Gin Gin
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Gin Gin reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Gin Gin's population is approximately 5,800 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 398 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 5,402. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 5,745 in June 2024 and an additional 156 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2.5 persons per square kilometer. Gin Gin's 7.4% population growth since the 2021 census exceeds that of its SA3 area (6.2%), indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 82.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 using 2022 data as the base year. Based on projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of regional areas across the nation is expected. Gin Gin's population is projected to grow by approximately 390 persons to reach 6,190 by 2041, recording an overall gain of 5.8% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Gin Gin when compared nationally

Gin Gin has seen approximately 20 new homes approved each year. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 102 homes were approved, with an additional 4 approved so far in FY-26. On average, around 4.1 new residents arrive per dwelling constructed annually during this period.

This has led to demand outpacing supply, potentially influencing prices and competition among buyers. The average construction value of new homes is $230,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers in Gin Gin. In FY-26 alone, $1.9 million worth of commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's residential nature.

Comparing Gin Gin to the rest of Queensland, it has seen slightly more development, with 13.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. This maintains reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. All new construction in the area consists of detached dwellings, preserving its traditional low-density character and focusing on family homes. Gin Gin has approximately 228 people per dwelling approval, indicating room for growth. Population forecasts project an increase of 335 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favorable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Gin Gin has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 38thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified seven projects potentially affecting this region. Notable ones are Bundaberg Solar Farm by GPG Australia, Mt Rawdon Pumped Hydro Project, Mt Perry Summit Walk, and Mount Perry Waste Facility Solar Upgrade Project. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment drivers in Gin Gin are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Gin Gin has a balanced workforce with representation from both white and blue collar jobs across various sectors. The unemployment rate in the area was 9.1% as of June 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 4.8% over the past year.

As of this date, 2,322 residents were employed while the unemployment rate stood at 5.2%, which is higher than the Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation in Gin Gin was significantly lower at 41.9% compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. The key industries employing Gin Gin residents were agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area had a particular specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share 5.4 times the regional level.

However, health care & social assistance was under-represented, with only 12.4% of Gin Gin's workforce compared to 16.1% in Rest of Qld. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 4.8%, while labour force grew by 7.9%, leading to an unemployment rise of 2.7 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Qld recorded employment growth of 1.8% and labour force growth of 2.0%, with unemployment rising by only 0.2 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 provide insight into potential future demand within Gin Gin. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, suggest that nationally, employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Gin Gin's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 5.1% over five years and 11.6% over ten years. These figures are based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and do not take into account localised population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Gin Gin's median taxpayer income was $33,870 and average income was $43,922 in financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is lower than the national average, with Rest of Qld having a median income of $50,780 and average income of $64,844. By September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $38,608 and average income $50,067, based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022. Census data shows Gin Gin's household, family, and personal incomes all fall between the 2nd and 2nd percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that 31.1% of Gin Gin residents earn between $400 - $799 (1,803 individuals), contrasting with metropolitan regions where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket leads at 31.7%. Economic circumstances reflect financial pressure, with 41.6% of households having weekly budgets below $800. Despite modest housing costs, with 88.1% of income retained, total disposable income ranks at just the 5th percentile nationally.

Gin Gin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Gin Gin, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.1% houses and 3.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Qld's 93.4% houses and 6.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gin Gin stood at 51.9%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (31.9%) or rented (16.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,000, lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,083. The median weekly rent figure in Gin Gin was $250, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $230. Nationally, Gin Gin's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Gin Gin features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 67.3% of all households, including 19.7% couples with children, 35.9% couples without children, and 10.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.7%, with lone person households at 27.8% and group households comprising 5.0%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which aligns with the average for the Rest of Qld.

Gin Gin faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area has university qualification rates of 9.3%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 7.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.0%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 42.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (8.8%) and certificates (34.1%).

Educational participation is high at 26.8%, including secondary education (10.4%), primary education (9.6%), and tertiary education (2.5%). Six schools operate within Gin Gin, educating approximately 781 students. The area has five primary schools and one secondary school serving distinct age groups.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Gin Gin is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Gin Gin faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 48%, covering around 2,772 people, compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (14.1%) and mental health issues (9.7%). Conversely, 55.7% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 59.4% in Rest of Qld. Gin Gin has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 27.8%, or 1,613 people, compared to the rest of Queensland's 26.8%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are better than those of the general population.

Gin Gin is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Gin Gin, surveyed in 2016, had a population with 85.7% being citizens, 85.4% born in Australia, and 96.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 54.1%. This compares to 56.4% across Rest of Qld.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (32.7%), Australian (30.6%), and Irish (7.6%). Notably, German ethnicity was overrepresented at 7.0%, compared to 7.8% regionally, Hungarian at 0.5% versus 0.2%, and Australian Aboriginal at 3.1% compared to 6.0%.

Gin Gin ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Gin Gin has a median age of 52, which is higher than Rest of Qld's figure of 41 and well above the national average of 38. The 55-64 age group constitutes 19.3% of Gin Gin's population, compared to Rest of Qld's figure, and this is significantly higher than the national average of 11.2%. In contrast, the 25-34 age cohort makes up only 7.7% of Gin Gin's population. Following the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 8.1% to 9.2%, while the 65 to 74 cohort has decreased from 17.5% to 16.3%. The 45 to 54 age group has also seen a decline, from 13.8% to 12.6%. Demographic modeling indicates that Gin Gin's age profile will change significantly by 2041. The 85+ age cohort is projected to more than double, increasing by 153 people (115%) from 133 to 287. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 68% of total population growth, reflecting Gin Gin's aging demographic profile. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 5 to 14 and 15 to 24 age cohorts.