Thebarton

Thebarton is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

The suburb of Thebarton had an estimated population of 1,611 as of May 2026, based on ABS population updates and new addresses validated by AreaSearch. This represented a growth of 169 people (11.7%) since the 2021 Census which recorded a population of 1,442. The increase was inferred from an estimated resident population of 1,603 in June 2025 and additional 22 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a population density ratio of 1,342 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Thebarton's growth rate exceeded both state (7.5%) and SA3 area averages, making it a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 89.0% to overall population gains during recent periods.

For projections, AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered and years post-2032, the SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category (released in 2023, based on 2021 data) are adopted with adjustments made using a method of weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Future population projections indicate an increase just below the median of national areas, with Thebarton expected to expand by 212 persons to reach 1,823 by 2041, reflecting a gain of 12.7% over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Thebarton among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Thebarton averaged around 12 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 64 homes. So far in FY-26, 13 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years, an average of 3.8 new residents arrived per dwelling constructed. This indicates demand outpacing supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases buyer competition.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $412,000, demonstrating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY-26, $44.7 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Thebarton has slightly more development, 31.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period, maintaining good buyer choice while supporting existing property values.

New building activity shows 59.0% standalone homes and 41.0% medium and high-density housing, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments providing options across different price points. Thebarton reflects a developing area with around 120 people per approval. Future projections show Thebarton adding 204 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Thebarton has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 34thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified six projects likely affecting this area, notable ones being Southwark Grounds, Adelaide Crows' Thebarton Oval Facility, and New Women's and Children's Hospital. The following details projects expected to have the most relevance:.

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Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Thebarton ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Thebarton has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate is 2.6%, with estimated employment growth of 7.4% over the past year (AreaSearch data). As of December 2025, 1,014 residents are employed at a 1.2% lower unemployment rate than Greater Adelaide's 3.8%.

Workforce participation is high at 74.1%, compared to Greater Adelaide's 66.0%. Only 12.9% of residents work from home (Census data). Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services. Arts & recreation has notable concentration with levels at 2.6 times the regional average.

Conversely, construction is under-represented at 5.8%, compared to Greater Adelaide's 8.7%. There are 2.6 workers per resident, indicating Thebarton functions as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. Over a 12-month period ending in May-25, employment increased by 7.4% alongside labour force growth of 6.8%, resulting in unemployment falling by 0.5 percentage points (AreaSearch analysis). National employment forecasts suggest a 6.9% increase over five years and 14.3% over ten years for Thebarton, based on industry-specific projections mapped against its local employment profile.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023. The suburb of Thebarton had a median income among taxpayers of $56,371 and an average of $67,244. These figures align with national averages. Compared to Greater Adelaide's median of $54,808 and average of $66,852. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.17% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Thebarton are approximately $62,104 (median) and $74,083 (average) as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census, personal income ranks at the 55th percentile ($831 weekly), while household income sits at the 31st percentile. The $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 28.3% of the community (455 individuals). Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 82.5% of income remaining, ranking at the 28th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Thebarton displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Thebarton's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, comprised 56.4% houses and 43.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Adelaide metro's structure of 75.2% houses and 24.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Thebarton was at 25.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 25.3% and rented dwellings at 49.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,627, higher than Adelaide metro's average of $1,562. The median weekly rent figure for Thebarton was $315, compared to Adelaide metro's $320. Nationally, Thebarton's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,627 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Thebarton features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 49.4% of all households, including 17.8% couples with children, 19.1% couples without children, and 11.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 50.6%, with lone person households at 39.3% and group households comprising 10.5%. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.5.

Thebarton demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Thebarton's educational attainment exceeds broader standards, with 39.7% of its residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications compared to 25.7% in South Australia (SA) and 28.9% in Greater Adelaide. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 26.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.6%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 28.0% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (16.7%). Educational participation is notably high in the area, with 27.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.8% in tertiary education, 7.4% in primary education, and 5.0% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 24 active transport stops operating within Thebarton. These comprise a mix of buses serving 14 individual routes, collectively providing 1,591 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 169 meters from the nearest stop. As primarily residential, most commute outward: car remains dominant at 70%, bus at 8%, walking at 6%. Vehicle ownership averages 0.9 per dwelling, below regional average. In 2021 Census, only 12.9% of residents worked from home, potentially reflecting COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 227 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 66 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Thebarton are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Health indicators suggest below-average outcomes in Thebarton, based on AreaSearch's assessment.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are higher than average. Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is at approximately 54% of the total population (~863 people), leading the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (10.4%) and asthma (8.4%). 68.1% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 67.9% across Greater Adelaide. Working-age residents show above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 17.1% of residents aged 65 and over (275 people), lower than the 19.2% in Greater Adelaide. National rankings are broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Thebarton was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Thebarton was found to be more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 27.5% of its population born overseas and 27.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Thebarton, comprising 36.1% of people, while Buddhism is notably overrepresented at 2.4%, compared to 0.4% across Greater Adelaide. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English (22.6%), Australian (20.7%), and Greek (10.1%).

Polish (1.7%) and German (6.6%) are notably overrepresented in Thebarton compared to regional averages of 1.0% and 5.1%, respectively. Serbian is also slightly overrepresented at 0.5%.

Thebarton's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Thebarton has a median age of 38, nearly matching Greater Adelaide's figure of 39 and Australia's median age of 38. Compared to Greater Adelaide's average, Thebarton has an over-representation of the 25-34 cohort at 20.9%, while the 5-14 age group is under-represented at 8.2%. This concentration of the 25-34 cohort is higher than the national figure of 14.6%. Between 2021 and present, Thebarton's 25 to 34 age group has increased from 19.6% to 20.9%, while the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 13.8% to 12.0% and the 5 to 14 age group has dropped from 9.3% to 8.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Thebarton's age profile will significantly change. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to expand by 34 people (48%), growing from 72 to 107. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 age group is expected to grow modestly by 6%, adding 4 people.