Aberfoyle Park

Aberfoyle Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

AreaSearch's analysis shows Aberfoyle Park's population was around 11,849 as of November 2025. This figure, a decrease of 62 people from the 2021 Census count of 11,911, is inferred from ABS estimated resident population data for June 2024 and validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density was 856 persons per square kilometer, similar to averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration primarily drove recent population growth in the area. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered and years post-2032, it adopts SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category, released in 2023 using 2021 data, adjusting through weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Future population projections indicate a median increase, with the area expected to expand by 1,170 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 9.9% over 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Aberfoyle Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Aberfoyle Park has seen approximately 14 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 71 homes. As of FY26, 11 approvals have been recorded. The population has declined in recent years, yet housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $189,000, which is below regional levels, indicating more affordable housing choices for buyers.

This financial year has seen $20.8 million in commercial approvals, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Adelaide and nationally, Aberfoyle Park shows reduced construction activity, with 76.0% below the regional average per person and reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 89.0% standalone homes and 11.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 964 people. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Aberfoyle Park is expected to grow by 1,170 residents through to 2041.

If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Aberfoyle Park has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 12thth percentile nationally

Five projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. These include Urban Creek Resilience and Recovery Project - Sauerbier and Homestead Creeks, Thalassa Park Master Plan, Aberfoyle Park High School Redevelopment, and Aberfoyle Community Centre Expansion. The following details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Aberfoyle Park ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Aberfoyle Park has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 2.7% in the past year.

Employment growth over this period was estimated at 3.2%. As of September 2025, 6,605 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.2% below Greater Adelaide's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Adelaide's (64.5% vs 61.7%).

Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. However, accommodation & food employs only 5.2% of local workers, lower than Greater Adelaide's 6.8%. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 3.2%, matching labour force growth, keeping unemployment broadly unchanged. In contrast, Greater Adelaide saw employment grow by 3.0%, labour force expand by 2.9%, and unemployment fall by 0.1 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows SA employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year, with the state unemployment rate at 4.0%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%, with SA's employment growth outpacing the national average of 0.14%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Aberfoyle Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows median income in Aberfoyle Park SA2 was $53,387 and average income was $62,155. This is lower than Greater Adelaide's median income of $52,592 and average income of $64,886. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $60,237 (median) and $70,129 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.83%. According to 2021 Census figures, Aberfoyle Park's household, family, and personal incomes are around the 50th percentile nationally. Income distribution shows that 37.0% of residents earn between $1,500 - 2,999 annually (4,384 individuals), similar to broader metropolitan trends at 31.8%. After housing costs, residents retain 87.5% of income, indicating strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Aberfoyle Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Aberfoyle Park, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28 August 2016, comprised 94.8% houses and 5.2% other dwellings such as semi-detached properties, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Adelaide metropolitan area's 89.2% houses and 10.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Aberfoyle Park stood at 35.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 50.4% and rented dwellings at 14.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,526, higher than Adelaide metro's average of $1,452. Median weekly rent in Aberfoyle Park was $340, compared to Adelaide metro's $314. Nationally, Aberfoyle Park's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Aberfoyle Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 78.6% of all households, including 36.1% couples with children, 30.5% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 21.4%, with lone person households at 19.8% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Aberfoyle Park exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 26.1%, surpassing the SA3 area average of 18.9%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 18.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 37.7% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 11.6% and certificates at 26.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 26.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.1% in primary, 6.7% in secondary, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 63 active transport stops operating within Aberfoyle Park. These stops are serviced by 25 individual routes, collectively providing 824 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 220 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 117 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Aberfoyle Park is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Aberfoyle Park faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~5,995 people), compared to 48.6% across Greater Adelaide.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues impacting 9.0% of residents and arthritis affecting 8.7%. A total of 65.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 62.9% across Greater Adelaide. As of 2016, 21.8% of residents are aged 65 and over (2,583 people). Health outcomes among seniors in Aberfoyle Park are above average, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

In terms of cultural diversity, Aberfoyle Park records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Aberfoyle Park's cultural diversity aligns with the broader area, as shown by its population born in Australia (77.7%), citizens (93.2%), and English speakers at home (90.6%). Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 43.5% of residents. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented, comprising 0.2% compared to 0.1% regionally.

In terms of ancestry, English (34.1%) and Australian (26.6%) are the most prevalent, followed by Scottish at 7.3%. Some ethnic groups show significant differences: Polish residents make up 1.4%, higher than the regional average of 0.9%; Germans comprise 6.2% compared to 5.4% regionally; and Dutch residents stand at 1.7%, matching the regional figure.

Aberfoyle Park's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Aberfoyle Park is 43 years, significantly higher than Greater Adelaide's average of 39 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Aberfoyle Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (12.3%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.4%). According to the 2021 Census, the age group of 75 to 84 has grown from 5.3% to 6.7% of the population. Conversely, the age groups of 55 to 64 and 45 to 54 have declined from 14.7% to 13.6% and 13.0% to 12.0%, respectively. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Aberfoyle Park's age structure. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 61% (484 people), reaching 1,275 from 790. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 62% of total population growth, reflecting Aberfoyle Park's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the age group of 55 to 64 is projected to contract by 233 residents.