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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) has an estimated 1,855 residents, up from 1,550 at the 2021 Census — a change of 305 people, or 19.7%. Growth has averaged 3.6% a year over five years, faster than 90% of areas nationally. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 77.0% of that increase. Density is about 38 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census Alligator Creek's population is estimated at around 1,855 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 305 people (19.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,550 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,793, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2025) and an additional 88 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 37 persons per square kilometer, a level providing ample space per person.
Alligator Creek's 19.7% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (7.1%), along with the SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 77.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors. Projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia, issued in 2024 using 2022 as a starting point, are utilized for each SA2 region. In instances where these figures are unavailable, or for periods after 2032, forecasts published by the Queensland State Government in 2023 (utilizing 2021 data) are substituted. Because the Queensland projections omit details on age brackets, age-specific growth is estimated by applying proportional splits derived from the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region forecasts, which are based on 2022 statistics. Looking at future demographics, the community is set to experience rapid expansion that ranks in the top 10 percent of regional localities across the country. Over the 16 years leading to 2041, combined SA2 forecasts indicate the population will rise by 1,585 individuals, representing an overall increase of 82.1%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
83 new dwellings have been approved in Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) over the past five years, an average of 16 a year. That places the area in the 69th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 9 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 25, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Analysis of statistical area building approvals indicates the suburb of Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) averages about 16 residential approvals annually, totaling 83 building consents over the 5 financial years spanning FY-21 to FY-25, with 23 recorded so far in FY-26. A ratio of 3.5 new residents per approved home over the 5 financial years from FY-21 to FY-25 points to a supply shortfall relative to demand, which typically triggers price growth and heightens buyer rivalry. The average value of these newly constructed homes is $428,000. Additionally, commercial development approvals total $1.1 million this financial year, pointing to a heavily residential expansion focus.
Compared against the rest of Queensland, the suburb of Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) exhibits 149.0% more construction projects on a per capita basis, offering buyers more options despite a recent slowdown in activity. The latest residential additions consist entirely of stand-alone houses, which preserves the suburban low-density aesthetic and caters to families looking for larger homes. There are roughly 160 residents for every approved dwelling, indicating a rising property market. Long-term demographic forecasts show the suburb of Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) adding 1,523 citizens by 2041, based on the newest quarterly data. If building volumes remain at their current levels, housing availability may fall behind population requirements, which is likely to increase buyer competition and support property values.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld)
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 26 current infrastructure and development projects close to Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld), worth an estimated $2.52 billion. 9 are already under construction and 8 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, science & research and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, planning initiatives, and major developments have a significant impact on local performance. AreaSearch has identified no projects that are expected to influence the local area. Relevant regional works include the Douglas Water Treatment Plant Clarifiers Upgrade, the Bruce Highway (Townsville-Ingham) upgrade program, the Flinders Highway (Townsville - Torrens Creek) Pavement Strengthening and Rehabilitation (Package 1), and the Queensland National Land Transport Network Maintenance program.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Queensland Resources Common User Facility
Australian-first critical minerals processing test facility being developed by the Queensland Government at Cleveland Bay Industrial Park, Townsville. The facility will enable demonstration-scale processing trials, initially for vanadium with future capability for cobalt, rare earth elements and other critical minerals. Construction and commissioning are progressing with Sedgman as managing contractor, with opening targeted for late 2026.
Wulguru Group Stuart Facility Expansion
Multi-stage expansion of Wulguru Group's 17 hectare Stuart manufacturing and engineering facility. Stage 1, including an 8,500 sqm heavy fabrication workshop, 2,000 sqm paint and blast facility and new head office, was completed in 2025. Stage 2 has development approval and will deliver rail wagon maintenance, locomotive maintenance, rail wheel workshop and rolling stock paint and blast facilities. The balance of the site is currently being developed with operations targeted during 2027.
SunHQ Hydrogen Hub
Renewable hydrogen production and refuelling hub at the Sun Metals Zinc Refinery precinct featuring a 1 MW PEM electrolyser powered by the co-located Sun Metals Solar Farm, with compression, storage and dispensing infrastructure to supply Ark Energy/Townsville Logistics heavy vehicles and third-party users (up to ~155,000 kg p.a.).
