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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Churchill - Yamanto has an estimated 7,184 residents, up from 6,817 at the 2021 Census — a change of 367 people, or 5.4%. Growth has averaged 0.7% a year over five years. Natural increase accounts for 67.7% of that increase. That puts 767 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to research conducted by AreaSearch, the population residing in Churchill - Yamanto stands at approximately 7,184 as of Aug 2026. Relative to the 6,817 people documented in the 2021 Census, this demonstrates an expansion of 367 people (5.4%). This shift is determined using the ABS June 2025 estimated resident population figure of 7,182 alongside 43 validated new addresses registered following the Census. The local population density reaches 766 persons per square kilometer, aligning closely with broader benchmarks recorded across AreaSearch assessment areas. Natural increase served as the principal demographic driver, accounting for roughly 67.7% of total local population additions over recent timeframes.
Projections compiled by the ABS and Geoscience Australia (published in 2024 using 2022 as a base year) are utilised by AreaSearch across SA2 regions. In instances where locations fall outside this coverage or extend beyond 2032, Queensland State Government SA2 projections released in 2023 (utilising 2021 data) are incorporated. Because these state forecasts lack breakdowns by age bracket, AreaSearch integrates proportional age-cohort weighting sourced from the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region projections (benchmarked to 2022). Applying this approach suggests a downward demographic trajectory, with Churchill - Yamanto anticipated to lose 374 persons by 2041. In contrast to this aggregate decline, certain age brackets will experience expansion, most prominently the 85 and over age group with a projected gain of 144 people. See the age section for more details.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
46 new dwellings have been approved in Churchill - Yamanto over the past five years, an average of 9 a year. That is 1.3 approvals per 1,000 residents. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential building approvals across Churchill - Yamanto have averaged roughly 9 residential properties per annum, accumulating to 46 homes throughout the preceding 5 financial years. Across the 5 financial years spanning FY-22 and FY-26, the arrival of 5.4 people per year for every newly constructed residence indicates that buyer appetite substantially outpaces additions to housing stock, typically driving up purchase competition and property values. Meanwhile, an average estimated construction value of $328,000 per dwelling provides relatively accessible pricing compared to regional figures. Furthermore, commercial building approvals reached $72.1 million in the current financial year, highlighting substantial momentum across commercial projects.
Construction intensity in Churchill - Yamanto remains markedly subdued relative to Greater Brisbane, sitting 89.0% below regional average per person. Although residential building activity has picked up lately, such constrained supply generally bolsters demand and price levels for established properties. This rate also sits below national figures, indicating a mature market and potential development limitations. Dwellings approved recently consist of 80.0% standalone homes alongside 20.0% attached dwellings, upholding the neighborhood's low-density profile with freestanding properties tailored to buyers seeking space. An estimated ratio of 1076 people per residential approval underscores the locality's restrained development tempo. Given that the local population is projected to either plateau or shrink, housing pressure in Churchill - Yamanto is likely to ease, potentially offering advantageous conditions for purchasers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Churchill - Yamanto
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks one current infrastructure or development project inside Churchill - Yamanto, worth an estimated $135 million. A further 85 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $50.2 billion. 43 are already under construction and 35 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Urban development, major project delivery, and regional planning exert a profound influence over community outcomes. AreaSearch has highlighted 4 projects expected to shape local growth. Major developments include Ipswich Hospital Expansion Stage 2, Ripley Valley Master Planned Community, Dahlia at Flinders View, and Ipswich Better Bus Network, with key relevant initiatives outlined below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Yamanto Central Town Centre Expansion
A 25-hectare masterplanned sub-regional town centre expansion featuring 20,000 sqm of retail, health, fitness, and dining precincts serving the Yamanto and Deebing Heights growth corridor.
HB Land Bellevue Estate
47.41-hectare residential community at gateway to Ripley Valley. Lot sizes 375m2 to 1,236m2. Positioned near transport corridors and future infrastructure.
Ripley Road Upgrade
The Ripley Road Upgrade is a joint state and local infrastructure project duplicating the road corridor from two to four lanes between the Cunningham Highway and Centenary Highway. Stage 1 focuses on the critical corridor section connecting through Monterea Road and Fischer Road to service growing masterplanned communities. The scope includes signalised intersections, dedicated on-road cycling lanes, active transport shared paths, and trunk stormwater upgrades.
Dahlia at Flinders View
A $57-million residential estate in Flinders View offering 140 townhouses with three bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms. Amenities include a 15m swimming pool, children's splash pool, sun lounges, and more. Approved by Ipswich City Council to address the housing crisis, with 33 conditions addressing community concerns about density, traffic, and environmental impacts.
