Bairnsdale

SA2

Rest of Vic. / Gippsland - East

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Data Sources ABSValuer GeneralRental BoardACARA Newest Sep 2026 · Refreshed ABS QuickStats 205021081 How we calculate this
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Statistical Area (SA2) Boundary Analysis

This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.

SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).

Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.

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Sales ActivityProperty Sales Trends in Bairnsdale

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DemographicsPopulation Growth in Bairnsdale

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Bairnsdale has an estimated 15,938 residents, up from 15,684 at the 2021 Census — a change of 254 people, or 1.6%. Growth has averaged 0.5% a year over five years, slower than 83% of areas nationally. 677 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. That puts 103 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.

Detail

As of Aug 2026, AreaSearch estimates the resident count of Bairnsdale at approximately 15,938. Relative to the 15,684 people recorded during the 2021 Census, this represents an addition of 254 people (1.6%). The update draws upon an estimated resident population count of 15,918 published by the ABS as of June 2025 alongside 677 validated new addresses registered post-Census. With a population density measuring 102 persons per square kilometer, the locality offers substantial living space alongside development capacity. Expanding by 1.6% since census, Bairnsdale sits within 0.8 percentage points of the surrounding SA3 area (2.4%), illustrating solid growth dynamics.

Net interstate arrivals served as the principal demographic driver, accounting for roughly 53.5% of total recent population additions. Projections generated by the ABS/Geoscience Australia (released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year) are utilised by AreaSearch for SA2 boundaries. For locations outside this coverage, AreaSearch incorporates VIC State Government Regional/LGA figures published in 2023, applying weighted aggregation to translate LGA growth trajectories to SA2 zones. Cohort-specific growth rates derived from these models are implemented across all territories for the 2032 to 2041 horizon. Looking ahead, long-term projections place the area in the highest quartile among non-metropolitan regions across the country, with demographic forecasts indicating an expansion of 5,835 persons by 2041 relative to current annual ERP benchmarks, representing a total 16-year increase of 36.5%.

Frequently Asked Questions - Population

What is the latest population estimate for the Bairnsdale SA2?
Total population for the Bairnsdale SA2 was estimated to be approximately 15,938 as at Aug 26. This is based upon an estimated resident population of 15,918 from the ABS up to June 2025.
How has the population in the Bairnsdale SA2 changed since 2021?
The bairnsdale sa2 has added approximately 254 people and shown a 1.62% increase from the 15,684 people recorded at the 2021 Census period.
What is the population density in the Bairnsdale SA2?
The population density in the Bairnsdale SA2 is estimated at 102 persons per square kilometer based on the latest population estimate.
How much has the population grown over the past 10 years in the Bairnsdale SA2?
Over the past 10 years, the population in the Bairnsdale SA2 has shown a compound annual growth rate of 0.9% per annum.
What are the main drivers of population growth in the Bairnsdale SA2?
Population growth in the Bairnsdale SA2 is driven by: Interstate migration (53.5%), Overseas migration (46.5%), Natural increase (0.0%). The primary driver is Interstate migration, contributing 53.5% of overall population gains.

Residential SupplyHousing Development & Building Approvals in Bairnsdale

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609 new dwellings have been approved in Bairnsdale over the past five years, an average of 121 a year. That places the area in the 70th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 8 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 122 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 92% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.

Detail

Residential planning permissions in Bairnsdale average roughly 121 dwellings per annum, totaling 609 homes authorized across the last 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26). Over this period (between FY-22 and FY-26), the arrival of just 0.6 new residents per year per approved dwelling indicates that newly constructed stock is comfortably keeping pace with or outstripping demand, supporting buyer choice and accommodating future demographic expansion. The average anticipated build cost stands at $374,000, aligning with regional standards. Concurrently, commercial building approvals reached $30.9 million in the current financial year, demonstrating considerable activity in non-residential development.

Per-capita building activity in Bairnsdale tracks closely with the Rest of Vic., preserving structural balance across the regional housing market. Standalone houses represent 92.0% of recent approvals, while attached dwellings account for 8.0%, maintaining the district's open character and catering to purchasers seeking detached layouts. With an approval volume equating to around 121 people per dwelling approval, development patterns reflect low-density residential characteristics. Long-range demographic projections from AreaSearch's latest quarterly dataset indicate that Bairnsdale will add 5,814 residents by 2041. If prevailing construction rates do not accelerate, future dwelling supply may fail to match population influx, potentially heightening competition among purchasers and applying upward pressure on property values.

