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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Lockyer Valley - West has an estimated 13,294 residents, up from 11,943 at the 2021 Census — a change of 1,351 people, or 11.3%. Growth has averaged 1.7% a year over five years, faster than 75% of areas nationally. 338 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 59.9% of that increase. Fewer than ten people live on each square kilometre, across a boundary that takes in surrounding rural land. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to the analysis conducted by AreaSearch, the population of Lockyer Valley - West is estimated at 13,294 as of May 2026. This indicates a growth of 1,351 people (11.3%) compared to the 2021 Census, which recorded 11,943 people. This population shift is calculated using the ABS estimated resident population of 13,029 from June 2025 alongside 338 validated new addresses registered since the Census. Such a population size results in a density of 9.0 persons per square kilometer, which represents a spacious living environment. The 11.3% population expansion since the 2021 census outpaced the SA3 area (9.2%) and the SA4 region, positioning it as a primary growth corridor.
Interstate migration served as the main driver, accounting for 59.9% of the overall population rise in recent times, though other contributors like natural increase and overseas migration also made positive contributions. AreaSearch utilizes projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia for individual SA2 localities, published in 2024 with 2022 serving as the baseline. For SA2 localities lacking this dataset and for periods extending past 2032, projections from the Queensland State Government released in 2023 (using 2021 data) are applied. Because these state-level projections lack age-specific breakdowns, AreaSearch distributes growth across age brackets using proportions derived from the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region projections based on 2022 data. Based on these anticipated demographic transitions, population growth is projected to exceed the median for non-metropolitan parts of Australia, with the local population expected to grow by 2,359 persons to 2041 relative to the most recent annual ERP statistics, representing a overall increase of 15.8% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
352 new dwellings have been approved in Lockyer Valley - West over the past five years, an average of 70 a year. That places the area in the 86th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 5 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 53 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 98% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 92, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Property development in Lockyer Valley - West averages approximately 70 residential building approvals annually, with 352 dwellings approved during the last 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25) and 85 approvals recorded during FY-26 so far. Over the last 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25), the region has added an average of 3 new residents for each completed home, indicating a healthy level of demand that helps sustain property values, with new construction showing an average cost of $387,000. Furthermore, commercial building approvals valued at $33.0 million have been registered during the current financial year, pointing to significant local business investment.
In comparison to the Rest of Qld, construction volume per capita in Lockyer Valley - West is similar, pointing to a stable market that aligns with regional trends. The building activity lately consists of 98.0% detached houses and 2.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining a low-density urban footprint focused on standalone homes that appeal to buyers seeking extra space. The ratio of roughly 163 people for each dwelling approval indicates an expanding community. Long-term forecasts suggest Lockyer Valley - West will gain an additional 2,094 residents by 2041, measured from the most recent quarterly estimate by AreaSearch. In light of current building trends, the supply of new housing is positioned to satisfy demand, creating favorable buying conditions and potentially supporting population growth that exceeds these forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Lockyer Valley - West
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 14 current infrastructure and development projects inside Lockyer Valley - West, worth an estimated $39.4 billion. A further 94 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $45.3 billion. 25 are already under construction and 33 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, education & training and energy. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major works, and municipal planning decisions play a major role in shaping regional outcomes. AreaSearch has tracked a total of 101 projects that are anticipated to affect this locality. Major projects include Inland Rail - Gowrie to Kagaru (G2K), Lockyer Energy Project, Rifle Range Road Reconfiguration, and St Peters Close Estate, with details provided on those of primary interest.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Helidon Spa Eco Escape Nature-Based Tourism Facility
Development application under assessment with Lockyer Valley Regional Council for a nature-based tourism facility featuring 48 eco-cabins, communal amenities, wellness facilities, and recreational walking trails.
Grantham Evacuation Route and Industrial Road Link
Lockyer Valley Regional Council and the Queensland Department of Transport and Main Roads are constructing the Grantham Evacuation Route and Industrial Road Link. The project delivers elevated flood-immune road pavements, upgraded culvert crossings, and a direct heavy vehicle connection between Grantham and the Warrego Highway. It ensures emergency evacuation resilience during severe weather and improves freight accessibility.
Lockyer Valley Foods Processing Facility Stage 1
Construction of a cutting-edge fruit and vegetable processing facility in the Lockyer Valley. The initial phase features a deep-freezing line processing up to 37,000 tonnes of fresh produce annually, aiming to enhance local agricultural capabilities and retain jobs within Australia.
Grantham Structure Plan
A long-term urban renewal and growth framework covering 417 hectares in the Grantham Structure Planning Area. This region-wide rezoning aims to deliver flood-resilient residential, commercial, and industrial land accommodating up to 3,100+ dwellings.