Ipswich Hospital Expansion Stage 2
A major expansion delivering 200 new beds and a multi-storey acute clinical services building. Key features include a new Emergency Department, six operating theatres, a satellite medical imaging service, and a Central Sterilisation Service Department. Internal fit-outs began on lower levels in late 2025, with major structural work continuing into 2026 to support the fast-growing West Moreton population.
Raceview Rise
Boutique residential land release offering 22 generously sized lots ranging from 450 sqm to 800 sqm in a family-friendly cul-de-sac position. Located in an established pocket of Raceview, the development features fully serviced lots with water, sewerage, underground power, and NBN coverage. Positioned just 6km from Ipswich CBD with convenient access to schools, parks, shopping centers, and transport links including arterial roads and rail connections to Brisbane, Toowoomba, and the Gold and Sunshine Coasts.
Ferndale Estate Ripley
A residential house and land estate within the Ripley Valley Priority Development Area (PDA) in south-east Queensland. The estate offers family-oriented lots and homes within one of Australia's fastest-growing greenfield corridors, approximately 45 minutes south-west of Brisbane and 15 minutes from Springfield. Ripley Valley PDA is planned to ultimately accommodate up to 48,750 dwellings and 131,000 residents.
Cross Street Kerb and Channel Rehabilitation
Reconstruction of kerb, channel, and road pavement on a section of Cross Street, Raceview. This project is part of Ipswich City Council's 2025-2026 Capital Works Program focused on rehabilitating aging infrastructure in established suburbs. The work includes full pavement reconstruction to improve drainage, road condition, and safety for road users and pedestrians.
3,946 residents of Churchill - Yamanto are employed, from a labour force of 4,099. Unemployment sits at 3.7%, with participation at 71.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 6,396, about 89% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Churchill - Yamanto boasts a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of only 3.7%, and 11.3% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of March 2026, 3,946 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 0.6% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.3%, and workforce participation is broadly similar to Greater Brisbane's 70.1%. Based on Census responses, a low 8.8% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Local resident employment is largely clustered within retail trade, public administration & safety, and health care & social assistance.
Public administration & safety shows a distinct concentration locally, employing personnel at 2.0 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical occupations are minimally represented, capturing 3.6% employment in contrast to 8.9% regionally. Comparisons between resident workers and local jobs recorded in the Census point to limited employment positions available directly within the neighborhood. According to AreaSearch evaluations of SALM and ABS figures, the twelve-month period ending March 2026 saw employment rise by 11.3% and the labour force grow by 10.2%, which led to a 1.0 percentage point decline in unemployment. By comparison, Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 3.2% alongside labour force growth of 3.4%, accompanied by a 0.1 percentage point increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia’s national employment projections published for Mar-26 provide additional perspective on anticipated future demand in Churchill - Yamanto. These forecasts span five and ten-year horizons and have been overlaid with the local employment structure to estimate future growth trajectories. Although national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, expansion varies considerably across different industry sectors. When these sector-specific forecasts are applied to Churchill - Yamanto’s current employment composition, local employment is expected to rise by 6.0% over five years and by 12.9% over ten years, though this calculation represents a straightforward weighting exercise for illustrative purposes and does not incorporate localized population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Churchill - Yamanto is $1,678 a week (about $87,000 a year), with median personal income at $786 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $54,661 a year against an average of $60,769. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Taxpayer income within the Churchill - Yamanto SA2 sits beneath the national benchmark according to ATO figures compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Median taxpayer earnings registered at $54,661 with an average of $60,769, trailing the corresponding Greater Brisbane benchmarks of $58,236 and $72,799. Factoring in an 11.36% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, updated estimates reach roughly $60,870 (median) and $67,672 (average) by March 2026. The 2021 Census placed personal, family, and household earnings around the 46th and 46th percentiles. In terms of earnings brackets, the $1,500 - 2,999 band forms the largest share, accounting for 37.7% of residents (2,708 people), which closely matches the 33.3% regional benchmark.
After meeting residential costs, households retain 86.4% of earnings for other living expenses.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Churchill - Yamanto had 2,391 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 93% detached houses and 0% apartments. 38% are owned with a mortgage, 34% rented and 28% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $300 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,452 a month. Rent absorbs 17.9% of household income here and mortgage repayments 20.0%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the most recent Census findings, residential property in Churchill - Yamanto consisted of 93.1% houses and 6.9% other dwellings (incorporating semi-detached residences, flats, and other dwelling styles), whereas the Brisbane metro area showed 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Outright homeownership in Churchill - Yamanto stood at 28.2%, surpassing the Brisbane metro benchmark, while remaining residences were either being purchased under a mortgage (38.1%) or rented (33.7%). Median monthly mortgage costs in the area were recorded at $1,452, notably lower than the metropolitan figure of $1,863. Median weekly rent stood at $300, compared with $380 across metropolitan Brisbane.
