Tinana

Population growth drivers in Tinana are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Tinana's population was around 6,277 as of February 2026, reflecting an increase of 405 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 5,872. This change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 6,157 in June 2024 and an additional 134 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density was 168 persons per square kilometer as of February 2026. Over the past decade, Tinana's compound annual growth rate was 1.5%, outpacing its SA3 area. Interstate migration contributed approximately 73.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data for areas not covered or years post-2032.

State projections do not provide age category splits; AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023, based on 2022 data. Based on projected demographic shifts, Tinana is expected to increase by just below the median of Australia's non-metropolitan areas, expanding by 430 persons to 2041 from the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 4.9% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Tinana when compared nationally

Tinana has averaged approximately 38 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 191 homes. As of FY26, 45 approvals have been recorded. The average annual increase in residents per dwelling constructed between FY21 and FY25 was 1.7. This suggests a balance between supply and demand, promoting stable market conditions.

The average construction cost value for new homes has been $313,000, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options. Commercial approvals in FY26 amounted to $26.5 million, reflecting moderate commercial development levels. Compared to Rest of Qld, Tinana demonstrates similar building activity per capita, supporting market stability aligned with regional trends.

The dwelling approval composition shows 90.0% detached dwellings and 10.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's low-density character while catering to space-seeking buyers. There are approximately 231 people per dwelling approval in Tinana, suggesting potential for growth. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Tinana is projected to grow by 310 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, creating favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Tinana has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified nine projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones are The Heights Estate, Central Acres Estate, Mary Harbour Development, and Energy Storage Industries' battery manufacturing facility.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Tinana has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Tinana has a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar jobs. Key sectors include health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. It has an employment specialization in manufacturing, with 1.7 times the regional level of workers in this industry.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 2.8% compared to Rest of Qld's 5.1%. As of September 2025, Tinana had an unemployment rate of 4.2%, with estimated employment growth of 9.6% over the past year. The unemployment rate was in line with Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%, but workforce participation lagged at 56.8%. Only 5.4% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts may have influenced this figure.

Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.0% over ten years for Tinana, based on industry-specific projections applied to its current employment mix.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The Tinana SA2's median income among taxpayers was $49,931 in financial year 2023. The average income stood at $57,888 during the same period. These figures are below those of Rest of Qld, which had a median income of $53,146 and an average income of $66,593. By September 2025, current estimates project the median income to be approximately $54,879 and the average income to reach around $63,625, based on a Wage Price Index growth of 9.91%. According to Census 2021 data, incomes in Tinana fall between the 9th and 17th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. The earnings profile shows that 29.9% of the community earns between $800 and $1,499 annually, while the predominant band regionally is $1,500 to $2,999 at 31.7%. Despite modest housing costs allowing for 88.7% income retention, Tinana's total disposable income ranks at just the 22nd percentile nationally.

Tinana is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Tinana's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 94.9% houses and 5.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tinana stood at 53.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.0% and rented ones at 16.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,310, lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,655. Median weekly rent in Tinana was $300, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $345. Nationally, Tinana's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,310 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Tinana features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 77.4 percent of all households, including 26.7 percent couples with children, 39.7 percent couples without children, and 10.7 percent single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 22.6 percent, with lone person households at 19.9 percent and group households making up 2.5 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, which matches the average for the Rest of Qld.

Tinana faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.4%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 9.1%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.7%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 44.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.6%) and certificates (34.4%). A total of 23.8% of the population is actively engaged in formal education, with 8.9% in primary, 8.8% in secondary, and 2.0% in tertiary education.

A substantial 23.8% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 8.9% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 2.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Tinana has 26 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by one route, offering a total of 25 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is moderate, with residents averaging 455 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily, primarily using cars (95%). Vehicle ownership stands at 1.7 per dwelling, above the regional average. In 2021 Census data, 5.4% of residents worked from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages three trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately zero weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Tinana is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Tinana faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Several health conditions affect both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 48% of Tinana's total population (~3,025 people), compared to 52.5% in the rest of Queensland and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis (12.3%) and mental health issues (9.4%). 58.1% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 67.6% in the rest of Queensland. Working-age residents face notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. Tinana has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 31.9%, with approximately 2,000 people, compared to 20.4% in the rest of Queensland. Health outcomes among seniors present additional challenges, ranking even higher than those for the general population nationally.

Tinana is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Tinana's population was found to be predominantly Australian-born, with 88.8% of residents born in the country. This is lower than the average cultural diversity level. A significant majority, 91.7%, are citizens of Australia, and 96.8% speak English exclusively at home.

Christianity is the predominant religion in Tinana, practiced by 56.3% of its population, compared to 52.2% across the rest of Queensland. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups in Tinana are English (33.7%), Australian (30.3%), and Scottish (8.3%). Notably, German ancestry is overrepresented in Tinana at 7.8%, compared to 4.7% regionally. Similarly, Australian Aboriginal ancestry is represented at 3.0%, slightly lower than the regional average of 3.9%. Samoan ancestry, however, is underrepresented at 0.1%, compared to the regional average of 0.2%.

Tinana hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Tinana's median age at 49 years is significantly higher than Rest of Qld's average of 41 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 65-74 are prominent, comprising 17.7%, which is larger than Rest of Qld's concentration and well above the national average of 9.5%. Meanwhile, the 25-34 age group comprises only 9.1% of Tinana's population, smaller than Rest of Qld's percentage. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 8.2% to 12.1%, while the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 11.1% to 9.2%. The 55 to 64 age group also dropped from 15.0% to 13.6%. By 2041, Tinana's population is expected to shift notably in its age composition. Leading this shift, the 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 22%, from 762 people to 928. The aging population trend is clear, with those aged 65 and above comprising 67% of projected growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 45-54 and 5-14 age cohorts.