Churchill - Yamanto

An assessment of population growth drivers in Churchill - Yamanto reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Churchill - Yamanto's population is 7,182 as of May 2026. This shows an increase of 365 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,817. The change was inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 7,182 in June 2025 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 766 persons per square kilometer. Natural growth contributed approximately 67.7% to overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. These state projections lack age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings from ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Projected demographic shifts indicate a population decline by 347 persons to 2041, but specific age cohorts like the 75-84 group are expected to grow by 149 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Churchill - Yamanto according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Churchill - Yamanto has seen approximately 10 new homes approved each year over the past five financial years, totalling 52 homes. As of FY-26, 3 approvals have been recorded so far. On average, 3.9 new residents per year have been associated with every home built in the area between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating that demand is outpacing supply. This typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers.

The average construction value of new properties in the area is $273,000, which aligns with regional patterns. In terms of commercial development, $72.1 million in approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting strong momentum. However, compared to Greater Brisbane, Churchill - Yamanto shows significantly reduced construction activity, with 87.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction can reinforce demand and pricing for existing properties. Recent construction comprises mostly standalone homes (88.0%) with a smaller proportion of medium and high-density housing (12.0%), preserving the area's low density nature.

The estimated population per dwelling approval is 767 people, reflecting its quiet development environment. Given stable or declining population forecasts, Churchill - Yamanto may experience less housing pressure in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Churchill - Yamanto has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects expected to impact the area: Ipswich Hospital Expansion Stage 2, Ripley Valley Master Planned Community, Dahlia at Flinders View, and Ipswich Better Bus Network. The following details these key projects: Ipswich Hospital Expansion Stage 2 is scheduled for completion in late 2019. Ripley Valley Master Planned Community is expected to be completed by mid-2020. Dahlia at Flinders View is planned for completion in early 2021. Ipswich Better Bus Network improvements are anticipated to finish by the end of 2020.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Churchill - Yamanto exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Churchill Yamanto has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The unemployment rate is 4.0%. Over the past year, there was an estimated employment growth of 8.6%.

As of December 2025, 3,840 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.1%, which is 0.2% below Greater Brisbane's rate. Workforce participation is at 69.6%, similar to Greater Brisbane. According to Census responses, only 8.8% of residents work from home. The leading employment industries in the area are health care and social assistance, public administration and safety, and retail trade.

There is a strong specialization in public administration and safety, with an employment share twice the regional level. However, professional and technical services have lower representation at 3.6%, compared to the regional average of 8.9%. Over the year ending December 2025, employment increased by 8.6% while labour force grew by 7.2%, leading to a decrease in unemployment by 1.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane experienced employment growth of 3.2% and labour force growth of 3.0%, with a drop in unemployment of 0.1 percentage point. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that over five years, national employment is expected to expand by 6.6%. Over ten years, this expansion is projected at 13.7%. Applying these projections to Churchill Yamanto's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for the financial year 2023 indicates that Churchill - Yamanto SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $54,661 and an average of $60,769. This is lower than the national average. In comparison, Greater Brisbane had a median income of $58,236 and an average of $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, current estimates suggest approximately $60,870 (median) and $67,672 (average) as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Churchill - Yamanto rank modestly between the 46th and 46th percentiles. Distribution data shows that the $1,500 - $2,999 income bracket dominates with 37.7% of residents (2,707 people), reflecting patterns seen at regional levels where 33.3% similarly occupy this range. After housing costs, 86.4% of income remains for other expenses.

Churchill - Yamanto is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Churchill - Yamanto's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 93.1% houses and 6.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Brisbane metro's figures of 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Churchill - Yamanto stood at 28.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.1% and rented dwellings at 33.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,452, lower than Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. The median weekly rent in the area was $300, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Churchill - Yamanto's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,452 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Churchill - Yamanto features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 78.5 percent of all households, including 34.2 percent couples with children, 26.1 percent couples without children, and 17.0 percent single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 21.5 percent, with lone person households at 19.2 percent and group households comprising 2.4 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Churchill - Yamanto faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.3%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 44.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (10.0%) and certificates (34.4%). Educational participation is high, with 30.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.3% in primary education, 9.9% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Churchill-Yamanto has 29 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by three different routes that together facilitate 525 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents generally located about 239 meters from the nearest stop. Primarily residential, most inhabitants commute outward, with cars being the predominant mode of transportation at 92%. On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm. Only 8.8% of residents work from home (as per the 2021 Census).

The service frequency across all routes averages 75 trips daily, translating to roughly 18 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Churchill - Yamanto is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Churchill-Yamanto faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch's mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across all age groups but more so among older cohorts. Approximately 49% of the total population (~3,533 people) has private health cover, compared to Greater Brisbane's 55.8% and the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues affect 11.0% of residents, while asthma impacts 10.3%. Conversely, 63.6% claim to have no medical ailments, lower than Greater Brisbane's 69.2%. Working-age individuals face notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 16.0% of residents aged 65 and over (1,146 people), with seniors facing some health outcome challenges that rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.

Churchill - Yamanto is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Churchill-Yamanto was found to have low cultural diversity, with 89.3% of its population born in Australia, 92.0% being citizens, and 94.7% speaking English only at home. The dominant religion is Christianity, practiced by 51.1% of the population, compared to 47.8% across Greater Brisbane. In terms of ancestry, the top groups are Australian (31.1%), English (29.2%), and Scottish (7.8%).

Notably, German ancestry is higher than average at 7.4%, while Samoan is lower at 0.5%. Australian Aboriginal ancestry is also notably higher at 4.5%.

Churchill - Yamanto's population is younger than the national pattern

Churchill-Yamanto's median age is nearly matching Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years at 35 years. This is slightly younger than Australia's median age of 38 years. Churchill-Yamanto has a higher concentration of residents aged 0-4 (7.1%) compared to Greater Brisbane, but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.6%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population of those aged 75-84 has grown from 3.6% to 5.6%, while the 15-24 age group increased from 13.3% to 14.3%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has declined from 15.4% to 13.0%, and the 55-64 age group dropped from 11.5% to 10.1%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Churchill-Yamanto, with the 85+ cohort projected to grow by 154%, adding 130 residents to reach a total of 215. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 67% of population growth, highlighting trends towards demographic aging. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 15-24 and 0-4 age cohorts.