Nationally, local mortgage commitments remain considerably beneath the $1,863 Australian norm, and weekly rental costs sit significantly below the national benchmark of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Churchill - Yamanto counted 2,391 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 2,520 today, averaging 2.7 people each. 34% are couples with children, against 26% couples without children. 19% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the vast majority of local households at 78.5%, consisting of couples with children (34.2%), couples without children (26.1%), and single parent families (17.0%). Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 21.5%, comprising lone person households at 19.2% and group households at 2.4%. The median household size of 2.7 people slightly exceeds the Greater Brisbane figure of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
12.3% of adults in Churchill - Yamanto hold a university qualification, including 9.0% with a bachelor degree and 1.8% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 80% of areas nationally. A further 34.4% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 947 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 946 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment in the area reveals notable gaps, with tertiary degree attainment at 12.3% lagging considerably behind the Greater Brisbane benchmark of 30.5%, highlighting key opportunities for targeted training programs. Among university graduates, Bachelor degrees account for 9.0%, accompanied by postgraduate qualifications at 1.8% and graduate diplomas at 1.5%. Vocational training is heavily represented, with 44.4% of residents aged 15+ holding technical qualifications, split between certificates (34.4%) and advanced diplomas (10.0%). A significant 30.3% of local inhabitants are currently engaged in study programs. This cohort includes 11.3% attending primary school, 9.9% enrolled in secondary education, and 3.6% undertaking tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Churchill - Yamanto means driving: households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
63.6% of residents in Churchill - Yamanto report no long-term health condition. 7.1% need daily assistance with core activities, and 49.2% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
According to AreaSearch evaluations of mortality statistics and chronic disease rates, Churchill - Yamanto experiences notable healthcare challenges, with common ailments widely reported across the community and concentrated heavily among older demographics. Furthermore, private health insurance coverage is subdued, held by roughly 49% of the population (~3,534 people). In comparison, coverage reaches 55.8% across Greater Brisbane and 55.7% across Australia. Mental health conditions and asthma represent the most widespread medical issues diagnosed locally, affecting 11.0 and 10.3% of residents respectively, whereas 63.6% of the population reported no long-term medical conditions, compared to 69.2% throughout Greater Brisbane.
Working-age locals display elevated rates of chronic illness. Residents aged 65 and over account for 15.4% of the population (1,106 people), and while health outcomes among this senior group pose challenges, they compare favorably against broader population outcomes nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Churchill - Yamanto is largely Australian-born, at 89.3% of residents, with 5.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (31.1%) and English (29.2%). 4.5% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity measures in Churchill - Yamanto track beneath broader benchmarks, with Australian-born residents making up 89.3% of the community, 92.0% holding Australian citizenship, and 94.7% using solely English at home. Christianity forms the predominant religious affiliation, encompassing 51.1% of residents in Churchill - Yamanto relative to 47.8% across Greater Brisbane. Looking at ancestral heritage (parents' birthplaces), the leading backgrounds in Churchill - Yamanto are Australian at 31.1% (substantially exceeding the 23.2% regional proportion), English at 29.2%, and Scottish at 7.8%. Notable divergences appear across other backgrounds as well: German ancestry is prominent at 7.4% (against 4.2% across the region), Samoan heritage represents 0.5% (versus 0.9% regionally), and Australian Aboriginal ancestry stands at 4.5% (compared to 2.1% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Churchill - Yamanto is 35, younger than 79% of areas nationally. 28.8% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Age distributions in Churchill - Yamanto align closely with Greater Brisbane figures, with the widest variance across any major age cohort sitting at 2.6 percentage points. The median age remains at an estimated 35, matching the 2021 Census figure and sitting 1 year younger than the Greater Brisbane median of 36 recorded during the same Census. Since that period, the proportion of residents in retiree and elderly cohorts (65+) has risen from 13.1% to an estimated 15.4%. By 2041, the retiree and elderly cohorts are expected to show the strongest expansion, adding 248 residents (22%) to reach 1,354, whereas reductions are forecast across children and young adults as well as young to middle aged adults.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Churchill - Yamanto
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 2 months ago all 1 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 43 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (6,817 at the 2021 Census → 7,184 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (310031285). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.