Aberfoyle Park
Statistical Area - sa2

Aberfoyle Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

AreaSearch's analysis indicates Aberfoyle Park's population was approximately 11,849 as of Aug 2025. This figure represents a decrease of 62 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 11,911. The change is inferred from ABS estimates showing 11,849 residents in June 2024 and an additional 9 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a density ratio of 856 persons per square kilometer, roughly inline with averages across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration was the primary driver for population growth in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category are adopted, adjusted using weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Future population projections suggest a near-median increase for statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch, with Aberfoyle Park expected to gain 1,170 persons by 2041, marking an overall increase of 9.9% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Aberfoyle Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Aberfoyle Park has seen approximately 14 new homes approved annually. Development approval data is produced by the ABS on a financial year basis, totalling 71 approvals across the past five financial years from FY21 to FY25 and 6 so far in FY26. Despite population decline, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a well-balanced market with good buyer choice. New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $328,000, aligning with broader regional development.

There have also been $20.8 million in commercial approvals this financial year, indicating steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Aberfoyle Park shows substantially reduced construction, 76.0% below the regional average per person, which typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This activity is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 89.0% standalone homes and 11.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated count of 964 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

Looking ahead, Aberfoyle Park is expected to grow by 1,170 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Aberfoyle Park has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 32ndth percentile nationally

Five projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. These include Urban Creek Resilience and Recovery Project for Sauerbier and Homestead Creeks, Aberfoyle Community Centre Expansion, Thalassa Park Master Plan, and Aberfoyle Park High School Redevelopment.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment performance in Aberfoyle Park exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Aberfoyle Park has a skilled workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 3.0%, with an estimated employment growth of 2.2% over the past year.

As of June 2025, there are 6,594 residents employed, and the unemployment rate is 1.0% lower than Greater Adelaide's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation in Aberfoyle Park is 64.5%, compared to Greater Adelaide's 61.7%. Employment among residents is primarily concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade.

However, accommodation & food services employ only 5.2% of local workers, lower than Greater Adelaide's 6.8%. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 2.2%, while labour force grew by 2.7%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. State-level data from Sep-25 shows SA employment grew by 1.06% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.5%, aligning with the national rate of 4.5%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 project a growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Aberfoyle Park's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.8% over five years and 14.1% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows median income in Aberfoyle Park at $53,387 and average income at $62,155. In Greater Adelaide, median income was $52,592 and average income was $64,886. By March 2025, current estimates suggest median income would be approximately $59,169 and average income $68,886, factoring in a 10.83% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, Aberfoyle Park's incomes cluster around the 51st percentile nationally. Income distribution shows 37.0% of residents earning between $1,500 and $2,999 (4,384 individuals), consistent with metropolitan trends at 31.8%. After housing costs, Aberfoyle Park residents retain 87.5% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Aberfoyle Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Aberfoyle Park, as evaluated at the Census held in 2016, comprised 94.8% houses and 5.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Adelaide metro's 89.2% houses and 10.7% other dwellings. Home ownership within Aberfoyle Park was at 35.4%, with mortgaged dwellings accounting for 50.4% and rented dwellings at 14.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area, as of 2016 data, was $1,526, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $340. In comparison, Adelaide metro's figures were $1,452 and $314 respectively for mortgage repayments and rents. Nationally, Aberfoyle Park's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Aberfoyle Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 78.6% of all households, including 36.1% couples with children, 30.5% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 21.4%, with lone person households at 19.8% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.5 people.

The educational profile of Aberfoyle Park exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 26.1% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA3 average of 18.9%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 18.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 37.7% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 11.6% and certificates at 26.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 26.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.1% in primary education, 6.7% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education. Seven schools operate within Aberfoyle Park, educating approximately 1,892 students. The area demonstrates typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1044) with balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes five primary, one secondary, and one K-12 school.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transport in Aberfoyle Park shows 63 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops are served by a mix of bus routes, totaling 25 individual routes. Together, these routes provide 824 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents on average located 220 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 117 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Aberfoyle Park is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Aberfoyle Park faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~5,995 people), compared to 48.6% across Greater Adelaide.

The most common medical conditions are mental health issues affecting 9.0% of residents and arthritis impacting 8.7%. 65.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 62.9% across Greater Adelaide. As of 31 December 2020, the area has 21.8% of residents aged 65 and over (2,583 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

In terms of cultural diversity, Aberfoyle Park records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Aberfoyle Park's population shows cultural diversity in line with the broader region, with 77.7% born in Australia, 93.2% being citizens, and 90.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 43.5%. Judaism, however, is overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to 0.1% regionally.

The top three ancestral groups are English (34.1%), Australian (26.6%), and Scottish (7.3%). Notable differences exist in the representation of Polish (1.4% vs regional 0.9%), German (6.2% vs 5.4%), and Dutch (1.7%) groups.

Aberfoyle Park hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Aberfoyle Park is 43 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Adelaide's average of 39 years and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Aberfoyle Park has a higher percentage of residents aged 65-74 (12.3%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.4%). According to the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 5.3% to 6.7% of the population. Conversely, the 55 to 64 age group has decreased from 14.7% to 13.6%, and the 45 to 54 age group has dropped from 13.0% to 12.0%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Aberfoyle Park's age structure. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 61%, reaching 1,275 people from 790. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 62% of total population growth, reflecting Aberfoyle Park's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 55 to 64 age group is projected to decrease by 233 residents.