Gin Gin

An assessment of population growth drivers in Gin Gin reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Gin Gin's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, stood at around 5,765 by February 2026. This figure represents an increase of 363 people, marking a 6.7% rise since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 5,402. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 5,745 in June 2024 and an additional 159 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a density ratio of 2.4 persons per square kilometer. Gin Gin's growth rate exceeded that of its SA3 area (6.3%), positioning it as a regional growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 82.3% to the overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data. However, these state projections lack age category splits; thus, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 using 2022 data. Considering projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of regional areas nationwide is anticipated by 2041, with Gin Gin expected to grow by 390 persons, reflecting an overall gain of 6.4% over the 17 years based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Gin Gin when compared nationally

Gin Gin has seen approximately 20 new homes approved annually. Between Financial Year 21 (FY-21) and FY-25, a total of 102 homes were approved, with an additional 8 approved so far in FY-26. On average, about 4.1 new residents have arrived per year per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years.

This has led to demand outpacing supply, potentially putting upward pressure on prices and increasing competition among buyers. The average construction value of these homes was $230,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers in Gin Gin. In FY-26 alone, commercial approvals worth $1.9 million have been registered, indicating the area's residential nature.

Compared to the rest of Queensland (Qld), Gin Gin has seen slightly more development, with 13.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. This maintains reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. All new construction in Gin Gin between FY-21 and FY-25 consisted of detached dwellings, preserving the area's traditional low-density character and focusing on family homes that appeal to those seeking space. The location currently has approximately 228 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low-density market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Gin Gin is forecasted to gain 370 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Gin Gin has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include Bundaberg Solar Farm by GPG Australia, Mt Rawdon Pumped Hydro Project, Mt Perry Summit Walk, and Mount Perry Waste Facility Solar Upgrade Project. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in Gin Gin are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Gin Gin has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs, diverse sectors represented, an unemployment rate of 8.1%, and estimated employment growth of 9.0% over the past year as of September 2025. The unemployment rate is 4.0% higher than Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation is lower at 52.5% compared to Rest of Qld's 65.7%.

Only 13.4% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Key industries include agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Gin Gin specializes in agriculture, forestry & fishing with an employment share 5.4 times the regional level, but has lower representation in health care & social assistance at 12.4% compared to Rest of Qld's 16.1%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data comparison.

From September 2024 to September 2025, employment levels increased by 9.0%, labour force grew by 10.5%, and unemployment rose by 1.2 percentage points. Rest of Qld recorded lower growth rates with employment increasing by 1.7% and labour force by 2.1%, while unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary between sectors. Applying these projections to Gin Gin's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.1% over five years and 11.6% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The Gin Gin SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $34,797 and an average of $45,268 in the financial year 2023. This was lower than national averages, with Rest of Qld having a median income of $53,146 and an average income of $66,593. By September 2025, estimates suggest Gin Gin's median income would be approximately $38,245 and the average around $49,754, based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91%. Census data shows Gin Gin's incomes fall between the 2nd and 2nd percentiles nationally. The $400 - 799 earnings band captures 31.1% of Gin Gin's community, contrasting with metropolitan regions where higher income bands are more prevalent. Economic circumstances indicate widespread financial pressure, with 41.6% of households having weekly budgets below $800. Despite modest housing costs allowing for 88.1% income retention, disposable income ranks at the 5th percentile nationally.

Gin Gin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Gin Gin, as per the latest Census evaluation, 96.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 3.9% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This compares to Non-Metro Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gin Gin stood at 51.9%, while 31.9% of dwellings were mortgaged and 16.2% rented. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,000, lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,655. The median weekly rent in Gin Gin was $250, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $345. Nationally, Gin Gin's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Gin Gin features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 67.3% of all households, including 19.7% couples with children, 35.9% couples without children, and 10.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 32.7%, with lone person households at 27.8% and group households comprising 5.0% of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Gin Gin faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 9.3%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 7.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.0%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 42.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (8.8%) and certificates (34.1%).

Educational participation is high at 26.8%, comprising secondary education (10.4%), primary education (9.6%), and tertiary education (2.5%).

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Gin Gin is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Gin Gin faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch through mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Multiple health conditions affect both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 46% of the total population (around 2,674 people), compared to 52.5% in Rest of Qld and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 14.1% and 9.7% of residents respectively. However, 55.7% of residents claim to have no medical ailments, compared to 67.6% in Rest of Qld. Working-age population health presents notable challenges with higher chronic condition rates. Gin Gin has a larger senior population than the state average, with 28.4% aged 65 and over (1,636 people), compared to 20.4% in Rest of Qld. Health outcomes among seniors present additional challenges, ranking even higher than those of the general population nationally.

Gin Gin is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Gin Gin, as per data from the 2016 Census, showed lower cultural diversity with 85.7% of its population being citizens, 85.4% born in Australia, and 96.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion in Gin Gin at 54.1%, slightly higher than the Rest of Qld's 52.2%. The top three ancestry groups were English (32.7%), Australian (30.6%), and Irish (7.6%).

Notable differences included German, overrepresented at 7.0% compared to the regional average of 4.7%, Hungarian at 0.5% (regional: 0.2%), and Australian Aboriginal at 3.1% (regional: 3.9%).

Gin Gin ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Gin Gin has a median age of 52, which is higher than Rest of Qld's figure of 41 and well above the national average of 38. The 55 - 64 age group makes up 18.9% of Gin Gin's population, compared to Rest of Qld's figure, while the 25 - 34 cohort is less prevalent at 7.8%. This concentration in the 55 - 64 age group is significantly higher than the national average of 11.2%. According to the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 8.1% to 9.4% of Gin Gin's population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 13.8% to 12.2%, and the 5 to 14 age group has dropped from 10.3% to 9.2%. Demographic modeling suggests that by 2041, Gin Gin's age profile will change significantly. The 85+ age cohort is projected to increase markedly, with an expansion of 142 people (98%) from 144 to 287. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 64% of total population growth, reflecting Gin Gin's aging demographic profile. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 5 to 14 and 15 to 24 cohorts.