Alphington

Alphington lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

By May 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Alphington was around 8,122, reflecting a growth of 2,420 people since the 2021 Census. This increase represents a 42.4% rise from the previous population count of 5,702. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 8,121, based on their examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 693 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,880 persons per square kilometer, placing Alphington in the upper quartile compared to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 42.4% since the 2021 census surpassed both the state average of 9.3% and the national average, indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 56.99999999999999% to overall population gains during recent periods, with other factors such as interstate migration and natural growth also being positive contributors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 using a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilizes the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made via weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, Alphington is expected to experience exceptional growth, placing it in the top 10 percent of statistical areas analyzed by AreaSearch. By 2041, the suburb's population is projected to increase by 5,671 persons, reflecting a total gain of 69.8% over the 16-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Alphington was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Alphington has recorded approximately 233 residential properties granted approval per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 1,168 homes were approved, with a further 79 approved in FY-26 to date. On average, each dwelling constructed over these years accommodates about 1.6 new residents annually.

This indicates a balance between supply and demand, maintaining stable market conditions. The average construction cost for new dwellings is around $540,000, suggesting developer focus on the premium segment. In FY-26 alone, commercial approvals have totalled $44.9 million, demonstrating strong commercial development momentum. New developments comprise 4.0% standalone homes and 96.0% medium to high-density housing, shifting from the area's current 52.0% houses.

This trend reflects decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyles requiring diverse housing options. Alphington has approximately 31 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. By 2041, AreaSearch forecasts a population increase of 5,670 residents. Given current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current projections.

Alphington has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 21 projects that could impact this region. Notable initiatives include Alphington Village, Thomas Embling Hospital Expansion, Paper House Alphington, and Samma Place, Ivanhoe. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment environment in Alphington shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Alphington's workforce is highly educated with professional services well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 4.6% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 11.1%. As of December 2025, 5,360 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.1% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, and workforce participation at 80.4%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 69.9%.

According to Census responses, 50.9% of residents worked from home, possibly influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training. Professional & technical jobs were particularly notable, at 1.4 times the regional average, while construction employed only 5.6% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 9.7%. Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 11.1%, and labour force grew by 10.9%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points.

In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 2.4%, labour force grow by 2.8%, and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Alphington's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.3% over five years and 14.8% over ten years, assuming constant population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year ended June 2023, Alphington suburb had a median income among taxpayers of $67,383 and an average level of $100,972. Nationally, these figures are exceptionally high compared to $57,688 median and $75,164 average in Greater Melbourne. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year ended June 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $73,865 (median) and $110,686 (average). Census data from 2021 shows Alphington's household, family and personal incomes rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 91st percentiles. Income distribution reveals that 29.7% of residents earn over $4,000 per week, contrasting with the surrounding region where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket is dominant at 32.8%. The suburb demonstrates considerable affluence with 42.5% earning over $3,000 weekly, supporting premium retail and services. Housing accounts for 14.1% of income, while strong earnings place residents in the 89th percentile for disposable income. Alphington's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Alphington displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Alphington's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 52.1% houses and 47.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Alphington stood at 33.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.7% and rented ones at 34.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,492, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,000, while the median weekly rent was $451, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Alphington's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,492 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Alphington features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 63.9 percent of all households, including 30.4 percent couples with children, 24.8 percent couples without children, and 8.0 percent single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 36.1 percent, with lone person households at 29.4 percent and group households comprising 6.3 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational achievement in Alphington places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Educational attainment in Alphington is notably higher than national and state averages. As of 2021, 57.9% of residents aged 15 years and above have university qualifications, compared to the Australian average of 30.4% and Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 33.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (17.2%) and graduate diplomas (6.9%). Vocational pathways account for 17.4% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 8.8% and certificates at 8.6%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the latest data. This includes 9.1% in tertiary education, 8.3% in primary education, and 7.1% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Alphington has 30 active public transport stops, all bus services. These are covered by nine routes, handling 2800 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents living an average of 183 meters from the nearest stop. Most commuting in this residential area is outward-bound. Cars remain the dominant mode at 73%, followed by trains at 10% and cycling at 7%. On average, there are 1.2 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 50.9% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Daily service frequency averages 400 trips across all routes, equating to about 93 weekly trips per stop.

Alphington's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis shows Alphington's health metrics perform strongly across mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence for both young and old age cohorts, with low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 67% (5,406 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7% and the national average of 55.7%. Mental health issues impacted 10.2% of residents, while asthma affected 8.2%.

Around 70.2% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. The under-65 population has better than average health outcomes. Alphington has 14.2% (1,153 people) aged 65 and over, with seniors' health outcomes ranking broadly in line with the general population nationally.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Alphington was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Alphington, surveyed in 2016, showed higher than average cultural diversity with 23.0% of its population born overseas and 18.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 36.1%. Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.6%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.0%.

Top ancestry groups were English (23.4%), Australian (20.9%), and Irish (10.5%). Notable divergences included Italian (7.0% vs regional 5.2%), Greek (4.0% vs 2.7%), and Macedonian (0.9% vs 0.7%) groups being more prevalent in Alphington than in the wider area.

Alphington's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Alphington as of 38 years is close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and equivalent to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Alphington has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (12.3%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (10.0%). Between the 2016 Census and the 2021 Census, Alphington's median age decreased from 39 to 38 years. The 35-44 age group increased from 14.2% to 16.3%, while the 25-34 cohort grew from 16.1% to 17.9%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort declined from 14.6% to 12.9% and the 55-64 group decreased from 13.6% to 12.3%. By 2041, Alphington's age composition is expected to shift notably. The 45-54 age group is projected to grow by 108%, reaching 2,177 people from 1,047.