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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Churchill - Yamanto has an estimated 7,182 residents, up from 6,817 at the 2021 Census — a change of 365 people, or 5.4%. Growth has averaged 0.7% a year over five years. Natural increase accounts for 67.7% of that increase. That puts 767 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to the analysis by AreaSearch, the population of Churchill - Yamanto stands at approximately 7,182 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 365 residents (5.4%) relative to the 2021 Census, which recorded 6,817 individuals. This demographic shift is calculated using the ABS estimated resident population of 7,182 in June 2025 alongside 42 validated new addresses registered after the Census. The resulting density sits at 766 persons per square kilometer, which aligns closely with typical outcomes across monitored regions. Most of the recent population gains were driven by natural increase, which accounted for roughly 67.7% of the total growth.
Projections from ABS and Geoscience Australia, published in 2024 using 2022 as a baseline, are utilized for each SA2 region. In cases where this data is unavailable or for periods beyond 2032, projections from the Queensland State Government released in 2023 (utilizing 2021 data) are adopted. Because the state-level projections lack breakdowns by age bracket, AreaSearch allocates cohort growth proportionally using the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region projections (based on 2022 data) for each age bracket. These combined projections suggest a future contraction in the overall population, forecasting a decrease of 347 persons by 2041. Conversely, certain cohorts are set to expand, particularly the 75 to 84 age category, which is anticipated to gain 149 people. Detailed age breakdowns can be found in the corresponding section.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
52 new dwellings have been approved in Churchill - Yamanto over the past five years, an average of 10 a year. That is 1.5 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 4, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
In Churchill - Yamanto, residential development approvals have run at approximately 10 properties annually, totaling 52 home approvals across the last 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25) and 4 during FY-26 so far. With an average of 4.8 additional residents per constructed home arriving over the past 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25), the volume of new supply is lagging behind demand, which typically intensifies buyer competition and exerts upward pressure on prices. Newly built properties show an average value of $273,000, matching broader regional trends. Furthermore, commercial development approvals reached $72.1 million this financial year, indicating robust commercial activity in the local area.
Compared with Greater Brisbane, building activity in Churchill - Yamanto is exceptionally low, tracking 87.0% below the regional per capita average. While construction has picked up recently, this restricted supply generally reinforces demand and prices for pre-existing homes. This volume is also lower than the national average, suggesting a mature market and potential development limits. Detached houses make up 88.0% of recent construction, with the remaining 12.0% consisting of attached dwellings, preserving the established low-density layout dominated by spacious family residences. The ratio of 775 people in the area per dwelling approval highlights a quiet development landscape with low building volumes. As the population is projected to stabilize or decrease, Churchill - Yamanto is likely to experience less pressure on its housing market, potentially opening up favorable opportunities for purchasers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Churchill - Yamanto
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks one current infrastructure or development project inside Churchill - Yamanto, worth an estimated $135 million. A further 81 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $49.4 billion. 42 are already under construction and 28 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major planning, and development initiatives are primary drivers of regional performance. AreaSearch has identified a total of 4 projects that are expected to influence this locality. The key developments of greatest relevance include the Ipswich Hospital Expansion Stage 2, the Ripley Valley Master Planned Community, Dahlia at Flinders View, and the Ipswich Better Bus Network.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Yamanto Central Town Centre Expansion
A 25-hectare masterplanned sub-regional town centre expansion featuring 20,000 sqm of retail, health, fitness, and dining precincts serving the Yamanto and Deebing Heights growth corridor.
HB Land Bellevue Estate
47.41-hectare residential community at gateway to Ripley Valley. Lot sizes 375m2 to 1,236m2. Positioned near transport corridors and future infrastructure.
Dahlia at Flinders View
A $57-million residential estate in Flinders View offering 140 townhouses with three bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms. Amenities include a 15m swimming pool, children's splash pool, sun lounges, and more. Approved by Ipswich City Council to address the housing crisis, with 33 conditions addressing community concerns about density, traffic, and environmental impacts.
Ipswich Hospital Expansion Stage 2
A major expansion delivering 200 new beds and a multi-storey acute clinical services building. Key features include a new Emergency Department, six operating theatres, a satellite medical imaging service, and a Central Sterilisation Service Department. Internal fit-outs began on lower levels in late 2025, with major structural work continuing into 2026 to support the fast-growing West Moreton population.
Monterea Land Holdings Monterea Estate
Affordable residential lots from 300-480m2 in central Ripley location. Close to Ripley Town Centre and transport infrastructure.
