Aberfoyle Park
Statistical Area - sa2

Aberfoyle Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

AreaSearch's analysis shows Aberfoyle Park's population was around 11,849 as of November 2025. This figure reflects a decrease of 62 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,911 people. The change is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 11,849 in June 2024 and an additional 9 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 856 persons per square kilometer, which aligns with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration primarily drove population growth for the area during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category are adopted, based on 2021 data and released in 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Future population projections indicate an increase just below the median for statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch, with Aberfoyle Park expected to expand by 1,170 persons to 2041 based on latest numbers, representing a 9.9% total increase over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Aberfoyle Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Aberfoyle Park has seen approximately 14 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 71 homes. As of FY-26, 7 approvals have been recorded. The population has declined in recent years, yet housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. New dwellings are developed at an average cost of $189,000, which is below regional levels, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year has seen $20.8 million in commercial approvals, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Adelaide and nationally, Aberfoyle Park shows reduced construction activity, with 76.0% and 54.9% below average respectively, which typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Recent construction consists of 89.0% standalone homes and 11.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 964 people, reflecting a quiet development environment. By 2041, Aberfoyle Park is projected to grow by 1,170 residents.

If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Aberfoyle Park has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 32ndth percentile nationally

Five projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly. These include Urban Creek Resilience and Recovery Project - Sauerbier and Homestead Creeks, Aberfoyle Community Centre Expansion, Thalassa Park Master Plan, and Aberfoyle Park High School Redevelopment.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Aberfoyle Park exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Aberfoyle Park has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate as of June 2025 was 3.0%.

There was an estimated employment growth of 2.2% over the past year. In June 2025, 6,594 residents were in work, with an unemployment rate of 1.0% below Greater Adelaide's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation was at 64.5%, compared to Greater Adelaide's 61.7%.

Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade, while accommodation & food employs just 5.2% of local workers, below Greater Adelaide's 6.8%. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 2.2%, labour force increased by 2.7%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Adelaide saw employment grow by 2.1% and unemployment rise marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest that Aberfoyle Park's employment could increase by approximately 6.8% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation of industry-specific projections.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2022 shows median income in Aberfoyle Park was $53,387 and average income was $62,155. This is lower than Greater Adelaide's median income of $52,592 and average income of $64,886 for the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth rate of 12.83% from financial year ending June 2022 to September 2025, estimated median income in Aberfoyle Park would be approximately $60,237 and average income would be around $70,129 by September 2025. According to Australian Bureau of Statistics Census data from 2021, incomes in Aberfoyle Park fall around the 51st percentile nationally. Income distribution shows that 37.0% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week (4,384 individuals), which is consistent with broader metropolitan trends where 31.8% fall into this category. After accounting for housing costs, Aberfoyle Park residents retain 87.5% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile nationally.

Aberfoyle Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Aberfoyle Park, as per the latest Census evaluation, 94.8% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 5.2% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This differs from Adelaide metro's composition of 89.2% houses and 10.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Aberfoyle Park stood at 35.4%, with mortgaged properties at 50.4% and rented ones at 14.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,526, higher than Adelaide metro's average of $1,452. The median weekly rent in Aberfoyle Park was recorded as $340, compared to Adelaide metro's $314. Nationally, Aberfoyle Park's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were below the national figure of $375.

Aberfoyle Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 78.6% of all households, including 36.1% couples with children, 30.5% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 21.4%, comprising 19.8% lone person households and 1.6% group households. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is larger than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Aberfoyle Park exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 26.1% among residents aged 15+, exceeding the SA3 area average of 18.9%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 18.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 37.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 11.6% and certificates at 26.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 26.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.1% in primary education, 6.7% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education. Seven schools operate within Aberfoyle Park, educating approximately 1,892 students. The area demonstrates typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1044) with balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes five primary, one secondary, and one K-12 school.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Aberfoyle Park shows that there are 63 active transport stops currently operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with 25 individual routes in total. Collectively, these routes provide 824 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport is rated as good, with residents typically located 220 meters from the nearest transport stop. On average, there are 117 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Aberfoyle Park is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Aberfoyle Park faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~5,995 people), compared to 48.6% across Greater Adelaide.

Mental health issues impact 9.0% of residents, while arthritis affects 8.7%. Approximately 65.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 62.9% across Greater Adelaide. The area has 21.8% of residents aged 65 and over (2,583 people). Health outcomes among seniors in Aberfoyle Park are above average, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

In terms of cultural diversity, Aberfoyle Park records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Aberfoyle Park's cultural diversity aligns with the broader region, with 77.7% born in Australia, 93.2% being citizens, and 90.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, at 43.5%. Judaism is overrepresented, comprising 0.2%, compared to 0.1% regionally.

The top three ancestry groups are English (34.1%), Australian (26.6%), and Scottish (7.3%). Polish (1.4%) and German (6.2%) are notably overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.9% and 5.4%, respectively. Dutch representation is similar at 1.7%.

Aberfoyle Park hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Aberfoyle Park is 43 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Adelaide's average of 39 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Aberfoyle Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (12.3%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.4%). According to the 2021 Census, the age group of 75 to 84 years has increased from 5.3% to 6.7% of the population. Conversely, the 55 to 64 age group has decreased from 14.7% to 13.6%, and the 45 to 54 age group has dropped from 13.0% to 12.0%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Aberfoyle Park's age structure. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 61%, adding 484 people and reaching a total of 1,275 from the previous figure of 790. Notably, the combined age groups of 65+ will account for 62% of the total population growth, reflecting Aberfoyle Park's aging demographic trend. In contrast, the 55 to 64 age group is projected to decrease by 233 residents.