Alphington

Alphington lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population for the Alphington statistical area (Lv2) is around 7,697, reflecting a 35.0% increase since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 5,702. This growth is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 7,645 based on latest ERP data release by ABS (June 2024) and additional 690 validated new addresses since the Census date. The area's population density is 2,729 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. Alphington's growth exceeded both national average (9.7%) and state average since the 2021 census. Overseas migration contributed approximately 56.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including interstate migration and natural growth being positive factors. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with base year 2022, utilising VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 adjusted employing weighted aggregation method for areas not covered by the data.

Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends predict exceptional growth placing Alphington (SA2) in the top 10 percent of statistical areas nationally, with an expected growth of 3,465 persons by 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections reflecting a total gain of 27.2% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Alphington among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Alphington shows an average of approximately 233 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 1,168 homes. As of FY-26, 61 approvals have been recorded. The average number of new residents per year per dwelling constructed is around 0.3.

New supply has kept pace with or exceeded demand, offering ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of new homes is $540,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment. In FY-26, commercial approvals totalled $44.9 million, suggesting strong commercial development momentum. Recent construction comprises 4.0% detached dwellings and 96.0% attached dwellings, marking a significant shift from existing housing patterns of 52.0% houses.

This skew toward compact living offers affordable entry pathways, attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. The location has approximately 26 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. Future projections estimate Alphington to add 2,096 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Alphington has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 22 projects potentially impacting the region. Notable initiatives include Alphington Village, Paper House Alphington, Samma Place, Ivanhoe, and YarraBend. The following details projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Alphington demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Alphington's workforce is highly educated with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 4.6% as of September 2025, aligning with Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.2%. There are 3,968 residents currently employed, with a workforce participation rate of 71.2%, higher than Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. Notably, the area has a high concentration in professional & technical services, with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

However, construction is under-represented, comprising only 5.6% of Alphington's workforce compared to Greater Melbourne's 9.7%. Over the past year, employment increased by 5.2%, while the labour force grew by 4.9%, leading to a decrease in unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with an increase in unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National employment forecasts suggest growth of 6.6% over five years and 14.8% over ten years for Alphington, based on industry-specific projections applied to its current employment mix.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released on June 30, 2023, Alphington had a median income among taxpayers of $67,383 and an average income of $100,972. Nationally, the median income was $57,688 and the average was $75,164 in Greater Melbourne. As of September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $72,942 (median) and $109,302 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25%. In Census 2021 data, Alphington's household, family, and personal incomes ranked between the 88th and 91st percentiles nationally. Income distribution showed 29.7% of residents earning $4000+ compared to the broader area's leading bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 at 32.8%. High weekly earnings exceeding $3,000 were achieved by 42.5% of households, indicating strong consumer spending power. Housing expenses accounted for 14.1% of income, placing residents in the 89th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking was in the 10th decile.

Alphington displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with strong rates of outright home ownership

In Alphington, as per the latest Census evaluation, 52.1% of dwellings were houses while 47.8% comprised semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. Home ownership stood at 33.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.7% and rented ones at 34.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,492, and the median weekly rent was $451. Nationally, Alphington's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were above the national figure of $375.

Alphington features high concentrations of group households, with a median household size of 2.4 people

Family households comprise 63.9% of all households, including 30.4% couples with children, 24.8% couples without children, and 8.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for 36.1%, with lone person households at 29.4% and group households making up 6.3%. The median household size is 2.4 people.

Educational achievement in Alphington places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Educational attainment in Alphington is notably high, with 57.9% of residents aged 15 years and over holding university qualifications. This compares to 30.4% at the national level and 33.4% in Victoria. The area's educational advantage is evident in its distribution of qualifications: Bachelor degrees are most common at 33.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (17.2%) and graduate diplomas (6.9%). Vocational pathways account for 17.4% of qualifications among those aged 15 years and over, with advanced diplomas making up 8.8% and certificates 8.6%.

Educational participation is high in Alphington, with 29.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.1% in tertiary education, 8.3% in primary education, and 7.1% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Alphington has 30 active public transport stops, consisting of both train and bus services. These stops are served by 9 different routes that together facilitate 2,800 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 183 meters to the nearest stop.

The service frequency is 400 trips per day across all routes, translating to around 93 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Alphington is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Alphington shows better-than-average health outcomes for both younger and older age groups. Common health conditions have low prevalence here.

Approximately 67% of Alphington's total population of 5,123 people have private health cover, higher than the national average of 55.7%. Mental health issues affect 10.2% of residents, while asthma impacts 8.2%. Notably, 70.2% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 0% across Greater Melbourne. Alphington has 14.7% of residents aged 65 and over (1,131 people). Senior health outcomes align with the general population's profile in this area.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Alphington was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Alphington's population, surveyed as of June 2016, showed cultural diversity with 23.0% born overseas and 18.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 36.1%. Judaism, at 0.6%, was notably higher compared to none reported in Greater Melbourne.

Ancestry-wise, the top three groups were English (23.4%), Australian (20.9%), and Irish (10.5%). Italian (7.0%) and Greek (4.0%) populations were significantly higher than regional averages of none each. Macedonian ancestry was also present at 0.9%, compared to none regionally.

Alphington's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Alphington is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, the 55-64 cohort is notably over-represented in Alphington at 13.1%, while the 5-14 age group is under-represented at 9.9%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15-24 age group has grown from 12.0% to 13.0% of Alphington's population, while the 45-54 cohort has declined from 14.6% to 13.7%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Alphington. The 45-54 age group is projected to grow by 49%, adding 515 people and reaching a total of 1,570 from the current figure of 1,054. The 0-4 age group is expected to grow modestly at 5%, adding only 15 residents.