Frequently Asked Questions - Development

How many dwelling approvals have occurred in the Bairnsdale SA2 recently?
Dwelling approval activity in the the Bairnsdale SA2 area has seen 265 residential approvals over the past two financial years, based on AreaSearch's SA2 aggregation method. The Bairnsdale SA2's current population of 15,938 has been supported by 121 approvals on average over recent years.
How does the Bairnsdale SA2's development activity compare to the broader region?
The Bairnsdale SA2 has seen 0.77 approvals per 100 people in recent years, compared to 0.75 approvals in the broader region. This means that one dwelling has been approved for every 121 people in the Bairnsdale SA2, compared to one for every 145 in the broader region.
Is the Bairnsdale SA2 keeping up with housing demand?
With the population expected to increase by 5,814 people by 2041, around 2,907 new dwellings will be necessary. Recent approval levels may be insufficient to meet these forecasts, considering the census average of 2.0 persons per dwelling. This indicates potential housing shortages if current approval trends continue.
What has been the trend in development approvals over the past five years in the Bairnsdale SA2?
Looking at development activity over the past five years, the Bairnsdale SA2's approval levels have been slightly above the yearly average of 121, showing modest growth in recent years.
How many dwellings will be needed to accommodate future population growth in the Bairnsdale SA2?
The population in the Bairnsdale SA2 is expected to grow by 5,814 people by 2041, necessitating approximately 2,907 new dwellings. This calculation is based on the current census average of 2.0 persons per dwelling in the area.
How does recent development compare to population growth in the Bairnsdale SA2?
Over the past five years, the population in the Bairnsdale SA2 has grown by approximately 3,837 people, while 609 residential approvals were recorded. This equates to a ratio of 6.3 people added for each new dwelling approval. This high ratio suggests strong population growth relative to housing supply, potentially indicating unmet housing demand.
Are there opportunities for residential developers in the Bairnsdale SA2?
With dwelling approval activity running at an average of 121 approvals per year and a population of 15,938, there appears to be a supply shortfall relative to projected demand, presenting strong opportunities for residential developers. With the population expected to increase by 5,814 people by 2041, around 2,907 new dwellings will be necessary. Current approval trends may be insufficient to meet forecast demand, indicating strong development opportunities.
Approvals Pipeline Development applications near Bairnsdale

Development applications around Bairnsdale

Development approvals is a new addition to AreaSearch. We’re actively expanding council coverage and refining the dataset — details and statuses for some councils may be partial. Check back regularly for the latest pipeline.
Application search is not available in Victoria. AreaSearch holds 5 applications for Bairnsdale, but they are a record of past activity rather than a current register. Victoria has no state-wide planning portal and its council coverage is uneven, so we have switched the search off here rather than return partial answers. We are currently investigating a solution. No credits are charged for Victorian applications, and building approvals from the ABS and the major projects we track are unaffected.

SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.

Project PipelineInfrastructure & Major Projects in Bairnsdale

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AreaSearch tracks 3 current infrastructure and development projects inside Bairnsdale, worth an estimated $50 million. A further 91 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $67.2 billion. 31 are already under construction and 34 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans energy, residential development and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.

Detail

Community economic performance is closely tied to public planning, infrastructure works, and major capital investments. AreaSearch has pinpointed 11 significant developments expected to shape the local environment. Notable works include Dan Murphy's Bairnsdale, Quest Bairnsdale, Wy Yung Acres Rural Lifestyle Subdivision, and the Princes Highway and McEacharn Street Intersection Upgrade, with prominent schemes outlined below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure

What are some of the major infrastructure and planning changes likely to influence the Bairnsdale SA2?
Key infrastructure and planning changes likely to influence the Bairnsdale SA2 include: Quest Bairnsdale (Construction); Dan Murphy's Bairnsdale (Completed); Princes Highway and McEacharn Street Intersection Upgrade (Completed); Wy Yung Acres Rural Lifestyle Subdivision (Construction); and Paynesville Water Recycling Facility Storage Expansion (Construction). These projects represent significant developments that will shape the area's future infrastructure landscape.
What types of infrastructure projects are impacting the Bairnsdale SA2?
Infrastructure development impacting the Bairnsdale SA2 spans multiple sectors including Residential Development, Energy, and Retail, among others.
What is the scale of infrastructure investment impacting the Bairnsdale SA2?
Infrastructure investment analysis indicates significant investment of approximately $183 million in infrastructure projects affecting the region.
How does the Bairnsdale SA2's infrastructure development compare to other areas?
Infrastructure development activity impacting the Bairnsdale SA2 currently ranks below national averages at the 30thth percentile.
Quest Bairnsdale
Category: Tourism
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 2025
Source / Links: Link 1   

Construction of a three-storey, 60-room apartment hotel comprising studio, one-bedroom, and two-bedroom serviced apartments[cite: 1]. Developed in partnership between Dahlsens and BFN Developments, the hotel is designed to boost regional tourism and corporate accommodation capacity in East Gippsland[cite: 1]. The facility includes conference facilities, a gymnasium, business lounge, and on-site parking[cite: 1].

Tourism

Dan Murphy's Bairnsdale
Category: Retail
Stage: Completed | Est. Comp: 2023
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

A 1,250 square metre state-of-the-art Dan Murphy's liquor store developed by Castlerock Property in the East Gippsland town of Bairnsdale, generating approximately 60 jobs during construction and 20 ongoing full-time, casual, and part-time positions, with a 10-year lease and emphasis on local labour and suppliers.

Retail

Princes Highway and McEacharn Street Intersection Upgrade
Category: Transport & Logistics
Stage: Completed | Est. Comp: 2025
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

Construction of a new dual-lane roundabout at the Princes Highway and McEacharn Street intersection to improve safety, traffic flow, and accessibility for all road users in east Bairnsdale. Includes extra lanes on Princes Highway, realignment of Dickeson Lane, upgrades to nearby intersections like Alexander Parade and Hadfield Street, new turn lanes, and a shared path connecting to Great Alpine Road.