Inland Rail - Gowrie to Kagaru (G2K)
The 128km Gowrie to Kagaru (G2K) section is the most technically complex link of the Inland Rail, featuring the 6.2km Toowoomba Range tunnel. As of May 2026, the project is under intense assessment following the revised draft Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) public consultation held in late 2025. While the Australian Government has prioritized sections between Beveridge and Parkes for 2027 completion, G2K remains in the approvals phase with a project declaration lapse date currently set for July 1, 2026.The route is divided into three subsections: Gowrie to Helidon, Helidon to Calvert, and Calvert to Kagaru.
Lockyer Energy Project
The Lockyer Energy Project is a hybrid gas and battery energy project. Acquired by Stanwell Corporation from Quinbrook Infrastructure Partners in June 2025, it includes up to 120MW of gas-fired generation (Stage 1) and potential for up to 850MW of battery storage (Stage 2) to facilitate Queensland's transition away from coal.
Lockyer Valley Foods Processing Facility
A $97.8 million fruit and vegetable processing facility designed to expand regional agricultural processing capacity, support local growers across the Lockyer Valley, and create 124 operational jobs.
Lockyer Energy Project
A major energy firming project near Gatton featuring up to 120MW of gas-fired peaking generation, with potential for significant future battery energy storage system (BESS) capacity. Acquired by Stanwell Corporation to provide fast-ramping, dispatchable energy during daily peak demand and to support grid reliability in South East Queensland.
6,699 residents of Lockyer Valley - West are employed, from a labour force of 6,868. Unemployment sits at 2.5%, with participation at 64.6%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.7% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 11,637, about 88% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local job market in Lockyer Valley - West is balanced between white-collar and industrial roles, with manufacturing and processing industries highly active, and a low unemployment rate of 2.5%. Working residents numbered 6,699 as of March 2026, with an unemployment rate that sits 1.5% below the 3.9% recorded for Regional Qld, while labor force participation matches the Regional Qld level of 64.3%. Data from the Census indicates that a modest 12.1% of the workforce operated from home, though this figure was likely influenced by pandemic lockdowns. The main industries employing local residents are health care & social assistance, agriculture, forestry & fishing, and construction.
The district shows a high concentration of jobs in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with representation that is 2.8 times the regional average. Conversely, accommodation & food services accounts for only 4.2% of local employment, compared to 8.3% across the wider region. Comparing the number of working residents to local job positions suggests that local employment opportunities are somewhat limited. Analysis of SALM and ABS statistics by AreaSearch shows that over the 12-month period, the local labor force contracted by 6.7% and the number of employed individuals fell by 7.4%, which caused the unemployment rate to increase by 0.7 percentage points. This contrasts with Regional Qld, which recorded a 0.1% increase in employment, a 0.3% expansion in the labor force, and a 0.1 percentage point rise in unemployment. National employment projections published by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 provide context for future employment patterns in Lockyer Valley - West. These five and ten-year projections have been applied to the local industry mix to estimate employment changes. While national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, the rates of change vary by sector. Applying these trends to the local workforce composition suggests employment in Lockyer Valley - West could rise by 5.7% over five years and 12.4% over ten years, using a basic weighted extrapolation for illustration that does not incorporate local population growth forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Lockyer Valley - West is $1,690 a week (about $88,000 a year), with median personal income at $737 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $50,095 a year against an average of $58,970. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to the latest ATO postcode statistics for the 2023 financial year, taxpayers in the Lockyer Valley - West SA2 recorded a median income of $50,095 and an average income of $58,970. These figures are below the national benchmarks, and compare to a median of $53,146 and an average of $66,593 across Regional Qld. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since the 2023 financial year, current estimates as of March 2026 are approximately $55,786 for the median and $65,669 for the average. In the 2021 Census, household, family, and individual incomes in Lockyer Valley - West ranked modestly, falling between the 35th and 46th percentiles.
Income distribution data shows that the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly bracket includes 35.1% of the population (4,666 individuals), which is close to the 31.7% observed regionally. Residents retain 86.9% of their income after housing costs, though disposable income is below average at the 50th percentile, and the SEIFA index ranks the area in the 4th decile for income.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Lockyer Valley - West had 4,011 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 96% detached houses and 0% apartments. 48% are owned with a mortgage, 15% rented and 38% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $310 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,600 a month. Rent absorbs 18.3% of household income here and mortgage repayments 21.8%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Residential dwelling types in Lockyer Valley - West at the time of the latest Census consisted of 96.0% detached houses and 3.9% other options like townhouses, apartments, or alternative housing, compared to 76.4% houses and 23.6% other options across Regional Qld. Home ownership rates in Lockyer Valley - West were higher than the Regional Qld level, standing at 37.8%, with the remaining properties occupied by mortgagors (47.7%) or tenants (14.6%). The median monthly mortgage payment was lower than the regional benchmark at $1,600, and the median weekly rent was $310, compared to Regional Qld averages of $1,655 and $345.
