Aberfoyle Park

Aberfoyle Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

The Aberfoyle Park statistical area (Lv2) had an estimated population of around 11,308 as of November 2025, reflecting a 74-person increase from the 2021 Census figure of 11,234. This change is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 11,182 in June 2024 and eight validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density was 1,936 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration primarily drove this growth. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered and years post-2032, the SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category are adopted, adjusted using weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Future projections indicate a population increase just below the median national level, reaching 12,428 persons by 2041, an 8.8% gain over 17 years based on aggregated SA2-level projections.

The level of residential development activity in Aberfoyle Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Aberfoyle Park had approximately 14 new homes approved each year. Between financial years FY21 and FY25, about 71 homes were approved, with a further 12 approved in FY26 so far. Despite population decline during this period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $328,000. This year, commercial development approvals totalled $20.8 million, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Aberfoyle Park has significantly less development activity, 74.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. The area's development is predominantly detached dwellings (83.0%) with a smaller proportion of townhouses or apartments (17.0%), reflecting Aberfoyle Park's suburban identity focused on family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

With approximately 897 people per dwelling approval, the market is highly mature. Population forecasts indicate Aberfoyle Park will gain 1,001 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Aberfoyle Park has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 18thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified four projects likely affecting the region: Urban Creek Resilience and Recovery Project - Sauerbier and Homestead Creeks, Thalassa Park Master Plan, Aberfoyle Park High School Redevelopment, and Aberfoyle Community Centre Expansion.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis places Aberfoyle Park well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Aberfoyle Park has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate is 2.8%, lower than the Greater Adelaide average of 3.9%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.2%. As of September 2025, 6,177 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.1% below Greater Adelaide's rate. Workforce participation is 64.1%, slightly higher than Greater Adelaide's 61.7%.

Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. However, accommodation & food services show lower representation at 5.3% compared to the regional average of 6.8%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the census working population vs resident population count. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 3.2%, while labour force increased by 3.2%, leaving unemployment broadly flat. In contrast, Greater Adelaide experienced employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a 0.1 percentage point drop in unemployment. State-level data to 25-Nov shows SA employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year, adding 10,710 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.0%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%, with SA's employment growth outpacing the national average of 0.14%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Aberfoyle Park's employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Aberfoyle Park had a median taxpayer income of $52,713 and an average income of $61,371 in the financial year 2023. These figures are below Greater Adelaide's median income of $54,808 and average income of $66,852. By September 2025, estimates suggest Aberfoyle Park's median income will be approximately $57,352 and the average will be around $66,772, based on an 8.8% growth in wages since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Aberfoyle Park rank modestly, between the 45th and 51st percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. The largest income bracket comprises 37.4% of residents earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, which aligns with the broader area where this cohort represents 31.8%. After housing costs, Aberfoyle Park residents retain 87.2% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Aberfoyle Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Aberfoyle Park, as per the latest Census evaluation, 94.5% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 5.5% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other dwelling types. This contrasts with Adelaide metro's figures of 89.2% houses and 10.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Aberfoyle Park stood at 35.1%, with mortgaged dwellings accounting for 49.9% and rented properties making up 14.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,517, higher than Adelaide metro's average of $1,452. The median weekly rent in Aberfoyle Park was recorded at $340, compared to Adelaide metro's figure of $314. Nationally, Aberfoyle Park's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were below the national figure of $375.

Aberfoyle Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.9% of all households, including 35.2% couples with children, 30.2% couples without children, and 12.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 22.1%, with lone person households at 20.4% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Aberfoyle Park exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 26.0% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA3 area average of 18.9%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 18.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.7%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 37.6% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas constitute 11.4% and certificates make up 26.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 26.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.2% in primary, 6.6% in secondary, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 63 active public transport stops operating within Aberfoyle Park. These are a mix of bus stops serviced by 26 individual routes. Together, they provide 822 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 217 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 117 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Aberfoyle Park is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Aberfoyle Park faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~5,797 people), compared to 49.1% across Greater Adelaide.

The most common medical conditions are mental health issues and arthritis, impacting 9.1 and 8.8% of residents respectively. 64.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 62.9% across Greater Adelaide. As of 2016, the area has 22.0% of residents aged 65 and over (2,487 people), which is higher than the 21.0% in Greater Adelaide.

In terms of cultural diversity, Aberfoyle Park records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Aberfoyle Park showed higher than average cultural diversity, with 9.8% speaking a language other than English at home and 22.5% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, at 43.4%. Judaism was overrepresented compared to Greater Adelaide, at 0.2% versus 0.1%.

For ancestry, the top three groups were English (34.1%), Australian (26.5%), and Scottish (7.3%). Polish (1.5%) was notably more common than regionally (0.9%), as was German (6.3% vs 5.4%), while Dutch remained similar at 1.7%.

Aberfoyle Park's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Aberfoyle Park is 42, which is slightly higher than Greater Adelaide's figure of 39 and notably higher than the national average of 38. The 65-74 age group constitutes 12.4% of Aberfoyle Park's population, compared to Greater Adelaide, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 10.6%. According to the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 5.4% to 6.7% of the population. Conversely, the 55 to 64 age group has decreased from 14.5% to 13.4%. By 2041, demographic modeling indicates significant changes in Aberfoyle Park's age profile. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 60%, reaching 1,212 people from the current 757. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 66% of the projected growth. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 cohort is expected to decrease by 234 people.