Tinana
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Tinana are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Tinana's population was approximately 6,237 as of November 2025, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This figure represents an increase of 365 people, a 6.2% rise from the 2021 Census which reported a population of 5,872. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 6,157 in June 2024 and an additional 118 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 167 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Tinana exhibited resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.5%, outperforming its SA3 area. Interstate migration contributed approximately 73.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are used, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 using 2022 data. Based on projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of Australia's non-metropolitan areas is expected by 2041, with an anticipated expansion of 430 persons and a total increase of 5.6% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Tinana when compared nationally

Tinana has averaged approximately 38 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 191 homes. As of FY26, 27 approvals have been recorded. Each year, an average of 1.7 new residents per dwelling constructed has been observed between FY21 and FY25. This suggests a balance between supply and demand, contributing to stable market dynamics.

The average construction cost for new homes is $313,000, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options. In this financial year, there have been $26.5 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Tinana exhibits comparable building activity per capita, supporting market stability aligned with regional patterns.

The majority of new building activity consists of detached dwellings (90%), preserving the area's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. Currently, there are approximately 231 people per dwelling approval in Tinana, suggesting room for growth. By 2041, the location is projected to grow by 350 residents. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Tinana has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 16thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects that could impact this region. Notable ones are The Heights Estate, Central Acres Estate, Energy Storage Industries' battery manufacturing facility, and Mary Harbour Development. Below is a list of the most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Tinana has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Tinana's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs, with prominent sectors including essential services. The unemployment rate in June 2025 was 4.7%, higher than Rest of Qld's 3.9%.

Employment grew by 6.2% annually, while participation rates lagged at 48.5%. Key industries are health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. Manufacturing is a specialization with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level. Professional & technical services are under-represented at 2.8%.

Local employment opportunities seem limited as Census data shows fewer working residents than population. Over 12 months, employment increased by 6.2%, labour force by 7.4%, and unemployment rose by 1.1 percentage points. Rest of Qld saw lower growth rates: 1.8% employment, 2.0% labour force, and a 0.2 percentage point unemployment rise. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tinana's mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.0% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Tinana's median income among taxpayers in financial year 2022 was $47,951. The average income stood at $55,360 during this period. In comparison, Rest of Qld's median and average incomes were $50,780 and $64,844 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Tinana would be approximately $54,659 (median) and $63,105 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Tinana all fall between the 10th and 17th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile indicates that 29.9% of Tinana's community earns within the $800 - 1,499 band (1,864 individuals), differing from regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 category is predominant at 31.7%. Housing costs are modest in Tinana with 88.7% of income retained. However, total disposable income ranks at just the 23rd percentile nationally.

Tinana is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Tinana's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 94.9% houses and 5.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Qld's 91.8% houses and 8.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tinana was 53.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.0% and rented ones at 16.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Tinana was $1,310, higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,179. The median weekly rent figure in Tinana was $300, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $260. Nationally, Tinana's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,310 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Tinana features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.4% of all households, including 26.7% couples with children, 39.7% couples without children, and 10.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 22.6%, with lone person households at 19.9% and group households at 2.5%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.3.

Tinana faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area has lower university qualification rates at 12.4%, compared to the Australian average of 30.4%. This presents both challenges and opportunities for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 9.1%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.7%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 44.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.6%) and certificates (34.4%).

A significant 23.8% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, including 8.9% in primary, 8.8% in secondary, and 2.0% in tertiary education. Educational institutions include Tinana State School and Carinity Education - Glendyne - Tinana Campus, serving a total of 479 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 966) with balanced educational opportunities, featuring one primary and one K-12 school. There are 7.7 school places per 100 residents, below the regional average of 12.3, indicating some students may attend schools in nearby areas. Note that 'n/a' for enrolments refers to parent campus data.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Tinana has 26 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops are served by a mix of bus routes, with a total of 1 route currently in operation. This single route provides 25 weekly passenger trips across all stops combined.

The accessibility of these transport services is rated as moderate, with residents typically located approximately 455 meters from their nearest stop. On average, each stop receives about 3 trips per day, which equates to roughly 0 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Tinana is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Tinana faces significant health challenges with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. Approximately 48% (~2,968 people) have private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (12.3%) and mental health issues (9.4%). Around 58.1% claim to be free from medical ailments, compared to 54.0% in the rest of Queensland. Tinana has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 31.4% (1,960 people), compared to 29.9% in the rest of Queensland. Health outcomes for seniors are challenging but better than those for the general population.

Tinana is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Tinana's population was found to be predominantly born in Australia, with 88.8%, and a high proportion of citizens at 91.7%. English is the primary language spoken at home by 96.8% of Tinana residents. Christianity is the dominant religion in Tinana, practiced by 56.3% of people, compared to 52.8% across the rest of Queensland.

The top three ancestry groups in Tinana are English at 33.7%, Australian at 30.3%, and Scottish at 8.3%. Notable differences exist in the representation of German (7.8% vs regional 6.6%), Australian Aboriginal (3.0% vs 3.4%), and Samoan (0.1% vs 0%) ethnic groups.

Tinana hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Tinana's median age at 49 years is significantly higher than Queensland's average of 41 and exceeds the national average of 38. The age profile shows a prominent group aged 65-74 (17.7%), while those aged 25-34 are comparatively smaller (8.7%) compared to Queensland's average. This concentration of 65-74 year-olds is well above the national average of 9.4%. Between 2021 and the present, the proportion of people aged 75-84 has grown from 8.2% to 11.6%, while those aged 5-14 have declined from 11.1% to 9.5%, and the 55-64 age group has dropped from 15.0% to 13.5%. By 2041, Tinana's population is expected to shift significantly, with the 75-84 age group projected to grow by 28% (202 people), reaching 928 from 725. The aging population trend is clear, with those aged 65 and above comprising 65% of the projected growth. Conversely, declines are projected for the 45-54 and 5-14 age cohorts.