Regency Downs

Regency Downs lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, the Regency Downs statistical area (Lv2) had an estimated population of 2,917 as of Nov 2025. This reflects a growth of 294 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,623. The increase was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 2,839 residents following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and an additional 40 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 191 persons per square kilometer. Since the 2021 Census, Regency Downs (SA2) has seen an 11.2% growth rate, exceeding both national (9.7%) and state averages, marking it as a growth leader regionally. Interstate migration accounted for approximately 66.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers contributing positively to growth.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted, with proportional growth weightings applied for age cohorts. Future population dynamics project an above median growth rate for the area, with an expected expansion of 640 persons to 2041, reflecting a total gain of 20.8% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Regency Downs when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Regency Downs received around 15 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 79 homes. As of FY26, 11 approvals have been recorded. This results in approximately 3.3 new residents arriving annually per dwelling constructed between FY21 and FY25. Commercial approvals registered this financial year totalled $10.1 million.

Compared to Greater Brisbane, Regency Downs records about 66% of the building activity per person and ranks among the 62nd percentile nationally. New building activity comprises 91.0% detached houses and 9.0% medium and high-density housing. With around 238 people per dwelling approval, Regency Downs displays a developing market.

Population forecasts indicate an addition of 608 residents by 2041. Current development aligns with future needs, suggesting steady market conditions without extreme price pressure.

Regency Downs has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly impact local performance. AreaSearch identified zero projects likely affecting the area. Notable projects include Warrego Highway Upgrade Program, Inland Rail Queensland Sections, Proposed Inland Rail Tunnel Gowrie to Brisbane Port, and Inland Rail - Gowrie to Kagaru (G2K). Below details those most relevant.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Regency Downs recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Regency Downs has a balanced workforce consisting of white and blue collar jobs, with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominently featured. The unemployment rate was 7.0% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 4.5% over the past year.

This figure is based on AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, 1,267 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 3.0% higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%. The workforce participation rate lagged significantly at 58.9%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Leading employment industries among residents included health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Notably, the area had a strong specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share of 5.1 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services showed lower representation at 3.4% compared to the regional average of 8.9%. The predominantly residential area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 4.5%, while labour force increased by 3.1%, resulting in a decrease in unemployment by 1.3 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 3.8% and unemployment fell by 0.5 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov showed Queensland employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%, closely aligned with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offered further insight into potential future demand within Regency Downs. These projections estimated that national employment would expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates varied significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Regency Downs' employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.3% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The latest AreaSearch postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Regency Downs' median income is $50,952 and average income is $58,137. This is below Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799. Based on a 9.91% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $56,001 (median) and $63,898 (average). Census 2021 data ranks Regency Downs' household income at the 39th percentile ($1,570 weekly) and personal income at the 21st percentile. Income brackets indicate that 38.3% of individuals earn between $1,500 - 2,999, aligning with metropolitan regions where this cohort represents 33.3%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.4% of income remaining after expenses, ranking at the 39th percentile.

Regency Downs is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Regency Downs' dwellings, as per the latest Census, were entirely houses (100.0%) with no other dwelling types recorded (0.0%). Brisbane metropolitan area had 96.6% houses and 3.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Regency Downs was at 26.6%, compared to mortgaged dwellings at 55.6% and rented ones at 17.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, matching Brisbane's average, while the median weekly rent stood at $368, compared to Brisbane's $300. Nationally, Regency Downs' mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Regency Downs features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 80.7% of all households, including 35.8% couples with children, 30.3% couples without children, and 13.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 19.3%, with lone person households at 16.5% and group households comprising 3.2%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Regency Downs shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 8.8%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 5.9%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.6%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 49.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (39.1%). Educational participation is high, with 31.0% currently enrolled in formal education: 12.3% in primary, 10.5% in secondary, and 1.8% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.3% in primary education, 10.5% in secondary education, and 1.8% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Regency Downs is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Regency Downs faces significant health challenges with a notably higher prevalence of common health conditions compared to average, particularly among older age groups. Approximately half (50%) of its total population (~1,465 people) has private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 11.0% and 10.1% of residents respectively. Conversely, 62.0% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, slightly higher than the Greater Brisbane average of 60.9%. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 14.9% (434 people), compared to Greater Brisbane's 21.8%. However, health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to these challenges.

The latest Census data sees Regency Downs placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Regency Downs, surveyed in June 2016, showed low cultural diversity with 90.0% citizens, 89.1% born in Australia, and 97.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity dominated at 51.9%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 54.9%. Top ancestry groups were English (31.8%), Australian (31.5%), and German (8.1%).

Notably, New Zealanders comprised 0.9% vs regional 0.7%, Samoans 0.4% vs 0.1%, and Australian Aboriginals 3.9% vs 3.2%.

Regency Downs's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

At 37 years, Regency Downs's median age is nearly matching Greater Brisbane's average of 36, while also being close to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Regency Downs has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (16.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.8%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 3.7% to 4.9% of the population. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has decreased from 16.8% to 16.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Regency Downs's age profile will change significantly. The 45-54 cohort is projected to grow by 33%, adding 130 residents to reach a total of 524. In contrast, both the 0-4 and 25-34 age groups are expected to decrease in number.