Raceview Rise
Boutique residential land release offering 22 generously sized lots ranging from 450 sqm to 800 sqm in a family-friendly cul-de-sac position. Located in an established pocket of Raceview, the development features fully serviced lots with water, sewerage, underground power, and NBN coverage. Positioned just 6km from Ipswich CBD with convenient access to schools, parks, shopping centers, and transport links including arterial roads and rail connections to Brisbane, Toowoomba, and the Gold and Sunshine Coasts.
Ferndale Estate Ripley
A residential house and land estate within the Ripley Valley Priority Development Area (PDA) in south-east Queensland. The estate offers family-oriented lots and homes within one of Australia's fastest-growing greenfield corridors, approximately 45 minutes south-west of Brisbane and 15 minutes from Springfield. Ripley Valley PDA is planned to ultimately accommodate up to 48,750 dwellings and 131,000 residents.
Cross Street Kerb and Channel Rehabilitation
Reconstruction of kerb, channel, and road pavement on a section of Cross Street, Raceview. This project is part of Ipswich City Council's 2025-2026 Capital Works Program focused on rehabilitating aging infrastructure in established suburbs. The work includes full pavement reconstruction to improve drainage, road condition, and safety for road users and pedestrians.
3,946 residents of Churchill - Yamanto are employed, from a labour force of 4,099. Unemployment sits at 3.7%, with participation at 71.5%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 6,394, about 89% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce in Churchill - Yamanto presents a balanced mix of professional and trade occupations, with a solid footprint in essential service sectors. The unemployment rate is low at 3.7%, and the area registered an estimated 11.3% growth in employment over the preceding year. As of March 2026, 3,946 residents are employed, with the unemployment rate tracking 0.6% lower than the 4.3% recorded across Greater Brisbane. Workforce participation matches the 70.4% seen in Greater Brisbane. According to Census data, a modest 8.8% of the workforce worked from home, though this figure may have been influenced by COVID-19 restrictions.
The primary sectors employing local residents are health care & social assistance, public administration & safety, and retail trade. The workforce displays a strong concentration in public administration & safety, with its employment share reaching 2.0 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical roles account for only 3.6% of local employment, compared to 8.9% in Greater Brisbane. Comparing the count of Census workers against the resident population suggests that local employment opportunities are somewhat limited. Analysis of SALM and ABS data by AreaSearch indicates that employment grew by 11.3% and the labour force expanded by 10.2% during the year to March 2026, which led to a 1.0 percentage point decline in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Brisbane experienced a 3.2% rise in employment and a 3.4% increase in the labour force, accompanied by a 0.1 percentage point increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 provide additional context regarding potential future demand in Churchill - Yamanto. These projections span five and ten-year periods and have been overlaid on the local employment profile to estimate growth trajectories. National employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though expansion varies considerably across different industry sectors. When these sector-specific forecasts are applied to Churchill - Yamanto's employment composition, local employment is expected to rise by 6.0% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, noting that this represents a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and excludes localized population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Churchill - Yamanto is $1,678 a week (about $87,000 a year), with median personal income at $786 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $54,661 a year against an average of $60,769. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to the latest postcode-level ATO data released for financial year 2023, the median income for taxpayers in the Churchill - Yamanto SA2 is $54,661, with a mean income of $60,769. These figures sit below national averages, and compare to a median of $58,236 and average of $72,799 in Greater Brisbane. Adjusting for a Wage Price Index increase of 11.36% since financial year 2023, current estimates for March 2026 point to a median of approximately $60,870 and an average of $67,672. The 2021 Census indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Churchill - Yamanto are modest, placing between the 46th and 46th percentiles.
The $1,500 - 2,999 weekly income bracket contains 37.7% of the community (2,707 individuals), which is comparable to the regional level where 33.3% fall into this range. On average, households retain 86.4% of their income after paying for housing costs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Churchill - Yamanto had 2,391 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 93% detached houses and 0% apartments. 38% are owned with a mortgage, 34% rented and 28% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $300 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,452 a month. Rent absorbs 17.9% of household income here and mortgage repayments 20.0%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Data from the latest Census shows that the housing stock in Churchill - Yamanto consisted of 93.1% detached houses and 6.9% other dwelling types (such as semi-detached homes and apartments), compared to 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings in metropolitan Brisbane. The home ownership rate in Churchill - Yamanto was higher than the Brisbane metro average at 28.2%, while mortgaged homes accounted for 38.1% and rental properties made up 33.7%. The median monthly mortgage payment in the area was $1,452, which is notably lower than the Brisbane metro average of $1,863.
