Casuarina (NSW)

Casuarina lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Casuarina (NSW) is around 3,385 people. This reflects an increase of 129 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 3,256 people. The current resident population estimate of 3,334 by AreaSearch is based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and address validation since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,263 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Casuarina's growth rate of 4.0% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA4 region (3.3%) and the SA3 area, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population gains during recent periods.

For future projections until 2041, AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. If not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, an above median population growth of national non-metropolitan areas is projected for Casuarina, with an expected increase of 491 persons reflecting a total rise of 12.1% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Casuarina recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Casuarina has recorded approximately 14 residential properties granted approval per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 74 homes were approved, with an additional 9 approved in FY-26 so far. On average, 1.5 people have moved to the area annually for each dwelling built over these five years.

This suggests a balanced supply and demand creating stable market conditions. The average construction value of new homes is $1,037,000, indicating developers are focusing on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY-26, Casuarina has registered $24.0 million in commercial approvals, showing steady commercial investment activity. Compared to the rest of NSW, Casuarina has slightly more development, at 47.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. Recent construction comprises 47.0% detached dwellings and 53.0% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a shift from the current housing mix of 71.0% houses.

This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. Casuarina has a low density population, with around 137 people per approval. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Casuarina is expected to grow by approximately 409 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Casuarina has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects expected to impact the region: Pama Casuarina, Tweed Valley Hospital, Kings Forest, and Tweed Coast Road Widening and Duplication. These are the key initiatives with potential relevance detailed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Casuarina demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Casuarina has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 2.3%, as per AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation (June 2025).

The unemployment rate is 1.4% lower than the Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation stands at 69.9%, compared to the Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Casuarina has a strong specialization in professional & technical services, with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 1.0% of local workers, below Rest of NSW's 5.3%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Over a 12-month period (Sep-21 to Aug-22), Casuarina's labour force decreased by 4.6%, with employment decreasing by 4.4%, leading to a 0.2% reduction in unemployment. This contrasts with Rest of NSW, where employment contracted by 0.1%, the labour force grew by 0.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.4%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts (Sep-22) project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Casuarina's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2022 shows Casuarina's median income at $62,236 and average income at $94,103. This is notably higher than Rest of NSW's median income of $49,459 and average income of $62,998. By September 2025, adjusting for a 12.61% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022, estimated incomes would be approximately $70,084 (median) and $105,969 (average). Casuarina's 2021 Census figures rank household, family, and personal incomes between the 77th and 84th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile indicates that 32.9% of locals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, with a significant 36.7% earning above $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 17.7% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 81st percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Casuarina is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Casuarina's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 71.1% houses and 28.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 66.3% houses and 33.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Casuarina was at 30.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 46.6% and rented ones at 22.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,500, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,872. Median weekly rent in Casuarina was $635, lower than Non-Metro NSW's figure of $400. Nationally, Casuarina's median monthly mortgage repayment was significantly higher at $2,500 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while median weekly rent was substantially above the national figure of $375.

Casuarina features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.8% of all households, consisting of 44.8% couples with children, 29.9% couples without children, and 9.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.2%, with lone person households at 13.8% and group households comprising 2.2% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Casuarina demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Casuarina's educational attainment is notably higher than broader regional averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 36.1% hold university qualifications, compared to 21.3% in the rest of NSW and 21.5% in the SA3 area. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 25.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.7%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 36.5% of residents holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 13.9% and certificates at 22.6%.

Educational participation is high, with 34.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.3% in primary education, 9.6% in secondary education, and 3.9% pursuing tertiary education. Educational facilities appear to be located outside Casuarina's immediate boundaries, necessitating families to access schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Casuarina has 14 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 32 different routes that together offer 268 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as excellent, with residents on average located just 177 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 38 trips per day across all routes, which equates to about 19 weekly trips per individual stop.

Casuarina's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Casuarina shows excellent health outcomes, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 64% (2,167 people), compared to 49.3% across Rest of NSW and a national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (6.7%) and mental health issues (5.8%), with 77.5% reporting no medical ailments, higher than the 64.2% in Rest of NSW.

Casuarina has 14.9% (504 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Rest of NSW's 26.1%. Seniors' health outcomes are strong, mirroring those of the general population.

Casuarina ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Casuarina's population showed lower cultural diversity, with 82.3% born in Australia and 91.0% being citizens. English was the primary language spoken at home by 95.0%. Christianity dominated religiously at 50.9%.

Judaism was overrepresented at 0.4%, compared to 0.2% regionally. Ancestry-wise, top groups were English (32.7%), Australian (26.5%), and Irish (10.0%). Notable divergences included Welsh at 0.9% (vs regional 0.6%), South African at 0.8% (vs 0.3%), and New Zealand at 0.9% (vs 0.7%).

Casuarina hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Casuarina's median age is 41 years, which is lower than the Rest of NSW average of 43 but higher than the national average of 38. The 45-54 age group comprises 17.5% of Casuarina's population, compared to 12.5% nationally and 16.0% in the Rest of NSW. The 25-34 age group makes up 5.6% of Casuarina's population, lower than both national (9.8%) and Rest of NSW (7.5%) figures. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15 to 24 age group grew from 10.1% to 11.9%, while the 65 to 74 cohort increased from 9.1% to 10.4%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort declined from 12.5% to 11.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Casuarina's age profile will change significantly. The 45-54 cohort is projected to grow by 15%, adding 90 residents to reach 683. Meanwhile, the 5-14 age range is expected to decrease.