Transport & Logistics

Wy Yung Acres Rural Lifestyle Subdivision
Category: Residential Development
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 2026
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

Semi-rural lifestyle subdivision with blocks ranging from 4000sqm (1 acre) to 20,000sqm (5 acres) located 6 minutes north of Bairnsdale with views to mountains and Gippsland Lakes. Features NBN connectivity for remote work capabilities and protective building covenants.

Residential Development

Paynesville Water Recycling Plant Winter Storage Project
Category: Environmental & Disaster Management
Stage: Completed | Est. Comp: 2026

Construction of a new 300 megalitre winter storage lagoon and associated transfer infrastructure at the Paynesville Water Recycling Plant. The project expands recycled water storage capacity to improve wet weather wastewater management, protect local waterways and support future growth across Paynesville, Eagle Point, Raymond Island, Newlands Arm and Banksia Peninsula. The project was delivered by Max Bright and Sons for East Gippsland Water and completed before winter 2026.

Environmental & Disaster Management

Lincoln Lifestyle Eagle Point
Category: Communities
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 2030
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

A premium masterplanned over-50s land lease community by Lincoln Place delivering 203 architecturally designed two- and three-bedroom single-storey homes on a 10.2-hectare site near Paynesville in Victoria's Gippsland Lakes region. Civil works commenced with a sod-turn ceremony on 15 March 2026, with local contractor Rowe Constructions engaged. First residents are expected in early 2027. Resort-style amenities will include a clubhouse with cinema, library and alfresco dining, a heated indoor pool, wellness centre with gym, competition bowls green, and a pickleball court.Homes are built to Liveable Housing Australia Silver Standard and include solar panels and water tanks. The land lease model means no stamp duty, entry, exit, body-corporate or council rates for homeowners.

Communities

Palm Lake Resort Paynesville
Category: Residential Development
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 2027
Source / Links: Link 1   

Luxury over-50s resort-style community featuring 195 designer homes, a world-class Latitude Country Club with extensive amenities including Milon Gymnasium, pools, cinema, and bowling green in a lakeside setting. The resort is currently under construction, with an estimated completion date of 2027.

Residential Development

Paynesville Slip Road Maritime Precinct Upgrade
Category: Ports, Marinas, Fisheries & Aquaculture
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 2026
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

A comprehensive upgrade of the Paynesville maritime precinct involving the replacement of aging seawalls and the construction of new jetties to provide approximately 40 new berths. The project includes a significant expansion of the boat ramp to be longer and deeper, enhanced car and boat trailer parking, and the creation of new boardwalks and pedestrian pathways. Integrated landscaping and drainage improvements are also being implemented to support regional tourism and the local marine industry.

Ports, Marinas, Fisheries & Aquaculture

Jobs & IndustryEmployment Trends in Bairnsdale

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7,134 residents of Bairnsdale are employed, from a labour force of 7,540. Unemployment sits at 5.4%, with participation at 57.4%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.2% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.

Detail

Bairnsdale's labor force displays an even distribution across white-collar and blue-collar occupations, supported by a strong presence in essential services, an unemployment rate standing at 5.4%, and an annual employment gain of 5.0%. Across the locality, 7,134 residents are actively employed as of March 2026. The jobless rate sits 1.7% above the 3.7% recorded across Regional Vic., and the local participation rate remains lower at 57.4% compared to 61.1% for Regional Vic.. Census returns showed that 10.4% of workers conducted their roles remotely, an outcome influenced by historical Covid-19 restrictions.

Resident employment centers primarily around construction, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. Manufacturing shows notable local concentration, employing a proportion of the workforce 1.2 times greater than the broader regional benchmark. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing accounts for 4.3% of local jobs, below the 7.5% share seen across Regional Vic.. A Census-recorded ratio of 0.6 workers per resident highlights an above-average availability of jobs within the immediate area. According to AreaSearch evaluations combining ABS and SALM metrics, the past 12-month cycle recorded a 5.0% rise in employed persons against a 3.4% expansion in the total labor force, bringing down the local unemployment rate by 1.5 percentage points. In comparison, Regional Vic. recorded an employment reduction of 0.1%, a 0.3% contraction in the labor force, and an unemployment decline of 0.2 percentage points. Longer-term employment expectations can be assessed via national forecasts published by Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26. When projected nationwide expansions of 6.6% across five years and 13.7% across ten years are weighted against local industry shares, modeled outcomes point to employment gains in Bairnsdale of 6.2% over five years and 13.2% over ten years (provided as a basic weighted extrapolation for context, excluding localized demographic shifts).

