Aberfoyle Park

Aberfoyle Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Aberfoyle Park's population is around 11,976 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 65 people (0.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,911 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 11,849 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 9 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 865 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which was essentially the sole driver of population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, the SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Moving forward with demographic trends, a population increase just below the median of national areas is expected, with the area expected to expand by 1,170 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, recording a gain of 8.7% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Aberfoyle Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Aberfoyle Park has seen around 14 new homes approved annually, with 71 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 12 so far in FY-26. Given population has fallen over the past period, development activity has been adequate in relative terms, which is a positive for buyers, while new homes are being built at an average value of $189,000—below regional norms—reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers. There have also been $20.8 million in commercial approvals this financial year, indicating steady commercial investment activity.

When measured against Greater Adelaide, Aberfoyle Park has significantly less development activity (76.0% below regional average per person). This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This level is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and pointing to possible planning constraints. New development consists of 89.0% standalone homes and 11.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated count of 964 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

Population forecasts indicate Aberfoyle Park will gain 1,043 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Aberfoyle Park has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 5thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 5 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Urban Creek Resilience and Recovery Project - Sauerbier and Homestead Creeks, Thalassa Park Master Plan, Aberfoyle Park High School Redevelopment, and Aberfoyle Community Centre Expansion, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Aberfoyle Park ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Aberfoyle Park has a skilled workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of just 2.4%, and 5.2% estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 6,724 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 1.4% below Greater Adelaide's rate of 3.8%, and workforce participation is fairly standard (70.1% compared to Greater Adelaide's 67.2%). Based on Census responses, a low 11.9% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. Conversely, accommodation & food is under-represented, with only 5.2% of Aberfoyle Park's workforce compared to 6.8% in Greater Adelaide. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 5.2% and the labour force increased by 4.5%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.7 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Adelaide recorded employment growth of 4.2%, labour force growth of 3.9%, with unemployment falling 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Aberfoyle Park. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Aberfoyle Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.1% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for FY-23 reveals that income in the Aberfoyle Park SA2 is below the national average, with the median assessed at $55,749 while the average income stands at $64,785. This contrasts with Greater Adelaide's figures of a median income of $54,808 and an average income of $66,852. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.8% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $60,655 (median) and $70,486 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Aberfoyle Park cluster around the 50th percentile nationally. The data shows the largest segment comprises 37.0% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (4,431 residents), aligning with the broader area where this cohort likewise represents 31.8%. After housing costs, residents retain 87.5% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Aberfoyle Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Aberfoyle Park, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 94.8% houses and 5.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Adelaide metro's 75.2% houses and 24.9% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Aberfoyle Park was well beyond that of Adelaide metro, at 35.4%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (50.4%) or rented (14.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was below the Adelaide metro average at $1,526, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $340, compared to Adelaide metro's $1,562 and $320. Nationally, Aberfoyle Park's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are less than the national figure of $375.

Aberfoyle Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 78.6% of all households, comprising 36.1% couples with children, 30.5% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 21.4%, with lone person households at 19.8% and group households comprising 1.6% of the total. The median household size of 2.6 people is larger than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Aberfoyle Park exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile stands out regionally, with university qualification rates (26.1% of residents aged 15+) exceeding the SA3 area average of 18.9%, reflecting the community's emphasis on higher education. Bachelor degrees lead at 18.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 37.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (26.1%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.1% in primary education, 6.7% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 63 active transport stops operating within Aberfoyle Park, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 26 individual routes, collectively providing 822 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 220 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 90%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A relatively low 11.9% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 117 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Aberfoyle Park are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Health indicators suggest below-average outcomes in Aberfoyle Park, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~6,131 people).

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and arthritis, impacting 9.0% and 8.7% of residents, respectively, while 65.0% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 67.9% across Greater Adelaide. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 22.5% of residents aged 65 and over (2,698 people), which is higher than the 19.3% in Greater Adelaide. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Aberfoyle Park records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Aberfoyle Park was found to be roughly in line with the wider region's average in terms of cultural diversity, with 77.7% of its population born in Australia, 93.2% being citizens, and 90.6% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Aberfoyle Park is Christianity, which makes up 43.5% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Judaism, which comprises 0.2% of the population, compared to 0.1% across Greater Adelaide.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Aberfoyle Park are English, comprising 34.1% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 27.8%, Australian, comprising 26.6% of the population, and Scottish, comprising 7.3% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Polish is notably overrepresented at 1.4% of Aberfoyle Park (vs 1.0% regionally), German at 6.2% (vs 5.1%) and Dutch at 1.7% (vs 1.2%).

Aberfoyle Park's median age exceeds the national pattern

The 43-year median age in Aberfoyle Park is significantly above Greater Adelaide's average of 39 and similarly considerably older than Australia's 38 years. Relative to Greater Adelaide, Aberfoyle Park has a higher concentration of 65 - 74 residents (12.5%) but fewer 25 - 34 year-olds (10.2%). Following the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 5.3% to 7.3% of the population, while the 65 to 74 cohort increased from 11.5% to 12.5%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 14.7% to 13.2% and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 13.0% to 11.7%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections reveal significant shifts in Aberfoyle Park's age structure. Leading the demographic shift, the 75 to 84 group will grow by 45% (394 people), reaching 1,275 from 880. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 61% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 55 to 64 group will contract by 199 residents.