Aberfoyle Park

Aberfoyle Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

AreaSearch's analysis shows Aberfoyle Park's population was around 11,976 as of Nov 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 65 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,911. The change is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 11,849 in June 2024 and an additional 9 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 865 persons per square kilometer, similar to averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth in recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered and years post-2032, projections from the SA State Government's Regional/LGA data, released in 2023 based on 2021 data, are used with adjustments made employing weighted aggregation methods. Looking ahead, a population increase just below the median is expected for Aberfoyle Park, with an expansion of 1,170 persons to 2041, reflecting an 8.7% total increase over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Aberfoyle Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Aberfoyle Park has seen approximately 14 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 71 homes. As of FY26, 12 approvals have been recorded. The population decline in recent years has maintained adequate housing supply relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. New dwellings are developed at an average cost of $189,000, which is below regional levels, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year has seen $20.8 million in commercial approvals, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Aberfoyle Park shows significantly reduced construction (76.0% below the regional average per person), which typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This activity is also below national averages, reflecting the area's maturity and potential planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 89.0% standalone homes and 11.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 964 people, indicating a quiet, low activity development environment.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Aberfoyle Park is expected to grow by 1,043 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Aberfoyle Park has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 5thth percentile nationally

Five projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area: Urban Creek Resilience and Recovery Project - Sauerbier and Homestead Creeks, Thalassa Park Master Plan, Aberfoyle Park High School Redevelopment, and Aberfoyle Community Centre Expansion. These are likely to be among the most relevant initiatives.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Aberfoyle Park ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Aberfoyle Park has a skilled workforce with prominent essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 2.7%, lower than Greater Adelaide's 3.9%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.2%.

As of September 2025, 6,605 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.2% below Greater Adelaide's. Workforce participation is 69.0%, slightly higher than Greater Adelaide's 66.5%. A low 11.9% of residents work from home.

Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. Accommodation & food employs only 5.2% of local workers, lower than Greater Adelaide's 6.8%. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 3.2%, while labour force also grew by 3.2%, keeping unemployment broadly stable at 1.2%. In contrast, Greater Adelaide saw employment grow by 3.0% and unemployment fall slightly to 3.8%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years nationally. Applying these projections to Aberfoyle Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 indicates that income in Aberfoyle Park SA2 is below the national average. The median income is $55,749 and the average income stands at $64,785. In contrast, Greater Adelaide has a median income of $54,808 and an average income of $66,852. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.8% from financial year 2023 to September 2025, current estimates would be approximately $60,655 (median) and $70,486 (average). According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Aberfoyle Park cluster around the 50th percentile nationally. The income distribution shows that 37.0% of residents earn between $1,500 - 2,999, consistent with metropolitan trends at 31.8%. After housing costs, residents retain 87.5% of their income. This places Aberfoyle Park in the 6th decile based on SEIFA income ranking.

Aberfoyle Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Aberfoyle Park, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 94.8% houses and 5.2% other dwellings. In comparison, Adelaide metro had 75.2% houses and 24.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Aberfoyle Park was 35.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 50.4% and rented ones at 14.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,526, lower than Adelaide metro's $1,562. The median weekly rent figure in Aberfoyle Park was $340, compared to Adelaide metro's $320. Nationally, Aberfoyle Park's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Aberfoyle Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 78.6% of all households, including 36.1% couples with children, 30.5% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 21.4%, with lone person households at 19.8% and group households making up 1.6%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Aberfoyle Park exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

In the region, residents aged 15+ have a higher university qualification rate of 26.1%, surpassing the SA3 area average of 18.9%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 18.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials are held by 37.7% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.6% and certificates at 26.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 26.8% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.1% in primary education, 6.7% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 63 active transport stops in Aberfoyle Park, consisting of buses. These are served by 26 routes, offering 822 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is rated good, with residents typically 220 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward, predominantly by car (90%). Average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.7, above regional average. In 2021 Census data, 11.9% of residents worked from home.

Service frequency averages 117 trips daily across all routes, equating to about 13 weekly trips per stop.

Health outcomes in Aberfoyle Park are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

AreaSearch's assessment indicates below-average health outcomes in Aberfoyle Park.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are higher than average for both younger and older age cohorts. Mental health issues affect 9.0% of residents, while arthritis impacts 8.7%. Approximately 65.0% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 67.9% in Greater Adelaide. The area has a relatively low private health cover rate at around 51% (~6,131 people). Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. Aberfoyle Park has 21.8% of residents aged 65 and over (2,610 people), higher than Greater Adelaide's 19.0%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Aberfoyle Park records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Aberfoyle Park's cultural diversity aligns with the wider region, as shown by its population born in Australia (77.7%), citizens (93.2%), and English speakers (90.6%). Christianity is the predominant religion, accounting for 43.5%. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to Greater Adelaide's 0.1%.

In terms of ancestry, English (34.1%) and Australian (26.6%) are the top groups, with Scottish at 7.3%. Other ethnicities show variations: Polish is overrepresented at 1.4% versus 1.0%, German at 6.2% versus 5.1%, and Dutch at 1.7% versus 1.2%.

Aberfoyle Park's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Aberfoyle Park is 43 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Adelaide's average of 39 years and Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Aberfoyle Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (12.3%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.4%). According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 75 to 84 increased from 5.3% to 6.7%, while the 55 to 64 age group declined from 14.7% to 13.6% and the 45 to 54 age group decreased from 13.0% to 12.0%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Aberfoyle Park's age structure. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 60%, reaching 1,275 people from 798. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 65% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 55 to 64 age group is projected to decrease by 250 residents.