Alphington

Alphington lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, Alphington's estimated population is 7,699 as of Feb 2026. This shows an increase of 1,997 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,702. The growth is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 7,645 residents, following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024, and an additional 693 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,730 persons per square kilometer, placing Alphington in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. The suburb's growth rate of 35% since the 2021 Census exceeds both national (9.9%) and state averages, marking it as a growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 57% of overall population gains during recent periods, though all drivers were positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Projected demographic shifts indicate exceptional growth, placing Alphington in the top 10 percent of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch. By 2041, the suburb is expected to increase by 5,554 persons, reflecting a total increase of 71.4% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Alphington among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Alphington has recorded approximately 233 residential properties approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 1,168 homes were approved, with an additional 75 approved in FY-26 so far. On average, 0.4 new residents have arrived per newly approved home over these five years.

This suggests that new construction is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, offering buyers more options and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections. The average expected construction cost value of new homes is $540,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment. In FY-26, commercial approvals have totalled $44.9 million, indicating robust local business investment. The majority of new building activity, 96%, consists of townhouses or apartments, with only 4% being standalone homes.

This shift from the current housing pattern of 52% houses suggests diminishing developable land availability and a response to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. Alphington has an average of around 26 people per dwelling approval, indicating characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Alphington is expected to grow by approximately 5,500 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Alphington has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 22 projects that may impact this region. Notable projects include Alphington Village, Paper House Alphington, Samma Place, Ivanhoe, and YarraBend. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Alphington has been broadly consistent with national averages

Alphington has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate was 4.6% as of December 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 4.9% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation. In December 2025, 4,003 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 0.2% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation in Alphington lagged behind Greater Melbourne at 63.8%, compared to 71.3%. Census responses showed that 50.9% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Residents' employment was concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. Notably, professional & technical jobs were at 1.4 times the regional average.

Conversely, construction showed lower representation at 5.6% compared to the regional average of 9.7%. Limited local employment opportunities were indicated by the Census working population count versus resident population in this predominantly residential area. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 4.9%, while labour force grew by 4.7%, leading to a 0.2 percentage point decrease in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 2.4%, labour force grow by 2.8%, and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Alphington's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.3% over five years and 14.8% over ten years, although these are simple weighted extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

As per AreaSearch's latest data released on 24/6/2023 for financial year 2023, Alphington suburb has a median income among taxpayers of $67,383 and an average of $100,972. This places it in the top percentile nationally. Comparing to Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164 is notable. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Alphington would be approximately $72,942 (median) and $109,302 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census data, incomes in Alphington rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 91st percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. The earnings profile shows that 29.7% of residents (2,286 people) fall into the $4,000+ bracket, unlike regional trends where 32.8% fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 range. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 42.5% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power in the community. Housing accounts for 14.1% of income, and residents rank highly in disposable income at the 89th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Alphington displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Alphington's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 52.1% houses and 47.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Alphington stood at 33.0%, with the rest being mortgaged (32.7%) or rented (34.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,492, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Alphington was $451, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Alphington's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Alphington features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 63.9% of all households, including 30.4% couples with children, 24.8% couples without children, and 8.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 36.1%, with lone person households at 29.4% and group households comprising 6.3%. The median household size is 2.4 people, smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational achievement in Alphington places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Educational attainment in Alphington is notably high, with 57.9% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications. This figure exceeds the national average of 30.4% and the Victorian state average of 33.4%. The most common university qualification in Alphington is a Bachelor degree, held by 33.8% of residents in this age group. Postgraduate qualifications are held by 17.2%, and graduate diplomas by 6.9%.

Vocational pathways account for 17.4% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 8.8% and certificates at 8.6%. Educational participation is high in Alphington, with 29.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.1% enrolled in tertiary education, 8.3% in primary education, and 7.1% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Alphington has 30 active public transport stops, all bus services. These are covered by nine routes, offering a total of 2800 weekly passenger trips. The average distance to the nearest stop is 183 meters. Most residents commute outward; cars are dominant at 73%, with trains at 10% and cycling at 7%. Average vehicle ownership is 1.2 per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 50.9% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions.

Daily service frequency averages 400 trips across all routes, equating to about 93 weekly trips per stop.

Alphington's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Alphington. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover was found to be exceptionally high at approximately 67% of the total population (5,124 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne and 55.7% nationally.

The most common medical conditions in the area were mental health issues and asthma, impacting 10.2 and 8.2% of residents respectively. A total of 70.2% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. As of the latest data (2021), 14.4% of residents were aged 65 and over (1,108 people). Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Alphington was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Alphington's cultural diversity was found to be above average, with 23.0% of its population born overseas and 18.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the main religion in Alphington, comprising 36.1% of people. Judaism was notably overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, making up 0.6% of Alphington's population versus 1.0%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (23.4%), Australian (20.9%), and Irish (10.5%). Italian, Greek, and Macedonian ethnicities were also overrepresented in Alphington compared to regional averages: Italian at 7.0% vs 5.2%, Greek at 4.0% vs 2.7%, and Macedonian at 0.9% vs 0.7%.

Alphington's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Alphington is 38 years, close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and equivalent to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Alphington has a higher percentage of residents aged 55-64 (12.7%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (9.9%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the population aged 35-44 has increased from 14.2% to 16.0%, while the 45-54 age group has decreased from 14.6% to 13.4%. By 2041, Alphington's age composition is expected to change significantly, with the 45-54 age group projected to grow by 104% (1,068 people), reaching a total of 2,100 from its current figure of 1,031.