Frequently Asked Questions - Employment

What is the employment situation in the Bairnsdale SA2?
As of March 2026, the Bairnsdale SA2 has approximately 7,134 employed residents with an unemployment rate of 5.4%. The unemployment rate is moderate, indicating some available workforce capacity. Employment indicators are below the national average, suggesting room for improvement.
How does the Bairnsdale SA2's unemployment rate compare to the broader region?
As of March 2026, the unemployment rate in the Bairnsdale SA2 stands at 5.4%, which is 1.7 percentage points above Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%. This higher unemployment rate may indicate local labour market challenges. For comparison, the national unemployment rate is 4.2%.
What are the major employment sectors in the Bairnsdale SA2?
The employment landscape in the Bairnsdale SA2 is dominated by several key sectors. The largest employers are health care & social assistance (18.5% of employment), retail trade (11.7%), and construction (10.4%). Other significant employers include manufacturing and education & training.
How has employment changed recently in the Bairnsdale SA2?
Over the past year to March 2026, the Bairnsdale SA2 has experienced employment growth, with total employment increasing while the labour force increased. As a result, the unemployment rate has fall. By comparison, Regional Vic. saw employment decreased and its unemployment rate dropped.
What is the workforce participation rate in the Bairnsdale SA2?
The workforce participation rate in the Bairnsdale SA2 is 57.4%, which represents the proportion of working-age residents who are either employed or actively seeking work. This moderate participation rate suggests some residents may face barriers to workforce entry. The local rate trailing the Regional Vic. average of 61.1%, showing similar workforce dynamics to the broader region.
Which industries are over-represented in the Bairnsdale SA2's employment market?
The bairnsdale sa2 shows notable specialization in manufacturing, which employs 9.5% of the local workforce compared to 7.7% regionally. This moderate specialization indicates some local strength in the sector.
What are the employment growth prospects for the Bairnsdale SA2?
Based on Jobs and Skills Australia projections applied to the Bairnsdale SA2's industry mix, employment is expected to grow by 6.2% over the next five years and 13.2% over ten years. This compares to national growth expectations of 6.6% over five years. Steady growth is anticipated across multiple sectors, providing diverse employment opportunities.
How does the job market in the Bairnsdale SA2 compare nationally?
The bairnsdale sa2's employment market shows below-average performance in national comparisons. While employment opportunities exist, the area faces more challenges than many other regions. Recent job advertisement trends show the broader employment region saw a 1.9% decline, ranking 22.0nd out of 37 regions nationally.
What employment opportunities exist for skilled workers in the Bairnsdale SA2?
Skilled workers will find good opportunities in the Bairnsdale SA2, with skilled sectors accounting for 33.0% of employment. Key sectors for skilled workers include health care & social assistance (18.5%), education & training (9.2%), and professional & technical (3.6%). With projected employment growth of 6.2% over five years, demand for skilled workers is expected to remain strong.

EarningsHousehold Income in Bairnsdale

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Median household income in Bairnsdale is $1,194 a week (about $62,000 a year), with median personal income at $648 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $47,025 a year against an average of $55,367. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.

Detail

ATO taxation statistics for financial year 2023 at the postcode level indicate that personal earnings across the Bairnsdale SA2 trail nationwide medians, recording a median of $47,025 and a mean of $55,367. These figures compare against a median of $50,954 and a mean of $62,728 across Regional Vic.. Factoring in cumulative Wage Price Index expansion of 9.62% from financial year 2023 to March 2026, prevailing benchmarks adjust to roughly $51,549 (median) and $60,693 (average). Census measures position personal, family, and household earnings between the 12th and 19th percentiles nationally. The largest earnings segment is the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly bracket, capturing 28.1% of local residents (4,478 people) versus 30.3% regionally.

The proportion of disposable income remaining post-housing costs is 85.9%, ranking in the 15th percentile across Australia.

Frequently Asked Questions - Income

What is the median taxable income in the Bairnsdale SA2?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated median taxable income in the Bairnsdale SA2 is approximately $51,549. The official ATO data from FY-23 recorded a median of $47,025.
What is the average taxable income in the Bairnsdale SA2?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated average taxable income in the Bairnsdale SA2 is approximately $60,693. The official ATO data from FY-23 recorded an average of $55,367.
How does the median taxable income in the Bairnsdale SA2 compare to the region?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated median taxable income in the Bairnsdale SA2 is approximately $51,549 compared to $55,856 in Regional Vic.. The official ATO data from FY-23 shows $47,025 and $50,954 respectively.
How does the average taxable income in the Bairnsdale SA2 compare to the region?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated average taxable income in the Bairnsdale SA2 is approximately $60,693 compared to $68,762 in Regional Vic.. The official ATO data from FY-23 shows $55,367 and $62,728 respectively.
What are the main income cohorts in the Bairnsdale SA2 according to the 2021 Census?
As per the 2021 Census, the income bracket containing the largest proportion (~28.1% / 4,478 persons) of the Bairnsdale SA2's population is the $1,500 - 2,999 cohort.
How do the main income cohorts in the Bairnsdale SA2 compare to the region?
The largest income cohort in the Bairnsdale SA2 is the $1,500 - 2,999 group, representing about 28.1% of the population. In comparison, Regional Vic.'s largest income cohort is the $1,500 - 2,999 group, representing 30.3% of its population, according to the 2021 Census.
What is the median household income in the Bairnsdale SA2 according to the 2021 Census?
The 2021 Census data indicates that the median household income in the Bairnsdale SA2 is $1,194/wk.
What is the median family income in the Bairnsdale SA2 according to the 2021 Census?
According to the 2021 Census, the median family income in the Bairnsdale SA2 is $1,516/wk.
What is the median personal income in the Bairnsdale SA2 according to the 2021 Census?
The 2021 Census shows that the median personal income in the Bairnsdale SA2 is $648/wk.
How does the Bairnsdale SA2's income rank nationally?
As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Bairnsdale SA2's median income among taxpayers is $47,025, with an average of $55,367. This is lower than average on a national basis, and compares to Regional Vic.'s median of $50,954 and average of $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $51,549 (median) and $60,693 (average) as of March 2026.
What is the disposable income in the Bairnsdale SA2?
The estimated disposable income in the Bairnsdale SA2 is $4,446 per year according to AreaSearch analysis.
How does the Bairnsdale SA2's disposable income compare to the region?
The bairnsdale sa2's disposable income is $4,446 compared to $5,209 for Regional Vic., based on AreaSearch analysis.

