Agnes Water - Miriam Vale

Population growth drivers in Agnes Water - Miriam Vale are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale's population is approximately 7,988 as of Feb 2026. This figure represents an increase of 1,181 people, a rise of 17.3% since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 6,807 people. The change is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 7,886 in June 2024 and an additional 450 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2.1 persons per square kilometer. Agnes Water - Miriam Vale's growth rate exceeded that of its SA4 region (6.8%) and SA3 area, making it a growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 85.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. These state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort. Based on projected demographic shifts, the area is expected to increase by approximately 1,065 persons to reach a total of around 9,052 people by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of about 12.1% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Agnes Water - Miriam Vale was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale has recorded approximately 68 residential property approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 342 homes. As of FY-26, 36 approvals have been granted. On average, about 4.4 people moved to the area for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25. This high demand has led to increased competition among buyers and upward pressure on prices.

The average construction cost of new homes is around $342,000, in line with regional trends. In this financial year, approximately $3.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating the area's predominantly residential nature. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Agnes Water - Miriam Vale has recorded 202.0% more new home approvals per capita, offering buyers greater choice. Recent development has consisted entirely of detached dwellings, preserving the area's low-density character and attracting space-seeking buyers.

With around 125 people moving in for each dwelling approval, Agnes Water - Miriam Vale exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by approximately 963 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes to its local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 22 projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable among these are Discovery Drive Residential Development (Lot 2 Captain Cook Drive), Laguna Agnes Water, Rutherglen Solar & Storage, and Eurimbula Solar Farm (formerly Rodds Bay Solar Farm). The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Agnes Water - Miriam Vale face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Agnes Water-Miram Vale has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar employment. The construction sector is prominent. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 9.1%.

There are 3,329 residents employed, which is 5.0% higher than Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation is lower at 54.6%, compared to Rest of Qld's 65.7%. According to Census responses, 18.4% of residents work from home. Key industries include construction, accommodation & food, and retail trade.

The area has a notable concentration in accommodation & food, with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average. Conversely, health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 6.8%, compared to the regional average of 16.1%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited, as indicated by the Census working population count versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, the labour force increased by 1.6% while employment decreased by 0.7%, causing unemployment to rise by 2.1 percentage points. Rest of Qld recorded employment growth of 1.7% during this period. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (May-25) suggest that Agnes Water-Miram Vale's employment should increase by 5.4% over five years and 11.5% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2023 indicates Agnes Water - Miriam Vale SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $38,415 and an average income of $54,777. These figures are below the national averages of $53,146 and $66,593 for Rest of Qld respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $42,222 (median) and $60,205 (average). According to 2021 Census figures, Agnes Water - Miriam Vale's household, family, and personal incomes fall between the 3rd and 4th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows 27.1% of the population (2,164 individuals) earn within the $400-$799 range, differing from regional levels where the $1,500-$2,999 category is predominant at 31.7%. After housing costs, 85.7% of income remains, ranking at the 6th percentile nationally.

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Agnes Water - Miriam Vale, as recorded in the latest Census, 91.7% of dwellings were houses, with 8.4% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This compares to Non-Metro Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Agnes Water - Miriam Vale stood at 51.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.1% and rented ones at 16.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,336, lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,655. The median weekly rent in the area was $275, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $345. Nationally, Agnes Water - Miriam Vale's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,336 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 68.3% of all households, including 20.4% couples with children, 38.5% couples without children, and 8.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 31.7%, with lone person households at 28.0% and group households making up 3.7%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5 people.

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 13.4%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. This disparity presents both challenges and opportunities for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 45.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.6%) and certificates (36.1%).

Educational participation is high, with 27.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (10.6%), secondary education (9.9%), and tertiary education (2.1%).

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health outcomes in Agnes Water - Miriam Vale are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale shows below-average health indicators based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are higher than average for both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is very low at approximately 47% of the total population (~3,738 people), compared to 52.5% in Rest of Qld and the national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis (11.5%) and mental health issues (8.7%). 63.9% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 67.6% in Rest of Qld. Working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 24.9%, compared to 20.4% in Rest of Qld. Health outcomes among seniors rank even higher than the general population nationally.

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Agnes Water-Miram Vale had a cultural diversity index below the average, with 83.8% of its population being citizens born in Australia speaking English only at home (85.7%, 96.6% respectively). Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 47.8%. Judaism's representation was notably higher than the regional average, comprising 0.1% compared to 0.1% across Rest of Qld.

The top three ancestry groups were English (32.6%), Australian (31.3%), and Scottish (8.2%). Some ethnic groups showed significant differences: German at 6.0% (vs regional 4.7%), Russian at 0.4% (vs 0.2%), and Australian Aboriginal at 2.8% (vs 3.9%).

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale has a median age of 52, which is higher than the Rest of Qld figure of 41 and above the national average of 38. The 55-64 age group constitutes 21.2%, compared to Rest of Qld's percentage, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 5.9%. This concentration in the 55-64 age group is significantly higher than the national average of 11.2%. According to the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 6.6% to 8.1%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has risen from 5.9% to 7.3%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age group has decreased from 16.2% to 14.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling indicates that Agnes Water - Miriam Vale's age profile will change significantly. The 65 to 74 age cohort is projected to grow by 221 people, from 1,310 to 1,532, an increase of 17%. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 52% of total population growth. Conversely, the numbers in the 15 to 24 age range are projected to decrease by 54.