Iluka
Masterplanned residential community to be delivered over 10 stages in Wulguru, Townsville. Promoted by PointCorp as large, mostly level lots with ocean views in proximity to Townsville CBD, hospital, ADF base, and James Cook University.
GEON Build-to-Rent at Fairfield & Co
Large-scale Build-To-Rent (BTR) project at Fairfield & Co, comprising two 12-storey apartment towers with 294 apartments and ground floor retail/commercial spaces. GEON plans North Queensland's first build-to-rent development featuring two towers, 294 apartments, and retail spaces at Fairfield & Co site. Part of the $125 million mixed-use Fairfield & Co precinct. Has received formal development approval from Townsville City Council.
Fairfield Business Precinct
Built business park within the Fairfield Precinct at Idalia, Townsville. Offers freehold and lease opportunities adjacent to major retailers including Bunnings and the Fairfield Central shopping centre. Tenants in the precinct include Liberty Fuel, Reece Plumbing, Bridgestone and Containers for Change. Ingenta indicates one prime allotment (Lot 2, 2/67 Lakeside Drive) remains for sale.
Riverway Arts Centre and Library
Modern cultural facility providing community access to arts, library services, and cultural programs along the scenic Ross River precinct.
Townsville Connection Road (Stuart Drive), University Road to Bowen Road Bridge (Idalia) Upgrade
Upgrade of Townsville Connection Road (Stuart Drive) to dual lanes between University Road and Bowen Road Bridge, including intersection upgrades at Gartrell Drive, Mervyn Crossman Drive/Fairfield Waters Drive, and Kokoda Street. Aims to improve safety, increase capacity, and reduce congestion.
837 residents of Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) are employed, from a labour force of 852. Unemployment sits at 1.8%, with participation at 61.5%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.5% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 1,452, about 78% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Data collected from local statistical sectors reveals the workforce in the suburb of Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) is highly trained, showing a strong concentration in key service fields and an unemployment rate of only 1.8%. Figures from March 2026 show 837 employed locals, with unemployment sitting 2.2% lower than the Regional Qld benchmark of 3.9%. Participation in the labor market is slightly lower than average, standing at 61.5% compared to 64.3% in Regional Qld. Census records indicate that a modest 8.5% of the workforce operates from home, though this figure reflects conditions during past health lockdowns.
Local employment is predominantly concentrated in the construction, health care and social assistance, and public administration and safety sectors. The public administration and safety field is highly represented, employing workers at a rate 1.7 times the Regional Qld average. Conversely, accommodation and food services have a minor footprint, accounting for 4.7% of jobs compared to 8.3% across the wider region. A comparison between local workers and resident jobholders suggests limited local employment opportunities are available within the boundaries of the suburb of Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld). According to aggregated figures from the ABS and SALM, the total labor pool in the suburb of Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) shrank by 3.8% during the 12 months ending March 2026, while employment fell by 3.6%, leading to a decrease in the unemployment rate of 0.3 percentage points. Over the same period, Regional Qld experienced a 0.1% increase in employment, a 0.3% increase in the labor force, and a 0.1 percentage point rise in unemployment. Long-term employment outcomes can be evaluated using the national forecasts released by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25. These five-year and ten-year models have been mapped to local job patterns to estimate potential trends. Nationwide employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with performance varying by sector. Applying these trends to the suburb of Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) suggests employment increases of 6.5% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, representing a basic weighting for comparison that does not incorporate local population growth estimates.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) is $2,404 a week (about $125,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,018 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $61,690 a year against an average of $74,975. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to tax data from the ATO for financial year 2023, the suburb of Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) has income levels that are significantly higher than the national benchmark. Median taxpayer earnings stand at $61,690, with average earnings reaching $74,975, compared to $53,146 and $66,593 in Regional Qld. Adjusted for Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, these estimates translate to roughly $68,698 for median and $83,492 for average earnings by March 2026. Household, family, and individual incomes are high, placing the area between the 80th and 88th percentiles nationally.
