Agnes Water - Miriam Vale

Population growth drivers in Agnes Water - Miriam Vale are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Agnes Water - Miriam Vale's population is around 7,988 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,181 people (17.3%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,807 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 7,886 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 450 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 2.1 persons per square kilometer, providing ample space per person. Agnes Water - Miriam Vale's 17.3% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (6.8%) and the SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration, which contributed approximately 85.9% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers, including overseas migration and natural growth, were positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence, where utilised, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of Australian non-metropolitan areas is expected, with the area expected to increase by 1,065 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 12.1% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Agnes Water - Miriam Vale was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale has recorded around 68 residential properties granted approval per year, totalling 342 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 45 approvals have been recorded. With an average of 4.4 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand is significantly outpacing supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers, while new homes are being built at an average value of $342,000, in line with regional trends. Additionally, $3.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature.

When measured against the Rest of Qld, Agnes Water - Miriam Vale records 202.0% more new home approvals (per person), offering buyers greater choice. Meanwhile, recent development has been entirely comprised of detached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 125 people per dwelling approval, Agnes Water - Miriam Vale shows characteristics of a growth area.

Looking ahead, Agnes Water - Miriam Vale is expected to grow by 963 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 22 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Discovery Drive Residential Development (Lot 2 Captain Cook Drive), Laguna Agnes Water, Rutherglen Solar & Storage, and Eurimbula Solar Farm (formerly Rodds Bay Solar Farm), with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Agnes Water - Miriam Vale face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale has a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment, with the construction sector a particular standout in terms of representation, and an unemployment rate of 7.0%. As of December 2025, 3,342 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 3.0% above Regional Qld's rate of 4.0%, and workforce participation lags significantly (53.6% compared to Regional Qld's 65.4%). Based on Census responses, a moderate 18.4% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are construction, accommodation & food, and retail trade. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in accommodation & food, with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average. Conversely, health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 6.8% versus the regional average of 16.1%. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, the labour force decreased by 3.2% combined with employment decreasing by 1.6%, causing unemployment to fall by 1.5 percentage points. By comparison, Regional Qld recorded employment growth of 0.7%, labour force growth of 1.0%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Agnes Water - Miriam Vale. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Agnes Water - Miriam Vale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.4% over five years and 11.5% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Agnes Water - Miriam Vale SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $38,415 with the average level standing at $54,777. This is below the national average and compares to levels of $53,146 and $66,593 across Regional Qld respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $42,222 (median) and $60,205 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Agnes Water - Miriam Vale all fall between the 3rd and 4th percentiles nationally. Distribution data shows 27.1% of the population (2,164 individuals) fall within the $400 - 799 income range, diverging from regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 31.7%. After housing, 85.7% of income remains, though this ranks at only the 6th percentile nationally.

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Agnes Water - Miriam Vale, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 91.7% houses and 8.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Agnes Water - Miriam Vale was well beyond that of Regional Qld, at 51.4%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (32.1%) or rented (16.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Regional Qld average at $1,336, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $275, compared to Regional Qld's $1,655 and $345. Nationally, Agnes Water - Miriam Vale's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 68.3% of all households, comprising 20.4% couples with children, 38.5% couples without children, and 8.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 31.7%, with lone person households at 28.0% and group households comprising 3.7% of the total. The median household size of 2.2 people is smaller than the Regional Qld average of 2.5.

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (13.4%) substantially below the Australian average of 30.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 9.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 45.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (9.6%) and certificates (36.1%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 9.9% in secondary education, and 2.1% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health outcomes in Agnes Water - Miriam Vale are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Health indicators suggest below-average outcomes in Agnes Water - Miriam Vale, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 47% of the total population (~3,738 people). This compares to 52.5% across Regional Qld. The national average is 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 11.5 and 8.7% of residents, respectively, while 63.9% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 24.9% of residents aged 65 and over (1,991 people), which is higher than the 20.4% in Regional Qld. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 83.8% of its population being citizens, 85.7% born in Australia, and 96.6% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Agnes Water - Miriam Vale is Christianity, which makes up 47.8% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Judaism, which comprises 0.1% of the population, compared to 0.1% across Regional Qld.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Agnes Water - Miriam Vale are English, comprising 32.6% of the population, Australian, comprising 31.3% of the population, and Scottish, comprising 8.2% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: German is notably overrepresented at 6.0% in Agnes Water - Miriam Vale (vs 4.7% regionally), Russian at 0.4% (vs 0.2%) and Australian Aboriginal at 2.8% (vs 3.9%).

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

With a median age of 52, Agnes Water - Miriam Vale notably exceeds the Regional Qld figure of 41 and is well above the 38-year national average. The 55 - 64 age group shows strong representation at 21.2% compared to Regional Qld, whereas the 25 - 34 cohort is less prevalent at 5.9%. This 55 - 64 concentration is well above the national 11.2%. Following the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 6.6% to 8.1% of the population, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 5.9% to 7.3%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 16.2% to 14.2%. Demographic modeling suggests Agnes Water - Miriam Vale's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 65 to 74 age cohort is projected to experience strong growth, expanding by 221 people (17%) from 1,310 to 1,532. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 52% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Conversely, numbers in the 15 to 24 age range are expected to fall by 54.