Housing StockHousing & Dwellings in Bairnsdale

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Bairnsdale had 6,280 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 87% detached houses and 1% apartments. 30% are owned with a mortgage, 28% rented and 42% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $280 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,300 a month. Rent absorbs 23.5% of household income here and mortgage repayments 25.1%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.

Detail

Census records show that separate houses comprise 86.8% of the housing stock in Bairnsdale, with apartments, semi-detached properties, and other dwelling forms making up 13.1%, relative to 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings across Regional Vic.. The rate of outright home ownership stands at 42.2%, matching Regional Vic., while 30.0% of properties carry a mortgage and 27.9% are occupied by tenants. Median housing outgoings sit below regional medians, with monthly mortgage commitments at $1,300 versus $1,430 in Regional Vic., and median weekly rental payments at $280 compared to $285 regionally.

Against national benchmarks, local monthly mortgage repayments are noticeably lower than the Australian figure of $1,863, and weekly rents track well below the $375 national standard.

Frequently Asked Questions - Housing

What percentage of homes are owned vs rented in the Bairnsdale SA2?
In the Bairnsdale SA2, 42.2% of homes are owned outright, 30.0% are owned with a mortgage, and 27.9% are rented.
What percentage of dwellings in the Bairnsdale SA2 are houses?
According to the latest data, 86.8% of dwellings in the Bairnsdale SA2 are houses.
What percentage of dwellings in the Bairnsdale SA2 are apartments or units?
In the Bairnsdale SA2, 1.2% of dwellings are apartments or units, with an additional 11.5% being semi-detached dwellings.
What is the level of outright home ownership in the Bairnsdale SA2?
Outright home ownership in the Bairnsdale SA2 stands at 42.2%, compared to 40.9% in Regional Vic..
What is the median monthly mortgage repayment in the Bairnsdale SA2?
The median monthly mortgage repayment in the Bairnsdale SA2 is $1,300, compared to $1,430 in Regional Vic..
What is the median weekly rent in the Bairnsdale SA2?
The median weekly rent in the Bairnsdale SA2 is $280, compared to $285 in Regional Vic..
What is the distribution of rental prices in the Bairnsdale SA2?
In the Bairnsdale SA2, 9.6% of rentals are $0-149/week, 69.2% are $150-349/week, 21.0% are $350-649/week, 0.2% are $650-949/week, and 0.0% are $950+/week.
What is the average monthly housing cost in the Bairnsdale SA2?
The aggregate monthly housing cost in the Bairnsdale SA2 is $728, which represents the average monthly cost across all housing types.
What percentage of income do residents spend on housing in the Bairnsdale SA2?
In the Bairnsdale SA2, households with mortgages typically spend 25.1% of their income on mortgage repayments, while renters spend 23.5% of their income on rent.
How crowded are homes in the Bairnsdale SA2?
The average persons per bedroom ratio in the Bairnsdale SA2 is 0.7, indicating the level of household density.
How does housing affordability in the Bairnsdale SA2 compare to the region?
Housing affordability in the Bairnsdale SA2 shows mortgage holders spending 25.1% of income on repayments (vs 23.8% regionally), while renters spend 23.5% of income on rent (vs 20.6% regionally).
What types of dwellings are most common in the Bairnsdale SA2?
The dwelling mix in the Bairnsdale SA2 consists of 86.8% detached houses, 11.5% semi-detached dwellings, 1.2% apartments, and 0.4% other dwelling types.
What is the weighted average housing cost based on tenure mix in the Bairnsdale SA2?
Considering the housing occupancy patterns, the weighted average monthly housing cost is approximately $728. This accounts for outright owners paying no housing costs, mortgage holders paying $1,300/month, and renters paying $1,212/month.
How affordable is housing in the Bairnsdale SA2 relative to local incomes?
Housing in Bairnsdale consumes approximately 14.1% of median household income ($5,170 monthly), indicating costs are highly affordable. The generally accepted benchmark is that housing should not exceed 30% of household income.
How do proposed developments compare to existing housing types in the Bairnsdale SA2?
Recent development applications in Bairnsdale show attached dwellings contributing 14% of approvals compared to 13% of existing stock, while detached houses represent 86% of applications versus 87% of current dwellings. This suggests development patterns consistent with existing housing mix. Density increases remain below national trends.

