Box Hill South

Population growth drivers in Box Hill South are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, the suburb of Box Hill South had an estimated population of 10,131 as of Feb 2026. This reflects a growth of 1,640 people (19.3%) since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 8,491. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 9,058 in Jun 2024 and 74 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,902 persons per square kilometer, placing Box Hill South in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. The suburb's growth exceeded the national average (9.9%) and was primarily driven by overseas migration. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 adjusted to SA2 levels for areas not covered.

Future trends forecast a significant population increase by 2041, with Box Hill South expected to grow by 3,226 persons, reflecting an overall increase of 21.2%.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Box Hill South when compared nationally

Box Hill South experienced approximately 77 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling around 387 homes. As of FY26, 16 approvals have been recorded. Each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25 resulted in an average of 2.8 new residents annually, indicating strong demand supporting property values. The average construction cost value for these dwellings was $705,000, reflecting a focus on premium properties.

This financial year has seen $41.9 million in commercial development approvals, demonstrating high local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Box Hill South's development levels per person are similar, maintaining market balance with surrounding areas despite recent moderation in activity. New developments consist of 12% detached houses and 88% townhouses or apartments, providing affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This shift from the area's current housing composition (66% houses) suggests decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyles requiring diverse housing options. The area has approximately 516 people per dwelling approval, reflecting its established status.

By 2041, Box Hill South is forecasted to gain around 2,153 residents. Current development appears well-suited to future needs, supporting steady market conditions without extreme price pressure.

Box Hill South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Area infrastructure significantly impacts local performance. AreaSearch identified 12 projects potentially influencing the area. Key projects include Wembley Hill Townhomes, Roberts Reserve Masterplan & Sports Pavilion, Box Hill South Community Hub, and Box Hill South Primary School Modernisation. The following details projects likely most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment positions Box Hill South ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Box Hill South has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 3.7% as of the past year. Employment growth over this period was estimated at 2.4%.

As of December 2025, 5,561 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.1% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%. Workforce participation was 76.1%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. Census responses indicated that 40.0% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services.

The area has a specialization in education & training, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level. Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing shows lower representation at 2.5% compared to the regional average of 5.2%. The ratio of 0.9 workers per resident indicates substantial local employment opportunities. Over a 12-month period ending in December 2025, employment increased by 2.4%, labour force grew by 2.7%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. These trends mirrored Greater Melbourne's overall figures. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Box Hill South. Applying these projections to the local employment mix, employment is expected to increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.2% over ten years.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Box Hill South had a median income among taxpayers of $48,406 and an average income of $68,631 in the financial year 2023. These figures were slightly above national averages and compared to Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164 respectively. By September 2025, estimates based on an 8.25% increase from the financial year 2023 suggest a median income of approximately $52,399 and an average income of around $74,293 in Box Hill South. Census data shows that incomes in Box Hill South cluster around the 54th percentile nationally. In terms of income distribution, 28.6% of the population (2,897 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, which is consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 32.8% in the same category. Notably, a substantial proportion of high earners (31.1%) have incomes above $3,000 per week, indicating strong economic capacity throughout Box Hill South. Despite high housing costs consuming 17.1% of income, strong earnings place disposable income at the 59th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Box Hill South displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Box Hill South's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 66.0% houses and 34.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Box Hill South was at 33.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.6% and rented ones at 28.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,400, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Box Hill South was $425, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Box Hill South features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 69.6% of all households, including 36.4% couples with children, 21.1% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 30.4%, with lone person households at 25.6% and group households comprising 5.0%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which aligns with the Greater Melbourne average.

Box Hill South demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Box Hill South's educational attainment significantly exceeds national averages. Among residents aged 15+, 49.3% hold university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and Victoria's 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 29.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (15.5%) and graduate diplomas (4.4%). Vocational pathways account for 21.0% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 10.5% and certificates also at 10.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in tertiary education, 9.1% in primary education, and 8.8% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Box Hill South has 52 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 15 different routes that together facilitate 2,719 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically living just 174 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation for 78% of residents, while 10% use trains and 6% take buses. On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 40% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes is approximately 388 trips per day, equating to about 52 weekly trips per stop.

Box Hill South's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Box Hill South's health outcomes data shows exceptional results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, with younger cohorts notably having a very low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 54% (~5,466 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7%.

Mental health issues impact 6.7%, while asthma affects 6.6% of residents. Around 74.7% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. About 15.5% (~1,570 people) are aged 65 and over. Health outcomes among seniors in the area are above average but rank lower nationally than those of the broader population.

Box Hill South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Box Hill South has a high level of cultural diversity, with 41.4% of its population born overseas and 39.6% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Box Hill South is Christianity, accounting for 39.5% of the population. Notably, Buddhism is more prevalent in Box Hill South at 5.1%, compared to 4.2% across Greater Melbourne.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups in Box Hill South are Chinese (20.1%), English (20.0%), and Australian (17.4%). Some ethnic groups show significant differences: Hungarian is overrepresented at 0.4% compared to 0.3% regionally, Sri Lankan at 0.7% versus 0.8%, and Korean at 0.8% against 0.3%.

Box Hill South's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Box Hill South is 38 years, close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and equivalent to Australia's median of 38. Relative to Greater Melbourne, Box Hill South has a higher percentage of 15-24 year-olds at 15.5%, but fewer 25-34 year-olds at 14.5%. In the 2021 Census, the 15-24 age group was 14.1% and increased to 15.5%, while the 25-34 cohort rose from 13.4% to 14.5%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group decreased from 14.4% to 13.2%. By 2041, Box Hill South's demographic is expected to shift notably. The 45-54 group is projected to grow by 34%, adding 448 people and reaching 1,786 from 1,337. The 5-14 age group is expected to grow by 4%, adding 48 residents.