Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld)

Alligator Creek lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, the estimated population of Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) is around 1745 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 195 people from the 2021 Census figure of 1550 residents. The growth was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 1683 resident population following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024, combined with additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 35 persons per square kilometer. Alligator Creek's population growth rate of 12.6% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA4 region (6.9%) and SA3 area, indicating it as a growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 77.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with other factors such as natural growth and overseas migration also being positive contributors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data or years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 based on 2021 data are used, applying proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Future demographic trends predict exceptional growth for the suburb over the period to 2041, with an expected expansion of 1719 persons, reflecting a gain of 102.1% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Alligator Creek among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Alligator Creek shows approximately 18 dwellings receiving development approval annually. Between FY-2021 and FY-2025, around 90 homes were approved, with an additional 6 approved so far in FY-2026. This results in about 3.5 people moving to the area per dwelling built over these five financial years.

Demand significantly outpaces supply, which typically influences prices upwards and increases competition among buyers. The average development value of new dwellings is $428,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms. In FY-2026, commercial development approvals totalled $649,000, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Alligator Creek records 171.0% more development activity per person when measured against the Rest of Qld, suggesting robust developer interest in the area. New construction comprises entirely detached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers, with around 117 people per approval.

By 2041, Alligator Creek is projected to grow by 1,781 residents. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Alligator Creek has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 40thth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly impact an area's performance like modifications to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. Zero projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially influencing the area. Notable projects include Douglas Water Treatment Plant Clarifiers Upgrade, Bruce Highway (Townsville-Ingham) upgrade program, Flinders Highway (Townsville - Torrens Creek) Pavement Strengthening and Rehabilitation (Package 1), and Queensland National Land Transport Network Maintenance. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Alligator Creek ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Alligator Creek has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate is 2.2%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of June 2025, there are 903 residents employed, with an unemployment rate 1.8% below Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation stands at 63.3%, comparable to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and public administration & safety. Notably, public administration & safety has a high concentration with employment levels at 1.7 times the regional average.

Conversely, accommodation & food services have lower representation at 4.7% versus the regional average of 8.3%. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparison between working population and resident population. Over a 12-month period ending Sep-22, labour force decreased by 2.2%, while employment declined by 2.9%, leading to an unemployment rate rise of 0.7 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of Qld where employment rose by 1.8% and labour force grew by 2.0%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years for national employment. Applying these projections to Alligator Creek's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Alligator Creek had a median taxpayer income of $61,690 and an average income of $74,975. These figures are higher than the national averages of $50,780 and $64,844 respectively for Rest of Qld. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, estimated median and average incomes as of September 2025 are approximately $70,320 and $85,464 respectively. Census data ranks Alligator Creek's household, family, and personal incomes between the 80th and 88th percentiles nationally. The income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 35.3% of residents (615 people), similar to the regional trend where this cohort represents 31.7%. High weekly earnings exceeding $3,000 are achieved by 35.3% of households, indicating strong consumer spending power. After housing costs, residents retain 88.6% of their income, reflecting robust purchasing power and Alligator Creek's SEIFA income ranking in the 7th decile.

Alligator Creek is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Alligator Creek, as per the latest Census evaluation, all dwellings were houses with none being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This contrasts with Non-Metro Qld's 81.3% houses and 18.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Alligator Creek stood at 35.9%, with mortgaged properties at 59.0% and rented ones at 5.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,893, higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,517. The median weekly rent in Alligator Creek was $325, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $305. Nationally, Alligator Creek's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,893, while rents were lower at $325 compared to the Australian averages of $1,863 and $375 respectively.

Alligator Creek features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 86.0% of all households, including 39.7% couples with children, 38.5% couples without children, and 7.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 14.0%, with lone person households at 10.9% and group households comprising 1.0%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Alligator Creek demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 26.8% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA4 region average of 20.1% and that of Rest of Qld (20.6%). Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 16.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.8%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 40.6% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 10.6%, while certificates make up 30.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.9% in primary education, 9.7% in secondary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education. Educational facilities appear to be located outside the immediate catchment boundaries, requiring families to access schools in neighboring areas.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

The level of general health in Alligator Creek is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Alligator Creek exhibits superior health outcomes for both younger and older age groups, with low prevalence rates for common health conditions. Approximately 57% (~993 people) have private health cover, higher than Rest of Qld at 53.3%.

Mental health issues affect 7.7% and asthma impacts 7.6% of residents, while 72.6% report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 67.8% in Rest of Qld. The area has a lower percentage of seniors aged 65 and over at 13.8% (240 people), compared to 14.9% in Rest of Qld. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, mirroring the general population's health profile.

Alligator Creek is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Alligator Creek, surveyed in June 2016, had a population with 84.1% being citizens, 87.9% born in Australia, and 96.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 57.1%, compared to 52.7% across Rest of Qld. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (30.6%), English (29.7%), and Irish (9.6%).

Italian ancestry was notably higher at 5.3% (regional: 3.6%), German at 4.7% (regional: 4.0%), and South African at 0.6% (regional: 0.3%).

Alligator Creek hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Alligator Creek has a median age of 40, which is close to Rest of Qld's figure of 41 but exceeds the national norm of 38. The 0-4 age group comprises 9.1%, compared to Rest of Qld, while the 15-24 cohort stands at 8.5%. Post the 2021 Census, the 0-4 age group grew from 7.6% to 9.1%, and the 25-34 cohort increased from 10.9% to 12.2%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort declined from 15.3% to 13.1%, and the 45-54 group dropped from 16.1% to 14.7%. By 2041, demographic modeling indicates significant shifts in Alligator Creek's age profile. Notably, the 35-44 group is projected to grow by 110%, reaching 545 people from 260.