively low 5.4% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 3 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 0 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Tinana is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Critical health challenges are evident across Tinana, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. A range of health conditions have marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population (~3,025 people). This compares to 52.5% across Regional Qld. The national average is 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 12.3 and 9.4% of residents, respectively, while 58.1% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 31.9% of residents aged 65 and over (2,000 people), which is higher than the 20.4% in Regional Qld. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Tinana is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Tinana was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 88.8% of its population born in Australia, 91.7% being citizens, and 96.8% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Tinana is Christianity, which makes up 56.3% of the population. This compares to 52.2% across Regional Qld.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Tinana are English, comprising 33.7% of the population, Australian, comprising 30.3% of the population, and Scottish, comprising 8.3% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: German is notably overrepresented at 7.8% of Tinana (vs 4.7% regionally), Australian Aboriginal at 3.0% (vs 3.9%) and Samoan at 0.1% (vs 0.2%).

Tinana hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

At 49 years, Tinana's median age is significantly above the Regional Qld average of 41 as well as substantially exceeding the 38-year national average. The age profile shows 65 - 74 year-olds are particularly prominent (17.7%), while the 25 - 34 group is comparatively smaller (9.1%) than in Regional Qld. This 65 - 74 concentration is well above the national 9.5%. In the period since 2021, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 8.2% to 12.1% of the population. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 11.1% to 9.2% and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 15.0% to 13.6%. By 2041, Tinana is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. Leading the demographic shift, the 75 to 84 group will grow by 22% (165 people), reaching 928 from 762. The aging population dynamic is clear, with those 65+ comprising 67% of projected growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 45 to 54 and 5 to 14 cohorts.