Gin Gin

An assessment of population growth drivers in Gin Gin reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Gin Gin's population is around 5,765 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 363 people (6.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,402 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 5,745 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 159 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 2.4 persons per square kilometer, providing ample space per person. Gin Gin's 6.7% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (6.3%), marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration, which contributed approximately 82.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence, where utilised, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of regional areas across the nation is expected, with the area expected to grow by 390 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, recording a gain of 6.4% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Gin Gin when compared nationally

Gin Gin has seen around 20 new homes approved each year, with 102 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 10 so far in FY-26. Given an average of 4.1 new residents per year arriving per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand is significantly outpacing supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers, while new homes are being built at an average value of $230,000—below the regional average—suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. Additionally, $1.9 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, demonstrating the area's residential nature.

When measured against the Rest of Qld, Gin Gin has slightly more development (13.0% above regional average per person over the 5 year period), preserving reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. Furthermore, new construction has been completely comprised of detached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The location has approximately 228 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market.

Population forecasts indicate Gin Gin will gain 370 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Gin Gin has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 7 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Bundaberg Solar Farm - GPG Australia, Mt Rawdon Pumped Hydro Project, Mt Perry Summit Walk, and Mount Perry Waste Facility Solar Upgrade Project, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Gin Gin has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Gin Gin possesses a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment, with diverse sector representation, an unemployment rate of 7.4%, and 8.9% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 2,418 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 3.4% above Regional Qld's rate of 4.0%, showing room for improvement, and workforce participation lags significantly (52.6% compared to Regional Qld's 65.4%). Based on Census responses, a low 13.4% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area has particular employment specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share of 5.4 times the regional level. On the other hand, health care & social assistance is under-represented, with only 12.4% of Gin Gin's workforce compared to 16.1% in Regional Qld. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 8.9% and labour force increased by 9.1%, resulting in unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points. By comparison, Regional Qld recorded employment growth of 0.7%, labour force growth of 1.0%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Gin Gin. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Gin Gin's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.1% over five years and 11.6% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The Gin Gin SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $34,797 and an average of $45,268 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is lower than average on a national basis, contrasting with Regional Qld's median income of $53,146 and average income of $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $38,245 (median) and $49,754 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Gin Gin all fall between the 2nd and 2nd percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate the $400 - 799 earnings band captures 31.1% of the community (1,792 individuals), contrasting with the metropolitan region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 31.7%. Economic circumstances reflect widespread financial pressure, with 41.6% of households operating within modest weekly budgets below $800. While housing costs are modest with 88.1% of income retained, the total disposable income ranks at just the 5th percentile nationally.

Gin Gin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Gin Gin, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 96.1% houses and 3.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Gin Gin was well beyond that of Regional Qld, at 51.9%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (31.9%) or rented (16.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Regional Qld average at $1,000, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $250, compared to Regional Qld's $1,655 and $345. Nationally, Gin Gin's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Gin Gin features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 67.3% of all households, comprising 19.7% couples with children, 35.9% couples without children, and 10.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 32.7%, with lone person households at 27.8% and group households comprising 5.0% of the total. The median household size of 2.3 people is smaller than the Regional Qld average of 2.5.

Gin Gin faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (9.3%) substantially below the Australian average of 30.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 7.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.0%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 42.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (8.8%) and certificates (34.1%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in secondary education, 9.6% in primary education, and 2.5% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Gin Gin is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Critical health challenges are evident across Gin Gin, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. A range of health conditions have marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~2,674 people). This compares to 52.5% across Regional Qld. The national average is 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 14.1 and 9.7% of residents, respectively, while 55.7% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 28.4% of residents aged 65 and over (1,636 people), which is higher than the 20.4% in Regional Qld. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Gin Gin is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Gin Gin was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 85.7% of its population being citizens, 85.4% born in Australia, and 96.1% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Gin Gin is Christianity, which makes up 54.1% of the population. This compares to 52.2% across Regional Qld.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Gin Gin are English, comprising 32.7% of the population, Australian, comprising 30.6% of the population, and Irish, comprising 7.6% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: German is notably overrepresented at 7.0% of Gin Gin (vs 4.7% regionally), Hungarian at 0.5% (vs 0.2%) and Australian Aboriginal at 3.1% (vs 3.9%).

Gin Gin ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

With a median age of 52, Gin Gin notably exceeds the Regional Qld figure of 41 and is well above the 38-year national average. The 55 - 64 age group shows strong representation at 18.9% compared to Regional Qld, whereas the 25 - 34 cohort is less prevalent at 7.8%. This 55 - 64 concentration is well above the national 11.2%. Following the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 8.1% to 9.4% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 13.8% to 12.2% and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 10.3% to 9.2%. Demographic modeling suggests Gin Gin's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 85+ age cohort is projected to increase markedly, expanding by 142 people (98%) from 144 to 287. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 64% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 5 to 14 and 15 to 24 cohorts.