Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld)

Alligator Creek lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) statistical area's population is estimated at around 1,779 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 229 people (14.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,550 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,697 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 85 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 36 persons per square kilometer. The Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) SA2's 14.8% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (6.9%) and the SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 77.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. Exceptional growth is predicted over the period with the Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) SA2 expected to expand by 1,701 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 97.2% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Alligator Creek among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Alligator Creek has seen approximately 18 dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis. Between financial years FY-21 and FY-25, around 90 homes were approved, with an additional 10 approved in FY-26 to date. Each year, about 3.5 people have moved to the area per dwelling built over these five years.

This high demand outpaces supply, potentially driving up prices and increasing competition among buyers. The average construction cost for new dwellings is $428,000. In FY-26, there have been $1.1 million in commercial approvals, indicating limited commercial development activity. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Alligator Creek has 170.0% more development activity per person, offering buyers greater choice and reflecting strong developer confidence in the location. The area maintains a low-density character with detached houses being the only recent building activity, appealing to those seeking space for families.

There are approximately 88 people per dwelling approval in Alligator Creek, indicating an expanding market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the location is projected to add 1,729 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Alligator Creek has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

No factors impact a region's performance more than alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has pinpointed zero projects slated to affect this area. Notable projects include Douglas Water Treatment Plant Clarifiers Upgrade, Bruce Highway (Townsville-Ingham) upgrade program, Flinders Highway (Townsville - Torrens Creek) Pavement Strengthening and Rehabilitation (Package 1), and Queensland National Land Transport Network Maintenance. The following list outlines those most pertinent:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market strength in Alligator Creek positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Alligator Creek has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate is 2.0%, as of September 2025, which is below the Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%.

Employment stability in the area has been relative over the past year. There are 933 residents currently employed, and workforce participation stands at 63.3%, slightly higher than Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Key industries for employment include health care & social assistance, construction, and public administration & safety. The area shows strong specialization in public administration & safety, with an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level.

Conversely, accommodation & food services have limited presence, at 4.7% compared to the regional average of 8.3%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by Census data comparing working population and resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 0.2%, while labour force grew by 0.6%, leading to a rise in unemployment by 0.4 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Qld saw employment growth of 1.7% and unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01%, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.3%. Job and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Alligator Creek's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.5% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, although these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Alligator Creek has an income level significantly higher than the national average, according to the latest data from the Australian Taxation Office aggregated by AreaSearch. In financial year 2023, the median income among taxpayers in Alligator Creek was $61,690, with an average income of $74,975. This compares to figures for Rest of Qld's median income of $53,146 and average income of $66,593 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates suggest the median income would be approximately $67,803 and the average income around $82,405 by September 2025. Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Alligator Creek all rank highly nationally, between the 80th and 88th percentiles. Income distribution shows that the predominant cohort consists of 35.3% of locals (627 people) earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, mirroring regional levels where 31.7% fall into this bracket. A substantial portion of residents, 35.3%, earn more than $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. After housing costs, residents retain 88.6% of their income, reflecting robust purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Alligator Creek is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Alligator Creek's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, were entirely houses with 0.0% other dwellings. This contrasts with Non-Metro Qld's 81.3% houses and 18.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Alligator Creek stood at 35.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 59.0% and rented ones at 5.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,893, higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,517. The median weekly rent was $325, lower than Non-Metro Qld's figure of $305. Nationally, Alligator Creek's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863, while rents were substantially lower at $375.

Alligator Creek features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 86.0% of all households, including 39.7% couples with children, 38.5% couples without children, and 7.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 14.0%, consisting of 10.9% lone person households and 1.0% group households. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Alligator Creek demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 26.8% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA4 region average of 20.1% and Rest of Qld's rate of 20.6%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 16.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.8%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 40.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 10.6% and certificates at 30.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.9% in primary education, 9.7% in secondary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

The level of general health in Alligator Creek is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Alligator Creek exhibits superior health outcomes for both young and elderly cohorts, with low prevalence rates of common health conditions. Approximately 57% (~1,012 people) have private health cover, higher than Rest of Qld's 53.9%.

Mental health issues affect 7.7%, while asthma impacts 7.6% of residents. A total of 72.6% report no medical ailments, compared to Rest of Qld's 67.8%. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 13.8% (245 people), compared to Rest of Qld's 14.9%. Senior health outcomes are above average, mirroring the general population's profile.

Alligator Creek is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Alligator Creek showed lower cultural diversity, with 84.1% citizens, 87.9% born in Australia, and 96.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity dominated Alligator Creek at 57.1%, compared to 52.7% regionally. Top ancestry groups were Australian (30.6%), English (29.7%), and Irish (9.6%).

Italian (5.3%) was notably higher than regional average (3.6%), as were German (4.7%) and South African (0.6%).

Alligator Creek's median age exceeds the national pattern

Alligator Creek has a median age of 40, close to Rest of Qld's figure of 41 but slightly exceeding the national norm of 38. The 0-4 age group is strongly represented at 9.1%, compared to Rest of Qld, while the 15-24 cohort is less prevalent at 8.5%. According to the 2021 Census, the 0-4 age group has grown from 7.6% to 9.1%, and the 25-34 cohort increased from 10.9% to 12.2%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort has declined from 15.3% to 13.0%, and the 45-54 group dropped from 16.1% to 14.7%. Demographic modeling suggests Alligator Creek's age profile will significantly evolve by 2041, with the 35-44 group expected to grow by 104%, reaching 542 people from 265.