HouseholdsHousehold Composition in Bairnsdale

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Bairnsdale counted 6,280 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.3 people each. 23% are couples with children, fewer than in 78% of areas nationally, against 29% couples without children. 32% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.

Detail

Family households constitute 64.8% of the local dwelling mix, comprising couples without children (29.1%), couples with children (22.8%), and single parent families (12.0%). Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 35.2%, made up of lone person residences (32.3%) and group households (2.9%). The typical household size sits at a median of 2.3 people, slightly under the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

Frequently Asked Questions - Households

How many households are in the Bairnsdale SA2?
As of the 2021 Census, the Bairnsdale SA2 had 6,280 households. Based on population growth patterns, this has grown by approximately 1.6% to an estimated 6,382 households today.
What is the typical household size?
The median household size in the Bairnsdale SA2 is 2.3 people. This compares to 2.4 in Regional Vic. and reflects the area's household composition mix.
What types of households are most common?
Family households dominate at 64.8% of all households. The remaining households consist of lone person households (32.3%), group households (2.9%), and other household types (0.0%).
How are families structured in the area?
Among the 4,069 family households, 22.8% are couples with children, 29.1% are couples without children at home, and 12.0% are single parent families. This mix shapes local demand for schools, family services, and housing types.
How does the Bairnsdale SA2 compare to regional household patterns?
Compared to Regional Vic., the Bairnsdale SA2 shows distinct household patterns. This higher proportion of single-person households drives demand for smaller dwellings and different community services.
What is the average family size?
Families in the Bairnsdale SA2 have an average of 1.9 children, slightly above the Regional Vic. average of 1.8. This influences local demand for child-related services and larger family homes.
What are the marriage patterns in the Bairnsdale SA2?
Marriage patterns reveal 43.7% of the adult population are currently married, while 34.0% have never married. This compares to 46.3% married and 34.0% never married across Regional Vic..
How significant are single-person households?
Single-person households represent 32.3% of all households in the Bairnsdale SA2, similar to the regional average of 29.3%. This affects demand for smaller dwellings and single-person accommodation.
Are shared living arrangements common?
Group households (unrelated people sharing) account for 2.9% of households, well below the Regional Vic. average of 2.9%. This low rate suggests limited student or young professional shared accommodation.
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EducationSchools & Education in Bairnsdale

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16.3% of adults in Bairnsdale hold a university qualification, including 11.1% with a bachelor degree and 2.7% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 28.4% hold a vocational qualification. 12 schools serve the area, with 3,744 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 965 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.

Detail

Tertiary educational attainment in the district presents an area for development, as the proportion of individuals with higher education degrees (16.3%) remains well under the VIC benchmark of 33.4%. Among degree holders, bachelor qualifications represent 11.1%, postgraduate credentials account for 2.7%, and graduate diplomas comprise 2.5%. Technical and vocational training is prevalent, with 39.7% of residents aged 15+ possessing vocational credentials, divided between certificates (28.4%) and advanced diplomas (11.3%). A substantial segment of the community is engaged in study, with 26.8% of residents enrolled in an educational course. Broken down by level, 9.9% are attending primary education, 7.7% are enrolled in secondary education, and 2.2% are pursuing tertiary studies.

Frequently Asked Questions - Education

What percentage of people in the Bairnsdale SA2 have university qualifications?
16.3% of people aged 15 and over in the Bairnsdale SA2 have university qualifications, compared to 21.7% in the broader region.
What percentage of people in the Bairnsdale SA2 have no formal qualifications?
44.0% of people aged 15 and over in the Bairnsdale SA2 have no formal qualifications, compared to 40.4% regionally.
How does the Bairnsdale SA2's education level compare to national averages?
The bairnsdale sa2 ranks in the 32th percentile nationally for education based on AreaSearch's analysis of qualification and performance metrics.
What types of qualifications are most common in the Bairnsdale SA2?
The most common qualifications in the Bairnsdale SA2 are: Certificate (28.4%), Advanced Diploma (11.3%), Bachelor Degree (11.1%).
What proportion of the Bairnsdale SA2's population is currently attending educational institutions?
26.8% of the population in the Bairnsdale SA2 is currently engaged in formal education, with 9.9% in primary school, 7.7% in secondary school, 2.2% at university.
What is the ICSEA score for schools in the Bairnsdale SA2?
The average ICSEA (Index of Community Socio-Educational Advantage) score for schools in the Bairnsdale SA2 is 965, indicating below-average socio-educational advantage compared to the national average of 1000.
How many schools are located within the Bairnsdale SA2?
There are 12 schools within the Bairnsdale SA2, with a combined enrollment of approximately 3,744 students.
What types of schools are available in the Bairnsdale SA2?
The bairnsdale sa2 includes 5 primary schools, 3 secondary schools, 4 combined schools.

Schools Detail

AmenitiesServices & Amenities in Bairnsdale

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Getting AroundTransport & Commuting in Bairnsdale

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Public transport in Bairnsdale reaches 47 stops on 12 routes, timetabled for about 280 services a week. The typical home sits about 330 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.4 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.