The median weekly rent was recorded at $300, compared to $380 in metropolitan Brisbane. Nationally, mortgage repayments in Churchill - Yamanto are considerably lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents sit well below the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Churchill - Yamanto counted 2,391 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 2,519 today, averaging 2.7 people each. 34% are couples with children, against 26% couples without children. 19% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the majority of households at 78.5%, consisting of couples with children at 34.2%, couples without children at 26.1%, and single-parent households at 17.0%. Non-family households account for the remaining 21.5%, with single-person households representing 19.2% and group houses making up 2.4%. The median household size of 2.7 people is slightly above the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
12.3% of adults in Churchill - Yamanto hold a university qualification, including 9.0% with a bachelor degree and 1.8% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 80% of areas nationally. A further 34.4% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 947 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 946 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment levels show some areas of lag, with tertiary qualification rates at 12.3%, well below the Greater Brisbane average of 30.5%. This presents a challenge as well as a window of opportunity for focused educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common tertiary qualification at 9.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 1.8% and graduate diplomas at 1.5%. Vocational and technical skills are highly prevalent, with 44.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational qualifications, split between advanced diplomas at 10.0% and certificates at 34.4%. A high proportion of the population is engaged in study, with 30.3% of residents enrolled in formal education.
This group comprises 11.3% in primary schooling, 9.9% in secondary schooling, and 3.6% in higher education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Churchill - Yamanto reaches 29 stops on 3 routes, timetabled for about 530 services a week. The typical home sits about 240 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
An analysis of public transport reveals that Churchill - Yamanto has 29 active transit stops, consisting of various bus options. These stops are serviced by 3 distinct routes, which combine to facilitate 525 passenger trips per week. Transit accessibility is rated as good, with residents living an average of 239 meters from their nearest stop. Given the area's residential nature, the majority of workers commute to external areas, with cars remaining the main mode of travel at 92%. The average number of vehicles per household is 1.7, which is higher than the regional average.
A relatively low 8.8% of residents worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 75 trips daily across all bus routes, which translates to roughly 18 weekly trips for each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
63.6% of residents in Churchill - Yamanto report no long-term health condition. 7.1% need daily assistance with core activities, and 49.2% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and the prevalence of long-term illnesses, Churchill - Yamanto faces notable health difficulties. Common ailments are widely present, with higher rates observed among older demographics. The rate of private health insurance coverage is relatively low, standing at approximately 49% of the population (~3,533 people), compared to 55.8% in Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%. Mental health conditions and asthma are the most prevalent medical issues in the area, affecting 11.0% and 10.3% of residents, respectively. Meanwhile, 63.6% of the population reported no chronic medical conditions, compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane.
The working-age cohort has elevated rates of chronic illness, indicating notable health challenges. Residents aged 65 and over make up 16.0% of the population (1,146 people), and while health outcomes for seniors present challenges, they rank more favorably when compared to national trends for the broader community.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Churchill - Yamanto is largely Australian-born, at 89.3% of residents, with 5.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (31.1%) and English (29.2%). 4.5% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Churchill - Yamanto is lower than the average, with 89.3% of residents born in Australia, 92.0% holding citizenship, and 94.7% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 51.1% of the population, compared to 47.8% across Greater Brisbane. In terms of parent birthplace ancestry, the three largest groups represented in Churchill - Yamanto are Australian at 31.1% (substantially exceeding the regional average of 23.2%), English at 29.2%, and Scottish at 7.8%. There are also notable differences in other backgrounds: German ancestry is overrepresented at 7.4% (compared to 4.2% regionally), Samoan ancestry is underrepresented at 0.5% (compared to 0.9% regionally), and Australian Aboriginal ancestry is higher at 4.5% (compared to 2.1% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Churchill - Yamanto is 35, younger than 79% of areas nationally. 28.0% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age in Churchill - Yamanto is 35 years, which is very close to the Greater Brisbane average of 36 and slightly younger than the Australian median of 38 years. Relative to Greater Brisbane, there is a higher proportion of children aged 0 - 4 (7.1%) but fewer young adults aged 25 - 34 (13.6%). Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has risen from 3.6% to 5.6% of the population, and the 15 to 24 cohort grew from 13.3% to 14.3%. In contrast, the 5 to 14 cohort decreased from 15.4% to 13.0%, while the 55 to 64 group fell from 11.5% to 10.1%.
Population projections for 2041 suggest major demographic shifts, with the 85+ bracket expected to grow the fastest at 154%, adding 130 people to reach 215. Seniors aged 65+ will account for 67% of the total population growth, highlighting a clear aging trend, whereas the 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 brackets are projected to decline.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Churchill - Yamanto
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 1 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 42 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (6,817 at the 2021 Census → 7,182 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (310031285). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.