Bogangar

Population growth drivers in Bogangar are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

As of May 2026, the estimated population of Bogangar is around 3,618, reflecting a 9.2% increase from the 2021 Census figure of 3,313 people. This growth was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 3,616 based on ABS ERP data release in June 2025 and validation of 72 new addresses since the Census date. The population density is approximately 536 persons per square kilometer. Bogangar's growth rate exceeded both its SA4 region (3.7%) and SA3 area, indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed about 39% of overall population gains, with other factors like interstate migration and natural growth also being positive contributors. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for Bogangar, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas without this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. These projections anticipate future population dynamics to increase Bogangar's population by 404 persons to 2041, reflecting an 11.1% gain over the 16-year period.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Bogangar when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Bogangar has seen approximately 17 new homes approved annually. Around 85 homes were approved over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, with 11 so far in FY26. This suggests an average of three new residents arriving per dwelling constructed each year during these five years.

However, demand significantly outpaces supply, which typically increases competition among buyers and puts upward pressure on prices. The average construction value for new homes is $1,131,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. This financial year has seen $1.2 million in commercial development approvals, reflecting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to the rest of NSW, Bogangar exhibits 63.0% higher construction activity per person, offering buyers greater choice despite recent slowdowns in building activity. Recent construction comprises 50.0% standalone homes and 50.0% townhouses or apartments, promoting higher-density living which creates more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

With around 270 people per dwelling approval, Bogangar demonstrates a developing market. Looking ahead, AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects Bogangar to grow by 402 residents through to 2041. Given current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Bogangar has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified ten projects expected to influence the region. Notable projects include HALI By Keystone, 25 Tweed Coast Road Mixed-Use Development (DA23/0225), CABA by Allera, and Norries Headland Masterplan. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Bogangar rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Bogangar has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 1.9% as of December 2025. This rate is below Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation in Bogangar was 65.0%, slightly higher than Regional NSW's 60.5%. According to Census responses, 16.0% of residents worked from home as of December 2025. Leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. The area has a high employment share in accommodation & food services, at 1.6 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 1.2% compared to Regional NSW's average of 5.3%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 0.5% while labour force increased by 0.3%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.1 percentage points. In comparison, Regional NSW recorded an employment decline of 1.2%, labour force decline of 0.8%, with unemployment rising by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bogangar's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Bogangar's median income among taxpayers is $48,585, with an average of $63,719. This is lower than the national average. Regional NSW has a median income of $52,390 and an average of $65,215. By March 2026, estimates suggest Bogangar's median income will be approximately $53,599 and the average will be around $70,295, based on a 10.32% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. According to 2021 Census figures, incomes in Bogangar rank modestly, between the 40th and 41st percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. Income analysis reveals that 35.7% of residents earn $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, aligning with the broader area where this cohort represents 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Bogangar, with only 80.7% of income remaining, ranking at the 38th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Bogangar displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Bogangar, as recorded in the latest Census, 63.9% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 36.1% being semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This is compared to Regional NSW's figures of 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bogangar stood at 31.4%, with mortgaged properties at 36.4% and rented ones at 32.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,898, higher than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Bogangar was $460, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Bogangar's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,898 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher at $460 against the national figure of $375.

Bogangar has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 72.0% of all households, including 31.7% couples with children, 26.2% couples without children, and 13.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 28.0%, with lone person households at 24.6% and group households making up 2.7%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Bogangar shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Bogangar trail regional benchmarks; 25.1% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees, compared to 32.2% in NSW. This gap indicates potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 17.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 42.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (30.6%).

Educational participation is high; 32.2% of residents are currently enrolled in formal education, including primary (12.4%), secondary (8.3%), and tertiary (3.7%).

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bogangar has 41 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 29 different routes, offering a total of 308 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is excellent, with residents on average 117 meters from the nearest stop. Primarily residential, most commuters leave Bogangar. Cars dominate at 91%, walking is 6%, cycling 2%. Average vehicle ownership is 1.4 per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 16% work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 44 trips daily across all routes, equating to about 7 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Bogangar is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Bogangar demonstrates above-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

Both young and old age cohorts show low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is approximately 52% of the total population, which is around 1,886 people, leading that of the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 8.0 and 6.8% of residents respectively. Approximately 72.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% across Regional NSW. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. As of the latest data (2016), Bogangar has 16.9% of residents aged 65 and over, which is 611 people, lower than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Bogangar is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Bogangar had a below average cultural diversity, with 85.9% of its population born in Australia, 89.8% being citizens, and 95.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion, comprising 40.0% of Bogangar's population. Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to 0.1% across Regional NSW.

The top three ancestral groups were English (30.0%), Australian (27.6%), and Irish (10.8%). Notably, Welsh (0.7%) was overrepresented compared to the regional average of 0.5%. Similarly, New Zealand (0.9%) and Scottish (8.8%) populations were also higher than their respective regional averages of 0.4% and 8.0%.

Bogangar's median age exceeds the national pattern

Bogangar's median age is 41 years, which is lower than Regional NSW's average of 43 but higher than Australia's national average of 38. The 5-14 age group constitutes 15.2% of Bogangar's population compared to Regional NSW, while the 75-84 cohort makes up 4.5%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15-24 age group has increased from 9.9% to 11.6%, and the 65-74 cohort has risen from 9.1% to 10.7%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort has decreased from 15.8% to 13.3%. By 2041, Bogangar's age profile is projected to change significantly. The 25-34 cohort is expected to grow by 26%, adding 92 residents to reach a total of 447. Meanwhile, the 15-24 age group is anticipated to decrease by an unspecified amount.