Detail

The public transit network across Bairnsdale features 47 operational transit stops comprising a mix of train services. These points are connected by 12 distinct routes providing 284 passenger services each week. Network coverage provides convenient access, with an average distance of 334 meters from homes to the nearest boarding point. Due to the area's residential profile, outward commuting is standard, with private vehicles accounting for 93% of journeys and vehicle ownership standing at an average of 1.4 per household. Remote workers represented 10.4% of the labor force during the 2021 Census, a metric influenced by pandemic-related settings.

Across all transit lines, scheduling delivers an average of 40 trips per day, translating to roughly 6 weekly journeys for each individual stop.

Frequently Asked Questions - Transport

How many public transport stops are in Bairnsdale?
There are 47 public transport stops within the Bairnsdale SA2.
How frequent are the transport services in Bairnsdale?
the Bairnsdale SA2 has 284 weekly trips across 12 routes, averaging 40 trips per day.
How far are residents from public transport in Bairnsdale?
On average, residential properties are 334 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Transport Stops Detail

HealthcareHealth Services in Bairnsdale

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61.6% of residents in Bairnsdale report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 84% of areas nationally. 8.2% need daily assistance with core activities, and 47.4% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 7.0 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.

Detail

AreaSearch evaluations of mortality indicators and health conditions point to measurable community health challenges, with chronic illnesses observed across younger and older demographics alike. Private health insurance participation is low, encompassing roughly 47% of residents (~7,554 people), trailing the Regional Vic. level of 50.5% and the national standard of 55.7%. Arthritis and mental health conditions are the most prevalent reported illnesses, affecting 10.7 and 9.9% of residents respectively, whereas 61.6% of the population reported no medical conditions compared to 63.4% in Regional Vic.. Chronic health concerns are notably prevalent among working-age individuals.

Seniors aged 65 and over represent 26.5% of the community (4,229 people), exceeding the 24.0% regional proportion, with older residents showing elevated rates of health conditions relative to national metrics.

Frequently Asked Questions - Health

How many people in the Bairnsdale SA2 have private health insurance?
Around 47.4% of people in the Bairnsdale SA2 are covered by private health insurance, which compares to 50.5% in the broader region of Regional Vic..
What percentage of the population requires ongoing medical assistance in the Bairnsdale SA2?
In the Bairnsdale SA2, 8.2% of the population is identified as requiring ongoing medical assistance. This figure is slightly different from the regional average, where 6.9% of people in Regional Vic. require similar assistance.
How prevalent is asthma in the Bairnsdale SA2?
8.2% of people in the Bairnsdale SA2 are diagnosed with asthma. In comparison, 8.7% of the population across Regional Vic. is affected by asthma.
What percentage of people have diabetes in the Bairnsdale SA2?
Diabetes affects 4.8% of the the Bairnsdale SA2 population, while in the surrounding region, 4.6% of people are diagnosed with diabetes.
What is the percentage of people with heart disease in the Bairnsdale SA2?
5.2% of people in the Bairnsdale SA2 have heart disease. Across the region of Regional Vic., 4.4% of the population is affected by heart disease.
How does the Bairnsdale SA2 compare to the region in terms of overall private health coverage?
In the Bairnsdale SA2, 47.4% of the population are estimated to have private health insurance. Comparatively, Regional Vic. sees an estimated private health coverage rate of 50.5%.

Ancestry & LanguageCultural Diversity in Bairnsdale

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Bairnsdale is largely Australian-born, at 87.8% of residents, with 5.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (32.4%) and Australian (31.1%). 3.5% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.

Detail

Cultural diversity metrics for Bairnsdale track below broader averages, with Australian citizens making up 89.0% of residents, 87.8% born within Australia, and 94.3% speaking exclusively English at home. Christianity forms the largest religious affiliation, representing 46.2% of the local populace. The category of Other shows relative presence at 0.7% locally, alongside 0.8% across Regional Vic.. Regarding ancestral background based on parental country of birth, the primary groups in Bairnsdale include English at 32.4%, Australian at 31.1%, and Scottish at 8.2%. Other notable community representations include Australian Aboriginal persons at 3.5% (compared to 1.4% regionally), Italian heritage at 3.1% (versus 2.9% across Regional Vic.), and Dutch heritage at 1.6% (compared to 1.7% in Regional Vic.).

Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity

What is the level of cultural diversity in the Bairnsdale SA2?
Bairnsdale was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 89.0% of its population being citizens, 87.8% born in Australia, and 94.3% speaking English only at home.
What is the most common religion in the Bairnsdale SA2?
The main religion in Bairnsdale was found to be Christianity, which makes up 46.2% of people in Bairnsdale. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Other, which comprises 0.7% of the population, compared to 0.8% across Regional Vic..
What are the top countries of origin in the Bairnsdale SA2?
In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Bairnsdale are English, comprising 32.4% of the population, Australian, comprising 31.1% of the population, and Scottish, comprising 8.2% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Dutch is notably overrepresented at 1.6% of Bairnsdale (vs 1.7% regionally), Australian Aboriginal at 3.5% (vs 1.4%) and Italian at 3.1% (vs 2.9%).
How does the percentage of people born overseas compare to the regional average?
12.2% of the the Bairnsdale SA2 population was born overseas, compared to 13.2% regionally.
What percentage of the the Bairnsdale SA2 population speaks a language other than English at home?
5.7% of the population in the Bairnsdale SA2 speaks a language other than English at home, compared to 7.6% in the wider region.
How many people in the Bairnsdale SA2 identify as Australian Aboriginal?
3.5% of the the Bairnsdale SA2 population identifies as Australian Aboriginal, compared to 1.4% in the region.
What is the citizenship status of the population in the Bairnsdale SA2?
89.0% of the the Bairnsdale SA2 population holds citizenship, compared to 88.6% in the wider region.

