Churchill - Yamanto

An assessment of population growth drivers in Churchill - Yamanto reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Churchill - Yamanto's population is approximately 7,236 as of February 2026. This figure represents an increase of 419 people from the 2021 Census total of 6,817, reflecting a growth rate of 6.1%. The increase is inferred from ABS estimated resident population data of 7,150 in June 2024 and additional validated addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of approximately 772 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Natural growth contributed around 69.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. However, these state projections lack age category splits; thus, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 and based on 2022 data for each age cohort. By 2041, projections indicate a decline of 329 persons in the overall population. However, specific age cohorts are expected to grow, notably the 75 to 84 age group projected to increase by 156 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Churchill - Yamanto according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Churchill - Yamanto has seen approximately 10 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 52 homes. As of FY-26, two approvals have been recorded. On average, 3.9 new residents per year are associated with each home built during this period. This demand outpaces supply, potentially influencing property prices and competition among buyers.

The average construction cost of new properties is $273,000, aligning with regional patterns. In FY-26, $72.1 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating robust commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Churchill - Yamanto has significantly lower construction levels, at 88.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction may reinforce demand and pricing for existing properties. Recent construction comprises 88.0% standalone homes and 12.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

The estimated population per dwelling approval is 767 people, reflecting its quiet development environment. With stable or declining population forecasts, Churchill - Yamanto may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Churchill - Yamanto has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects likely impacting the area. Key projects are Cunningham Highway Upgrade - Amberley Interchange, Ipswich Hospital Expansion Stage 2, Ripley Valley Master Planned Community, and Dahlia at Flinders View. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Churchill - Yamanto has been broadly consistent with national averages

Churchill-Yamanto has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well-represented in the area. As of September 2025, its unemployment rate is 4.2%, showing an employment growth of 4.4% over the past year.

This rate is slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation is lower at 67.3% compared to Greater Brisbane's 70.7%. In September 2025, 3,730 residents are employed in Churchill-Yamanto. Only 8.8% of residents work from home, according to Census responses, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, public administration & safety, and retail trade. The area specializes strongly in public administration & safety, with an employment share twice the regional level. However, professional & technical services show lower representation at 3.6% compared to the regional average of 8.9%. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 4.4%, while labour force grew by 3.1%. This resulted in a decrease in unemployment by 1.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Churchill-Yamanto's employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for the financial year ending June 2023 indicates that Churchill - Yamanto SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $54,661 and an average income of $60,769. These figures are lower than the national averages. In comparison, Greater Brisbane's median income was $58,236 with an average of $72,799 during the same period. Based on a 9.91% growth in wages as per the Wage Price Index from June 2023 to September 2025, estimated incomes for Churchill - Yamanto would be approximately $60,078 (median) and $66,791 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Churchill - Yamanto rank modestly, between the 46th and 46th percentiles. Income distribution data shows that the majority of residents, 37.7% or 2,727 people, fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket, which is also prevalent at regional levels with 33.3%. After accounting for housing costs, 86.4% of income remains for other expenses.

Churchill - Yamanto is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Churchill-Yamanto's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 93.1% houses and 6.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Churchill-Yamanto stood at 28.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.1% and rented ones at 33.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,452, lower than Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. The median weekly rent figure was $300, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Churchill-Yamanto's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Churchill - Yamanto features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 78.5% of all households, including 34.2% couples with children, 26.1% couples without children, and 17.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 21.5%, with lone person households at 19.2% and group households comprising 2.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Churchill - Yamanto faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.3%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.0%) and certificates (34.4%). Educational participation is high at 30.3%, comprising primary education (11.3%), secondary education (9.9%), and tertiary education (3.6%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.3% in primary education, 9.9% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis indicates that there are currently 29 operational public transport stops within the Churchill - Yamanto area. These stops facilitate bus services only. Three distinct routes serve these stops, collectively enabling 525 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of public transport in this region is deemed good, with residents typically residing approximately 239 meters from their nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuters travel outward. Private vehicles remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 92% of residents.

On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling in this region, exceeding the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census data, only 8.8% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages around 75 trips daily across all routes, translating to roughly 18 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Churchill - Yamanto is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Churchill - Yamanto faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high, with common health conditions prevalent across all age groups but more so among older cohorts. Approximately 49% of the total population (~3560 people) has private health cover, compared to 55.8% in Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues impact 11.0% of residents, while asthma affects 10.3%. About 63.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 16.4% of residents aged 65 and over (1189 people), higher than the 15.2% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

Churchill - Yamanto is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Churchill-Yamanto, surveyed in 2016, had low cultural diversity with 89.3% born in Australia, 92.0% being citizens, and 94.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, at 51.1%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 47.8%. Top ancestral groups were Australian (31.1%), English (29.2%), and Scottish (7.8%).

Notably, German ancestry was higher at 7.4% than the regional average of 4.2%. Samoan ancestry was lower at 0.5%, compared to the region's 0.9%. Australian Aboriginal ancestry was higher at 4.5% versus the regional 2.1%.

Churchill - Yamanto's population is younger than the national pattern

Churchill-Yamanto's median age is nearly 35 years, closely matching Greater Brisbane's average of 36 but slightly younger than Australia's 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Churchill-Yamanto has a higher percentage of residents aged 65-74 (9.6%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.4%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 75 to 84 has grown from 3.6% to 5.6%, while the 15 to 24 age group increased from 13.3% to 14.5%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group has declined from 15.4% to 12.8%, and the 55 to 64 age group dropped from 11.5% to 10.2%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Churchill-Yamanto, with the 85+ cohort projected to grow by 151%, adding 133 residents to reach 223. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive 70% of population growth, highlighting demographic aging trends. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 65 to 74 and 15 to 24 age cohorts.