Granville

Granville has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Granville's population is around 3,192 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 141 people (4.6%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,051 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 3,183 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 9 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 65 persons per square kilometer, providing ample space per person. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration, which contributed approximately 71.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence, where utilised, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. As we examine future population trends, a population increase just below the median of Australian non-metropolitan areas is expected, with the area expected to increase by 206 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, recording a gain of 6.2% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Granville, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Granville has experienced around 5 dwellings receiving development approval per year, totalling 27 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 1 approval has been recorded. At an average of 2.8 new residents per year for each dwelling over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), reflecting robust demand that underpins property values, new homes are being built at an average value of $208,000—below the regional average—suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. Additionally, $432,000 in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, demonstrating the area's residential nature.

Compared to the Rest of Qld, Granville has significantly less development activity (74.0% below regional average per person). This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings. This is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and pointing to possible planning constraints. New building activity shows 75.0% standalone homes and 25.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns (currently 90.0% houses), suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. The estimated count of 1182 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

Population forecasts indicate Granville will gain 197 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Building activity is keeping pace with growth projections, though buyers may experience heightened competition as the population grows.

Granville has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 0thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 11 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Mary Harbour Development, Energy Storage Industries (ESI) Battery Manufacturing Facility, Maryborough Manufactured Home Park Development, and Homes for Queenslanders - Maryborough Social Housing, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Granville shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Granville features a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of 7.5%, and 10.2% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 1,308 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 3.5% above Regional Qld's rate of 4.0%, showing room for improvement, and workforce participation lags significantly (52.3% compared to Regional Qld's 65.4%). Based on Census responses, a low 5.4% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents comprise health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in manufacturing, with employment levels at 2.2 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 2.1% of Granville's workforce compared to 5.1% in Regional Qld. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 10.2% while the labour force increased by 8.9%, resulting in unemployment falling by 1.1 percentage points. This compares to Regional Qld, where employment grew by 0.7%, the labour force expanded by 1.0%, and unemployment rose 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Granville. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Granville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 13.0% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Granville SA2's median income among taxpayers is $43,142, with an average of $50,016. This is below the national average, and compares to Regional Qld's median of $53,146 and average of $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $47,417 (median) and $54,973 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Granville all fall between the 3rd and 4th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows the $800 - 1,499 bracket dominates with 31.2% of residents (995 people), unlike trends in the metropolitan region where 31.7% fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. While housing costs are modest with 86.8% of income retained, the total disposable income ranks at just the 7th percentile nationally.

Granville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Granville, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 90.3% houses and 9.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Granville was well beyond that of Regional Qld, at 44.4%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (28.5%) or rented (27.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Regional Qld average at $1,083, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $240, compared to Regional Qld's $1,655 and $345. Nationally, Granville's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Granville has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 67.8% of all households, comprising 22.5% couples with children, 30.6% couples without children, and 12.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 32.2%, with lone person households at 29.0% and group households comprising 3.0% of the total. The median household size of 2.4 people is smaller than the Regional Qld average of 2.5.

Granville faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (8.4%) substantially below the Australian average of 30.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 6.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (0.9%) and graduate diplomas (0.8%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 42.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (8.6%) and certificates (33.7%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.7% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 1.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 20 active transport stops operating within Granville, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 1 individual route, collectively providing 40 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 899 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 95%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling. A relatively low 5.4% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 5 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 2 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Granville is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Critical health challenges are evident across Granville, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. A range of health conditions have marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~1,465 people). This compares to 52.5% across Regional Qld. The national average is 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 12.6 and 11.6% of residents, respectively, while 51.3% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 25.3% of residents aged 65 and over (809 people), which is higher than the 20.4% in Regional Qld. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The latest Census data sees Granville placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Granville was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 91.1% of its population being citizens, 91.9% born in Australia, and 98.2% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Granville is Christianity, which makes up 53.2% of people in Granville, compared to 52.2% across Regional Qld.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Granville are English, comprising 33.3% of the population, Australian, comprising 31.7% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 26.5%, and German, comprising 8.1% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Australian Aboriginal is represented at 3.7% of Granville (vs 3.9% regionally), Scottish at 7.8% (vs 7.8%) and French at 0.4% (vs 0.5%).

Granville hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

With a median age of 48, Granville is materially older than the Regional Qld figure of 41 as well as significantly higher than the national norm of 38. The 65 - 74 age group shows strong representation at 13.8% compared to Regional Qld, whereas the 25 - 34 cohort is less prevalent at 9.8%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 10.5% to 12.8% of the population. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 12.5% to 10.1% and the 65 to 74 group dropped from 14.9% to 13.8%. By 2041, Granville is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. Leading the demographic shift, the 25 to 34 group will grow by 31% (96 people), reaching 410 from 313. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.