Granville

Granville has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Granville's population is approximately 3,192 as of February 2026. This figure represents an increase of 141 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,051. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 3,183 in June 2024 and an additional 9 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 65 persons per square kilometer. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration, contributing approximately 71.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are used, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort. Examining future population trends, a population increase just below the median of Australian non-metropolitan areas is expected by 2041. Based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, the area is projected to increase by 206 persons, reflecting a gain of approximately 6.2% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Granville, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Granville has seen approximately five dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 27 homes. As of FY-26, one approval has been recorded. On average, each new dwelling accommodates around 2.8 residents annually between FY-21 and FY-25, reflecting strong demand that supports property values. The average construction cost for new dwellings is $208,000, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options.

In this financial year, $432,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, highlighting Granville's residential nature. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Granville has significantly less development activity, with 74.0% fewer approvals per person than the regional average. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New building activity comprises 75.0% standalone homes and 25.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving Granville's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. This marks a significant shift from existing housing patterns, which are currently 90.0% houses, suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 1182 people, reflecting Granville's quiet, low activity development environment.

Population forecasts indicate that Granville will gain approximately 197 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Building activity appears to be keeping pace with growth projections, though buyers may face increased competition as the population grows.

Granville has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 0thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 11 projects that may affect the region. Notable initiatives include Mary Harbour Development, Energy Storage Industries (ESI) Battery Manufacturing Facility, Maryborough Manufactured Home Park Development, and Homes for Queenslanders - Maryborough Social Housing. The following list outlines those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Granville shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Granville's workforce comprises both white and blue-collar jobs, with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 8.1% as of September 2025, showing a growth of 11.3% over the previous year compared to the Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%. As of September 2025, 1,297 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 8.2%, which is 4.1% higher than the Rest of Qld's rate.

Workforce participation in Granville was 52.3%, significantly lower than the Rest of Qld's 65.7%. According to Census responses, only 5.4% of residents worked from home as of September 2025. The leading employment industries among Granville residents are health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing stands out with employment levels at 2.2 times the regional average.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 2.1% of Granville's workforce compared to 5.1% in Rest of Qld. Over the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 11.3%, while the labour force grew by 10.3%, resulting in a decrease in unemployment by 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Qld saw employment grow by 1.7%, labour force expand by 2.1%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project an overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Granville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

In AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Granville SA2's median income among taxpayers is $43,142. The average income in Granville during this period was $50,016. These figures are lower than the national averages. In comparison, Rest of Qld had a median income of $53,146 and an average of $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Granville's median income would be approximately $47,417 by September 2025, with the average estimated to reach around $54,973 during this period. According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Granville all fall between the 3rd and 4th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows that 31.2% of residents (995 people) earn within the $800 - 1,499 bracket, unlike metropolitan trends where 31.7% fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. Housing costs in Granville are modest, with residents retaining 86.8% of their income. However, this results in a total disposable income that ranks at just the 7th percentile nationally.

Granville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Granville's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 90.3% houses and 9.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Non-Metro Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Granville stood at 44.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.5% and rented ones at 27.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,083, lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,655. The median weekly rent figure was recorded as $240, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $345. Nationally, Granville's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,083 than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Granville has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 67.8% of all households, including 22.5% couples with children, 30.6% couples without children, and 12.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 32.2%, with lone person households at 29.0% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Granville faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 8.4%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 6.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (0.9%) and graduate diplomas (0.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 42.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas account for 8.6% while certificates make up 33.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 26.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.7% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 1.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Granville has 20 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by one route collectively offering 40 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is limited with residents typically located 899 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to Granville's primarily residential nature. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 95%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, only 5.4% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages five trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately two weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Granville is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Granville faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. A range of health conditions affects both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is extremely low, at approximately 46% of the total population (around 1,465 people), compared to 52.5% in the rest of Queensland and a national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 12.6% and 11.6% of residents respectively. Conversely, 51.3% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 67.6% in the rest of Queensland. Working-age individuals face notable health challenges due to high chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors, with 25.3% of residents aged 65 and over (809 people), compared to 20.4% in the rest of Queensland. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, generally aligning with national rankings for the overall population.

The latest Census data sees Granville placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Granville's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 91.1% of its population being citizens, 91.9% born in Australia, and 98.2% speaking English only at home. The predominant religion in Granville is Christianity, comprising 53.2% of the population, compared to 52.2% across the rest of Queensland. Regarding ancestry, the top three represented groups in Granville are English (33.3%), Australian (31.7%), and German (8.1%).

Notably, there are differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Australian Aboriginal is slightly higher at 3.7% compared to the regional average of 3.9%, Scottish remains the same at 7.8%, and French is marginally lower at 0.4% compared to the regional average of 0.5%.

Granville hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Granville's median age is 48, which is higher than Rest of Qld's figure of 41 and significantly greater than the national norm of 38. The 65-74 age group makes up 13.8% of Granville's population, compared to Rest of Qld, while the 25-34 cohort represents 9.8%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 15 to 24 age group grew from 10.5% to 12.8%, but the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 12.5% to 10.1%, and the 65 to 74 group decreased from 14.9% to 13.8%. By 2041, Granville's age composition is expected to shift notably. The 25 to 34 group is projected to grow by 31% (96 people), reaching 410 from 313. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.