Aberfoyle Park

Aberfoyle Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

AreaSearch's analysis shows Aberfoyle Park's population is around 11,976 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 65 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,911. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 11,849 in June 2024 and an additional 9 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 865 persons per square kilometer, which aligns with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered and years post-2032, SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections based on 2021 data are adopted with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Moving forward, demographic trends suggest a population increase just below the median of national areas by 2041, with an expected expansion of 1,170 persons reflecting an 8.7% gain over the 17 years based on latest annual ERP population numbers.

The level of residential development activity in Aberfoyle Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Aberfoyle Park has seen approximately 14 new homes approved annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, 71 homes were approved, with 12 more approved so far in FY-26. Despite a fall in population during this period, development activity has been adequate relative to the decrease in residents, which could benefit buyers seeking affordable housing options, as new homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $189,000, below regional norms.

This financial year has also seen $20.8 million in commercial approvals, indicating steady commercial investment activity in the area. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Aberfoyle Park has significantly less development activity, with 76.0% fewer new dwellings approved per person, which could strengthen demand and prices for existing properties due to the scarcity of new dwellings. This level is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and potential planning constraints. New development consists mainly of standalone homes (89.0%) and a smaller proportion of attached dwellings (11.0%), preserving Aberfoyle Park's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated population per dwelling approval in the area is 964 people, indicating a quiet and low activity development environment.

Population forecasts suggest that Aberfoyle Park will gain 1,043 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth in the future.

Aberfoyle Park has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 5thth percentile nationally

Five projects are identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area: Urban Creek Resilience and Recovery Project - Sauerbier and Homestead Creeks, Thalassa Park Master Plan, Aberfoyle Park High School Redevelopment, and Aberfoyle Community Centre Expansion.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Aberfoyle Park demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Aberfoyle Park's workforce is skilled with well-represented essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 2.7% as of September 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.2%.

In September 2025, 6,605 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.2% below Greater Adelaide's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation was 69.1%, slightly higher than Greater Adelaide's 66.4%. Home-based workers constituted a low 11.9% of the workforce, possibly influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns.

Dominant employment sectors were health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade, while accommodation & food services were under-represented at 5.2%, compared to Greater Adelaide's 6.8%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the resident-to-working population ratio. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 3.2% while labour force grew by 3.2%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 1.7%. In comparison, Greater Adelaide saw employment growth of 3.0%, labour force growth of 2.9%, and a slight decrease in unemployment to 3.8%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Aberfoyle Park. National employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Aberfoyle Park's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, assuming constant population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Aberfoyle Park SA2 is below the national average. The median income is $55,749 and the average income stands at $64,785. This contrasts with Greater Adelaide's figures of a median income of $54,808 and an average income of $66,852. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.8% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Aberfoyle Park would be approximately $60,655 (median) and $70,486 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Aberfoyle Park cluster around the 50th percentile nationally. The data shows that the largest segment comprises 37.0% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (4,431 residents), aligning with the broader area where this cohort likewise represents 31.8%. After housing costs, residents retain 87.5% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Aberfoyle Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Aberfoyle Park, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28 August 2016, comprised 94.8% houses and 5.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Adelaide metro's 75.2% houses and 24.9% other dwellings. Home ownership level in Aberfoyle Park was at 35.4%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (50.4%) or rented (14.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area, as of the time of the Census, was $1,526, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $340. Nationally, Aberfoyle Park's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Aberfoyle Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 78.6% of all households, including 36.1% couples with children, 30.5% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 21.4%, with lone person households at 19.8% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Aberfoyle Park exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 26.1% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA3 average of 18.9%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 18.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent with 37.7% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (26.1%).

Educational participation is high at 26.8%, comprising primary education (10.1%), secondary education (6.7%), and tertiary education (5.1%).

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis conducted in Aberfoyle Park shows 63 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops are a mix of bus routes, totaling 26 individual routes. Collectively, they provide 822 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 220 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 90%.

Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, only 11.9% of residents work from home, a figure that may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 117 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Aberfoyle Park are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

AreaSearch's assessment indicates below-average health outcomes in Aberfoyle Park.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are elevated compared to averages, with common health conditions more prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~6,131 people). The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (9.0%) and arthritis (8.7%). Conversely, 65.0% of residents claim to be completely clear of medical ailments compared to 67.9% across Greater Adelaide. Working-age residents show above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 22.5% (2,698 people) than the Greater Adelaide average of 19.3%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than those for the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Aberfoyle Park records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Aberfoyle Park's cultural diversity aligns with the broader region, with 77.7% of residents born in Australia, 93.2% being citizens, and 90.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, practiced by 43.5% of Aberfoyle Park's population. Notably, Judaism, at 0.2%, is overrepresented compared to Greater Adelaide's 0.1%.

The top three ancestral groups are English (34.1%), Australian (26.6%), and Scottish (7.3%). Some other ethnicities show variations: Polish is slightly overrepresented at 1.4% versus the regional average of 1.0%, German at 6.2% against 5.1%, and Dutch at 1.7% compared to 1.2%.

Aberfoyle Park's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Aberfoyle Park is 43 years, significantly higher than Greater Adelaide's average of 39 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Aberfoyle Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (12.5%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.2%). According to the 2021 Census, the age group 75 to 84 increased from 5.3% to 7.3%, and the 65 to 74 cohort rose from 11.5% to 12.5%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 age group decreased from 14.7% to 13.2%, and the 45 to 54 age group dropped from 13.0% to 11.7%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Aberfoyle Park's age structure. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 45%, reaching 1,275 people from the current 880. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 61% of total population growth, reflecting Aberfoyle Park's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 55 to 64 age group is projected to decrease by 199 residents.