Gilmore (ACT)

Gilmore has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Gilmore's population is estimated at around 2,648 as of Nov 2025. This reflects a decrease of 58 people (2.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,706 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,648, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 18 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,291 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. While Gilmore experienced a 2.1% decline since census, the SA3 area achieved 0.2% growth, highlighting divergent population trends. Population growth for the suburb of Gilmore (ACT) was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 68.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections, with 2022 as a base, are adopted. As we examine future population trends, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the suburb of Gilmore (ACT)'s population expected to decline by 165 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 45 to 54 age group, which is projected to grow by 39 people.

The level of residential development activity in Gilmore is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Gilmore indicates approximately 5 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 28 homes were approved, with none recorded so far in FY26.

The population decline has maintained adequate housing supply relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with varied buyer choices. New properties are constructed at an average value of $79,000, below regional norms, offering more affordable housing options. Comparatively, Gilmore has 11.0% less new development per person than the Australian Capital Territory and ranks among the 39th percentile nationally, suggesting limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established dwellings. This activity is also below the national average, indicating the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New building activity comprises 17.0% detached dwellings and 83.0% attached dwellings, focusing on higher-density living to provide more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This shift reflects decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles requiring diverse, affordable housing options.

Gilmore's developed market is evident with around 442 people per dwelling approval. With a stable or declining population expected, reduced pressure on housing may create buying opportunities.

Gilmore has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

No factors influence an area's performance more than changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 0 projects that could impact this area. Key projects include Monaro Highway Safety Upgrades, Canberra Light Rail Stage 4 - Woden to Tuggeranong, Queanbeyan Regional Integrated Transport Plan, and Deakin Private Hospital. The following list details those most relevant.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Gilmore recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Gilmore has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 5.6% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.8%.

As of June 2025, 1,430 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 2.2% higher than the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.4%. Workforce participation was on par with the Australian Capital Territory's 69.6%. The key industries of employment among Gilmore residents are public administration & safety, construction, and health care & social assistance. Employment specialization is particularly high in construction, with a share of 1.8 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services were under-represented, with only 7.5% of Gilmore's workforce compared to 11.1% in the Australian Capital Territory. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. In the 12-month period ending Sep-22, employment increased by 1.8% alongside labour force increasing by 1.6%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.2 percentage points. This compares with Australian Capital Territory where employment grew by 1.9%, labour force expanded by 1.6%, and unemployment fell by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest that Gilmore's employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation of industry-specific projections applied to Gilmore's employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 indicates that Gilmore has an above average national income. The median income is $68,725 and the average income stands at $76,168. This contrasts with Australian Capital Territory's median income of $68,678 and average income of $83,634. Based on a 13.6% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022, current estimates suggest the median income is approximately $78,072 and the average income is around $86,527 as of September 2025. Census 2021 data shows Gilmore's household, family, and personal incomes rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 89th percentiles. The earnings profile reveals that 36.6% of individuals earn between $1,500 - 2,999, reflecting broader area patterns where 34.3% fall within this range. Economic strength is evident with 37.9% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 86.8% of their income, demonstrating strong purchasing power. Gilmore's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Gilmore is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Gilmore, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 92.8% houses and 7.2% other dwellings. In comparison, Australian Capital Territory had 79.6% houses and 20.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gilmore was 30.5%, similar to Australian Capital Territory's level. Mortgaged dwellings were 46.1% and rented dwellings were 23.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Gilmore was $2,048, above the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Gilmore was $430, compared to Australian Capital Territory's $425. Nationally, Gilmore's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Gilmore features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.7% of all households, including 38.6% couples with children, 27.8% couples without children, and 13.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 19.3%, with lone person households at 18.6% and group households comprising 1.2%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.6.

Gilmore shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 24.8%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 46.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.9%) and graduate diplomas (3.7%). Vocational credentials are held by 35.2% of residents aged 15+, including advanced diplomas (11.8%) and certificates (23.4%). Educational participation is high, with 27.4% currently enrolled in formal education: primary (9.9%), secondary (7.7%), and tertiary (3.4%).

Gilmore Primary School serves the area, enrolling 130 students. It offers balanced educational opportunities (ICSEA: 969), focusing exclusively on primary education with secondary options nearby. Local school capacity is limited at 4.9 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 14.9, leading many families to seek schooling in nearby areas.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transport in Gilmore shows 16 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with 4 individual routes providing service. Collectively, these routes facilitate 526 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport is rated as good, with residents typically located 202 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 75 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 32 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Gilmore are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Gilmore's health indicators show below-average outcomes, with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 57% of the total population (~1,516 people). The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 9.7% and 9.4% of residents respectively. Sixty-six point nine percent of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 66.1% across Australian Capital Territory. Gilmore has 13.8% of residents aged 65 and over (365 people), which is lower than the 17.6% in Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Gilmore was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Gilmore's cultural diversity was found to be above average, with 18.5% of its population born overseas and 15.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the main religion in Gilmore, comprising 50.5% of people. However, Buddhism was notably overrepresented, making up 2.1% of Gilmore's population compared to the Australian Capital Territory's average of 2.1%.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (28.0%), English (25.4%), and Irish (9.3%). There were notable divergences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Serbian was overrepresented at 0.8% compared to the regional average of 0.4%, Spanish was equally represented at 0.7%, and Dutch was slightly overrepresented at 1.7% versus the regional average of 1.4%.

Gilmore's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Gilmore's median age is 37 years, slightly older than Australian Capital Territory's 35 but aligned with Australia's national average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group comprises 14.0% of Gilmore's population compared to Australian Capital Territory, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 13.5%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 2.4% to 3.9%, and the 0 to 4 cohort increased from 6.1% to 7.4%. Conversely, the 15 to 24 cohort has declined from 11.7% to 9.9%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Gilmore. The 45-54 age group is projected to increase by 38 people (11%) from 333 to 372, while population declines are projected for the 5 to 14 and 55 to 64 cohorts.