Locally, mortgage costs are lower than the national average of $1,863, and median rents are also below the Australian figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Lockyer Valley - West counted 4,011 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 4,465 today, averaging 2.8 people each. 36% are couples with children, against 33% couples without children. 18% of households are people living alone, and families average 2.0 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 80.1% of the local households, which includes 36.3% couples with children, 32.6% couples without children, and 10.3% single parent households. The remaining 19.9% of households are non-family arrangements, consisting of single-person households at 17.5% and group share houses at 2.3%. The median household occupancy of 2.8 persons is higher than the Regional Qld average of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
16.9% of adults in Lockyer Valley - West hold a university qualification, including 11.9% with a bachelor degree and 3.0% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 75% of areas nationally. A further 31.3% hold a vocational qualification. 10 schools serve the area, with 603 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 958 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment in the area shows room for development, with university graduation rates of 16.9% sitting below the national average of 30.4%. This highlights a potential area for educational programs. Among degree holders, bachelor degrees are most common at 11.9%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 3.0% and graduate diplomas at 2.0%. Vocational qualifications are prominent, with 41.2% of residents aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas (9.9%) and certificates (31.3%). Educational enrollment rates are high, with 30.1% of the population active in formal study. This student group includes 11.4% in primary schools, 10.8% in high schools, and 3.2% enrolled in higher education programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Lockyer Valley - West means driving: households keep an average of 2.1 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport services in Lockyer Valley - West include 3 stops serviced by bus routes. These transit points are connected to 1 individual routes, providing a total of 20 passenger trips each week. Transport access is rated as low, with residents living an average of 3966 meters from their nearest transit stop. Given the residential character of the area, most workers commute outside the district, with private cars being the primary mode of travel for 95% of commuters. Average vehicle ownership is 2.1 cars per household, which is higher than the regional average.
A small portion of residents, 12.1%, worked from home according to the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by COVID-19 rules. Service frequency averages 2 runs daily across all routes, which translates to about 6 weekly trips at each public transit stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
66.3% of residents in Lockyer Valley - West report no long-term health condition. 5.9% need daily assistance with core activities, and 48.4% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Local health profiles suggest below-average wellness outcomes in Lockyer Valley - West, based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality data and chronic illness rates, with typical medical issues present in both younger and older residents, and private health insurance coverage is low at roughly 48% of the population (~6,434 people). This is lower than the 52.5% rate seen in Regional Qld and the national average of 55.7%. The primary medical diagnoses in the region are mental health conditions and arthritis, affecting 9.8% and 9.4% of the population, respectively, while 66.3% of residents reported having no long-term health conditions, compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld.
Chronic health issues are more common than average among the working-age population. The population aged 65 and over comprises 18.0% of the community (2,388 people), which is lower than the Regional Qld proportion of 20.4%. Health challenges exist among older residents, with national rankings matching those of the broader public.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Lockyer Valley - West is largely Australian-born, at 89.3% of residents, with 3.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (30.2%) and English (29.8%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity metrics in Lockyer Valley - West are below average, with citizenship at 90.2%, Australian-born residents at 89.3%, and monolingual English speakers at 96.7%. The predominant religious affiliation is Christianity, representing 62.1% of the population, compared to 52.2% across Regional Qld. In terms of family heritage and parental birthplace, the largest ancestral backgrounds in Lockyer Valley - West are Australian at 30.2%, English at 29.8%, and German at 10.9%, which is higher than the regional average of 4.7%. Other ethnic backgrounds show different concentrations, with Dutch heritage at 1.4% (compared to 1.1% regionally), Australian Aboriginal ancestry at 2.8% (compared to 3.9%), and South Australian background at 0.4% (compared to 0.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Lockyer Valley - West is 41. 22.4% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 41 years in Lockyer Valley - West matches the Regional Qld average of 41 and is older than the national median of 38 years. Compared to Regional Qld, the area has more residents aged 55 - 64 (14.8%) but fewer aged 25 - 34 (10.1%). Since the 2021 Census, the 35 to 44 age bracket grew from 12.4% to 13.6% of the population, and the 75 to 84 bracket increased from 4.8% to 5.9%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group fell from 14.6% to 12.8%, and the 45 to 54 bracket declined from 14.2% to 12.9%.
Projections for 2041 indicate shifts in the local age profile. The 25 to 34 age group is projected to increase by 32% (431 people), growing from 1,346 to 1,778, while the 15 to 24 cohort is expected to decrease by 99 people.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Lockyer Valley - West
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 15 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 338 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (11,943 at the 2021 Census → 13,294 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (317011451). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.