Thebarton

Thebarton is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

The suburb of Thebarton's population is estimated at around 1,749 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 307 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,442 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,720 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 22 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,457 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth of 21.3% since the 2021 census exceeded the state's (9.0%) and Greater Adelaide's growth rate, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 89.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, the SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category are adopted with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Looking at population projections moving forward, an above median population growth is projected for statistical areas across the nation. The suburb is expected to expand by 261 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 3.2% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Thebarton recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Thebarton shows an average of 11 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling approximately 57 homes. In FY26 so far, 12 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years, an average of 1.7 new residents per year has been associated with each new home. This indicates a balanced supply and demand scenario, with stable market conditions.

The average value of new homes being built is $412,000, suggesting a focus on the premium segment. In this financial year, commercial development approvals have reached $44.7 million, reflecting robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Thebarton has seen slightly more development, with 17.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years.

This maintains good buyer choice while supporting existing property values. New building activity is composed of 57.0% standalone homes and 43.0% medium to high-density housing, offering options across various price points. With approximately 145 people per approval, Thebarton reflects a developing area. Future projections estimate an addition of 56 residents by 2041, with current construction levels expected to meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potential growth exceeding forecasts.

Thebarton has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 22ndth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified six projects that could impact this region. Notable ones are Southwark Grounds (Thebarton Technology Hub), Southwark Grounds, Adelaide Crows Thebarton Oval Facility, and New Women's and Children's Hospital. The following list provides more details on these relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Thebarton demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Thebarton has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 2.8%, with estimated employment growth of 4.9% over the past year (AreaSearch aggregation). As of September 2025962 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.1% lower than Greater Adelaide's 3.9%.

Workforce participation is similar to Greater Adelaide's 66.4%. According to Census responses, 12.9% of residents work from home, potentially impacted by Covid-19 lockdowns. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services. Arts & recreation has notably high concentration with levels at 2.6 times the regional average.

Conversely, construction is under-represented at 5.8% compared to Greater Adelaide's 8.7%. Thebarton hosts more jobs than residents, with a ratio of 2.6 workers per resident, acting as an employment hub attracting external workers. Over the past year (AreaSearch analysis), employment increased by 4.9%, labour force by 4.5%, and unemployment fell by 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Adelaide saw employment rise by 3.0%, labour force grow by 2.9%, with a 0.1 percentage point unemployment decrease. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts (May-25) project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Thebarton's industry mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, Thebarton suburb's median income among taxpayers is $56,371 with an average of $67,244. This aligns with national averages and compares to Greater Adelaide's median of $54,808 and average of $66,852. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.8% since financial year ending June 2023, current estimates would be approximately $61,332 (median) and $73,161 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, personal income ranks at the 55th percentile ($831 weekly), while household income sits at the 31st percentile. In income distribution, the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 28.3% of the community (494 individuals), reflecting broader area patterns where 31.8% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 82.5% of income remaining, ranking at the 28th percentile. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Thebarton displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Thebarton's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 56.4% houses and 43.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Adelaide metro's 75.2% houses and 24.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Thebarton stood at 25.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 25.3% and rented ones at 49.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,627, higher than Adelaide metro's $1,562. Weekly rent median was $315, compared to Adelaide metro's $320. Nationally, Thebarton's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,627 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were below the national figure of $375 at $315.

Thebarton features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 49.4% of all households, including 17.8% couples with children, 19.1% couples without children, and 11.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 50.6%, with lone person households at 39.3% and group households comprising 10.5%. The median household size is 2.1 people, smaller than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.5.

Thebarton demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Thebarton's educational attainment is notably higher than broader averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 39.7% possess university qualifications, compared to 25.7% in South Australia (SA) and 28.9% in Greater Adelaide. University qualifications include bachelor degrees (26.6%), postgraduate qualifications (9.5%), and graduate diplomas (3.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 28.0% of residents holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (16.7%).

Educational participation is high in the area, with 27.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.8% in tertiary education, 7.4% in primary education, and 5.0% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Thebarton has 24 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 14 different routes, offering a total of 1,591 weekly passenger trips. Residents have excellent accessibility to transport, with an average distance of 169 meters to the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards from Thebarton. Cars are the primary mode of transport at 70%, followed by buses at 8% and walking at 6%. On average, there are 0.9 vehicles per dwelling, lower than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 12.9% of residents work from home, which could be due to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 227 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 66 weekly trips per stop.

Health outcomes in Thebarton are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Thebarton's health indicators show below-average outcomes, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is present at approximately 54% of the total population (~937 people), leading the average SA2 area rate. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions, affecting 10.4 and 8.4% of residents respectively. A total of 68.1% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 67.9% across Greater Adelaide. Working-age residents have an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 17.3% of residents aged 65 and over (302 people), which is lower than the 19.3% in Greater Adelaide. National rankings are broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Thebarton was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Thebarton's population shows high cultural diversity, with 27.5% born overseas and 27.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Thebarton, accounting for 36.1%. Buddhism, at 2.4%, is similarly represented compared to Greater Adelaide's 2.4%.

Ancestry-wise, the top groups are English (22.6%), Australian (20.7%), and Greek (10.1%). Notably, Polish (1.7%) and German (6.6%) groups are overrepresented in Thebarton compared to regional averages of 1.0% and 5.1%, respectively. Serbian representation is also higher at 0.5%.

Thebarton's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Thebarton has a median age of 38, closely matching Greater Adelaide's figure of 39 and Australia's median age of 38. Comparing Thebarton's age distribution with Greater Adelaide's average, the 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented at 20.6% locally, while the 5-14 year-olds are under-represented at 7.9%. This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is well above the national average of 14.4%. Between 2021 and present, the 0-4 age group has grown from 3.7% to 4.7% of Thebarton's population. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has declined from 13.8% to 11.9%, and the 5-14 age group has dropped from 9.3% to 7.9%. Demographic modeling suggests that by 2041, Thebarton's age profile will evolve significantly. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to expand by 25 people (a 33% increase) from 76 to 102. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 82% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 55-64 and 5-14 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.