The largest income bracket contains 35.3% of the local population (654 people), earning weekly incomes of $1,500 - 2,999, which is comparable to the 31.7% observed regionally. Affluent residents are well represented, with 35.3% earning more than $3,000 weekly. After housing expenditures, households keep 88.6% of their income, and the region ranks in the 7th decile of the SEIFA index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) had 486 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 100% detached houses and 0% apartments. 59% are owned with a mortgage, 5% rented and 36% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $325 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,893 a month. Rent absorbs 13.5% of household income here and mortgage repayments 18.2%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the time of the last Census, the housing inventory in the suburb of Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) consisted of 100.0% detached houses and no other dwelling types, such as apartments or townhouses, compared to Regional Qld where 76.4% are houses and 23.6% are other formats. Outright home ownership in the suburb of Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) was recorded at 35.9%, while the remaining homes were occupied by buyers with a mortgage (59.0%) or tenants (5.2%). Typical monthly mortgage payments were $1,893, and median weekly rent was $325, compared to regional averages of $1,655 and $345.
Locally, mortgage costs are above the national average of $1,863, whereas rental costs remain well below the Australian average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) counted 486 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 582 today, averaging 2.8 people each. 40% are couples with children, more than in 79% of areas nationally, against 39% couples without children. 11% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family units account for 86.0% of all households in the suburb of Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld), consisting of couples with children at 39.7%, couples without children at 38.5%, and single parent households at 7.6%. The remaining 14.0% comprises non-family households, with single-person households representing 10.9% and group households making up 1.0%. The average household size is 2.8 individuals, which is higher than the Regional Qld average of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
26.8% of adults in Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) hold a university qualification, including 16.6% with a bachelor degree and 6.4% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 99% of areas nationally. A further 30.0% hold a vocational qualification. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The educational profile of the suburb of Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) is notable, with 26.8% of residents aged 15 and over holding a university qualification, surpassing the SA4 regional average of 20.1% and the Rest of Qld average of 20.6%. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher education qualification at 16.6%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 6.4% and graduate diplomas at 3.8%. Vocational and technical credentials are also highly represented, with 40.6% of residents aged 15 and over holding qualification certificates, split between advanced diplomas at 10.6% and certificates at 30.0%.
A high proportion of residents are engaged in study, with 33.7% of the population enrolled in an educational institution. This group includes 12.9% in primary school, 9.7% in high school, and 4.1% in tertiary education programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) means driving: households keep an average of 2.2 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
72.6% of residents in Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) report no long-term health condition. 3.9% need daily assistance with core activities, and 56.9% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.5 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Based on health metrics compiled by AreaSearch regarding mortality and long-term illnesses, the suburb of Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) shows positive health trends across all age cohorts. The level of private health insurance is high, covering approximately 57% of the community, which equates to about 1,055 people, compared to 52.5% across Regional Qld. Mental health conditions and asthma are the most common medical diagnoses in the suburb of Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld), affecting 7.7% and 7.6% of the population. A total of 72.6% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld.
Health outcomes for working-age residents are typical. Residents aged 65 and older make up 14.8% of the local population (274 people), which is lower than the Regional Qld level of 20.4%. Health outcomes among older residents are positive, with national health rankings reflecting the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) is largely Australian-born, at 87.9% of residents, with 3.8% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (30.6%) and English (29.7%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The suburb of Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) has lower cultural diversity metrics than average, with citizens making up 84.1% of the population, Australian-born individuals representing 87.9%, and English-only speakers accounting for 96.2% of households. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 57.1% of residents, compared to 52.2% in Regional Qld. The primary parental ancestries reported in the suburb of Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) are Australian at 30.6%, English at 29.7%, and Irish at 9.6%. Some ancestries show notable differences compared to regional averages: Italian ancestry is represented at 5.3% (compared to 2.4% regionally), German ancestry at 4.7% (compared to 4.7% regionally), and South Australian ancestry at 0.6% (compared to 0.5% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) is 40. That is 1 year younger than at the 2021 Census. 20.1% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age in the suburb of Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld) is 40, which is close to the Regional Qld average of 41 and slightly higher than the national average of 38. Children aged 0 - 4 represent 8.8% of the population, while young adults aged 15 - 24 are less represented at 9.0%. Since the 2021 Census, the proportion of children aged 0 to 4 rose from 7.6% to 8.8%, and the 75 to 84 age group increased from 3.0% to 4.2%. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 age bracket fell from 15.3% to 12.8%, and the 45 to 54 group declined from 16.1% to 14.5%.
Population projections suggest the age distribution will change by 2041, led by an 85% increase in the 35 to 44 age bracket, which is expected to grow to 525 individuals from 283.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Alligator Creek (Townsville - Qld)
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 88 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (1,550 at the 2021 Census → 1,855 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL30040). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.