Bogangar

Population growth drivers in Bogangar are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, Bogangar's population is estimated at around 3,570. This reflects an increase since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,313 people. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population as 3,534 following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024, and an additional 65 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 529 persons per square kilometer. Bogangar's growth rate of 7.8% since the 2021 census exceeded that of its SA4 region (3.9%) and SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 39.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for Bogangar SA2, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, Bogangar is expected to expand by 384 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 7.0% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Bogangar according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Bogangar has seen around 16 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 80 homes have been approved, with a further six approved so far in FY-26. This results in an average of about 1.5 new residents arriving per year for each new home over this period.

Supply and demand appear balanced, maintaining stable market conditions. The average construction value of these new homes is $1,131,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. This financial year has seen $1.2 million in commercial development approvals, suggesting a predominantly residential focus compared to Rest of NSW. Bogangar shows 55.0% higher construction activity per person than the rest of NSW, offering buyers greater choice. However, building activity has slowed in recent years. Recent construction comprises 47.0% standalone homes and 53.0% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a shift from the area's existing housing composition, which is currently 64.0% houses.

This change indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and demand for more diverse, affordable housing options. Bogangar has around 326 people per approval, suggesting a transitioning market. Looking ahead, Bogangar is expected to grow by 249 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Bogangar has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Ten projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Key projects include HALI By Keystone, 25 Tweed Coast Road Mixed-Use Development (DA23/0225), CABA by Allera, and Norries Headland Masterplan. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Bogangar demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Bogangar has a skilled workforce with essential services well represented. Its unemployment rate is 1.9%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025, 1,742 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.0% below Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation in Bogangar is 62.9%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. The area specializes in accommodation & food services with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level, but has lower representation in agriculture, forestry & fishing at 1.2% versus the regional average of 5.3%.

Over the year to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 2.3%, and employment decreased by 1.9%, causing a fall in unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of NSW where employment fell by 0.5%, labour force contracted by 0.1%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bogangar's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2023, Bogangar had a median income among taxpayers of $48,585. The average income stood at $63,719. Nationally, the median and average incomes were $52,390 and $65,215 respectively. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $52,890 (median) and $69,365 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, Bogangar's household, family, and personal incomes ranked modestly, between the 40th and 41st percentiles. The largest income bracket comprises 35.7% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (1,274 residents), similar to metropolitan trends of 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 80.7% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 38th percentile. Bogangar's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Bogangar displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Bogangar, as per the latest Census, consisted of 63.9% houses and 36.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 66.3% houses and 33.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bogangar was at 31.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.4% and rented ones at 32.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,898, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,872. The median weekly rent in Bogangar was $460, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $400. Nationally, Bogangar's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,898 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bogangar has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 72.0% of all households, including 31.7% couples with children, 26.2% couples without children, and 13.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 28.0%, with lone person households at 24.6% and group households comprising 2.7%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Bogangar shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Bogangar trail regional benchmarks, with 25.1% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 32.2% in NSW as of the latest data available. Bachelor degrees are most common at 17.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 42.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 12.0% and certificates at 30.6%. Educational participation is high, with 32.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.4% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education as per the latest figures.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 41 active stops operating in Bogangar, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 29 individual routes, collectively facilitating 308 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 117 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 44 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 7 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Bogangar is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Bogangar demonstrates above-average health outcomes with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 52% of the total population (around 1,861 people), leading that of the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 8.0% and 6.8% of residents respectively. 72.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 64.2% across Rest of NSW. Bogangar has 16.0% of residents aged 65 and over (571 people), which is lower than the 26.1% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

Bogangar is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Bogangar's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 85.9% of its population born in Australia, 89.8% being citizens, and 95.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in Bogangar, comprising 40.0% of people there. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented compared to the rest of NSW, with 0.2% of Bogangar's population identifying as such.

The top three ancestry groups are English (30.0%), Australian (27.6%), and Irish (10.8%). Some ethnic groups show notable divergences: Welsh at 0.7%, New Zealand at 0.9%, and Scottish at 8.8% are slightly overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.6%, 0.7%, and 8.7% respectively.

Bogangar's median age exceeds the national pattern

Bogangar's median age is 41 years, which is lower than the Rest of NSW average of 43 but higher than the national average of 38 years. The 5-14 age group constitutes 15.4% of Bogangar's population compared to the Rest of NSW figure, while the 75-84 cohort makes up 4.2%. According to data from the 2021 Census, the 15-24 age group has increased from 9.9% to 11.4% of Bogangar's population. Conversely, the 55-64 age group has decreased from 15.8% to 13.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Bogangar's age profile. The strongest growth is projected for the 25-34 cohort, with an increase of 77 residents to reach a total of 434. However, population declines are forecasted for both the 5-14 and 15-24 age groups.