Stirling North

An assessment of population growth drivers in Stirling North reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for Stirling North statistical area (Lv2), and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the population is estimated at around 2,896 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 103 people (3.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,793 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,887 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 17 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 42 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Stirling North (SA2) has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a -0.1% compound annual growth rate, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 70.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, the SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Moving forward with demographic trends, projections indicate a decline in overall population for Stirling North (SA2), with the area's population expected to decline by 62 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 35 to 44 age group, which is projected to grow by 39 people.

The level of residential development activity in Stirling North is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Stirling North has seen around 4 new homes approved annually. Over the past 5 financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 23 homes were approved, with 1 more approved so far in FY-26. This results in an average of about 0.6 new residents per year per dwelling constructed during this period.

The supply of new dwellings meets or exceeds demand, offering greater buyer choice and supporting potential population growth. The average construction value of these new properties is $318,000. In FY-26, there have been $4.4 million in commercial approvals, indicating the area's residential character. Comparatively, Stirling North records elevated construction activity when measured against the Rest of SA, with a 14.0% increase per person over the past 5 years.

However, this level is below the national average, suggesting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. All new constructions in the area have been detached dwellings, preserving its low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated population count of 2904 people per dwelling approval reflects its quiet development environment. Population projections indicate stability or decline in Stirling North, which should reduce housing demand pressures and benefit potential buyers.

Stirling North has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 16thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three major projects that are expected to impact the region. These include Eucalypt Village - Stirling North Accommodation Development, Iberdrola Renewable Energy Park, Port Augusta Storage Project, and Northern Water. The following details those likely to have the most relevance.

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Employment conditions in Stirling North face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Stirling North has a balanced workforce comprising white and blue collar jobs, with essential services well represented. The unemployment rate as of September 2025 is 8.7%.

Over the past year, there's been an estimated employment growth of 1.6%. Key industries for residents include public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Stirling North specializes in public administration & safety, with a share of employment nearly three times the regional level. However, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 3.1% of workers compared to 14.5% regionally.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.6%, labour force grew by 5.7%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 3.7 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of SA saw employment grow by 0.3%, labour force expand by 2.3%, and unemployment rise by 1.9 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Stirling North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 5.7% over five years and 12.4% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 indicates that Stirling North's median income is $68,994 and average income is $82,137. This contrasts with Rest of SA's median income of $48,920 and average income of $58,933. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.8% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Stirling North would be approximately $75,065 (median) and $89,365 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows that Stirling North's incomes cluster around the 62nd percentile nationally. The earnings profile reveals that 36.6% of locals (1,059 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, aligning with regional levels where this cohort represents 27.5%. After housing costs, residents retain 89.8% of income.

Stirling North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Stirling North's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.0% houses and 1.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasted with Non-Metro SA's composition of 85.7% houses and 14.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Stirling North stood at 35.5%, with mortgaged properties at 48.8% and rented ones at 15.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,306, higher than Non-Metro SA's average of $1,138. Weekly rent in Stirling North was recorded at $250, lower than Non-Metro SA's figure of $187. Nationally, Stirling North's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Stirling North features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 78.2% of all households, including 32.4% couples with children, 33.2% couples without children, and 12.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 21.8%, with lone person households at 20.6% and group households making up 0.6%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is larger than the Rest of SA average of 2.4.

Stirling North faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 9.3%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 6.5%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.7%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 37.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (6.9%) and certificates (30.3%). Educational participation is high at 44.8%, comprising 22.3% in primary education, 11.6% in secondary education, and 3.1% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 44.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 22.3% in primary education, 11.6% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health outcomes in Stirling North are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Stirling North's health indicators show below-average results compared to national averages. Common health conditions are somewhat typical but higher among older residents.

Private health cover stands at approximately 59%, or 1,720 people, which is higher than Rest of SA's 53.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and arthritis, affecting 10.4% and 7.8% respectively. 68.9% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 68.2% in Rest of SA. Stirling North has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 14.3%, or 414 people, compared to Rest of SA's 16.3%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

The latest Census data sees Stirling North placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Stirling North, surveyed in June 2016, had low cultural diversity: 73.0% were citizens, 94.2% born in Australia, and 97.7% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 36.7%. Stirling North had no Jewish population (0.0%), unlike Rest of SA (0.0%).

In ancestry, Australian (36.3%) and English (30.2%) groups were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 28.5% and 25.2%, respectively. Australian Aboriginal (7.3%) was underrepresented compared to the region's 17.2%. Notable differences existed for German (5.1%), Maori (0.3%), and Dutch (1.1%) groups.

Stirling North's population is younger than the national pattern

The median age in Stirling North is 35 years, which is significantly lower than Rest of SA's average of 47 years and somewhat younger than Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of SA, Stirling North has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (18.3%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (8.9%). According to the 2021 Census, the age group 35-44 has increased from 15.9% to 17.0% of Stirling North's population, while the age group 25-34 has decreased from 19.6% to 18.3%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Stirling North's age structure. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 27%, reaching 158 people from the current 124. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 70% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 0-4 and 15-24 age groups are projected to decrease in number.