Agnes Water - Miriam Vale

Population growth drivers in Agnes Water - Miriam Vale are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale's population is around 8,321 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,514 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,807. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 8,267 in June 2025 and an additional 473 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2.2 persons per square kilometer. Agnes Water - Miriam Vale's growth rate of 22.2% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region's 7.4%, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 87.6% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. Considering projected demographic shifts, the area is expected to increase by 956 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 10.8% over the 16 years.

The level of residential development activity in Agnes Water - Miriam Vale was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale has granted around 68 residential property approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 342 homes. As of FY-26, 58 approvals have been recorded. On average, 4.4 people per year moved to the area for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating high demand outpacing supply. New homes are constructed at an average cost of $342,000, aligning with regional trends.

This financial year has seen $3.8 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to the Rest of Qld, Agnes Water - Miriam Vale records 194.0% more new home approvals per person, offering buyers greater choice. Recent development has consisted entirely of detached dwellings, preserving the area's low density character and attracting space-seeking buyers with around 125 people per dwelling approval. By 2041, Agnes Water - Miriam Vale is projected to grow by 902 residents, suggesting that current development rates should comfortably meet demand and support further growth beyond current population projections.

Looking ahead, Agnes Water - Miriam Vale is expected to grow by 902 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 23 projects likely to influence the region. Notable ones are Discovery Drive Residential Development (Lot 2 Captain Cook Drive), Laguna Agnes Water, Rutherglen Solar & Storage, and Eurimbula Solar Farm (formerly Rodds Bay Solar Farm). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Agnes Water - Miriam Vale face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent. As of December 2025, 3,342 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 7.0%.

This rate is 3.0% higher than Regional Qld's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation stands at 51.6%, significantly lower than Regional Qld's 64.5%. According to Census responses, 18.4% of residents work from home. Key industries are construction, accommodation & food, and retail trade.

Accommodation & food has notable concentration, with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average. Conversely, health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 6.8%, compared to Regional Qld's 16.1%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data comparing working population and resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, the labour force decreased by 3.2% and employment fell by 1.6%, causing unemployment to drop by 1.5 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Qld saw employment growth of 0.7% and labour force growth of 1.0%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Agnes Water - Miriam Vale's employment should increase by 5.4% over five years and 11.5% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023 shows Agnes Water - Miriam Vale SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $38,415 and an average level of $54,777. This is below the national average of $66,593. In Regional Qld, the median was $53,146 and the average was $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Agnes Water - Miriam Vale are approximately $42,779 (median) and $61,000 (average) as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Agnes Water - Miriam Vale fall between the 3rd and 4th percentiles nationally. Distribution data shows 27.1% of the population (2,254 individuals) have incomes ranging from $400 to $799, differing from regional levels where the $1,500 to $2,999 category is predominant at 31.7%. After housing costs, 85.7% of income remains, ranking at only the 6th percentile nationally.

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale's dwellings were 91.7% houses and 8.4% other types (semi-detached, apartments, 'other') in the latest Census, compared to Regional Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% others. Home ownership was higher at 51.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.1% and rented at 16.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,336, lower than Regional Qld's average of $1,655. Median weekly rent was $275, compared to Regional Qld's $345. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,863 and rents substantially below the national figure of $375.

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 68.3% of all households, including 20.4% couples with children, 38.5% couples without children, and 8.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 31.7%, with lone person households at 28.0% and group households comprising 3.7% of the total. The median household size is 2.2 people, smaller than the Regional Queensland average of 2.5.

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 13.4%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. This discrepancy presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 45.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 9.6% and certificates at 36.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 27.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 9.9% in secondary education, and 2.1% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health outcomes in Agnes Water - Miriam Vale are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Health indicators suggest below-average health outcomes in Agnes Water - Miriam Vale. AreaSearch's assessment shows mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are lower than average for both younger and older age cohorts. Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent than average, affecting approximately 43.1% of residents compared to 40.7% across Regional Qld and 35.9% nationally.

Private health cover is very low at around 47%, with about 3,894 people covered, compared to 52.5% in Regional Qld and the national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (11.5%) and mental health issues (8.7%). About 63.9% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors, with 25.2% aged 65 and over (2,099 people), compared to 20.4% in Regional Qld. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are strong, ranking even higher than the general population nationally.

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Agnes Water-Miram Vale, as per the 2016 Census, had a cultural diversity index of below average. The population was predominantly Australian citizens (83.8%), born in Australia (85.7%), and speaking English only at home (96.6%). Christianity was the dominant religion (47.8%).

While Judaism's representation was similar to Regional Queensland (0.1% each), notable overrepresentation occurred for German ancestry (6.0%, vs regional 4.7%) and Russian ancestry (0.4%, vs regional 0.2%). Conversely, Australian Aboriginal ancestry showed underrepresentation at 2.8% (vs regional 3.9%).

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Agnes Water - Miriam Vale has a median age of 52, which is higher than Regional Queensland's figure of 41 and also above the national average of 38. The age group of 55-64 years shows strong representation at 20.8%, compared to Regional Queensland's figure. However, the 25-34 age cohort is less prevalent at 5.4%. This concentration of the 55-64 age group is well above the national average of 11.2%. According to the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 5.9% to 7.4%, while the 15 to 24 cohort has increased from 6.6% to 7.8%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age group has declined from 16.2% to 14.2%, and the 25 to 34 age group has dropped from 6.5% to 5.4%. Demographic modeling suggests that Agnes Water - Miriam Vale's age profile will significantly evolve by 2041. The 65 to 74 age cohort is projected to experience strong growth, expanding by 217 people (16%) from 1,392 to 1,610. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 54% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Conversely, numbers in the 15 to 24 age range are expected to fall by 61.