Aberfoyle Park

Aberfoyle Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of February 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Aberfoyle Park is around 11,308 people. This figure represents an increase of 74 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 11,234 people. This change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 11,182 in June 2024, based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS, and an additional 8 validated new addresses since the Census date. The resulting population density is 1,936 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth in recent periods for the suburb.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category are used, based on 2021 data and released in 2023, with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to experience a population increase just below the median of national areas by 2041. This projection reflects an expansion of 1,121 persons over the 17-year period, representing an 8.8% gain in total population.

The level of residential development activity in Aberfoyle Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Aberfoyle Park has averaged around 14 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, approximately 71 homes were approved, with a further 12 approved in FY26 so far. Despite population decline during this period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $328,000. Commercial development approvals totalled $20.8 million in FY26, indicating balanced commercial activity. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Aberfoyle Park has significantly less development activity, 74.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes, which is also under the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New development consists of 83.0% detached dwellings and 17.0% townhouses or apartments, sustaining Aberfoyle Park's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

With around 897 people per dwelling approval, the area reflects a highly mature market. Population forecasts indicate Aberfoyle Park will gain approximately 1,000 residents by 2041, potentially creating competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth if current development rates do not keep pace with population growth.

Aberfoyle Park has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 13thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects likely affecting this region: Urban Creek Resilience and Recovery Project - Sauerbier and Homestead Creeks, Thalassa Park Master Plan, Aberfoyle Park High School Redevelopment, and Aberfoyle Community Centre Expansion.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis places Aberfoyle Park well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Aberfoyle Park has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. The unemployment rate is 2.8%, lower than Greater Adelaide's 3.9%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.2%.

As of September 2025, 6172 residents are employed. Workforce participation is 68.6%, slightly higher than Greater Adelaide's 66.4%. A low 11.7% of residents work from home.

Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. Conversely, accommodation & food services have lower representation at 5.3% compared to the regional average of 6.8%. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 3.2%, while labour force grew by 3.2%, keeping unemployment relatively stable. In contrast, Greater Adelaide had employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a slight drop in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Aberfoyle Park's employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Aberfoyle Park had median taxpayer income of $52,713 and average income of $61,371 in financial year 2023. These figures are lower than Greater Adelaide's median income of $54,808 and average income of $66,852 respectively. By September 2025, estimates suggest median income could reach approximately $57,352 and average income $66,772, based on an 8.8% increase since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, Aberfoyle Park's incomes rank modestly, between the 45th and 51st percentiles for households, families, and individuals. The largest income bracket comprises 37.4% of residents earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly, which aligns with the broader area where this cohort represents 31.8%. After housing costs, residents retain 87.2% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Aberfoyle Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Aberfoyle Park, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28 August 2016, comprised 94.5% houses and 5.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Adelaide metro's 75.2% houses and 24.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Aberfoyle Park was at 35.1%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (49.9%) or rented (14.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,517, below Adelaide metro's average of $1,562. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $340, compared to Adelaide metro's $320. Nationally, Aberfoyle Park's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are less than the national figure of $375.

Aberfoyle Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.9% of all households, including 35.2% couples with children, 30.2% couples without children, and 12.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 22.1%, with lone person households at 20.4% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is larger than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Aberfoyle Park exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates of 26.0% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA3 area average of 18.9%. This reflects the community's emphasis on higher education. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 18.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.7%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%).

Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 37.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 11.4% and certificates at 26.2%. Educational participation is significantly high, with 26.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.2% in primary education, 6.6% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 63 active stops operating in Aberfoyle Park, serving a mix of bus routes. There are 26 individual routes providing 822 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 217 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature, with car being the dominant mode at 90%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, above the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, only 11.7% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 117 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

Aberfoyle Park's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Aberfoyle Park's health metrics are close to national benchmarks, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

The area has a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts, with mental health issues impacting 9.1% of residents and arthritis affecting 8.8%. Approximately 51% of the total population (~5,797 people) have private health cover, which is relatively low compared to national averages. About 64.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 67.9% across Greater Adelaide. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 22.8% of residents aged 65 and over (2,578 people), which is higher than the 19.3% in Greater Adelaide. National rankings for the area are broadly in line with the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Aberfoyle Park records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Aberfoyle Park showed above-average cultural diversity, with 9.8% speaking a language other than English at home and 22.5% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 43.4%. Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to Greater Adelaide's 0.1%.

For ancestry, the top groups were English (34.1%), Australian (26.5%), and Scottish (7.3%). Notably, Polish (1.5%) and German (6.3%) were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.0% and 5.1%, respectively. Dutch representation was also higher at 1.7%.

Aberfoyle Park's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Aberfoyle Park is 42, which exceeds both Greater Adelaide's figure of 39 and the national norm of 38. The 65-74 age group comprises 12.6% of Aberfoyle Park's population, higher than Greater Adelaide's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort makes up only 10.4%. According to the 2021 Census, the 75-84 age group has grown from 5.4% to 7.4%, while the 55-64 group has declined from 14.5% to 13.0%, and the 45-54 group has dropped from 12.6% to 11.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Aberfoyle Park's age profile will change significantly. The 75-84 group is projected to grow by 44%, reaching 1,209 people from 836. This growth will be led by those aged 65 and above, who are expected to comprise 61% of the total population growth. Meanwhile, the 55-64 cohort is projected to decline by 189 people.