Alphington

Alphington lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, Alphington's population is estimated at around 7699 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1997 people (35%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5702 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 7645, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 693 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2730 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Alphington's growth of 35% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.9%), along with the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 56.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including interstate migration and natural growth were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, exceptional growth is predicted over the period with the suburb expected to increase by 3459 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 27.1% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Alphington among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Alphington recorded approximately 233 residential properties granted approval each year based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 1,168 homes were approved, with a further 61 approved in FY-26 as of now. On average, 0.3 new residents arrived per new home over these five years.

The average construction value of new homes was $540,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment. This year, there have been $44.9 million in commercial approvals, suggesting strong local business investment. New building activity shows 4.0% standalone homes and 96.0% townhouses or apartments, a significant shift from current housing patterns of 52.0% houses. Alphington has around 26 people per dwelling approval, indicating growth area characteristics.

According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Alphington is expected to grow by approximately 2,090 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Alphington has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 22 projects likely to impact this region. Notable projects include Alphington Village, Paper House Alphington, Samma Place, Ivanhoe, and YarraBend. The following list details those expected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Alphington has been broadly consistent with national averages

Alphington has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate was 4.6% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 5.2%. As of September 2025, there are 3,968 employed residents, matching Greater Melbourne's unemployment rate of 4.7%, but with lower workforce participation at 63.4%.

Home workership is high at 50.9% due to Covid-19 impacts. Key industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training, with notable concentration in the latter at 1.4 times the regional average. Conversely, construction shows lower representation at 5.6%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by resident population vs working population count.

Between September 2024 to September 2025, employment levels increased by 5.2%, labour force by 4.9%, and unemployment fell by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.0% and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (May-25) project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Alphington's employment mix suggests local growth should be 7.3% over five years and 14.8% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for the financial year 2023 shows Alphington had a median income among taxpayers of $67,383 and an average of $100,972. This places it in the top percentile nationally, compared to Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $72,942 (median) and $109,302 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023. The 2021 Census indicates Alphington's household, family, and personal incomes rank between the 88th and 91st percentiles nationally. In Alphington, 29.7% of residents earn $4000 or more weekly (2,286 people), unlike regional trends where 32.8% fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 range. Higher earners make up a substantial presence with 42.5% exceeding $3,000 weekly. Housing accounts for 14.1% of income, and residents rank in the 89th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Alphington displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Alphington's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 52.1% houses and 47.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Alphington stood at 33.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.7% and rented ones at 34.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,492, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,000. The median weekly rent in Alphington was $451, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Alphington's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,492 compared to the Australian average of $1,863. Rents were also substantially higher at $451 compared to the national figure of $375.

Alphington features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 63.9% of all households, including 30.4% couples with children, 24.8% couples without children, and 8.0% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 36.1%, with lone person households at 29.4% and group households at 6.3%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational achievement in Alphington places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Educational attainment in Alphington is notably higher than national averages. Among residents aged 15+, 57.9% hold university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 33.4% in Victoria. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 33.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (17.2%) and graduate diplomas (6.9%). Vocational pathways account for 17.4%, with advanced diplomas at 8.8% and certificates at 8.6%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.7% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.1% in tertiary education, 8.3% in primary education, and 7.1% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transport in Alphington indicates 30 active transport stops operating within the area. These are served by nine individual bus routes, collectively facilitating 2800 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 183 meters from their nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward. The car remains the dominant mode of transport at 73%, with 10% using the train and 7% cycling. Vehicle ownership averages 1.2 per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 50.9% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 400 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 93 weekly trips per individual stop.

Alphington's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Alphington. AreaSearch's assessment found low prevalence of common health conditions across both young and old age cohorts. The rate of private health cover was exceptionally high at approximately 67% of the total population (5,124 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues impacted 10.2% of residents, while asthma affected 8.2%. A total of 70.2% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The under-65 population demonstrated better than average health outcomes. As of the assessment date, 15.1% of residents were aged 65 and over (1,162 people). Health outcomes among seniors were particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Alphington was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Alphington, surveyed in June 2016, had a cultural diversity above average with 23.0% of its population born overseas and 18.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the main religion, comprising 36.1%. Judaism was overrepresented at 0.6%, compared to 1.0% in Greater Melbourne.

The top three ancestry groups were English (23.4%), Australian (20.9%), and Irish (10.5%). Italian (7.0%) and Greek (4.0%) were notably overrepresented, while Macedonian was slightly higher at 0.9%.

Alphington's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Alphington is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, the 55-64 age group is notably over-represented in Alphington at 13.1%, while the 5-14 age group is under-represented at 9.8%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15-24 age group has increased from 12.0% to 13.0% of the population, while the 45-54 age group has decreased from 14.6% to 13.6%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Alphington, with the 45-54 age group expected to grow by 50%, increasing from 1,047 people to 1,568.