Age StructureAge Profile of Bairnsdale

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The median resident of Bairnsdale is 45, older than 78% of areas nationally. 22.0% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.

Detail

The age distribution in Bairnsdale aligns closely with Regional Vic., with individual broad cohorts sitting within 2.5 percentage points of regional proportions. As of August 2026, the estimated median age is 45, matching the 2021 Census figure and sitting 2 years above the Regional Vic. median of 43 at that Census, whilst the nationwide median was 38. The 45 - 64 demographic cohort decreased from 24.2% at the Census to an estimated 22.8%. Looking forward to 2041, residents aged 25 - 44 are projected to drive growth by adding 2,093 people (59%), reaching a total cohort of 5,652.

Frequently Asked Questions - Age

What is the median age in the Bairnsdale SA2?
AreaSearch estimates the median age in the Bairnsdale SA2 at 45 years as at August 2026. That is in line with the 2021 Census figure of 45 years, on an age profile AreaSearch re-estimates for population change recorded since the Census.
How does the Bairnsdale SA2's median age compare to broader areas?
At an estimated 45 years as at August 2026, Bairnsdale is 2 years older than the Regional Vic. 2021 Census average (43 years) and 7 years older than the national Census average (38 years).
What age groups are over-represented in the Bairnsdale SA2?
On AreaSearch estimates updated to August 2026, the most over-represented age group in the Bairnsdale SA2 compared to the Regional Vic. region is the 75 - 84 group, making up 9.9% of the population.
What age groups are under-represented in the Bairnsdale SA2?
On AreaSearch estimates updated to August 2026, the most under-represented age group in the Bairnsdale SA2 compared to the Regional Vic. region is the 35 - 44 group, making up 11.2% of the population.
Are there age groups with notable population variances?
No, the age distribution in the Bairnsdale SA2 is broadly in line with the Regional Vic. region.
What is the percentage of children (0-14 years) in the Bairnsdale SA2?
AreaSearch estimates children aged 0-14 years at 17.5% of the population in the Bairnsdale SA2 as at August 2026.
What is the percentage of older people (65+ years) in the Bairnsdale SA2?
AreaSearch estimates people aged 65 and over at 26.5% of the population in the Bairnsdale SA2 as at August 2026.

Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Bairnsdale

Data currency Refreshed

9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Sep 2026.

Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.

The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section

Section Source & update cycle Currency
Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections
Population ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline.
Age profile ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate.
Development & approvals ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline
Property sales & rents Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents Sep 2026 this month all 21 measures
Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Sep 2026.
Infrastructure projects Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily Aug 2026 last month all 3 projects tracked here
Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026.
Employment ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census.
Education ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Transport ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Services & amenities Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures
Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections
Income ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail.
Health ABS, ATO Annual 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current.
Housing ABS 5-yearly (Census) 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures
Households ABS 5-yearly (Census) 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures
Cultural diversity ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures

"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.

How the numbers are built

Population

The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 677 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (15,684 at the 2021 Census → 15,938 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.

Age profile

Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".

Property sales

Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.

Rents

Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.

Development & infrastructure

Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.

Employment & income

Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.

Education, transport & amenities

School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.

Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.

Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.

Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (205021081). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.

Common questions about this page

Why can the Bairnsdale SA2 boundary differ from the suburb boundary?
This page uses ABS Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2) boundaries for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP). SA2 areas can differ materially from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, even when they share similar names, because they are defined for different purposes and often use different geographic boundaries.
Where does the data on this Bairnsdale page come from?
AreaSearch compiles this page from official and industry sources — including ABS, Geoscience Australia, Valuer General, Provider directories, DEWR, JSA, State Transport Departments and ACARA — then aggregates them to the boundary shown and calculates the rankings, growth rates and benchmarks itself. Property sales come from the state valuation authority, rents from state rental bond lodgements, development applications from council and state planning portals, school data from ACARA, and public transport from state transport departments.
Is the Bairnsdale data on this page just from the 2021 Census?
No. Most of this page is maintained well beyond the Census. Sourced entirely from current releases: development & approvals (Aug 2026), property sales & rents (Sep 2026), infrastructure projects (Aug 2026) and services & amenities (Jul 2026). Built on a Census baseline but carrying newer measures on top: population (to Aug 2026), age profile (to Aug 2026), employment (to Mar 2026), income (to FY 2023), education (to Aug 2026), transport (to Jul 2026) and health (to 2024). Population and age cohorts in particular are re-based to the latest ABS Estimated Resident Population rather than left at 2021 counts. Only housing, households and cultural diversity remain wholly Census-based, because no more current small-area dataset exists for those measures.

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